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Kawasaki Frontale v Fagiano Okayama : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 25th Oct, 07:00 BST, Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium, Kawasaki

Shigetoshi Hasebe welcomes Takashi Kiyama to the Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium on Sunday morning, as their Kawasaki Frontale and Fagiano Okayama charges go head to head in the J-League. Analysing both sides' last 20 J-League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

All things considered, our prediction for Sunday's match is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Kawasaki and Fagiano to score 3 goals or more combined during the standard 90 mins. 2 goals or fewer would mean the time doesn't win but, with statistics below suggesting there are goals in both sides, we think it looks like a great bet.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Kawasaki are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Kawasaki 47%	11/10 2%	-
Draw 22%	5/2 3%	-
Fagiano 31%	11/5 3%	-
Draw 1-1 9%	11/2	-
Kawasaki 2-1 9%	8/1	-
Fagiano 2-1 7%	11/1 9%	-
Draw 2-2 7%	12/1	-
Kawasaki 1-0 6%	8/1	-
Kawasaki 2-0 6%	10/1 8%	-
Kawasaki 3-1 6%	16/1	-
Fagiano 1-0 5%	10/1	-
Kawasaki 3-2 4%	22/1	-
Kawasaki 3-0 4%	20/1	-
Fagiano 2-0 4%	16/1	-
Fagiano 3-1 4%	22/1	-
Fagiano 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Draw 0-0 3%	11/1	-
Kawasaki 4-1 3%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 67%	4/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 33%	1/1	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	8/11 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	6/5 5%	-
No 1st Goal 2%	11/1	-
BTTS - Yes 67%	4/6	-
BTTS - No 33%	11/10	-
BTTS - Home Win 28%	3/1 8%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 19%	5/1 9%	-
Home/draw 69%	4/11	-
Away/draw 53%	4/6	-
Home/away 78%	2/7 1%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 86%	2/9	-
Under 1.5 Goals 14%	3/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 45%	7/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 55%	2/5	-
Over 4.5 Goals 26%	9/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 74%	1/7	-
Over 5.5 Goals 13%	10/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 87%	1/20	-
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	12/1 8%	-
Home DNB 63%	4/7 3%	-
Away DNB 46%	5/4 2%	-
Kawasaki win to nil 19%	3/1	-
Fagiano win to nil 12%	5/1	-
Kawasaki / Kawasaki 24%	12/5 6%	-
Kawasaki / Fagiano 3%	28/1 12%	-
Kawasaki / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Kawasaki 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Fagiano 11%	13/2 7%	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Fagiano / Kawasaki 4%	22/1	-
Fagiano / Fagiano 16%	4/1	-
Fagiano / Draw 6%	14/1 15%	-

Win / draw / win J-League table

Kawasaki have played 10 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the J-League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have scored in every game. Kawasaki have outscored their opponents by 21 goals to 12 goals.

Home League Performance

Kawasaki have played 5 games at home winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 13 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Fagiano are in 11th position in the J-League on 13 points having played 10 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 8 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 0 and won 2. Fagiano have conceded 6 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Kawasaki Fagiano
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Machida	11	8	2	1	20	26	Feb 27	l 2-1F	May 22	Dec 6
2	Avispa	0	0	0	0	0	0	Nov 21	May 29	Jun 6	l 2-1A
3	Cerezo	0	0	0	0	0	0	May 22	w 2-4F	Apr 24	l 2-1F
4	Tokyo	11	7	3	1	13	24	Mar 20	Dec 4	Oct 31	Apr 10
5	Fagiano	0	0	0	0	0	0	Oct 25	May 3	-	-
6	Gamba Osaka	0	0	0	0	0	0	Nov 29	Apr 3	Feb 20	Nov 21
7	Kashiwa	11	7	1	3	5	22	Dec 19	Nov 7	Dec 13	-
8	Kyoto Sanga	0	0	0	0	0	0	d 2-2F	-	l 1-2A	Dec 19
9	Kashima	11	6	2	3	5	20	d 3-3A	May 9	Feb 27	Nov 28
10	Nagoya	0	0	0	0	0	0	l 1-2A	Apr 24	Apr 3	l 2-1F
11	Kawasaki	11	5	4	2	6	19	-	-	May 3	Oct 25
12	Hiroshima	0	0	0	0	0	0	Jun 6	d 1-1A	w 3-2F	Feb 13
13	Urawa Reds	11	6	0	5	-3	18	Mar 6	Dec 13	Apr 17	w 1-2F
14	Shimizu	0	0	0	0	0	0	w 3-1F	Mar 10	Nov 25	Apr 29
15	Yokohama FM	11	4	5	2	4	17	May 15	Nov 1	Mar 10	Nov 7
16	V-V Nagasaki	0	0	0	0	0	0	Apr 10	Nov 25	w 1-0F	Mar 20
17	Vissel Kobe	0	0	0	0	0	0	w 2-1F	Feb 13	l 0-3A	Mar 6
18	Mito	11	2	3	6	-4	9	Apr 29	w 0-1F	w 2-0F	May 9
19	JEF United	11	1	3	7	-12	6	w 4-2F	Feb 20	May 15	w 1-2F
20	Tokyo Verdy	11	0	5	6	-14	5	Apr 17	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0	May 29

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Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kawasaki	2 - 1	Vissel Kobe
Kawasaki	1 - 2	Nagoya
Kawasaki	3 - 3	Kashima
Kawasaki	3 - 1	Shimizu
Kawasaki	4 - 2	JEF United
Kawasaki	2 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
Kawasaki	1 - 2	Hiroshima
Kawasaki	1 - 1	Fagiano
Kawasaki	5 - 3	Shimizu
Kawasaki	4 - 4	Kashiwa
Kawasaki	0 - 1	Tokyo
Kawasaki	5 - 3	Machida
Kawasaki	2 - 5	Avispa
Kawasaki	2 - 1	Kashima
Kawasaki	3 - 1	Albirex
Kawasaki	1 - 2	Vissel Kobe
Kawasaki	2 - 2	Gamba Osaka
Kawasaki	2 - 2	Urawa Reds
Kawasaki	2 - 0	Cerezo
Kawasaki	2 - 1	Yokohama

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Kawasaki	2 - 1	Vissel Kobe
A	Kawasaki	4 - 2	Cerezo
H	Kawasaki	1 - 2	Nagoya
H	Kawasaki	3 - 3	Kashima
A	Kawasaki	1 - 0	Mito
H	Kawasaki	3 - 1	Shimizu
A	Kawasaki	1 - 2	Machida
H	Kawasaki	4 - 2	JEF United
A	Kawasaki	1 - 1	Hiroshima
H	Kawasaki	2 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
A	Kawasaki	1 - 1	Tokyo Verdy
A	Kawasaki	0 - 4	Urawa Reds
H	Kawasaki	1 - 2	Hiroshima
H	Kawasaki	1 - 1	Fagiano
A	Kawasaki	0 - 2	Cerezo
H	Kawasaki	5 - 3	Shimizu
A	Kawasaki	1 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
H	Kawasaki	4 - 4	Kashiwa
A	Kawasaki	2 - 1	Shonan
H	Kawasaki	0 - 1	Tokyo

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Avispa	2 - 1	Fagiano
Urawa Reds	1 - 2	Fagiano
JEF United	1 - 2	Fagiano
Nagoya	2 - 1	Fagiano
Cerezo	2 - 1	Fagiano
Shimizu	1 - 2	Fagiano
Kawasaki	1 - 1	Fagiano
Tokyo	3 - 1	Fagiano
Albirex	1 - 1	Fagiano
Machida	1 - 0	Fagiano
Tokyo Verdy	4 - 2	Fagiano
Kyoto Sanga	5 - 0	Fagiano
Gamba Osaka	0 - 3	Fagiano
Kashima	1 - 2	Fagiano
Yokohama FM	0 - 1	Fagiano
Shonan	1 - 1	Fagiano
Kashiwa	2 - 0	Fagiano
Nagoya	0 - 0	Fagiano
Vissel Kobe	2 - 0	Fagiano
Avispa	1 - 1	Fagiano

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Fagiano	2 - 0	Mito
H	Fagiano	0 - 3	Vissel Kobe
A	Fagiano	1 - 2	Avispa
H	Fagiano	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
A	Fagiano	2 - 1	Urawa Reds
H	Fagiano	3 - 2	Hiroshima
A	Fagiano	2 - 1	JEF United
A	Fagiano	1 - 2	Nagoya
H	Fagiano	0 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
H	Fagiano	1 - 0	V-V Nagasaki
A	Fagiano	1 - 2	Cerezo
A	Fagiano	2 - 1	Shimizu
H	Fagiano	0 - 1	Urawa Reds
A	Fagiano	1 - 1	Kawasaki
A	Fagiano	1 - 3	Tokyo
H	Fagiano	1 - 2	Cerezo
A	Fagiano	1 - 1	Albirex
A	Fagiano	0 - 1	Machida
H	Fagiano	0 - 0	Yokohama
A	Fagiano	2 - 4	Tokyo Verdy

Goal Statistics

Kawasaki Frontale have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 10 consecutive J-League outings. Their PG of 1.9 against Fagiano Okayama on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Kawasaki 7th	Fagiano 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 85% probability that Kawasaki will score 1 or more goals	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Fagiano will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+38 Kawasaki have scored 38% more goals at home than predicted	+2 Fagiano’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.4 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	2.0 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2026/2027 season

33%

better

KAW

FAG

view stats

Games scored	11		9
Failed to score	0		2
Scored first	7		7
Goals scored	23		14
Avg. goals scored	2.1		1.3
Avg. shots per game	12		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	17		12
Avg. XG for	1.7		1.1
KickOff rating		+33%

KAW

FAG

18%

better

view stats

Games conceded	10		8
Clean sheets	1		3
Conceded first	4		3
Goals conceded	17		15
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	14%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.4		0.9
KickOff rating		+18%

Kawasaki v Fagiano J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Kawasaki J-League squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	7	3	3
S Brodersen	Marcinho	Y Wakizaka	T Ito

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Brodersen GLK	11			-
A Sasaki DEF	11		1	1 -
Y Yamamoto MID	11	1	1	1 -
K Tachibanada MID	11	1		-
Y Wakizaka MID	11	4	3	-
Marcinho FWD	11	7	2	1 -
T Ito FWD	11	3	2	3 -
P. de Oliveira Romano DEF	10	2		3 -
S Miura DEF	10		2	-
R Yamahara DEF	10		2	2 -
Y Ozeki MID	9	1		1 -
S Kawahara MID	8		2	-
H Taniguchi DEF	7			-
D Lacerda FWD	7	1	3	1 -
K. Mochiyama FWD	7	1		-
F Uremovic DEF	6			1 -
Y Maruyama DEF	4			-
L Romanic FWD	4	2		1 -
K Konno FWD	4			-
R. Osa FWD	3			-
Shuto Yamaichi MID	2			-
T Miyagi FWD	2			-
A Ienaga FWD	2			-
Y Kobayashi FWD	2			-
Y Matsunagane DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	17	3	6
Marcinho	Y Wakizaka	Y Wakizaka	T Ito

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Marcinho FWD	7	13	2	2
Y Wakizaka MID	4	17	3	4
T Ito FWD	3	8	2	6
P. de Oliveira Romano DEF	2	3
L Romanic FWD	2	3		1
Y Yamamoto MID	1	3	1	3
K Tachibanada MID	1	2		1
Y Ozeki MID	1	1		1
D Lacerda FWD	1	5	3	3
K. Mochiyama FWD	1	3
A Sasaki DEF		4	1	2
S Miura DEF		2	2	4
R Yamahara DEF		1	2	1
S Kawahara MID		1	2
H Taniguchi DEF		1
F Uremovic DEF				1
K Konno FWD		1
R. Osa FWD		1		1
Shuto Yamaichi MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
764	23	45
Y Yamamoto	Y Yamamoto	Y Yamamoto

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Y Yamamoto MID	764	23	45
K Tachibanada MID	626	18	44
P. de Oliveira Romano DEF	487	12	44
Y Wakizaka MID	419	6	26
H Taniguchi DEF	406	7	29
R Yamahara DEF	389	2	10
S Miura DEF	358	13	35
T Ito FWD	327	5	32
A Sasaki DEF	272	14	28
S Brodersen GLK	265		2
Marcinho FWD	226	7	36
F Uremovic DEF	166	6	34
Y Maruyama DEF	133	2	12
Y Ozeki MID	124	2	14
S Kawahara MID	113	1	3
D Lacerda FWD	81	3	23
L Romanic FWD	52	2	13
K Konno FWD	51	1	5
K. Mochiyama FWD	45		9
R. Osa FWD	30	1	4
Shuto Yamaichi MID	21	1	3
A Ienaga FWD	19	1	2
Y Kobayashi FWD	11
T Miyagi FWD	10	1	3
Y Matsunagane DEF	4		1

Fagiano J-League squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	3	4	4
Y Tatsuta	K Kawano	L Lucão	E Miyamoto

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Shirai DEF	11	1		-
Y Tatsuta DEF	11	1	1	1 -
A Esaka MID	11	2		-
S Na FWD	11	1		1 -
L Moser GLK	10			-
Y Kamiya MID	10	1		1 -
E Miyamoto MID	10		1	4 -
O. Alionco de Lima MID	10		1	2 1
L Lucão FWD	10	1	4	2 1
Y Suzuki DEF	9	1	1	2 -
H Omori DEF	9	1		1 -
T Yamane MID	9			-
L Gaúcho FWD	9	1		2 -
K Kawano FWD	8	3		-
N Browne FWD	8	1	1	1 -
S. Mori DEF	7			-
H Motoyama MID	4		3	2 -
M Matsumoto MID	4			-
I Fujita MID	3			-
S. Ikedo DEF	2			-
D Tagami DEF	2			-
R Sato FWD	2			-
S. Matsuda GLK	1			-
Y. Fujii DEF	1			-
R Sueyoshi MID	1			-
J Nishikawa FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	4	2
K Kawano	A Esaka	L Lucão	K Shirai

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Kawano FWD	3	4
A Esaka MID	2	6		1
K Shirai DEF	1	1		2
Y Tatsuta DEF	1	2	1	2
S Na FWD	1	6		1
Y Kamiya MID	1	1		1
L Lucão FWD	1	2	4	2
Y Suzuki DEF	1	3	1	1
H Omori DEF	1	2		1
L Gaúcho FWD	1	4
N Browne FWD	1	2	1	1
E Miyamoto MID		1	1	1
O. Alionco de Lima MID		1	1	2
T Yamane MID		2		2
H Motoyama MID			3	2
M Matsumoto MID		1
I Fujita MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
446	22	66
O. Alionco de Lima	E Miyamoto	H Omori

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
O. Alionco de Lima MID	446	13	37
Y Tatsuta DEF	391	8	60
E Miyamoto MID	362	22	46
H Omori DEF	346	20	66
A Esaka MID	323	6	35
Y Suzuki DEF	296	14	53
L Moser GLK	235		3
K Shirai DEF	222	12	35
T Yamane MID	212	6	18
S Na FWD	178	4	32
S. Mori DEF	142	9	19
L Lucão FWD	132	7	48
H Motoyama MID	125	6	17
Y Kamiya MID	80	3	8
K Kawano FWD	75	2	6
L Gaúcho FWD	57	3	21
M Matsumoto MID	56	4	6
N Browne FWD	50	2	10
I Fujita MID	49	1	2
S. Matsuda GLK	19		1
R Sato FWD	10		5
Y. Fujii DEF	7
J Nishikawa FWD	6
S. Ikedo DEF	4
D Tagami DEF	4	1	2
R Sueyoshi MID	1		1