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Parma v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Nov, 19:45 BST, Ennio Tardini, Parma

the Ennio Tardini masses welcome Milan's fans on Saturday evening, as Carlos Cuesta's Parma clash with Massimiliano Allegri's side in the Serie A. We have custom-designed stats for every major market, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but we're not predicting a high-scoring affair here. The stats suggest Parma and Milan both can struggle to find the net on occasion, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're on the right track here and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Parma
16%
4/1
5%
9/2
Draw
27%
14/5
5%
27/10
Milan
57%
13/20
2%
4/6
Milan 1-0
18%
5/1
8%
9/2
Milan 2-0
13%
6/1
7%
6/1
Draw 0-0
12%
8/1
10%
13/2
Draw 1-1
11%
13/211/2
Milan 2-1
8%
15/27/1
Parma 1-0
8%
10/1
8%
10/1
Milan 3-0
6%
11/110/1
Milan 3-1
4%
14/1
15%
11/1
Parma 2-1
4%
16/114/1
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1
11%
14/1
Parma 2-0
2%
25/120/1
Milan 4-0
2%
25/1
13%
18/1
Milan 4-1
1%
28/122/1
Milan 3-2
1%
33/1
17%
22/1
Parma 3-1
1%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
11/10
10%
21/20
Under 2.5 Goals
65%
8/11
9%
7/10
Home 1st Goal
34%
15/8
5%
21/10
Away 1st Goal
57%
8/158/15
No 1st Goal
9%
8/1
10%
13/2
BTTS - Yes
36%
21/20
5%
21/20
BTTS - No
64%
7/10
6%
7/10
BTTS - Home Win
5%
10/1
10%
9/1
BTTS - Draw
14%
9/24/1
BTTS - Away Win
16%
3/1
7%
29/10
Home/draw
43%
6/5
2%
23/20
Away/draw
84%
1/61/7
Home/away
73%
1/4
2%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
4/11
5%
4/11
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
11/5
9%
2/1
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
3/1
14%
13/5
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
1/4
4%
1/4
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
7/1
23%
6/1
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/12
3%
1/12
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
16/1
13%
14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/331/66
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/14
1%
1/14
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
8/1
10%
7/1
Home DNB
35%
11/414/5
Away DNB
76%
1/42/9
Parma win to nil
11%
7/1-
Milan win to nil
41%
6/4
5%
-
Parma / Parma
9%
17/2
6%
7/1
Parma / Milan
4%
22/118/1
Parma / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Parma
8%
10/19/1
Draw / Milan
19%
10/316/5
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1
9%
19/5
Milan / Parma
2%
40/133/1
Milan / Milan
31%
8/5
4%
6/4
Milan / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Parma have played 10 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Parma have conceded 12 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Parma have played 5 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 4 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Milan lay in 4th place on 21 points in the Serie A league table having played 10 matches. Milan are unbeaten away after 4 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 12 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Milan have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Milan have played 4 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Parma
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli10712822 
Apr 12
Jan 14
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
2
Inter107031221 
Jan 7
May 3
Mar 8
Nov 23
3
Roma10703521 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
4
Milan10631821 
Nov 8
Feb 22
-
-
5
Bologna10532818 
l
 
1-3F
Feb 8
w
 
1-0F
Feb 1
6
Juventus10532418 
Feb 1
l
 
2-0A
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
7
Como 190710451617 
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
Feb 8
Jan 15
8
Udinese10433-315 
Nov 29
Apr 19
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
9
Cremonese10352014 
Mar 22
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2A
Mar 1
10
Sassuolo9414013 
May 24
Jan 3
Dec 14
May 3
11
Torino10343-613 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 15
Mar 22
Dec 8
12
Atalanta10271513 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 25
May 10
d
 
1-1F
13
Lazio9333412 
Dec 13
Apr 4
Nov 29
Mar 15
14
Cagliari9234-39 
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
May 24
Jan 2
15
Lecce10235-69 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 11
Jan 18
w
 
0-2F
16
Parma10145-77 
-
-
Feb 22
Nov 8
17
Pisa10064-76 
Apr 26
Dec 8
d
 
2-2F
Feb 15
18
Verona10055-105 
Feb 15
Nov 23
Dec 28
Apr 19
19
Fiorentina10046-94 
Dec 27
Mar 8
w
 
2-1A
Jan 11
20
Genoa9036-93 
Jan 18
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 8
May 17
Win / draw / win form
Parma 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Parma1 - 3Bologna
Parma0 - 0Como 1907
Parma0 - 1Lecce
Parma2 - 1Torino
Parma1 - 1Atalanta
Parma0 - 0Napoli
Parma0 - 1Como 1907
Parma1 - 0Juventus
Parma2 - 2Inter
Parma2 - 2Torino
Parma2 - 0Bologna
Parma0 - 1Roma
Parma1 - 3Lecce
Parma1 - 1Venezia
Parma2 - 1Monza
Parma2 - 3Verona
Parma3 - 1Lazio
Parma1 - 3Atalanta
Parma0 - 1Genoa
Parma1 - 1Empoli
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
10
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HParma1 - 3Bologna
AParma1 - 2Roma
HParma0 - 0Como 1907
AParma0 - 0Genoa
HParma0 - 1Lecce
HParma2 - 1Torino
AParma0 - 0Cremonese
AParma0 - 2Cagliari
HParma1 - 1Atalanta
AParma0 - 2Juventus
AParma3 - 2Atalanta
HParma0 - 0Napoli
AParma1 - 2Empoli
HParma0 - 1Como 1907
AParma2 - 2Lazio
HParma1 - 0Juventus
AParma0 - 0Fiorentina
HParma2 - 2Inter
AParma0 - 0Verona
AParma1 - 1Monza
Milan 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atalanta1 - 1Milan
Juventus0 - 0Milan
Udinese0 - 3Milan
Lecce0 - 2Milan
Roma3 - 1Milan
Genoa1 - 2Milan
Venezia0 - 2Milan
Udinese0 - 4Milan
Napoli2 - 1Milan
Lecce2 - 3Milan
Bologna2 - 1Milan
Torino2 - 1Milan
Empoli0 - 2Milan
Juventus2 - 0Milan
Como 19071 - 2Milan
Verona0 - 1Milan
Atalanta2 - 1Milan
Cagliari3 - 3Milan
Monza0 - 1Milan
Fiorentina2 - 1Milan
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan1 - 0Roma
AMilan1 - 1Atalanta
HMilan2 - 2Pisa
HMilan2 - 1Fiorentina
AMilan0 - 0Juventus
HMilan2 - 1Napoli
AMilan3 - 0Udinese
HMilan1 - 0Bologna
AMilan2 - 0Lecce
HMilan1 - 2Cremonese
HMilan2 - 0Monza
AMilan1 - 3Roma
HMilan3 - 1Bologna
AMilan2 - 1Genoa
AMilan2 - 0Venezia
HMilan0 - 1Atalanta
AMilan4 - 0Udinese
HMilan2 - 2Fiorentina
AMilan1 - 2Napoli
HMilan2 - 1Como 1907
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Parma since 2014
Parma
Milan
Goals: Scored
8
11
Games: Scored
4 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
1 / 5
PMA
1
D
1
ACM
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Parma
Parma2 - 1
1 - 3Milan
0 - 1Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
4 - 5Milan
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Parma
Goals: Scored
13
7
Games: Scored
5 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
0 / 5
D
1
ACM
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Milan3 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
Milan3 - 1
Milan2 - 1
Milan3 - 1
Goal Statistics
Parma 16th Milan 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.6
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
53%
1
34%
2
3
4+
There is a 53% probability that Parma will fail to score
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
Parma have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
+7
Milan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Parma
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
0.6
1.5
Attack rating
PMA
ACM
64%
better
view stats
Games scored3
8
Failed to score6
1
Scored first1
6
Goals scored4
14
Avg. goals scored0.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game6
9
Avg. shots per goal16
7
Conversion rate for6
15
Avg. XG for0.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+64%
Defence rating
PMA
ACM
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
5
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first5
2
Goals conceded9
7
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
9
Conversion rate against11%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+21%

Parma v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Parma Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10214
Z SuzukiM PellegrinoE ValeriC Ordoñez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Z Suzuki GLK10
1
-
E Prato DEF10
2
-
A Circati DEF101
-
O Sørensen MID10
1
-
A Bernabé MID101
-
M Pellegrino FWD102
2
-
N Estévez MID9
1
-
M Keita MID9
-
P Cutrone FWD91
-
M Djuric FWD9
-
C Ordoñez MID8
3
1
P Almqvist FWD7
-
N Ndiaye DEF6
3
1
L Valenti DEF6
2
-
E Valeri DEF61
-
S. Britschgi DEF6
1
-
A Benedyczak FWD61
-
M Løvik DEF5
-
G Oristanio MID4
1
-
Hernani MID2
-
M. Troilo DEF1
2
-
B Cremaschi MID1
-
T. Begić FWD1
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10423
M GabbiaC PulisicL ModricY Fofana
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Gabbia DEF10
1
-
S Pavlovic DEF1021
-
L Modric MID1012
1
-
A Saelemaekers MID1011
1
-
Y Fofana MID1011
3
-
M Maignan  GLK9
-
F Tomori DEF9
2
-
S Giménez FWD9
1
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID81
-
S Ricci MID711
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF6
1
-
Z. Athekame DEF61
2
-
K Winter DEF6
-
C Nkunku  FWD6
-
R Leão FWD631
-
C Pulisic FWD642
-
P Estupiñán DEF51
1
1
A Rabiot MID41
1
-
P Terracciano GLK2
-
A Jashari MID1
-