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Avispa Fukuoka v Fagiano Okayama : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 25th Apr, 11:00 BST, Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka), Fukuoka

Fagiano Okayama pay J-League rivals Avispa Fukuoka a visit on Friday morning, as Takashi Kiyama guides his side into an away clash with Do-Kyun Kim & co. at the Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka). The odds you see on the page are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to J-League match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It's not the news we want to be reporting, but it's all-but impossible to predict a high-scoring affair here. The statistics suggest Avispa and Fagiano both can struggle to find the net on occasion, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're on the right track here and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Avispa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Avispa 43%	6/5 5%	-
Draw 31%	21/10	-
Fagiano 26%	13/5 8%	-
Avispa 1-0 16%	9/2	-
Draw 0-0 14%	11/2 8%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	-
Fagiano 1-0 12%	13/2 6%	-
Avispa 2-0 9%	8/1 6%	-
Avispa 2-1 7%	9/1	-
Fagiano 2-1 5%	12/1 13%	-
Fagiano 2-0 5%	14/1 12%	-
Avispa 3-0 4%	20/1 11%	-
Draw 2-2 3%	20/1	-
Avispa 3-1 3%	22/1 10%	-
Fagiano 3-1 1%	33/1 17%	-
Fagiano 3-0 1%	40/1	-
Avispa 3-2 1%	40/1	-
Avispa 4-0 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 31%	6/4 7%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 69%	1/2 4%	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	8/11 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	8/5 5%	-
No 1st Goal 10%	11/2 8%	-
BTTS - Yes 38%	6/5	-
BTTS - No 62%	8/13	-
BTTS - Home Win 13%	5/1	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	4/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	8/1 5%	-
Home/draw 74%	2/7 3%	-
Away/draw 57%	4/6 2%	-
Home/away 69%	4/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 58%	1/2 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 42%	6/4 5%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 13%	4/1 9%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 87%	1/6 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 5%	10/1 15%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 95%	1/20 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 1%	25/1 10%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 99%	1/150	-
Over 0.5 Goals 86%	1/10 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 14%	6/1 17%	-
Home DNB 65%	8/15 6%	-
Away DNB 48%	11/8 9%	-
Avispa win to nil 30%	9/4 8%	-
Fagiano win to nil 18%	4/1 9%	-
Avispa / Avispa 22%	11/4 4%	-
Avispa / Fagiano 2%	40/1	-
Avispa / Draw 5%	14/1	-
Draw / Avispa 16%	4/1 5%	-
Draw / Fagiano 12%	6/1 7%	-
Draw / Draw 21%	3/1	-
Fagiano / Avispa 3%	28/1	-
Fagiano / Fagiano 14%	5/1 8%	-
Fagiano / Draw 5%	14/1 12%	-

Win / draw / win J-League table

Avispa have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the J-League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 1 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Avispa have outscored their opponents by 12 goals to 10 goals.

Home League Performance

Avispa have played 6 games at home winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 7 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Fagiano are in 9th position in the J-League on 17 points having played 11 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 4 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 2 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Fagiano have conceded 4 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Avispa Fagiano
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Kyoto Sanga	12	6	3	3	3	21	Jul 21	w 0-1F	w 2-0F	Aug 30
2	Kashiwa	11	5	5	1	4	20	l 0-1A	Aug 31	Aug 17	May 10
3	Kashima	11	6	1	4	7	19	May 6	Aug 16	l 1-2F	Jun 28
4	Urawa Reds	12	5	4	3	3	19	w 1-0F	Jul 27	Nov 30	l 1-0A
5	Avispa Home	11	6	1	4	1	19	-	-	Jun 15	Apr 25
6	Kawasaki	12	4	6	2	8	18	l 1-2F	Aug 9	d 0-00-0	Nov 8
7	Shimizu	12	5	3	4	4	18	Aug 23	l 3-1A	d 1-1A	Dec 6
8	Vissel Kobe	11	5	3	3	2	18	Jun 28	w 0-1F	Jul 20	May 3
9	Fagiano Away	11	5	2	4	3	17	Apr 25	Jun 15	-	-
10	Hiroshima	10	5	2	3	2	17	Sep 27	May 3	Jul 5	w 0-1F
11	Machida	11	5	2	4	1	17	d 2-2A	Oct 18	May 25	Sep 27
12	Gamba Osaka	11	4	2	5	-4	14	Nov 30	l 2-1A	w 2-0F	Aug 10
13	Shonan	11	4	2	5	-5	14	Oct 25	Apr 29	Aug 23	Jun 1
14	Cerezo	11	3	4	4	0	13	Sep 13	May 24	Oct 18	l 2-1A
15	Yokohama	11	3	3	5	-1	12	Oct 4	May 10	Sep 23	l 1-0A
16	Tokyo Verdy	11	2	5	4	-5	11	May 31	Nov 8	Apr 29	Sep 20
17	Nagoya	11	3	2	6	-7	11	May 17	Dec 6	Sep 13	May 6
18	Tokyo	11	2	4	5	-5	10	w 1-0F	Sep 23	w 1-0F	Oct 25
19	Albirex	11	1	5	5	-5	8	Jun 21	w 0-1F	May 18	Oct 4
20	Yokohama FM	12	1	5	6	-6	8	w 2-1A	Sep 20	w 1-0F	Jun 21

	Afc Champions League
	Afc Champions League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Avispa	2 - 1	Yokohama FM
Avispa	1 - 0	Urawa Reds
Avispa	2 - 2	Machida
Avispa	1 - 0	Tokyo
Avispa	1 - 2	Kawasaki
Avispa	0 - 1	Kashiwa
Avispa	1 - 0	Urawa Reds
Avispa	2 - 1	Kashiwa
Avispa	1 - 0	Nagoya
Avispa	0 - 3	Machida
Avispa	0 - 2	Vissel Kobe
Avispa	0 - 1	Albirex
Avispa	0 - 1	Tokyo Verdy
Avispa	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
Avispa	2 - 1	Yokohama FM
Avispa	2 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Avispa	0 - 3	Cerezo
Avispa	1 - 1	Kawasaki
Avispa	1 - 0	Gamba Osaka
Avispa	2 - 2	Jubilo Iwata

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Avispa	1 - 3	Shimizu
H	Avispa	2 - 1	Yokohama FM
H	Avispa	1 - 0	Urawa Reds
A	Avispa	1 - 0	Albirex
H	Avispa	2 - 2	Machida
H	Avispa	1 - 0	Tokyo
A	Avispa	1 - 0	Kyoto Sanga
A	Avispa	1 - 0	Vissel Kobe
H	Avispa	1 - 2	Kawasaki
A	Avispa	1 - 2	Gamba Osaka
H	Avispa	0 - 1	Kashiwa
A	Avispa	1 - 3	Kawasaki
H	Avispa	1 - 0	Urawa Reds
A	Avispa	0 - 1	Cerezo
H	Avispa	2 - 1	Kashiwa
A	Avispa	0 - 0	Kashima
H	Avispa	1 - 0	Nagoya
A	Avispa	0 - 0	Sagan Tosu
A	Avispa	0 - 0	Jubilo Iwata
H	Avispa	0 - 3	Machida

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hiroshima	0 - 1	Fagiano
Cerezo	2 - 1	Fagiano
Urawa Reds	1 - 0	Fagiano
Yokohama	1 - 0	Fagiano
Montedio	0 - 3	Fagiano
Kagoshima	0 - 0	Fagiano
Yokohama	2 - 4	Fagiano
Ventforet	3 - 1	Fagiano
Mito	0 - 0	Fagiano
Renofa	0 - 2	Fagiano
Tokushima	1 - 1	Fagiano
Tochigi	1 - 1	Fagiano
Shimizu	3 - 1	Fagiano
Roasso	0 - 1	Fagiano
JEF United	2 - 1	Fagiano
Vegalta	1 - 4	Fagiano
V-V Nagasaki	0 - 0	Fagiano
Montedio	2 - 2	Fagiano
Blaublitz	0 - 0	Fagiano
Ehime	2 - 2	Fagiano

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Fagiano	1 - 2	Kashima
A	Fagiano	1 - 0	Hiroshima
H	Fagiano	1 - 0	Tokyo
A	Fagiano	1 - 2	Cerezo
H	Fagiano	1 - 0	Yokohama FM
H	Fagiano	0 - 0	Kawasaki
A	Fagiano	0 - 1	Urawa Reds
H	Fagiano	1 - 1	Shimizu
H	Fagiano	2 - 0	Gamba Osaka
A	Fagiano	0 - 1	Yokohama
H	Fagiano	2 - 0	Kyoto Sanga
H	Fagiano	2 - 0	Vegalta
A	Fagiano	3 - 0	Montedio
A	Fagiano	0 - 0	Kagoshima
H	Fagiano	2 - 0	Fujieda MYFC
A	Fagiano	4 - 2	Yokohama
H	Fagiano	2 - 1	Iwaki
A	Fagiano	1 - 3	Ventforet
H	Fagiano	1 - 0	V-V Nagasaki
A	Fagiano	0 - 0	Mito

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Avispa

Fagiano

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

0 / 3

AVI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Avispa
Avispa	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Fagiano

Avispa

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

Clean sheets

0 / 3

FAG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fagiano
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Fagiano	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Fagiano Okayama fans, as should a 8 J-League matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Avispa 5th	Fagiano 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 4+ There is a 68% probability that Avispa will score no more than 1 goal	0 44% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 80% probability of Fagiano scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-11 Avispa have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted	+9 Fagiano’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.0 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season

16%

better

AVI

FAG

view stats

Games scored	10		8
Failed to score	1		3
Scored first	6		6
Goals scored	12		10
Avg. goals scored	1.1		0.9
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		9
Conversion rate for	11		11
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.1
KickOff rating		+16%

AVI

FAG

24%

better

view stats

Games conceded	6		5
Clean sheets	5		6
Conceded first	5		4
Goals conceded	11		7
Avg. goals conceded	1		0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		14
Conversion rate against	13%		7%
Avg. XG against	1		1.2
KickOff rating		+24%

Avispa v Fagiano J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Avispa J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
9	2	1	4
T Miki	T Ando	M Tashiro	T Kamijima

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Ando DEF	9	2		1 -
T Miki MID	9	1		1 -
S Nago MID	9			-
K Fujimoto FWD	9			1 -
Y Iwasaki FWD	9	1		-
K Konno FWD	9	1		1 -
M Tashiro DEF	8	1	1	1 -
T Shichi DEF	8			1 1
D Matsuoka MID	8			-
S Zahedi FWD	8		1	-
Y Maejima DEF	7			-
Y Kitajima MID	7		1	1 -
Wellington FWD	7		1	-
M Murakami GLK	6			-
T Kamijima DEF	6			3 1
M Yuzawa DEF	5			-
T Kanamori FWD	5			-
H Akino MID	4		1	1 -
N Khalifa FWD	4	1		-
Y Obata GLK	3			-
Y. Hashimoto DEF	2			-
M Shigemi MID	2			-
I Oda DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	7	1	2
T Ando	T Miki	M Tashiro	Y Kitajima

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Ando DEF	2	2		1
Y Iwasaki FWD	1	3
K Konno FWD	1	7
M Tashiro DEF	1	1	1	1
N Khalifa FWD	1	1		1
T Miki MID	1	7		1
H Akino MID		1	1
Y Kitajima MID		1	1	2
Wellington FWD		4	1
S Zahedi FWD		1	1	1
D Matsuoka MID		5
T Shichi DEF				1
K Fujimoto FWD		3
S Nago MID		2		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
400	19	69
T Miki	T Miki	T Ando

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Miki MID	400	19	54
T Ando DEF	376	7	69
M Tashiro DEF	299	4	36
D Matsuoka MID	267	5	20
T Shichi DEF	230	10	24
Y Maejima DEF	185	12	20
T Kamijima DEF	170	6	21
M Murakami GLK	155		2
K Konno FWD	151	9	28
S Nago MID	142	7	21
Y Kitajima MID	142	3	15
H Akino MID	137	2	5
K Fujimoto FWD	120	2	26
Y Obata GLK	100
M Yuzawa DEF	90	7	21
Wellington FWD	71	5	37
S Zahedi FWD	62	4	21
Y Iwasaki FWD	60	6	16
N Khalifa FWD	42	8	24
T Kanamori FWD	21	3	5
M Shigemi MID	17	2	4
I Oda DEF	10	3	4
Y. Hashimoto DEF	4

Fagiano J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
9	2	2	1
S Brodersen	T Kimura	H Kato	L Lucão

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Brodersen GLK	9			-
D Tagami DEF	9	1		-
H Kato MID	9		2	-
A Esaka MID	9		1	-
I Fujita MID	9			-
Y Kamiya MID	9			-
T Kimura MID	9	2		-
L Lucão FWD	9	1		1 -
Y Tatsuta DEF	8			-
K Ichimi FWD	8	1		-
H Iwabuchi MID	7			-
K Kudo DEF	5			1 -
T Yanagi DEF	5	1	2	1 -
R Tabei MID	5	1		-
K Abe DEF	4			-
Y Suzuki DEF	4			-
N Browne MID	4			-
R Sato MID	4	1		-
K. Fujii MID	4			1 -
R Takeuchi MID	3			-
R Saga MID	2			-
Y Yanagi DEF	1			-
Y Wakasa MID	1			-
R. Ota FWD	1			-
K Saito FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	6	2	3
T Kimura	L Lucão	H Kato	H Kato

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Kimura MID	2	3		2
T Yanagi DEF	1	1	2	2
L Lucão FWD	1	6		1
K Ichimi FWD	1	4
R Sato MID	1	1
D Tagami DEF	1	4
R Tabei MID	1	1
N Browne MID		1
Y Suzuki DEF				1
K Kudo DEF				1
H Iwabuchi MID		3
Y Tatsuta DEF				1
Y Kamiya MID		2		2
A Esaka MID		4	1	3
H Kato MID			2	3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
364	18	64
D Tagami	Y Tatsuta	Y Tatsuta

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Tagami DEF	364	15	53
Y Tatsuta DEF	294	18	64
I Fujita MID	270	15	24
A Esaka MID	246	13	40
K Kudo DEF	199	8	31
S Brodersen GLK	189		2
H Kato MID	174	7	26
Y Kamiya MID	147	7	15
Y Suzuki DEF	139	7	20
R Tabei MID	121	13	21
T Kimura MID	104	11	34
L Lucão FWD	99	2	47
T Yanagi DEF	81	10	13
R Sato MID	77	8	15
K Ichimi FWD	77	7	24
H Iwabuchi MID	55	4	11
K. Fujii MID	54	9	12
K Abe DEF	36	2	5
R Takeuchi MID	29	3	5
N Browne MID	12	3	5
R Saga MID	8		1
Y Wakasa MID	8	1	2
Y Yanagi DEF	4		2
R. Ota FWD	2

Japanese J-League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Kyoto Sanga v Yokohama

Urawa Reds v Hiroshima

Fagiano v Tokyo Verdy

Gamba Osaka v Kyoto Sanga

Urawa Reds v Tokyo Verdy

Sat 3rd May, 07:00

Vissel Kobe v Fagiano

Urawa Reds v Gamba Osaka

Tokyo Verdy v Yokohama

Tue 6th May, 08:00

Shonan v Hiroshima

Wed 7th May, 11:00

Machida v Kyoto Sanga

Wed 7th May, 11:00

Avispa Fukuoka v Fagiano Okayama : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Avispa have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the J-League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Fagiano are in 9th position in the J-League on 17 points having played 11 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Avispa v Fagiano J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

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