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V-Varen Nagasaki v Oita Trinita : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 5th Jul, 10:00 BST, transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki, Isahaya

Oita Trinita pay J2-League counterparts V-Varen Nagasaki a visit on Saturday morning, as Tomohiro Katanosaka leads his side into an away clash with Takahiro Shimotaira & co. at the transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the stats and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that V-V Nagasaki and Oita Trinita will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Takahiro Shimotaira or Tomohiro Katanosaka has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.29 equating to approximately a 76% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think V-V Nagasaki are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
V-V Nagasaki 51%	7/10 3%	-
Draw 24%	13/5 3%	-
Oita Trinita 25%	15/4 6%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1	-
V-V Nagasaki 1-0 11%	6/1	-
V-V Nagasaki 2-1 10%	15/2	-
V-V Nagasaki 2-0 9%	7/1 6%	-
Oita Trinita 1-0 7%	12/1 8%	-
Draw 0-0 6%	9/1	-
Oita Trinita 2-1 6%	14/1	-
V-V Nagasaki 3-1 5%	14/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1 13%	-
V-V Nagasaki 3-0 5%	12/1 13%	-
Oita Trinita 2-0 4%	22/1	-
V-V Nagasaki 3-2 3%	25/1	-
Oita Trinita 3-1 2%	40/1	-
V-V Nagasaki 4-1 2%	28/1	-
V-V Nagasaki 4-0 2%	25/1 10%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	19/20	-
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	17/20	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	1/2	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	15/8	-
No 1st Goal 4%	9/1	-
BTTS - Yes 54%	5/6	-
BTTS - No 46%	5/6	-
BTTS - Home Win 23%	11/4	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	4/1 5%	-
BTTS - Away Win 12%	8/1	-
Home/draw 75%	2/11	-
Away/draw 49%	11/10 5%	-
Home/away 76%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	2/7	-
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	5/2	-
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	12/5	-
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	3/10	-
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	11/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/9	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	14/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/33	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/16	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	9/1	-
Home DNB 68%	2/7 1%	-
Away DNB 42%	5/2 3%	-
V-V Nagasaki win to nil 27%	7/4 8%	-
Oita Trinita win to nil 13%	7/1	-
V-V Nagasaki / V-V Nagasaki 30%	7/4	-
V-V Nagasaki / Oita Trinita 2%	33/1	-
V-V Nagasaki / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / V-V Nagasaki 18%	7/2 5%	-
Draw / Oita Trinita 9%	17/2	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Oita Trinita / V-V Nagasaki 4%	22/1	-
Oita Trinita / Oita Trinita 10%	7/1 7%	-
Oita Trinita / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
V-V Nagasaki	3 - 3	Omiya Ardija
V-V Nagasaki	1 - 0	JEF United
V-V Nagasaki	1 - 1	Montedio
V-V Nagasaki	1 - 1	Ehime
V-V Nagasaki	3 - 4	Iwaki
V-V Nagasaki	0 - 2	Sagan Tosu
V-V Nagasaki	5 - 1	Blaublitz
V-V Nagasaki	1 - 0	Tokushima
V-V Nagasaki	1 - 0	Jubilo Iwata
V-V Nagasaki	3 - 2	Roasso
V-V Nagasaki	1 - 4	Vegalta
V-V Nagasaki	5 - 2	Ehime
V-V Nagasaki	4 - 1	Kagoshima
V-V Nagasaki	4 - 1	Oita Trinita
V-V Nagasaki	2 - 0	TK Gunma
V-V Nagasaki	1 - 1	Tochigi
V-V Nagasaki	1 - 2	Renofa
V-V Nagasaki	1 - 2	Mito
V-V Nagasaki	2 - 0	Roasso
V-V Nagasaki	3 - 1	Iwaki

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	V-V Nagasaki	2 - 1	Montedio
A	V-V Nagasaki	3 - 1	Roasso
H	V-V Nagasaki	3 - 3	Omiya Ardija
A	V-V Nagasaki	0 - 3	Mito
H	V-V Nagasaki	1 - 0	JEF United
A	V-V Nagasaki	2 - 1	Oita Trinita
H	V-V Nagasaki	1 - 1	Montedio
A	V-V Nagasaki	2 - 1	Kataller Toyama
H	V-V Nagasaki	1 - 1	Ehime
A	V-V Nagasaki	2 - 2	Sapporo
H	V-V Nagasaki	3 - 4	Iwaki
A	V-V Nagasaki	1 - 1	Ventforet
H	V-V Nagasaki	0 - 2	Sagan Tosu
A	V-V Nagasaki	1 - 4	Imabari
A	V-V Nagasaki	2 - 3	Fujieda MYFC
H	V-V Nagasaki	5 - 1	Blaublitz
H	V-V Nagasaki	1 - 0	Tokushima
A	V-V Nagasaki	1 - 1	Vegalta
H	V-V Nagasaki	1 - 0	Jubilo Iwata
A	V-V Nagasaki	2 - 2	Renofa

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tokushima	2 - 0	Oita Trinita
Imabari	1 - 1	Oita Trinita
Kataller Toyama	1 - 1	Oita Trinita
Montedio	3 - 0	Oita Trinita
Jubilo Iwata	0 - 3	Oita Trinita
JEF United	1 - 0	Oita Trinita
Omiya Ardija	2 - 2	Oita Trinita
Ehime	0 - 1	Oita Trinita
Renofa	1 - 1	Oita Trinita
Vegalta	2 - 0	Oita Trinita
Vegalta	2 - 1	Oita Trinita
Blaublitz	0 - 2	Oita Trinita
V-V Nagasaki	4 - 1	Oita Trinita
Yokohama	1 - 1	Oita Trinita
Tokushima	3 - 1	Oita Trinita
Fagiano	0 - 0	Oita Trinita
Ehime	3 - 2	Oita Trinita
Renofa	2 - 0	Oita Trinita
Iwaki	0 - 1	Oita Trinita
Kagoshima	3 - 0	Oita Trinita

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Oita Trinita	0 - 0	Omiya Ardija
A	Oita Trinita	0 - 2	Tokushima
H	Oita Trinita	1 - 2	Blaublitz
A	Oita Trinita	1 - 1	Imabari
H	Oita Trinita	2 - 1	Ventforet
H	Oita Trinita	1 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
A	Oita Trinita	1 - 1	Kataller Toyama
A	Oita Trinita	0 - 3	Montedio
H	Oita Trinita	1 - 0	Roasso
H	Oita Trinita	1 - 0	Sagan Tosu
A	Oita Trinita	3 - 0	Jubilo Iwata
A	Oita Trinita	0 - 1	JEF United
H	Oita Trinita	1 - 1	Tokushima
A	Oita Trinita	2 - 2	Omiya Ardija
A	Oita Trinita	1 - 0	Ehime
H	Oita Trinita	1 - 1	Fujieda MYFC
A	Oita Trinita	1 - 1	Renofa
H	Oita Trinita	0 - 0	Mito
A	Oita Trinita	0 - 2	Vegalta
H	Oita Trinita	0 - 0	Iwaki

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

V-V Nagasaki have not lost to Oita Trinita in 5 consecutive league meetings

V-V Nagasaki

Oita Trinita

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

Clean sheets

0 / 3

VVN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT V-V Nagasaki
V-V Nagasaki	4 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
V-V Nagasaki	4 - 1

Oita Trinita

V-V Nagasaki

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

VVN

OIT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Oita Trinita
	1 - 2	V-V Nagasaki
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Oita Trinita	3 - 1

Goal Statistics

V-Varen Nagasaki's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday morning, not least because Oita Trinita have conceded in each of their last 7 J2-League matches. A PG of 1.7 for Takahiro Shimotaira's side suggests that run should continue.

	V-V Nagasaki 8th	Oita Trinita 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that V-V Nagasaki will score 1 or more goals	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Oita Trinita will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+25 V-V Nagasaki have scored 25% more goals at home than predicted	-9 Oita Trinita’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.2 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J2-League - 2025/2025 season

33%

better

VVN

OIT

view stats

Games scored	13		9
Failed to score	1		5
Scored first	7		7
Goals scored	25		13
Avg. goals scored	1.2		0.6
Avg. shots per game	7		4
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	17		14
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+33%

VVN

OIT

45%

better

view stats

Games conceded	12		7
Clean sheets	2		7
Conceded first	7		5
Goals conceded	24		11
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	5		4
Avg. shots/goal conceded	4		8
Conversion rate against	25%		12%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+45%

V-V Nagasaki v Oita Trinita J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

V-V Nagasaki J2-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	10	5	4
M Jesus	M Jesus	A Masuyama	J Delgado

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Jesus MID	21	10	3	2 -
A Masuyama MID	21	5	5	2 -
M Guilherme MID	20	3	4	-
M Goto GLK	18			2 -
S Yoneda DEF	17	2	4	3 -
M Sekiguchi DEF	16	1	1	1 -
H Teruyama DEF	15			2 -
K Takahata DEF	15		2	-
H Yamaguchi MID	15		3	-
R Yamasaki FWD	14	2		1 -
K Kushibiki DEF	13			3 -
T. Matsumoto MID	13	1	1	1 -
K Matsuzawa MID	13		2	-
J Delgado FWD	13	7	1	3 1
I Arai DEF	12			-
T Sawada MID	12	1		1 -
S. Aoki MID	11	1		-
T Abe MID	11	1		1 -
T Kasayanagi MID	10	1	1	-
Eduardo DEF	9	1		1 -
T Nagura MID	9			1 -
M Kato MID	9		1	-
R Yamada MID	9			1 -
E Junio FWD	5	1		-
G Harada GLK	3			-
R Iio DEF	3			-
E Deocleciano MID	2			-
S Joppu FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	24	5	7
M Jesus	M Jesus	A Masuyama	A Masuyama

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Jesus MID	10	24	3	1
J Delgado FWD	7	16	1
A Masuyama MID	5	11	5	7
M Guilherme MID	3	9	4	1
R Yamasaki FWD	2	5
S Yoneda DEF	2	2	4	3
M Sekiguchi DEF	1	1	1	1
E Junio FWD	1	5
Eduardo DEF	1	2
T. Matsumoto MID	1	2	1	1
T Sawada MID	1	2
S. Aoki MID	1	3
T Abe MID	1	2
T Kasayanagi MID	1	3	1
R Yamada MID		1
M Kato MID		1	1
T Nagura MID		4
K Matsuzawa MID		4	2	2
H Yamaguchi MID		2	3	2
K Takahata DEF		1	2
H Teruyama DEF		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
919	11	184
H Teruyama	M Sekiguchi	M Jesus

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
H Teruyama DEF	919	8	98
K Takahata DEF	818	6	48
H Yamaguchi MID	652	3	24
K Kushibiki DEF	647	1	66
M Goto GLK	641	1	8
Eduardo DEF	612	4	50
M Jesus MID	605	3	184
M Sekiguchi DEF	568	11	45
I Arai DEF	546	3	50
M Guilherme MID	525	1	41
A Masuyama MID	430		128
T Abe MID	419	8	36
S Yoneda DEF	407	3	56
R Yamada MID	398	3	40
T. Matsumoto MID	361	3	44
M Kato MID	278	2	31
R Yamasaki FWD	149	2	44
J Delgado FWD	141		61
K Matsuzawa MID	140		62
G Harada GLK	126		3
T Nagura MID	124	1	28
T Sawada MID	106	4	25
S. Aoki MID	96	1	22
T Kasayanagi MID	78	2	27
E Junio FWD	57	1	21
E Deocleciano MID	16		1
R Iio DEF	2		1

Oita Trinita J2-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	5	3	3
T Hamada	K Arima	S Utsumoto	Derlan

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Hamada GLK	21			1
Derlan DEF	21	1	2	3 -
T Amagasa MID	21			3 -
K Arima FWD	21	5	1	1 -
M Yoshida DEF	20	1	1	-
M Pereira DEF	19		1	3 -
S Utsumoto FWD	19	1	3	1 -
K Sakakibara MID	18	1		2 -
J Nodake MID	18			-
K Isa FWD	18	1	2	-
N Nomura MID	16	2		1 -
R Ikeda MID	13			-
S Ayukawa FWD	13	1		1 -
Y Fujiwara DEF	12	1		2 -
T Shige MID	11			-
A. Kozakai MID	11			-
A. Satsukawa DEF	10			-
Y Yashiki FWD	10			1 -
I Tone DEF	7			1 -
S. Udo FWD	7	1		-
Y Kagawa DEF	6			-
H Nakagawa MID	6		1	2 -
Y Matsuo DEF	4			-
H Kiyotake MID	4			-
T. Kimoto FWD	4		1	-
H. Kim FWD	3			-
J Sato MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	14	3	1
K Arima	K Arima	S Utsumoto	M Yoshida

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Arima FWD	5	14	1
N Nomura MID	2	2
Y Fujiwara DEF	1	1
K Isa FWD	1	8	2	1
Derlan DEF	1	1	2
S Ayukawa FWD	1	1
S. Udo FWD	1	2
K Sakakibara MID	1	6
S Utsumoto FWD	1	6	3	1
M Yoshida DEF	1	7	1	1
T. Kimoto FWD			1
H Nakagawa MID			1
R Ikeda MID		4
M Pereira DEF		2	1	1
T Amagasa MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
854	7	150
T Amagasa	M Yoshida	Derlan

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Amagasa MID	854	1	82
Derlan DEF	741	3	150
M Pereira DEF	627	1	111
K Sakakibara MID	605	1	50
J Nodake MID	581	2	47
M Yoshida DEF	498	7	145
N Nomura MID	413	2	43
Y Fujiwara DEF	346	3	44
S Utsumoto FWD	345	2	62
K Arima FWD	312	2	134
T Hamada GLK	289	1	14
K Isa FWD	227		86
R Ikeda MID	199	2	32
H Nakagawa MID	153	2	5
T Shige MID	124		31
I Tone DEF	74	1	20
A. Satsukawa DEF	72		12
S Ayukawa FWD	59		8
A. Kozakai MID	49		6
H Kiyotake MID	48		4
S. Udo FWD	45		11
Y Kagawa DEF	30		2
Y Yashiki FWD	29		13
Y Matsuo DEF	25		3
J Sato MID	16		4
T. Kimoto FWD	12
H. Kim FWD	4		2

Japanese J2-League match betting previews, predictions and odds

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V-Varen Nagasaki v Oita Trinita : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

V-V Nagasaki v Oita Trinita J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

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