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Tokyo v Albirex Niigata : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 6th Dec, 05:00 BST, Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

Rikizo Matsuhashi's Tokyo side enjoy home advantage in the J-League on Saturday morning, as Toru Irie's Albirex Niigata arrive at the Ajinomoto Stadium. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen major betting markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Tokyo 53%	-	-
Draw 22%	-	-
Albirex 25%	-	-
Draw 1-1 10%	-	-
Tokyo 2-1 10%	-	-
Tokyo 1-0 8%	-	-
Tokyo 2-0 8%	-	-
Albirex 2-1 6%	-	-
Tokyo 3-1 6%	-	-
Draw 2-2 6%	-	-
Albirex 1-0 5%	-	-
Tokyo 3-0 5%	-	-
Draw 0-0 4%	-	-
Tokyo 3-2 4%	-	-
Albirex 2-0 3%	-	-
Tokyo 4-1 3%	-	-
Albirex 3-1 3%	-	-
Albirex 3-2 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	-	-
No 1st Goal 3%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 60%	-	-
BTTS - No 40%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 28%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 14%	-	-
Home/draw 75%	-	-
Away/draw 47%	-	-
Home/away 78%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 38%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 62%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	-	-
Home DNB 69%	-	-
Away DNB 40%	-	-
Tokyo win to nil 25%	-	-
Albirex win to nil 11%	-	-

Win / draw / win J-League table

Tokyo have played 36 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the J-League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 5 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Tokyo have outscored their opponents by 40 goals to 34 goals.

Home League Performance

Tokyo have played 18 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 7 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 25 goals at home.

Albirex are in 20th position in the J-League on 23 points having played 36 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

14 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 35 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

36 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 21 games, drawn 11 and won 4. Albirex have conceded 63 goals, scored 34, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Tokyo Albirex
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Kashima	36	21	7	8	25	70	l 0-1A	l 2-0A	l 1-2A	l 2-1A
2	Kashiwa	36	19	12	5	23	69	d 1-1F	l 1-0A	Nov 30	d 1-1F
3	Vissel Kobe	36	18	9	9	15	63	w 1-0F	Nov 30	d 2-2A	w 0-1F
4	Kyoto Sanga	36	17	11	8	19	62	l 0-4A	l 3-0A	l 1-2F	l 2-1F
5	Hiroshima	36	18	8	10	16	62	l 0-3A	d 0-00-0	l 0-2A	w 0-1F
6	Kawasaki	36	15	12	9	15	57	l 0-3A	w 0-1F	d 1-1F	l 3-1A
7	Machida	36	16	9	11	13	57	l 0-1A	w 0-1F	l 0-4A	l 1-0A
8	Gamba Osaka	36	16	6	14	-4	54	w 3-0F	l 2-0A	d 3-3F	l 4-2F
9	Urawa Reds	36	14	11	11	1	53	w 3-2F	l 3-2F	d 1-1F	l 1-0A
10	Cerezo	36	14	10	12	7	52	d 2-2F	d 1-1A	d 2-2F	l 3-1F
11	Tokyo	36	13	9	14	-7	48	-	-	l 2-3A	Dec 6
12	Avispa	36	11	12	13	-4	45	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	l 0-1A	l 3-2F
13	Shimizu	36	11	11	14	-8	44	l 0-2A	d 1-1A	l 0-1A	l 2-0A
14	Tokyo Verdy	36	11	10	15	-14	43	w 1-0F	d 2-2A	d 2-2A	l 1-0A
15	Fagiano	36	11	9	16	-9	42	w 3-1F	l 1-0A	d 1-1A	l 2-1A
16	Yokohama FM	36	11	7	18	-2	40	l 2-3A	w 0-3F	w 1-0F	d 1-1F
17	Nagoya	36	10	10	16	-11	40	w 3-1F	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0	l 3-0A
18	Yokohama	36	8	8	20	-19	32	w 2-1A	w 0-1F	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
19	Shonan	36	7	8	21	-27	29	d 0-00-0	d 2-2F	w 2-1A	l 5-2A
20	Albirex	36	4	11	21	-29	23	Dec 6	w 2-3F	-	-

	Afc Champions League
	Afc Champions League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Albirex have lost 11 consecutive away league games

Albirex have not won in 11 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tokyo	3 - 1	Fagiano
Tokyo	2 - 3	Yokohama FM
Tokyo	1 - 0	Avispa
Tokyo	1 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
Tokyo	1 - 4	Kyoto Sanga
Tokyo	0 - 1	Kashima
Tokyo	3 - 2	Urawa Reds
Tokyo	2 - 1	Yokohama
Tokyo	2 - 2	Cerezo
Tokyo	0 - 3	Hiroshima
Tokyo	1 - 0	Vissel Kobe
Tokyo	0 - 2	Shimizu
Tokyo	3 - 0	Gamba Osaka
Tokyo	1 - 1	Kashiwa
Tokyo	0 - 3	Kawasaki
Tokyo	0 - 0	Shonan
Tokyo	3 - 1	Nagoya
Tokyo	0 - 1	Machida
Tokyo	3 - 0	Cerezo
Tokyo	0 - 2	Shonan

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Tokyo	1 - 0	Machida
H	Tokyo	3 - 1	Fagiano
A	Tokyo	0 - 0	Hiroshima
A	Tokyo	1 - 1	Shimizu
H	Tokyo	2 - 3	Yokohama FM
H	Tokyo	1 - 0	Avispa
A	Tokyo	1 - 0	Kawasaki
H	Tokyo	1 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
A	Tokyo	1 - 1	Nagoya
H	Tokyo	1 - 4	Kyoto Sanga
A	Tokyo	2 - 2	Shonan
H	Tokyo	0 - 1	Kashima
H	Tokyo	3 - 2	Urawa Reds
A	Tokyo	0 - 1	Kashiwa
H	Tokyo	2 - 1	Yokohama
A	Tokyo	3 - 0	Yokohama FM
A	Tokyo	0 - 2	Gamba Osaka
H	Tokyo	2 - 2	Cerezo
A	Tokyo	0 - 3	Kyoto Sanga
H	Tokyo	0 - 3	Hiroshima

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Shonan	5 - 2	Albirex
Tokyo Verdy	1 - 0	Albirex
Gamba Osaka	4 - 2	Albirex
Yokohama	1 - 0	Albirex
Urawa Reds	1 - 0	Albirex
Cerezo	3 - 1	Albirex
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 1	Albirex
Kawasaki	3 - 1	Albirex
Avispa	3 - 2	Albirex
Nagoya	3 - 0	Albirex
Fagiano	2 - 1	Albirex
Hiroshima	0 - 1	Albirex
Kashiwa	1 - 1	Albirex
Vissel Kobe	0 - 1	Albirex
Machida	1 - 0	Albirex
Kashima	2 - 1	Albirex
Shimizu	2 - 0	Albirex
Yokohama FM	1 - 1	Albirex
Urawa Reds	0 - 0	Albirex
Kashiwa	1 - 1	Albirex

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Albirex	2 - 5	Shonan
H	Albirex	2 - 2	Vissel Kobe
A	Albirex	0 - 1	Tokyo Verdy
H	Albirex	1 - 1	Fagiano
A	Albirex	2 - 4	Gamba Osaka
H	Albirex	0 - 0	Nagoya
A	Albirex	0 - 1	Yokohama
H	Albirex	0 - 1	Shimizu
A	Albirex	0 - 1	Urawa Reds
H	Albirex	1 - 2	Kashima
H	Albirex	1 - 1	Kawasaki
A	Albirex	1 - 3	Cerezo
H	Albirex	0 - 2	Hiroshima
A	Albirex	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
H	Albirex	0 - 4	Machida
A	Albirex	1 - 3	Kawasaki
A	Albirex	2 - 3	Avispa
H	Albirex	1 - 0	Yokohama FM
A	Albirex	0 - 3	Nagoya
H	Albirex	2 - 1	Shonan

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Tokyo have beaten Albirex in 3 consecutive league meetings

Tokyo have not lost to Albirex in 5 consecutive league meetings

Tokyo

Albirex

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 2

1 / 2

Clean sheets

1 / 2

0 / 2

TOK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tokyo
Tokyo		2 - 0
Tokyo		2 - 1

Albirex

Tokyo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

TOK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Albirex
	2 - 3	Tokyo
	1 - 3	Tokyo
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

Tokyo's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday morning, not least because Albirex Niigata have conceded in each of their last 5 J-League games. A PG of 1.9 for R. Matsuhashi's side suggests that run should continue.

	Tokyo 11th	Albirex 20th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that Tokyo will score 1 or more goals	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Albirex will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+12 Tokyo have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted	-21 Albirex have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season

better

TOK

ALB

view stats

Games scored	23		24
Failed to score	13		12
Scored first	16		14
Goals scored	41		34
Avg. goals scored	1.1		0.9
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	8		8
Conversion rate for	12		12
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.2
KickOff rating		+4%

21%

better

TOK

ALB

view stats

Games conceded	26		31
Clean sheets	10		5
Conceded first	18		20
Goals conceded	47		63
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		5
Conversion rate against	14%		19%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.4
KickOff rating		+21%

Tokyo v Albirex J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Tokyo J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	8	5	6
T Ko	M Ryan	K. Sato	Y Nagatomo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Tawaratsumida MID	34	2	3	-
K. Sato FWD	34	7	5	1 -
T Ko MID	31	2	5	1 -
T Nakagawa FWD	31	2		1 -
S Anzai MID	28	2	3	2 -
K Hashimoto MID	28		2	5 -
K Koizumi MID	28	1	1	5 -
M Ryan FWD	28	8	1	4 -
Y Nagatomo DEF	25		2	6 -
L Nozawa FWD	23	1	1	-
K Doi DEF	21		1	2 -
M Morishige DEF	21	1		2 -
T. Oka DEF	21			3 -
K Endo FWD	21	4		2 -
K Shirai DEF	19	1	1	-
K Higashi MID	18		1	4 -
S Muroya DEF	15		1	1 -
S Kim GLK	14			1 -
A Scholz DEF	14	2		2 -
K Yamashita FWD	12	1		2 -
H Trevisan DEF	10	1	1	2 -
M Guilherme MID	10			1 -
M Nagakura FWD	10	4	1	1 -
K Bangnagande DEF	8			-
M. Kitahara MID	7			-
K. Tokiwa MID	7			-
E Galdino FWD	6			1 -
G Hatano GLK	5			-
T Ogashiwa FWD	3			-
T. Yamaguchi FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	25	5	5
M Ryan	M Ryan	K. Sato	K. Sato

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Ryan FWD	8	25	1	2
K. Sato FWD	7	18	5	5
K Endo FWD	4	11		2
M Nagakura FWD	4	14	1	3
K Tawaratsumida MID	2	13	3	4
T Ko MID	2	8	5	4
T Nakagawa FWD	2	9		3
S Anzai MID	2	10	3	4
A Scholz DEF	2	4
K Koizumi MID	1	5	1	1
L Nozawa FWD	1	3	1	2
M Morishige DEF	1	1
K Shirai DEF	1	3	1	3
K Yamashita FWD	1	4
H Trevisan DEF	1	1	1	1
K Hashimoto MID		4	2	1
Y Nagatomo DEF		1	2	2
K Doi DEF			1	1
T. Oka DEF		1
K Higashi MID		1	1	2
S Muroya DEF		3	1	1
M Guilherme MID		2
K Bangnagande DEF				2
M. Kitahara MID		1
K. Tokiwa MID		1		1
E Galdino FWD		4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1548	67	129
T Ko	T Ko	T Ko

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Ko MID	1548	67	129
M Morishige DEF	1127	16	111
K Hashimoto MID	1045	53	120
K Doi DEF	983	28	83
A Scholz DEF	926	15	90
T. Oka DEF	834	20	84
K Koizumi MID	717	28	77
S Anzai MID	619	22	85
K. Sato FWD	606	34	127
K Tawaratsumida MID	568	24	86
Y Nagatomo DEF	556	24	45
S Kim GLK	544	1	7
S Muroya DEF	501	25	59
K Endo FWD	482	19	62
K Higashi MID	435	16	34
K Shirai DEF	422	29	61
H Trevisan DEF	397	14	64
T Nakagawa FWD	378	21	64
M Ryan FWD	265	11	112
M Nagakura FWD	239	16	59
K Bangnagande DEF	223	10	28
L Nozawa FWD	214	5	36
G Hatano GLK	194		3
M Guilherme MID	193	7	14
K Yamashita FWD	98	7	43
K. Tokiwa MID	83	1	9
E Galdino FWD	77		6
M. Kitahara MID	69	4	13
T Ogashiwa FWD	20		1
T. Yamaguchi FWD	4		3

Albirex J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	7	3	5
M Hasegawa	M Hasegawa	M Hasegawa	S Fujiwara

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Hasegawa MID	36	7	3	1 -
J. Okumura MID	34	3	2	-
S Fujiwara DEF	32		1	5 -
M Fitzgerald DEF	29	1		5 -
K Taniguchi FWD	27	2	1	-
K Hashimoto DEF	26		2	3 -
Y Horigome DEF	24	1	1	2 -
T Arai MID	23	1		2 -
J Geria DEF	22			-
Y Hoshi MID	20		1	-
Y Takagi MID	18			1 -
K. Kasai MID	18	1	2	1 -
D Gomes FWD	17	3	1	2 -
K Fujita GLK	15			-
R Tashiro GLK	14		1	2 -
T Shimamura MID	13	1	1	1 -
E Shirai MID	13	2		-
F Hayakawa DEF	11			1 -
A Saidi FWD	11			1 -
Y Ono FWD	11		1	-
H. Uemura DEF	10			-
Moraes FWD	10	2	2	1 -
Y Wakatsuki FWD	8	1		-
D Yoshimitsu GLK	7			-
M Ohara MID	7			1 -
K Funaki DEF	6			-
Miguel MID	6	1		2 -
K Chiba DEF	4			1 -
K Mori DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	17	3	8
M Hasegawa	M Hasegawa	M Hasegawa	K Hashimoto

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Hasegawa MID	7	17	3	4
J. Okumura MID	3	10	2	4
D Gomes FWD	3	7	1	3
K Taniguchi FWD	2	12	1	3
E Shirai MID	2	4
Moraes FWD	2	4	2	2
M Fitzgerald DEF	1	1		2
Y Horigome DEF	1	1	1	3
T Arai MID	1	1
K. Kasai MID	1	2	2	1
T Shimamura MID	1	1	1	2
Y Wakatsuki FWD	1	3
Miguel MID	1	1
S Fujiwara DEF		4	1	3
K Hashimoto DEF		6	2	8
J Geria DEF		1
Y Hoshi MID		5	1
R Tashiro GLK			1	1
A Saidi FWD		8
Y Ono FWD		3	1	1
M Ohara MID		1		1
K Funaki DEF		1
K Chiba DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1948	78	164
M Fitzgerald	S Fujiwara	S Fujiwara

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Fitzgerald DEF	1948	22	97
S Fujiwara DEF	1448	78	164
K Hashimoto DEF	1103	27	72
M Hasegawa MID	1059	29	101
J Geria DEF	1042	21	84
Y Hoshi MID	984	22	50
Y Horigome DEF	959	41	73
T Arai MID	860	38	82
E Shirai MID	725	18	42
K Fujita GLK	644	1	11
R Tashiro GLK	603	2	9
J. Okumura MID	586	24	84
K Taniguchi FWD	444	10	68
F Hayakawa DEF	441	12	36
K Funaki DEF	322	2	20
D Yoshimitsu GLK	308
K Chiba DEF	281	6	19
H. Uemura DEF	271	6	19
T Shimamura MID	212	13	28
Y Ono FWD	205		27
Y Takagi MID	167	9	18
A Saidi FWD	160	1	29
D Gomes FWD	152	23	66
M Ohara MID	140	3	10
K. Kasai MID	129	7	38
Moraes FWD	117	9	41
K Mori DEF	34		1
Miguel MID	32	1	2
Y Wakatsuki FWD	26	2	11