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Kyoto Sanga v Machida Zelvia : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Oct, 11:00 BST, Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka), Kameoka

We’ve J-League action to look forward to on Saturday morning, as Ranko Popović and his Kyoto Sanga side host Go Kuroda’s Machida Zelvia at the Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka). Below there are predictions for 17 markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. All is accessible via the tabs below.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Kyoto Sanga and Machida will score at least a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 79%. The bookmakers have it at 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Kyoto Sanga 26%	14/5 3%	-
Draw 24%	12/5 3%	-
Machida 50%	43/50 4%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2 7%	-
Machida 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Machida 1-0 9%	7/1 6%	-
Machida 2-0 8%	17/2	-
Kyoto Sanga 2-1 7%	12/1	-
Kyoto Sanga 1-0 6%	12/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	-
Machida 3-1 6%	14/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	11/1 8%	-
Machida 3-0 5%	16/1	-
Kyoto Sanga 2-0 4%	20/1	-
Machida 3-2 3%	22/1	-
Kyoto Sanga 3-1 3%	28/1	-
Machida 4-1 2%	28/1	-
Kyoto Sanga 3-2 2%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	4/5 4%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	1/1 4%	-
Home 1st Goal 44%	11/8	-
Away 1st Goal 53%	4/6 3%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	11/1 8%	-
BTTS - Yes 57%	7/10 2%	-
BTTS - No 43%	21/20 2%	-
BTTS - Home Win 14%	6/1	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 25%	11/4 4%	-
Home/draw 50%	10/11	-
Away/draw 74%	1/4	-
Home/away 76%	3/10 1%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	1/4 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	11/4 6%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	2/1 9%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	4/11 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	5/1 9%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1/8 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	12/1 18%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/25 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	11/1 8%	-
Home DNB 43%	7/4 8%	-
Away DNB 67%	2/5 3%	-
Kyoto Sanga win to nil 12%	6/1 13%	-
Machida win to nil 25%	5/2	-
Kyoto Sanga / Kyoto Sanga 13%	11/2	-
Kyoto Sanga / Machida 4%	20/1	-
Kyoto Sanga / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Kyoto Sanga 10%	15/2	-
Draw / Machida 17%	4/1	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2 8%	-
Machida / Kyoto Sanga 3%	28/1	-
Machida / Machida 28%	2/1 4%	-
Machida / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win J-League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Kyoto Sanga Machida
Results by League Table

	TEAM	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Avispa	w 2-1F	May 9	Oct 18	Apr 17
2	JEF United	Dec 13	Apr 10	Feb 13	w 0-4F
3	Kashima	Oct 21	-	-	-
4	Cerezo	Nov 28	Mar 20	Jun 6	Dec 12
5	Kashiwa	l 2-3F	-	l 2-4F	May 9
6	Fagiano	Dec 19	w 1-2F	Dec 6	May 22
7	Kawasaki	-	d 2-2A	w 2-1A	Feb 27
8	Gamba Osaka	-	Oct 24	Nov 1	Dec 19
9	Machida	Oct 10	-	-	-
10	Kyoto Sanga	-	-	-	Oct 10
11	Nagoya	May 29	Nov 7	Mar 13	w 1-3F
12	Mito	l 1-3A	Apr 17	Mar 20	d 1-1A
13	Tokyo	Mar 6	l 2-0A	-	w 1-5A
14	Hiroshima	May 15	Oct 17	Nov 8	Apr 24
15	Tokyo Verdy	Feb 27	Dec 5	Nov 29	Apr 3
16	Shimizu	Oct 31	Feb 20	Mar 6	Oct 21
17	Urawa Reds	Nov 21	May 22	w 3-1F	Apr 29
18	V-V Nagasaki	Apr 3	l 2-1A	Nov 21	May 29
19	Vissel Kobe	-	Jun 6	Apr 10	Oct 24
20	Yokohama FM	Feb 13	d 1-1F	d 1-1A	Feb 20

	Final Series
	Play Offs

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 3	Kashiwa
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 1	Avispa
Kyoto Sanga	1 - 3	Mito
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 0	Vissel Kobe
Kyoto Sanga	0 - 3	Yokohama FM
Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Kashima
Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Kawasaki
Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Machida
Kyoto Sanga	0 - 1	Shimizu
Kyoto Sanga	5 - 0	Fagiano
Kyoto Sanga	1 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 1	Albirex
Kyoto Sanga	3 - 1	Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga	3 - 0	Tokyo
Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Nagoya
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 3	Cerezo
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 1	Yokohama
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 0	Shonan
Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Kashiwa
Kyoto Sanga	1 - 0	Hiroshima

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Kyoto Sanga	2 - 1	Fagiano
H	Kyoto Sanga	2 - 3	Kashiwa
A	Kyoto Sanga	0 - 2	Tokyo
A	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Yokohama FM
H	Kyoto Sanga	2 - 1	Avispa
H	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 3	Mito
A	Kyoto Sanga	2 - 2	Kawasaki
A	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
H	Kyoto Sanga	2 - 0	Vissel Kobe
A	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 0	Yokohama
H	Kyoto Sanga	0 - 3	Yokohama FM
H	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Kashima
A	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Shonan
H	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Kawasaki
A	Kyoto Sanga	2 - 1	Cerezo
H	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Machida
H	Kyoto Sanga	0 - 1	Shimizu
A	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Hiroshima
H	Kyoto Sanga	5 - 0	Fagiano
A	Kyoto Sanga	4 - 1	Tokyo

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nagoya	1 - 3	Machida
Mito	1 - 1	Machida
JEF United	0 - 4	Machida
Tokyo	1 - 5	Machida
Kashiwa	1 - 0	Machida
Gangwon	1 - 3	Machida
Urawa Reds	0 - 0	Machida
Shanghai SIPG	0 - 2	Machida
Hiroshima	2 - 1	Machida
Johor Darul Ta'zim	0 - 0	Machida
Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Machida
Kawasaki	5 - 3	Machida
Yokohama FM	0 - 0	Machida
Tokyo Verdy	0 - 1	Machida
Albirex	0 - 4	Machida
Shonan	1 - 2	Machida
Fagiano	2 - 2	Machida
Shimizu	2 - 2	Machida
Kashima	1 - 0	Machida
Cerezo	1 - 2	Machida

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Machida	2 - 4	Kashiwa
H	Machida	1 - 1	Yokohama FM
A	Machida	3 - 1	Nagoya
H	Machida	2 - 1	Kawasaki
A	Machida	1 - 1	Mito
H	Machida	3 - 1	Urawa Reds
A	Machida	4 - 0	JEF United
A	Machida	5 - 1	Tokyo
H	Machida	3 - 1	Ulsan
A	Machida	0 - 1	Kashiwa
H	Machida	3 - 1	Nagoya
A	Machida	3 - 1	Gangwon
H	Machida	0 - 1	Tokyo
H	Machida	1 - 2	Melbourne City
A	Machida	0 - 0	Urawa Reds
A	Machida	2 - 0	Shanghai SIPG
H	Machida	0 - 0	Avispa
A	Machida	1 - 2	Hiroshima
A	Machida	0 - 0	Johor Darul Ta'zim
H	Machida	1 - 0	Fagiano

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Kyoto Sanga

Machida

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

KYO

MAC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Kyoto Sanga
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 3	Machida
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 1
Kyoto Sanga	1 - 0
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Machida

Machida

Kyoto Sanga

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

1 / 6

KYO

MAC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Machida
	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
Machida	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
Machida	3 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Machida	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Machida Zelvia have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 9 consecutive J-League outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Kyoto Sanga on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Kyoto Sanga 5th	Machida 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Kyoto Sanga will score no more than 1 goal	0 18% 1 31% 2 27% 3 15% 4+ 10% There is a 82% probability that Machida will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+23 Kyoto Sanga have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted	+38 Machida have scored 38% more goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	1.8 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2026/2027 season

KYO

MAC

36%

better

view stats

Games scored	7		8
Failed to score	1		0
Scored first	4		4
Goals scored	11		21
Avg. goals scored	1.4		2.6
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	7		4
Conversion rate for	14		24
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.8
KickOff rating		+36%

KYO

MAC

30%

better

view stats

Games conceded	8		7
Clean sheets	0		1
Conceded first	4		4
Goals conceded	15		10
Avg. goals conceded	1.9		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	17%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.7		1.3
KickOff rating		+30%

Kyoto Sanga v Machida J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Kyoto Sanga J-League squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	5	2	3
K Sato	R Elias	R Elias	Weverton

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Y Suzuki DEF	7			-
K Sato DEF	7		1	1 -
J Pedro MID	7			1 -
H Arai MID	7	1		1 -
R Elias FWD	7	5	2	2 -
Weverton DEF	6			3 -
S. Yoon MID	6			1 -
K. Nagata DEF	5			-
R Kato DEF	5		1	-
F Honda MID	5			-
R. Nakano MID	5	2	1	-
S Fukuoka MID	5			1 -
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD	5			-
S Nagasawa FWD	5		1	-
Halls GLK	4			-
T Matsuda MID	4			2 -
G Ota GLK	3			-
A. de Souza Alcântara FWD	3			1 -
Y Ishida DEF	2			-
H Tawiah DEF	2			-
T Kato FWD	2			-
R Yamanaka DEF	1			-
H Trevisan DEF	1			-
M Okugawa FWD	1		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	14	2	2
R Elias	R Elias	R Elias	K Sato

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Elias FWD	5	14	2	1
R. Nakano MID	2	4	1	1
H Arai MID	1	6		2
Y Suzuki DEF				1
K Sato DEF			1	2
J Pedro MID		1		1
Weverton DEF		1
R Kato DEF		2	1	1
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD		1		2
S Nagasawa FWD			1	1
A. de Souza Alcântara FWD		1		2
M Okugawa FWD			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
326	22	37
J Pedro	J Pedro	J Pedro

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Pedro MID	326	22	37
K Sato DEF	253	11	28
Y Suzuki DEF	225	14	35
Weverton DEF	223	12	29
S. Yoon MID	214	9	13
R Elias FWD	139	6	26
R. Nakano MID	134	5	10
Halls GLK	116		4
H Arai MID	111	9	18
G Ota GLK	111		2
R Kato DEF	95	5	16
S Fukuoka MID	88	5	11
K. Nagata DEF	80	5	10
E. de Oliveira Santos FWD	74	4	14
H Trevisan DEF	42		1
T Matsuda MID	35	5	10
Y Ishida DEF	31	3	9
F Honda MID	28		1
A. de Souza Alcântara FWD	22	1	11
S Nagasawa FWD	21	2	10
H Tawiah DEF	20	1	4
M Okugawa FWD	11	2	3
R Yamanaka DEF	7	1	1
T Kato FWD	4	1	1

Machida J-League squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	3	3	3
K Tani	Y Soma	Y Soma	T Akimoto

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Tani GLK	8			-
H Nakamura DEF	8	2	1	1 -
G Shoji DEF	8			-
H Mae MID	8		1	-
T Yengi FWD	8	2	1	-
T Nishimura FWD	8	2		-
Y Soma FWD	8	3	3	-
D Okamura DEF	7	1	1	1 -
T Akimoto DEF	7	1		2 1
H Shimoda MID	7			1
H. Mochizuki DEF	6	1	1	-
Y Matsuo MID	6	1		-
R Shirasaki MID	6	1		1 -
N Lavi MID	5	1		-
M Duke FWD	5	1	2	-
K Ogawa FWD	5	3		1 -
I Dresevic DEF	4			-
R Kikuchi DEF	3			-
M Kim DEF	1			-
T Ouwejan DEF	1			-
K Sento MID	1			-
F. Tokumura MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	3	6
Y Soma	T Yengi	Y Soma	Y Soma

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Y Soma FWD	3	6	3	6
K Ogawa FWD	3	6
H Nakamura DEF	2	2	1	2
T Yengi FWD	2	6	1	1
T Nishimura FWD	2	4
D Okamura DEF	1	3	1	1
T Akimoto DEF	1	4
H. Mochizuki DEF	1	1	1	2
Y Matsuo MID	1	1		1
R Shirasaki MID	1	3
N Lavi MID	1	2
M Duke FWD	1	3	2
G Shoji DEF				1
H Mae MID			1	1
H Shimoda MID				2
R Kikuchi DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
383	12	39
G Shoji	G Shoji	H Nakamura

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Shoji DEF	383	12	23
H Mae MID	374	7	17
K Tani GLK	302	1	3
D Okamura DEF	300	9	31
N Lavi MID	267	9	15
T Akimoto DEF	234	11	37
Y Soma FWD	233	1	23
H Nakamura DEF	175	11	39
H. Mochizuki DEF	142	7	25
R Shirasaki MID	132	4	10
I Dresevic DEF	114	1	5
T Yengi FWD	110	5	38
R Kikuchi DEF	109	5	21
T Nishimura FWD	89	2	17
H Shimoda MID	62	1	4
M Duke FWD	57	1	18
K Ogawa FWD	49	3	19
Y Matsuo MID	34		7
M Kim DEF	30	1	1
K Sento MID	14	1	1
T Ouwejan DEF	10
F. Tokumura MID	3