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Napoli v Atalanta : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 22nd Nov, 19:45 BST, San Paolo, Castelvolturno

Napoli are in Serie A action on Saturday evening, as Antonio Conte aims to beat Ivan Juric and his Atalanta side at the San Paolo. We've got bespoke statistics for all of the main betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 77% chance of Napoli and Atalanta a maximum of 3 goals combined during this Serie A match according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Napoli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Napoli
44%
11/1011/10
Draw
27%
12/5
5%
12/5
Atalanta
29%
12/512/5
3%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
Napoli 1-0
12%
13/2
7%
6/1
8%
Atalanta 1-0
9%
9/1
5%
8/1
6%
Draw 0-0
9%
17/2
6%
7/1
Napoli 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Napoli 2-0
8%
9/1
5%
8/1
6%
Atalanta 2-1
7%
11/19/1
9%
Atalanta 2-0
5%
16/114/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
8%
Napoli 3-1
4%
16/1
11%
12/1
Napoli 3-0
4%
18/114/1
Atalanta 3-1
2%
28/120/1
Napoli 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Atalanta 3-0
2%
40/125/1
10%
Atalanta 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
1/1
5%
19/20
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
4/5
4%
3/4
1%
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11
4%
3/4
Away 1st Goal
44%
5/4
2%
11/8
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2
6%
7/1
BTTS - Yes
48%
4/5
6%
4/5
3%
BTTS - No
52%
19/20
2%
10/11
3%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
7/2
5%
16/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/217/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
6/15/1
8%
Home/draw
71%
3/103/10
Away/draw
56%
7/107/10
2%
Home/away
73%
3/10
2%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1/3
2%
1/3
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
12/5
6%
21/10
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
5/2
13%
12/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
3/10
4%
2/7
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
6/1
13%
11/2
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/10
2%
1/10
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/50
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
1/16
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
17/2
6%
15/2
6%
Home DNB
63%
1/2
2%
1/2
1%
Away DNB
48%
6/4
5%
7/5
2%
Napoli win to nil
26%
5/2-
Atalanta win to nil
17%
5/1
9%
-
Napoli / Napoli
24%
12/5
3%
23/10
2%
Napoli / Atalanta
3%
33/125/1
Napoli / Draw
6%
12/111/1
8%
Draw / Napoli
16%
4/14/1
4%
Draw / Atalanta
11%
13/26/1
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
4%
Atalanta / Napoli
4%
25/118/1
Atalanta / Atalanta
14%
9/29/2
Atalanta / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Napoli have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Serie A league table. Napoli are unbeaten at home after 5 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Napoli have outscored their opponents by 16 goals to 13 goals.

Home League Performance

Napoli have played 5 games at home winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 9 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Atalanta are in 13th position in the Serie A on 13 points having played 11 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 4 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Atalanta have conceded 8 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Napoli
Atalanta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter118031424 
w
 
3-1F
Jan 11
Dec 28
Mar 15
2
Roma11803724 
Feb 15
Nov 30
Jan 3
Apr 19
3
Milan11641822 
Apr 4
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
May 10
4
Napoli11713622 
-
-
Feb 22
Nov 22
5
Bologna116321021 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
May 17
Jan 7
6
Juventus11542419 
Dec 7
Jan 25
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
7
Como 190711461618 
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
d
 
1-1F
Feb 1
8
Sassuolo11515216 
Jan 17
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-3A
Mar 1
9
Lazio11434415 
Apr 19
Jan 4
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
10
Udinese11434-515 
May 24
Dec 14
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
11
Cremonese11353-114 
Apr 26
Dec 28
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
12
Torino11353-614 
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
Jan 10
w
 
0-3F
13
Atalanta11272213 
Nov 22
Feb 22
-
-
14
Cagliari11245-510 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 22
Dec 13
Apr 26
15
Lecce11245-610 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-1F
Apr 4
16
Pisa11164-69 
w
 
3-2F
May 17
d
 
1-1A
Jan 16
17
Parma11155-78 
Jan 14
Apr 12
Jan 25
d
 
1-1F
18
Genoa11146-87 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 8
May 3
Dec 21
19
Verona11065-106 
Jan 7
Mar 1
Mar 22
Dec 6
20
Fiorentina11056-95 
Feb 1
w
 
1-3F
Nov 30
May 24
Win / draw / win form
16
Napoli have not lost in 16 consecutive home league games
7
Atalanta have not won in 7 consecutive league games
Napoli 4TH
20 league games
Home
16
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Atalanta 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Napoli since 2015
Napoli
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
17
19
Games: Scored
8 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
3 / 11
NAP
4
D
2
ATA
5
League games at Atalanta since 2014
Atalanta
Napoli
Goals: Scored
15
19
Games: Scored
10 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
1 / 11
NAP
7
D
1
ATA
3
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Atalanta of late. It has been 7 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday evening against Napoli.

Napoli 4th Atalanta 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Napoli will score no more than 1 goal
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Atalanta will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Napoli’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+22
Atalanta have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Napoli
PG (predicted goals)
Atalanta
1.4
1
Attack rating
11%
better
NAP
ATA
view stats
Games scored8
8
Failed to score3
3
Scored first6
5
Goals scored16
13
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for15
12
Avg. XG for1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
17%
better
NAP
ATA
view stats
Games conceded7
9
Clean sheets4
2
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded10
11
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against12%
13%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+17%

Napoli v Atalanta Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Napoli Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11422
G LorenzoF AnguissaL SpinazzolaJ Jesus
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Lorenzo DEF11
1
-
F Anguissa MID1141
1
-
M Politano FWD111
1
-
S McTominay MID1021
-
L Lucca FWD101
1
-
L Spinazzola DEF912
1
-
J Jesus DEF9
2
-
B Gilmour MID91
1
-
D Neres  FWD92
2
-
M Olivera DEF8
1
-
A Buongiorno DEF81
-
E Elmas MID8
1
-
K Bruyne MID84
1
-
S Lobotka MID81
-
N Lang FWD8
2
-
V Milinković-Savić GLK7
-
R Höjlund FWD72
1
-
M Gutiérrez DEF6
-
S Beukema DEF51
-
A Meret GLK4
-
A Rrahmani DEF4
-
G Ambrosino FWD2
-
L. Marianucci DEF1
-
A Vergara MID1
-
Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11233
M CarnesecchiN KrstovicN KrstovicM Roon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK11
-
M Pasalic MID1112
1
-
B Djimsiti DEF10
1
-
I Hien DEF10
2
-
N Krstovic FWD1023
1
-
K Sulemana FWD1021
2
-
C Ketelaere MID92
2
-
R Bellanova MID9
-
L Samardžić MID911
-
D Zappacosta MID81
1
-
M Roon MID8
2
1
O Kossounou  DEF7
-
Éderson MID7
1
-
N Zalewski MID711
-
M Brescianini MID71
1
-
A Lookman FWD71
-
H. Ahanor DEF6
-
D Maldini MID6
1
-
Y Musah MID5
-
G Scamacca FWD51
1
-
G Scalvini DEF41
-
L Bernasconi MID4
-