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Cerezo Osaka v Tokyo : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

KINCHO Stadium, Osaka

the KINCHO Stadium masses welcome Tokyo's fans on Sunday morning, as Arthur Thomas Papastamatis's Cerezo Osaka clash with Rikizo Matsuhashi's team in the J-League. Stats drive the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. The best odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.

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Cerezo Osaka's next match is v Tokyo Verdy at 11:00 on Friday 25th April
Tokyo's next match is v Gamba Osaka at 11:30 on Friday 25th April
The last Japanese J-League meeting between Cerezo and Tokyo was on Sunday 20th April 2025
Japanese J-League
April 20th 2025
Cerezo 1
1 Tokyo
 
R. da Silva 6'19' K. Sato
 
CER
TOK
Shots On
6
1
Shots Off
8
6
Corners
7
3
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
5
21
Yellow/red cards
4/0
 
CerezoTokyo
 
K. Fukui
R. Shindo
R. Nishio
H. Okuda
K. Noborizato
S. Tanaka
L. Fernandes
T. de Andrade (R. Sakata 79')
M. Nakajima (S. Kagawa 71')
R. da Silvafootball icon
S. Kitano (V. Frezarin Bueno 86')
T. Nozawa
K. Doi
T. Oka
(Y. Nagatomo 61') K. Shirai
(K. Higashi 74') K. Hashimoto
T. Ko
(K. Koizumi 74') K. Tawaratsumida
S. Anzai
football iconK. Sato
(R. Nozawa 83') T. Nakagawa
(M. Silvestre 61') M. Kitahara

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals means, quite simply, that there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Cerezo and Tokyo during the regulation 90 mins. It's a bet the stats below and the odds both suggest is worth considering, and an outcome that we've seen these sides produce before. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cerezo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cerezo
47%
19/20
2%
-
Draw
28%
12/5-
Tokyo
25%
14/5
5%
-
Cerezo 1-0
14%
13/2
7%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Draw 0-0
10%
9/1
5%
-
Tokyo 1-0
10%
11/1
9%
-
Cerezo 2-0
9%
17/2
6%
-
Cerezo 2-1
9%
15/2-
Tokyo 2-1
6%
12/1-
Tokyo 2-0
4%
20/1-
Cerezo 3-0
4%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
12/1
13%
-
Cerezo 3-1
4%
14/1
12%
-
Tokyo 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
-
Cerezo 3-2
2%
25/1
10%
-
Cerezo 4-0
1%
33/1-
Tokyo 3-0
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
19/20
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
17/20
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/13
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
6/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
9/1
5%
-
BTTS - Yes
44%
3/4
8%
-
BTTS - No
56%
1/1
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
3/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
10/3
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
13/2
6%
-
Home/draw
75%
1/4
2%
-
Away/draw
53%
4/5
2%
-
Home/away
72%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
2/7
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
5/2
3%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
9/4
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/3
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
11/2
7%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/9
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
14/1
12%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/33
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
10/1
16%
-
Home DNB
66%
2/5-
Away DNB
45%
7/4-
Cerezo win to nil
30%
5/2
8%
-
Tokyo win to nil
16%
6/1
8%
-
Cerezo / Cerezo
26%
11/5
3%
-
Cerezo / Tokyo
2%
33/1-
Cerezo / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw / Cerezo
17%
4/1
5%
-
Draw / Tokyo
10%
7/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
-
Tokyo / Cerezo
4%
22/1-
Tokyo / Tokyo
14%
5/1
8%
-
Tokyo / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win J-League table

Cerezo have played 10 matches so far this season and lay in 14th place in the J-League league table. Cerezo are winless in the 3 games they have played against teams below them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below in the table, having won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 0 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Cerezo have outscored their opponents by 15 goals to 7 goals.

Home League Performance

Cerezo have played 5 games at home winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 6 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 5 goals at home.

Tokyo are in 17th position in the J-League on 9 points having played 10 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 6 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 3 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Tokyo have conceded 11 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Cerezo
Tokyo
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Kyoto Sanga12633321 
Sep 27
May 3
Aug 24
May 31
2
Kashiwa11551420 
Sep 20
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
Jul 5
3
Kashima11614719 
w
 
1-0F
Sep 23
Aug 10
l
 
2-0A
4
Urawa Reds12543319 
d
 
1-1F
May 28
Jul 19
May 17
5
Avispa11614119 
May 24
Sep 13
Sep 23
l
 
1-0A
6
Kawasaki12462818 
Oct 25
May 18
l
 
0-3A
Sep 20
7
Shimizu12534418 
Jun 1
Nov 8
Apr 29
Oct 4
8
Vissel Kobe11533218 
Aug 23
May 6
May 10
Nov 30
9
Fagiano11524317 
w
 
2-1F
Oct 18
Oct 25
l
 
1-0A
10
Hiroshima10523217 
Aug 31
l
 
2-1F
May 25
Oct 18
11
Machida11524117 
Apr 29
Aug 16
l
 
0-1A
Nov 9
12
Gamba Osaka11425-414 
Jul 5
w
 
2-5F
Apr 25
Jun 22
13
Shonan11425-514 
l
 
1-2A
Jul 19
d
 
0-00-0
Aug 16
14
Cerezo Home11344013 
-
-
Jun 14
d
 
1-1A
15
Yokohama11335-112 
Dec 6
l
 
2-0A
Jun 28
w
 
0-1F
16
Tokyo Verdy11254-511 
Jun 21
Apr 25
Sep 13
d
 
2-2A
17
Nagoya11326-711 
d
 
1-1F
Oct 4
w
 
3-1F
Aug 31
18
Tokyo Away11245-510 
d
 
1-1F
Jun 14
-
-
19
Albirex11155-58 
Aug 11
d
 
2-2A
Dec 6
May 3
20
Yokohama FM12156-68 
May 11
Nov 30
Sep 27
Jun 25
Afc Champions League
Afc Champions League Qualifiers
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
7
Tokyo have not won in 7 consecutive league games
Cerezo 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Tokyo 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Tokyo have not lost to Cerezo in 5 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Cerezo since 2018
Cerezo
Tokyo
Goals: Scored
7
7
Games: Scored
4 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
3 / 7
CER
2
D
3
TOK
2
League games at Tokyo since 2018
Tokyo
Cerezo
Goals: Scored
16
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
CER
2
TOK
5
Goal Statistics
Cerezo 14th Tokyo 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Cerezo will score no more than 1 goal
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Tokyo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-22
Cerezo have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted
-10
Tokyo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289738/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Cerezo
PG (predicted goals)
Tokyo
1.3
0.9
Attack rating
49%
better
CER
TOK
view stats
Games scored9
4
Failed to score1
6
Scored first7
3
Goals scored15
7
Avg. goals scored1.5
0.7
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal7
11
Conversion rate for15
9
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+49%
Defence rating
CER
TOK
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
8
Clean sheets1
2
Conceded first3
6
Goals conceded15
12
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
14%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+8%

Cerezo v Tokyo J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Cerezo J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9432
S TanakaS KitanoL FernandesR Shindo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Fukui GLK2
-
H Okuda DEF9
-
R Shindo DEF61
2
-
R Nishio DEF81
-
K Noborizato DEF5
1
-
S Tanaka MID91
1
-
M Nakajima MID921
-
L Fernandes MID913
-
S Kitano MID942
-
T Andrade MID811
1
-
R Ratão FWD931
1
-
Subs
J Kim GLK8
-
K Funaki DEF6
-
N. Takahashi Cendagorta DEF5
1
-
H Kida MID7
1
-
S Uejo MID2
-
S Kagawa  MID511
-
R Sakata MID6
-
M Shibayama MID7
-
V Bueno FWD6
-
Tokyo J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9213
T NozawaK. SatoS AnzaiK Koizumi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Nozawa GLK9
-
K Shirai DEF81
-
K Doi DEF7
1
-
T. Oka DEF8
2
-
S Anzai DEF911
-
K Hashimoto MID7
2
-
T Ko MID91
-
T Nakagawa MID9
-
M. Kitahara MID3
-
K Tawaratsumida MID91
-
K. Sato FWD921
-
Subs
G Hatano GLK
-
Y Kimoto DEF3
-
Y Nagatomo DEF5
1
-
K Higashi MID4
-
K. Tokiwa MID2
-
K Koizumi MID6
3
-
M Ryan FWD6
-
L Nozawa FWD4
-
E Galdino FWD3
-