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Sassuolo v Lazio : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Sep, 17:00 BST, MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricol, Reggio Emilia

the MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricol plays host on Sunday evening, as Fabio Grosso's Sassuolo host Maurizio Sarri's Lazio in the Serie A. Below you'll find unique stats for the biggest betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Sassuolo and Lazio will score at least 2 between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on form stats for each side, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookmakers have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Lazio coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sassuolo
28%
5/2
8%
5/2
6%
Draw
24%
13/55/2
Lazio
47%
21/20
2%
11/10
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Lazio 1-0
9%
15/2
6%
13/2
Lazio 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Lazio 2-0
8%
9/1
9%
17/2
Sassuolo 1-0
7%
10/19/1
Sassuolo 2-1
7%
11/19/1
Draw 0-0
6%
11/117/2
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
Lazio 3-1
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Sassuolo 2-0
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
Lazio 3-0
4%
18/114/1
Lazio 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Sassuolo 3-1
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Sassuolo 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Lazio 4-1
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
4/54/5
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1/119/20
Home 1st Goal
45%
5/4
2%
13/10
2%
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/113/4
No 1st Goal
3%
11/117/2
BTTS - Yes
57%
7/10
2%
7/10
2%
BTTS - No
43%
21/20
2%
21/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
11/2
8%
19/4
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/210/3
BTTS - Away Win
23%
3/114/5
Home/draw
53%
8/11
2%
8/11
2%
Away/draw
72%
2/7
3%
3/10
2%
Home/away
76%
2/73/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/113/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
11/5
7%
19/10
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/11
3%
4/11
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
9/217/4
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/72/15
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11/117/2
5%
Home DNB
46%
6/4
5%
29/20
3%
Away DNB
64%
1/2
2%
1/2
2%
Sassuolo win to nil
14%
11/2
8%
-
Lazio win to nil
24%
11/4-
Sassuolo / Sassuolo
15%
9/217/4
Sassuolo / Lazio
4%
22/118/1
Sassuolo / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Sassuolo
11%
13/26/1
Draw / Lazio
15%
9/24/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Lazio / Sassuolo
3%
28/122/1
Lazio / Lazio
25%
9/4
4%
9/4
2%
Lazio / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Win / draw / win Serie A table
Won
Draw
Lost
Sassuolo
Lazio
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli220036 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
Jan 3
Apr 19
2
Juventus220036 
Jan 6
Mar 22
Oct 26
Feb 8
3
Cremonese220026 
Jan 25
l
 
3-2A
Dec 21
May 3
4
Roma220026 
Oct 26
Jan 11
Sep 21
May 17
5
Udinese211014 
Sep 28
Feb 15
Apr 26
Dec 28
6
Como 1907210113 
Apr 19
Nov 30
Jan 18
l
 
2-0A
7
Bologna210103 
Mar 15
Dec 28
Dec 7
Mar 22
8
Inter210143 
Feb 8
Sep 21
May 10
Nov 9
9
Milan210113 
May 3
Dec 14
Mar 15
Nov 30
10
Lazio210123 
Sep 14
Mar 8
-
-
11
Atalanta202002 
Mar 1
Nov 9
Feb 15
Oct 19
12
Fiorentina202002 
Dec 7
Apr 26
Jan 6
Apr 12
13
Pisa2011-11 
Nov 23
Feb 1
May 24
Oct 29
14
Cagliari2011-11 
Apr 4
Oct 29
Nov 2
Feb 22
15
Genoa2011-11 
Nov 2
Apr 12
Feb 1
Sep 28
16
Parma2011-21 
Jan 3
May 24
Apr 4
Dec 14
17
Lecce2011-21 
May 17
Oct 19
Nov 23
Jan 25
18
Verona2011-41 
Feb 22
Oct 5
w
 
4-0F
Jan 11
19
Torino2011-51 
Dec 21
May 10
Oct 5
Mar 1
20
Sassuolo2002-30 
-
-
Mar 8
Sep 14
Win / draw / win form
4
Sassuolo have lost 4 consecutive league games
5
Sassuolo have not won in 5 consecutive league games
3
Sassuolo have failed to score in 3 consecutive home league games
Sassuolo 20TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Lazio 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Lazio have not lost to Sassuolo in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Sassuolo since 2015
Sassuolo
Lazio
Goals: Scored
9
17
Games: Scored
6 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
4 / 10
SAS
3
D
1
LAZ
6
League games at Lazio since 2014
Lazio
Sassuolo
Goals: Scored
21
13
Games: Scored
9 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
1 / 10
SAS
2
D
2
LAZ
6
Goal Statistics

Lazio's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because Sassuolo have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie A matches. A PG of 1.6 for Maurizio Sarri's side suggests that run should continue.

Sassuolo 20th Lazio 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Sassuolo will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that Lazio will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
Sassuolo have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Lazio’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Sassuolo
PG (predicted goals)
Lazio
1.2
1.6
Attack rating
5%
better
SAS
LAZ
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score1
1
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game3
2
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0.5
0.4
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
SAS
LAZ
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded1
1
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded2
2
Avg. goals conceded1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded4
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
9
Conversion rate against25%
11%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.7
KickOff rating
+8%

Sassuolo v Lazio Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sassuolo Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
S WalukiewiczA PinamontiC VolpatoI Koné
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Walukiewicz DEF2
-
T Muharemović DEF2
-
J Doig DEF2
1
-
F Candé DEF2
-
L Lipani MID2
-
D Boloca MID2
-
A Fadera FWD2
-
A Pinamonti FWD21
-
A Laurienté FWD2
-
D Berardi FWD21
1
-
A Muric GLK1
-
S Turati GLK1
-
J Idzes DEF1
-
F Romagna DEF1
-
N Matić MID1
-
A Vranckx MID1
-
I Koné MID1
1
1
C Volpato MID11
-
E Iannoni MID1
1
-
N Pierini FWD1
-
L Moro FWD1
-
Lazio Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2121
I ProvedelM GuendouziT CastellanosM Guendouzi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Provedel GLK2
-
L Pellegrini DEF2
-
N Tavares DEF2
-
A Marusic DEF2
-
M Gila  DEF2
-
O Provstgaard DEF2
-
N Rovella MID21
-
F Dele-Bashiru MID2
-
M Guendouzi MID21
1
-
M Cancellieri FWD2
-
M Zaccagni FWD21
1
-
B Dia FWD21
-
Pedro FWD2
-
T Castellanos FWD212
1
-
E Hysaj DEF1
-
D Cataldi MID1
-
M Lazzari  MID1
-
R Belahyane MID11
-