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Nagoya Grampus Eight v Avispa Fukuoka : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 6th Dec, 05:00 BST, Toyota Stadium, Frisco

Saturday morning sees Kenta Hasegawa’s Nagoya Grampus Eight and Myung Hwi Kim’s Avispa Fukuoka go head to head in a J-League clash at the Toyota Stadium. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 78% chance of Nagoya and Avispa a maximum of 3 goals combined during this J-League clash according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.18.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nagoya are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Nagoya 37%	7/5	11/8
Draw 28%	39/20	19/10
Avispa 35%	41/20	9/5
Draw 1-1 13%	9/2	19/4
Nagoya 1-0 11%	6/1	5/1
Avispa 1-0 11%	7/1	11/2
Draw 0-0 9%	6/1	11/2
Nagoya 2-1 8%	9/1	8/1
Avispa 2-1 8%	11/1	9/1
Nagoya 2-0 7%	10/1	9/1
Avispa 2-0 6%	14/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	12/1
Nagoya 3-1 3%	22/1	16/1
Avispa 3-1 3%	28/1	20/1
Nagoya 3-0 3%	22/1	16/1
Avispa 3-0 2%	33/1	22/1
Nagoya 3-2 2%	33/1	25/1
Avispa 3-2 2%	40/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	7/5	13/10
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	8/15	1/2
Home 1st Goal 47%	10/11	19/20
Away 1st Goal 47%	6/5	6/5
No 1st Goal 6%	6/1	11/2
BTTS - Yes 49%	1/1	1/1
BTTS - No 51%	3/4	7/10
BTTS - Home Win 15%	5/1	9/2
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	17/5
BTTS - Away Win 15%	13/2	11/2
Home/draw 65%	4/11	2/5
Away/draw 63%	8/15	8/15
Home/away 72%	4/11	7/20
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	4/9	4/9
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	13/8	6/4
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	7/2	16/5
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	2/11	1/6
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	10/1	7/1
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1/20	1/25
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	22/1	16/1
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/80	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/10	1/14
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	6/1	11/2
Home DNB 57%	4/6	7/10
Away DNB 54%	11/10	1/1
Nagoya win to nil 22%	11/4	-
Avispa win to nil 20%	4/1	-
Nagoya / Nagoya 20%	3/1	29/10
Nagoya / Avispa 3%	33/1	25/1
Nagoya / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Nagoya 15%	9/2	9/2
Draw / Avispa 13%	11/2	5/1
Draw / Draw 18%	7/2	16/5
Avispa / Nagoya 3%	28/1	22/1
Avispa / Avispa 16%	4/1	19/5
Avispa / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win J-League table

Nagoya have played 37 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

31 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 8 and won 7. Nagoya have conceded 50 goals, scored 32, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nagoya have played 18 games at home, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 26 goals, conceded 25 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Avispa lay in 12th place on 48 points in the J-League league table having played 37 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored 12 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Avispa have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Avispa have played 18 away games, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Nagoya Avispa
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Kashima	37	22	7	8	26	73	l 0-4A	l 1-0A	l 0-1A	d 1-1F
2	Kashiwa	37	20	12	5	25	72	l 1-2F	l 1-0A	l 0-1A	l 2-1F
3	Kyoto Sanga	37	18	11	8	20	65	l 1-2F	d 1-1A	d 2-2A	w 0-1F
4	Hiroshima	37	19	8	10	17	65	w 2-1F	w 1-2F	l 1-2A	l 2-1A
5	Vissel Kobe	37	18	10	9	15	64	d 2-2F	l 2-1A	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F
6	Machida	37	17	9	11	15	60	l 1-2A	l 3-1A	d 2-2A	d 0-00-0
7	Kawasaki	37	15	12	10	14	57	l 3-4A	l 4-0A	l 1-2F	w 2-5A
8	Urawa Reds	37	15	11	11	2	56	w 2-1A	l 2-1A	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
9	Gamba Osaka	37	16	6	15	-5	54	l 0-2A	l 2-0A	w 1-0F	l 2-1A
10	Cerezo	37	14	10	13	5	52	w 2-1F	d 1-1A	l 2-4F	l 2-0A
11	Tokyo	37	13	10	14	-7	49	d 1-1F	l 3-1A	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
12	Avispa	37	12	12	13	-3	48	Dec 6	d 1-1F	-	-
13	Shimizu	37	11	11	15	-9	44	d 1-1F	w 0-3F	d 0-00-0	l 3-1A
14	Yokohama FM	37	12	7	18	0	43	w 2-0F	l 3-0A	w 2-1A	l 2-0A
15	Tokyo Verdy	37	11	10	16	-15	43	d 0-00-0	l 2-1F	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0
16	Fagiano	37	11	9	17	-10	42	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F	d 1-1F	w 0-1F
17	Nagoya	37	10	10	17	-13	40	-	-	d 1-1A	Dec 6
18	Yokohama	37	8	8	21	-20	32	w 2-1F	d 2-2A	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
19	Shonan	37	8	8	21	-26	32	w 3-1F	l 2-1A	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
20	Albirex	37	4	11	22	-31	23	w 3-0F	d 0-00-0	w 3-2A	w 0-1F

	Afc Champions League
	Afc Champions League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Nagoya have lost 3 consecutive league games

Avispa have not won in 6 consecutive away league games

Avispa have kept a clean sheet for 5 consecutive league games

Avispa have failed to score in 4 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nagoya	0 - 2	Gamba Osaka
Nagoya	2 - 1	Cerezo
Nagoya	0 - 4	Kashima
Nagoya	3 - 1	Shonan
Nagoya	1 - 1	Tokyo
Nagoya	3 - 4	Kawasaki
Nagoya	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya	0 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
Nagoya	1 - 1	Shimizu
Nagoya	3 - 0	Albirex
Nagoya	2 - 1	Urawa Reds
Nagoya	0 - 0	Fagiano
Nagoya	1 - 2	Kashiwa
Nagoya	2 - 1	Hiroshima
Nagoya	2 - 0	Yokohama FM
Nagoya	2 - 1	Yokohama
Nagoya	1 - 2	Machida
Nagoya	2 - 2	Vissel Kobe
Nagoya	0 - 3	Sagan Tosu
Nagoya	0 - 2	Sapporo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Nagoya	1 - 3	Machida
A	Nagoya	0 - 1	Kashiwa
H	Nagoya	0 - 2	Gamba Osaka
A	Nagoya	2 - 2	Yokohama
H	Nagoya	2 - 1	Cerezo
H	Nagoya	0 - 4	Kashima
A	Nagoya	0 - 0	Albirex
H	Nagoya	3 - 1	Shonan
A	Nagoya	1 - 0	Fagiano
H	Nagoya	1 - 1	Tokyo
H	Nagoya	3 - 4	Kawasaki
A	Nagoya	1 - 2	Urawa Reds
H	Nagoya	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
A	Nagoya	0 - 3	Yokohama FM
H	Nagoya	0 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
A	Nagoya	2 - 1	Hiroshima
H	Nagoya	1 - 1	Shimizu
A	Nagoya	1 - 2	Vissel Kobe
H	Nagoya	3 - 0	Albirex
H	Nagoya	2 - 1	Urawa Reds

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tokyo Verdy	0 - 0	Avispa
Machida	0 - 0	Avispa
Tokyo	1 - 0	Avispa
Yokohama FM	2 - 0	Avispa
Kashiwa	2 - 1	Avispa
Kashima	1 - 1	Avispa
Kawasaki	2 - 5	Avispa
Urawa Reds	0 - 0	Avispa
Fagiano	0 - 1	Avispa
Cerezo	2 - 0	Avispa
Yokohama	1 - 0	Avispa
Hiroshima	2 - 1	Avispa
Shonan	0 - 0	Avispa
Shimizu	3 - 1	Avispa
Albirex	0 - 1	Avispa
Kyoto Sanga	0 - 1	Avispa
Vissel Kobe	0 - 1	Avispa
Gamba Osaka	2 - 1	Avispa
Kawasaki	3 - 1	Avispa
Cerezo	1 - 0	Avispa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Avispa	1 - 0	Gamba Osaka
A	Avispa	0 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
H	Avispa	1 - 0	Shonan
A	Avispa	0 - 0	Machida
H	Avispa	1 - 0	Yokohama
H	Avispa	1 - 2	Hiroshima
A	Avispa	0 - 1	Tokyo
A	Avispa	0 - 2	Yokohama FM
H	Avispa	2 - 4	Cerezo
A	Avispa	1 - 2	Kashiwa
H	Avispa	0 - 0	Shimizu
A	Avispa	1 - 1	Kashima
A	Avispa	5 - 2	Kawasaki
A	Avispa	0 - 0	Urawa Reds
H	Avispa	2 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
H	Avispa	0 - 0	Vissel Kobe
H	Avispa	3 - 2	Albirex
A	Avispa	1 - 0	Fagiano
H	Avispa	0 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
A	Avispa	0 - 2	Cerezo

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Nagoya

Avispa

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

1 / 4

Clean sheets

3 / 4

1 / 4

NAG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nagoya
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Nagoya	2 - 1
Nagoya	1 - 0
Nagoya	1 - 0

Avispa

Nagoya

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

0 / 5

NAG

AVI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Avispa
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Avispa	1 - 0
Avispa	1 - 0
	2 - 3	Nagoya
	1 - 2	Nagoya

Goal Statistics

Avispa Fukuoka's defensive record is very strong, M. Kim's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive J-League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Nagoya Grampus Eight makes sense in this context.

	Nagoya 17th	Avispa 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Nagoya will score no more than 1 goal	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Avispa will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Nagoya’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-23 Avispa have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season

15%

better

NAG

AVI

view stats

Games scored	27		24
Failed to score	10		13
Scored first	16		14
Goals scored	43		34
Avg. goals scored	1.2		0.9
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		11
Conversion rate for	13		10
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.2
KickOff rating		+15%

NAG

AVI

29%

better

view stats

Games conceded	30		21
Clean sheets	7		16
Conceded first	18		16
Goals conceded	56		37
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	18%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.2
KickOff rating		+29%

Nagoya v Avispa J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Nagoya J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
37	10	5	6
S Inagaki	S Inagaki	S Inagaki	Y Sato

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Inagaki MID	37	10	5	3 -
R Izumi MID	36	4		2 -
T Morishima MID	35	1	5	5 -
K Nagai FWD	35	2	2	4 -
T Hara DEF	28	3		2 -
Y Nogami DEF	28	1		4 -
K Shiihashi MID	28	2	1	2 -
Y Yamagishi FWD	28	3	5	3 1
Y Sato DEF	26	5		6 -
K Nakayama MID	26		2	2 -
K Mikuni DEF	25			1 -
Y Asano MID	25		1	1 -
Mateus FWD	25	5	2	3 -
S Tokumoto DEF	24	2		-
A Kawazura DEF	19	1		1 -
T Kikuchi MID	19	1	2	-
Y Takeda GLK	15			1 -
A. Pisano GLK	15			1 -
T Uchida MID	15		2	-
K Junker FWD	15	1		2 1
Y Kimura FWD	13	1		-
H Fujii DEF	10		1	1 -
S. Mori DEF	10	1	1	1 -
M Ono MID	8			1 -
G. Kato MID	8			-
D Schmidt GLK	7			-
S. Sugiura MID	5			-
R Yamanaka DEF	4			-
H Suzuki MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	22	5	5
S Inagaki	Mateus	S Inagaki	S Inagaki

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Inagaki MID	10	18	5	5
Y Sato DEF	5	8
Mateus FWD	5	22	2	4
R Izumi MID	4	12		3
T Hara DEF	3	5		2
Y Yamagishi FWD	3	11	5	4
K Nagai FWD	2	15	2	4
K Shiihashi MID	2	5	1	2
S Tokumoto DEF	2	4		4
T Morishima MID	1	4	5	5
Y Nogami DEF	1	2
A Kawazura DEF	1	3		1
T Kikuchi MID	1	3	2
K Junker FWD	1	3
Y Kimura FWD	1	9		1
S. Mori DEF	1	2	1	1
K Nakayama MID		4	2	1
K Mikuni DEF		1
Y Asano MID		6	1	3
T Uchida MID		2	2
H Fujii DEF			1	1
G. Kato MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1500	77	198
S Inagaki	S Inagaki	S Inagaki

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Inagaki MID	1500	77	198
Y Sato DEF	1287	39	182
K Mikuni DEF	1148	22	132
T Hara DEF	958	22	107
K Shiihashi MID	942	30	94
T Morishima MID	881	32	118
R Izumi MID	873	30	117
Y Nogami DEF	665	18	102
A Kawazura DEF	578	15	47
S Tokumoto DEF	564	16	44
K Nakayama MID	509	25	82
A. Pisano GLK	484		3
H Fujii DEF	476	11	44
Y Takeda GLK	423	1	11
T Uchida MID	410	18	51
Mateus FWD	396	13	71
Y Yamagishi FWD	347	12	133
K Nagai FWD	340	15	85
Y Asano MID	241	13	34
T Kikuchi MID	227	11	25
D Schmidt GLK	224		1
G. Kato MID	148	6	18
S. Mori DEF	125	7	32
Y Kimura FWD	107	3	48
K Junker FWD	89	8	23
M Ono MID	62	6	9
S. Sugiura MID	17		3
R Yamanaka DEF	13	4	4
H Suzuki MID	1	1	3

Avispa J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
34	6	5	5
T Ando	T Miki	S Nago	D Matsuoka

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Nago MID	37	2	5	2 -
T Ando DEF	36	4		4 -
K Konno FWD	36	3		2 -
D Matsuoka MID	35	1	1	5 -
Y Iwasaki FWD	33	1	2	-
K Fujimoto FWD	31	1	3	2 -
Wellington FWD	30	2	1	4 1
T Miki MID	28	6	1	3 -
T Kamijima DEF	27	1		4 1
Y Maejima DEF	26		2	3 -
M Tashiro DEF	25	1	1	4 -
Y. Hashimoto DEF	24		3	1 -
M Shigemi MID	24	1	1	-
T Shichi DEF	22			3 1
S Zahedi FWD	21		1	1 -
Y Obata GLK	19			1 -
M Yuzawa DEF	19	1		2 -
H Akino MID	19		1	3 -
T Nara DEF	15			2 -
M Murakami GLK	14			-
N Khalifa FWD	13	1		1 -
Y Kitajima MID	11	1	2	1 -
S. Usui FWD	10	3		-
I Oda DEF	5			-
S. Sato FWD	5			-
T Nagaishi GLK	4			-
J Ikeda DEF	2			-
S. Brown Abdel Hanan FWD	2	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	24	5	12
T Miki	T Miki	S Nago	S Nago

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Miki MID	6	24	1	3
T Ando DEF	4	10		3
K Konno FWD	3	20		5
S. Usui FWD	3	6
S Nago MID	2	19	5	12
Wellington FWD	2	7	1	2
D Matsuoka MID	1	11	1	1
Y Iwasaki FWD	1	4	2	5
K Fujimoto FWD	1	12	3	1
T Kamijima DEF	1	5		1
M Tashiro DEF	1	3	1	1
M Shigemi MID	1	2	1
M Yuzawa DEF	1	1		1
N Khalifa FWD	1	4		1
Y Kitajima MID	1	3	2	3
S. Brown Abdel Hanan FWD	1	2
Y Maejima DEF			2	1
Y. Hashimoto DEF		3	3	3
T Shichi DEF		2		2
S Zahedi FWD		7	1	3
H Akino MID		2	1	1
T Nara DEF		3
I Oda DEF		2
S. Sato FWD		2		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1528	51	265
T Ando	T Ando	T Ando

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Ando DEF	1528	51	265
D Matsuoka MID	1332	51	117
T Miki MID	1190	51	131
M Tashiro DEF	834	14	112
T Kamijima DEF	827	25	128
S Nago MID	793	36	100
T Nara DEF	737	16	64
Y Obata GLK	725		10
T Shichi DEF	670	30	73
K Konno FWD	613	24	79
Y Maejima DEF	610	36	78
M Shigemi MID	478	25	60
H Akino MID	476	9	23
M Murakami GLK	430	1	9
Y. Hashimoto DEF	413	23	73
K Fujimoto FWD	385	26	112
Wellington FWD	342	11	182
Y Iwasaki FWD	311	18	62
M Yuzawa DEF	224	14	40
Y Kitajima MID	210	8	27
S Zahedi FWD	165	7	66
T Nagaishi GLK	154
N Khalifa FWD	112	13	56
S. Usui FWD	102	6	39
J Ikeda DEF	75	2	8
S. Sato FWD	55	1	7
I Oda DEF	52	4	13
S. Brown Abdel Hanan FWD	5		1

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Nagoya Grampus Eight v Avispa Fukuoka : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Nagoya have played 37 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Avispa lay in 12th place on 48 points in the J-League league table having played 37 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Nagoya v Avispa J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

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