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Tokyo v Mito Hollyhock : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 25th Oct, 07:00 BST, Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

The J-League is the focus for both Tokyo and Mito Hollyhock on Sunday morning, as bosses Rikizo Matsuhashi and Daisuke Kimori battle it out at the Ajinomoto Stadium. Below you'll find predictions for 17 markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds. All is accessible via the tabs below.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner here, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Tokyo and Mito will find the net twice at least between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Rikizo Matsuhashi or Daisuke Kimori has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.22 equating to roughly a 74% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Tokyo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Tokyo 59%	3/10	-
Draw 23%	15/4	-
Mito 18%	9/1	-
Tokyo 1-0 13%	6/1	-
Tokyo 2-0 11%	5/1	-
Draw 1-1 11%	8/1	-
Tokyo 2-1 10%	8/1	-
Draw 0-0 7%	11/1	-
Tokyo 3-0 7%	7/1	-
Mito 1-0 6%	20/1	-
Tokyo 3-1 6%	11/1	-
Mito 2-1 5%	28/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	20/1	-
Tokyo 4-0 3%	12/1	-
Mito 2-0 3%	40/1	-
Tokyo 4-1 3%	20/1	-
Tokyo 3-2 2%	28/1	-
Mito 3-1 1%	66/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	8/11	-
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	43/40	-
Home 1st Goal 56%	1/3	-
Away 1st Goal 39%	13/5	-
No 1st Goal 5%	11/1	-
BTTS - Yes 48%	11/10	-
BTTS - No 52%	4/6	-
BTTS - Home Win 24%	9/4	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	11/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	18/1	-
Home/draw 82%	1/16	-
Away/draw 41%	9/4	-
Home/away 77%	2/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	2/9	-
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	3/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	7/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	2/5	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	9/2 10%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/7 3%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	10/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/20	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	12/1 8%	-
Home DNB 76%	1/12	-
Away DNB 34%	7/1	-
Tokyo win to nil 36%	1/1	-
Mito win to nil 10%	14/1	-
Tokyo / Tokyo 44%	10/11	-
Tokyo / Mito 2%	50/1	-
Tokyo / Draw 4%	18/1	-
Draw / Tokyo 22%	11/4	-
Draw / Mito 4%	18/1	-
Draw / Draw 11%	13/2	-
Mito / Tokyo 4%	20/1	-
Mito / Mito 5%	16/1	-
Mito / Draw 4%	20/1	-

Win / draw / win J-League table

Tokyo have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the J-League league table. Tokyo are unbeaten in 10 games against teams below them in the league and kept 8 clean sheets out of 10 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Tokyo have outscored their opponents by 21 goals to 12 goals.

Home League Performance

Tokyo have played 6 games at home winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 9 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Mito are in 16th position in the J-League on 9 points having played 11 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 8 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Mito have conceded 16 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Tokyo Mito
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Machida	11	8	2	1	20	26	l 1-5F	-	d 1-1F	Mar 20
2	Avispa	0	0	0	0	0	0	Apr 3	Dec 13	May 3	d 1-1A
3	Cerezo	0	0	0	0	0	0	Mar 13	Nov 21	Mar 10	Dec 5
4	Tokyo	11	7	3	1	13	24	-	-	Dec 19	Oct 25
5	Fagiano	0	0	0	0	0	0	Apr 10	Oct 31	May 9	l 2-0A
6	Gamba Osaka	0	0	0	0	0	0	May 22	w 0-2F	d 1-1F	-
7	Kashiwa	11	7	1	3	5	22	d 0-00-0	-	Feb 20	l 2-1A
8	Kyoto Sanga	0	0	0	0	0	0	w 2-0F	Mar 6	Apr 17	w 1-3F
9	Kashima	11	6	2	3	5	20	Nov 7	Jun 6	w 4-2F	Feb 13
10	Nagoya	0	0	0	0	0	0	w 1-0F	Feb 13	May 22	Dec 13
11	Kawasaki	11	5	4	2	6	19	Dec 4	Mar 20	l 0-1A	Apr 29
12	Hiroshima	0	0	0	0	0	0	Nov 25	Apr 16	Oct 31	May 29
13	Urawa Reds	11	6	0	5	-3	18	w 3-0F	Mar 10	l 0-1A	Apr 24
14	Shimizu	0	0	0	0	0	0	May 3	d 1-1F	l 1-2F	Apr 10
15	Yokohama FM	11	4	5	2	4	17	Apr 24	Nov 29	Jun 6	l 2-0A
16	V-V Nagasaki	0	0	0	0	0	0	Feb 20	w 0-3F	Nov 29	Mar 6
17	Vissel Kobe	0	0	0	0	0	0	May 29	d 2-2F	Feb 27	Nov 20
18	Mito	11	2	3	6	-4	9	Oct 25	Dec 19	-	-
19	JEF United	11	1	3	7	-12	6	w 2-0F	Feb 27	Apr 3	Nov 8
20	Tokyo Verdy	11	0	5	6	-14	5	May 9	w 0-4F	Nov 25	Mar 13

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Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tokyo	0 - 0	Kashiwa
Tokyo	3 - 0	Urawa Reds
Tokyo	1 - 0	Nagoya
Tokyo	2 - 0	Kyoto Sanga
Tokyo	2 - 0	JEF United
Tokyo	1 - 5	Machida
Tokyo	1 - 1	Albirex
Tokyo	3 - 1	Fagiano
Tokyo	2 - 3	Yokohama FM
Tokyo	1 - 0	Avispa
Tokyo	1 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
Tokyo	1 - 4	Kyoto Sanga
Tokyo	0 - 1	Kashima
Tokyo	3 - 2	Urawa Reds
Tokyo	2 - 1	Yokohama
Tokyo	2 - 2	Cerezo
Tokyo	0 - 3	Hiroshima
Tokyo	1 - 0	Vissel Kobe
Tokyo	0 - 2	Shimizu
Tokyo	3 - 0	Gamba Osaka

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

7 / 20

Clean sheets

13 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Tokyo	0 - 0	Kashiwa
A	Tokyo	4 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
H	Tokyo	3 - 0	Urawa Reds
H	Tokyo	1 - 0	Nagoya
A	Tokyo	2 - 0	Gamba Osaka
H	Tokyo	2 - 0	Kyoto Sanga
A	Tokyo	1 - 1	Shimizu
A	Tokyo	3 - 0	V-V Nagasaki
H	Tokyo	2 - 0	JEF United
A	Tokyo	2 - 2	Vissel Kobe
H	Tokyo	1 - 5	Machida
H	Tokyo	1 - 1	Albirex
A	Tokyo	0 - 0	Vissel Kobe
A	Tokyo	1 - 0	Machida
H	Tokyo	3 - 1	Fagiano
A	Tokyo	0 - 0	Hiroshima
A	Tokyo	1 - 1	Shimizu
H	Tokyo	2 - 3	Yokohama FM
H	Tokyo	1 - 0	Avispa
A	Tokyo	1 - 0	Kawasaki

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fagiano	2 - 0	Mito
Yokohama FM	2 - 0	Mito
Avispa	1 - 1	Mito
Kyoto Sanga	1 - 3	Mito
Kashiwa	2 - 1	Mito
V-V Nagasaki	2 - 1	Mito
Ventforet	0 - 1	Mito
Sapporo	0 - 1	Mito
Ehime	1 - 3	Mito
Iwaki	0 - 0	Mito
Vegalta	1 - 1	Mito
Sagan Tosu	2 - 2	Mito
Montedio	1 - 2	Mito
Roasso	2 - 1	Mito
Blaublitz	0 - 2	Mito
Imabari	1 - 2	Mito
Kataller Toyama	0 - 1	Mito
Renofa	1 - 2	Mito
Fujieda MYFC	0 - 2	Mito
Tokushima	0 - 1	Mito

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Mito	0 - 2	Fagiano
H	Mito	0 - 1	Urawa Reds
H	Mito	1 - 2	Shimizu
A	Mito	0 - 2	Yokohama FM
H	Mito	0 - 1	Kawasaki
A	Mito	1 - 1	Avispa
H	Mito	4 - 2	Kashima
H	Mito	1 - 1	Machida
A	Mito	3 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
H	Mito	1 - 1	Gamba Osaka
A	Mito	1 - 2	Kashiwa
H	Mito	2 - 0	Oita Trinita
A	Mito	1 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
H	Mito	0 - 2	Omiya Ardija
A	Mito	1 - 0	Ventforet
A	Mito	1 - 0	Sapporo
H	Mito	0 - 1	JEF United
A	Mito	3 - 1	Ehime
H	Mito	2 - 0	Fujieda MYFC
A	Mito	0 - 0	Iwaki

Goal Statistics

Tokyo have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 11 consecutive J-League games. Their PG of 1.8 against Mito Hollyhock on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

With a PG of just 0.8, Mito Hollyhock look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Tokyo haven't conceded a goal in 5 consecutive J-League matches, and it could be a long morning for D. Kimori's men.

	Tokyo 2nd	Mito 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 83% probability that Tokyo will score 1 or more goals	0 43% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 79% probability of Mito scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+1 Tokyo’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+9 Mito’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2026/2027 season

34%

better

TOK

MIT

view stats

Games scored	10		7
Failed to score	1		4
Scored first	10		5
Goals scored	21		12
Avg. goals scored	1.9		1.1
Avg. shots per game	12		7
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	16		16
Avg. XG for	2.1		1
KickOff rating		+34%

56%

better

TOK

MIT

view stats

Games conceded	3		11
Clean sheets	8		0
Conceded first	0		6
Goals conceded	8		16
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		8
Conversion rate against	11%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.6
KickOff rating		+56%

Tokyo v Mito J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Tokyo J-League squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	7	4	3
S Kim	M Nagakura	M Nagakura	T Ko

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Kim GLK	11			-
H Ishihara DEF	11			2 -
A Scholz DEF	11	1		1 -
K. Sato FWD	11	1	2	2 -
M Ryan FWD	11	4	2	2 -
M Nagakura FWD	11	7	4	-
K. Tokiwa MID	10			-
T Ko MID	10	1		2 1
S Anzai MID	10	4	1	-
H Inamura DEF	9			1 -
K Bangnagande DEF	8		2	1 -
K Tawaratsumida FWD	8	1	1	-
S Muroya DEF	7		1	-
S Homma MID	7	1	1	1 -
T Nakagawa FWD	7		2	-
K Hashimoto MID	6			1 -
M Morishige DEF	5			-
F Yamada FWD	5		1	-
K Hashimoto DEF	4			1
R Omori DEF	4		1	-
D Gómez FWD	3	1		-
S. Nagano DEF	2			-
Y Nagatomo DEF	2			-
T. Kominato FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	11	4	8
M Nagakura	M Ryan	M Nagakura	M Ryan

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Nagakura FWD	7	11	4	3
M Ryan FWD	4	11	2	8
S Anzai MID	4	7	1	1
A Scholz DEF	1	1		2
K. Sato FWD	1	4	2	2
T Ko MID	1	5		1
K Tawaratsumida FWD	1	4	1	1
S Homma MID	1	3	1	3
D Gómez FWD	1	2
H Ishihara DEF		1		1
K Bangnagande DEF			2	3
S Muroya DEF		3	1	4
T Nakagawa FWD			2	1
F Yamada FWD			1	2
K Hashimoto DEF		1
R Omori DEF			1	1
S. Nagano DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
829	22	44
A Scholz	K. Sato	H Inamura

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Scholz DEF	829	9	39
H Inamura DEF	721	17	44
T Ko MID	535	20	32
S Kim GLK	376		1
K. Tokiwa MID	351	11	22
H Ishihara DEF	267	12	32
M Nagakura FWD	250	9	39
S Anzai MID	249	12	38
K. Sato FWD	245	22	41
S Muroya DEF	230	19	30
K Hashimoto MID	193	7	24
K Bangnagande DEF	189	7	18
S Homma MID	154	5	11
S. Nagano DEF	138	6	16
M Ryan FWD	131	2	24
K Tawaratsumida FWD	105	5	13
K Hashimoto DEF	105	2	5
M Morishige DEF	101	1	19
R Omori DEF	74	2	6
Y Nagatomo DEF	44		3
F Yamada FWD	34	1	3
T Nakagawa FWD	33	2	4
D Gómez FWD	16		3
T. Kominato FWD	2

Mito J-League squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	5	2	3
T Mase	A Watanabe	K Taniguchi	T Semba

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Mase DEF	11	1		2 -
K Taniguchi FWD	11		2	-
H. Yamamoto FWD	11			1 -
Y Kimoto DEF	10	2		2 -
Y Funabashi MID	10		2	-
T Semba MID	10		2	2 1
K Nishikawa GLK	9			-
K. Itakura DEF	9			-
C Kato MID	9	2		-
Y Torikai MID	9	1	2	1 -
K. Uchino FWD	9	1		2 -
R Nemoto FWD	9			-
A Watanabe FWD	8	5		1 -
A Kawazura DEF	6			-
K Osaki DEF	6			-
R Ieizumi DEF	4			-
J. Okumura MID	4			1 -
K. Tada FWD	4			-
P Ferreira FWD	4			-
H. Nunes Fernandes Santos MID	3			-
J Slowik GLK	2			1 -
Y. Tamura DEF	2			-
S. Yamashita FWD	2			-
K Okamoto DEF	1			-
M. Fofana DEF	1			-
Y Yamashita MID	1			-
M. Nishihara MID	1			-
K. Yamazaki MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	6	2	1
A Watanabe	K. Uchino	K Taniguchi	T Mase

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Watanabe FWD	5	5
Y Kimoto DEF	2	2
C Kato MID	2	2		1
T Mase DEF	1	4		1
Y Torikai MID	1	4	2	1
K. Uchino FWD	1	6
K Taniguchi FWD		5	2	1
H. Yamamoto FWD		1
Y Funabashi MID			2	1
T Semba MID		1	2	1
K Nishikawa GLK				1
R Nemoto FWD		3
K Osaki DEF		1
K. Tada FWD		1
H. Nunes Fernandes Santos MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
563	18	48
K. Itakura	T Semba	T Mase

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K. Itakura DEF	563	5	36
Y Kimoto DEF	461	4	37
T Semba MID	424	18	34
K Nishikawa GLK	414		6
Y Funabashi MID	349	9	17
T Mase DEF	320	10	48
K Taniguchi FWD	208	11	33
Y Torikai MID	167	6	18
A Kawazura DEF	153	1	7
K Osaki DEF	150	5	9
A Watanabe FWD	134	10	29
H. Nunes Fernandes Santos MID	115	2	6
C Kato MID	104	6	21
K. Uchino FWD	97		21
R Ieizumi DEF	95	1	10
H. Yamamoto FWD	90	6	22
J Slowik GLK	81		1
J. Okumura MID	74	3	7
Y. Tamura DEF	68	2	4
R Nemoto FWD	47	4	23
K. Tada FWD	15		5
M. Nishihara MID	7
P Ferreira FWD	6		6
S. Yamashita FWD	3
M. Fofana DEF	2
K. Yamazaki MID	2		3
K Okamoto DEF		1	5