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Cruz Azul v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Azteca, Mexico City

Saturday night at the Estadio Azteca, and it’s a Liga MX showdown between Cruz Azul and Toluca. Nicolás Ricardo Larcamón and Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich will be doing all they can to claim victory. We've got the best odds for 17 different betting markets as well as predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. You can access it all using the tabs below.

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Cruz Azul's next match is v Pumas UNAM at 02:00 on Monday 12th October
Toluca's next match is v Tigres at 04:00 on Saturday 10th October
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Cruz Azul and Toluca was on Saturday 26th September 2026
Mexican Liga MX
September 26th 2026
Cruz Azul 3
3 Toluca
 
N. Ibáñez 7'55' H. Nunes de Castro
G. Fernández Leites 38'56' E. Vega Rojas
G. Fernández Leites 90'78' E. Vega Rojas
 
CAZ
TOL
Shots On
7
7
Shots Off
7
9
Corners
4
5
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
14
16
Yellow/red cards
4/0
1/0
 
Cruz AzulToluca
 
A. Gudiño Portillo
A. Mozo Rodríguez (O. Ebere 88')
O. Campos Chagoya
W. Ditta Pérez
J. Orozco Chiquete
A. Palavecino Lamela (L. Romero 76')
N. Ibáñezfootball icon (A. Montaño 76')
G. Piovi (Rogelio González 88')
C. Rodríguez Gómez
J. Paradela (J. Calero Sierra 90')
G. Fernández Leitesfootball iconfootball icon
 (É. Gutiérrez Galaviz 46') D. Barbosa Zaragoza
B. Méndez Cittadini
A. Pereira Castelnoble
N. Castro
(J. Díaz Price 82') football iconfootball iconE. Vega Rojas
(Sebastián Aceves 90') football iconH. Nunes de Castro
L. Garcia Teixeira
L. García Palomera
B. García Carpizo
J. Dias Fernandes
(J. Angulo Uriarte 73') P. Uriel Perez Hernandez

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Cruz Azul or Toluca are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 75% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Toluca coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cruz Azul
30%
6/4
2%
-
Draw
25%
5/2-
Toluca
45%
8/5
4%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1-
Toluca 1-0
10%
12/1
18%
-
Toluca 2-1
9%
9/1-
Cruz Azul 1-0
8%
12/1
18%
-
Toluca 2-0
7%
16/1
13%
-
Cruz Azul 2-1
7%
9/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
9/1
17%
-
Toluca 3-1
5%
18/1-
Cruz Azul 2-0
5%
14/1-
Toluca 3-0
4%
25/1-
Cruz Azul 3-1
3%
18/1-
Toluca 3-2
3%
22/1-
Cruz Azul 3-2
2%
20/1
9%
-
Cruz Azul 3-0
2%
25/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
3/5
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
13/10
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
45%
10/11
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
10/11-
No 1st Goal
4%
14/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1/2
4%
-
BTTS - No
44%
6/4
11%
-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
7/2-
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
22%
10/3
4%
-
Home/draw
55%
4/9
4%
-
Away/draw
70%
1/2-
Home/away
75%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/6
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
4/1
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
11/8
10%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
8/15
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
10/3
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/5
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
8/1
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/14
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/1
15%
-
Home DNB
48%
5/6-
Away DNB
62%
5/6-
Cruz Azul win to nil
15%
9/2
10%
-
Toluca win to nil
23%
9/2
10%
-
Cruz Azul / Cruz Azul
21%
3/1-
Cruz Azul / Toluca
4%
22/1-
Cruz Azul / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Cruz Azul
13%
11/2-
Draw / Toluca
13%
11/2-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
-
Toluca / Cruz Azul
4%
22/1-
Toluca / Toluca
21%
3/1-
Toluca / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
Cruz Azul 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruz Azul4 - 3America
Cruz Azul1 - 0S. Laguna
Cruz Azul0 - 2Atlas
Cruz Azul2 - 3Atlante
Cruz Azul2 - 1Puebla
Cruz Azul0 - 0Pumas UNAM
Cruz Azul2 - 2Guadalajara
Cruz Azul1 - 0Atlas
Cruz Azul4 - 1Necaxa
Cruz Azul1 - 1Tijuana
Cruz Azul1 - 2Pachuca
Cruz Azul3 - 0A. San Luis
Cruz Azul2 - 1Guadalajara
Cruz Azul2 - 1Tigres
Cruz Azul1 - 0Puebla
Cruz Azul2 - 0Atlas
Cruz Azul1 - 1Tigres
Cruz Azul3 - 2Guadalajara
Cruz Azul2 - 3Pumas UNAM
Cruz Azul2 - 0Monterrey
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACruz Azul0 - 1Monterrey
HCruz Azul4 - 3America
HCruz Azul1 - 0S. Laguna
ACruz Azul3 - 1Necaxa
HCruz Azul0 - 2Atlas
ACruz Azul1 - 2Tijuana
HCruz Azul2 - 3Atlante
HCruz Azul2 - 1Puebla
ACruz Azul3 - 2A. San Luis
ACruz Azul2 - 1Pumas UNAM
HCruz Azul0 - 0Pumas UNAM
ACruz Azul2 - 1Guadalajara
HCruz Azul2 - 2Guadalajara
HCruz Azul1 - 0Atlas
ACruz Azul3 - 2Atlas
HCruz Azul4 - 1Necaxa
ACruz Azul1 - 1Queretaro
HCruz Azul1 - 1Tijuana
ACruz Azul1 - 1America
HCruz Azul1 - 2Pachuca
Toluca 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Puebla0 - 1Toluca
Queretaro1 - 2Toluca
Atlante0 - 0Toluca
Guadalajara0 - 2Toluca
Pachuca2 - 0Toluca
Mazatlan4 - 3Toluca
America2 - 1Toluca
Queretaro1 - 0Toluca
Pachuca1 - 1Toluca
Pumas UNAM2 - 3Toluca
Necaxa0 - 3Toluca
Puebla0 - 0Toluca
Tigres0 - 0Toluca
Monterrey0 - 1Toluca
Tigres1 - 0Toluca
Monterrey1 - 0Toluca
Juarez1 - 2Toluca
Atlas0 - 0Toluca
Tijuana0 - 0Toluca
Leon2 - 4Toluca
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToluca2 - 3S. Laguna
AToluca1 - 0Puebla
HToluca5 - 2Atlas
HToluca4 - 0Juarez
AToluca2 - 1Queretaro
AToluca0 - 0Atlante
HToluca3 - 1Necaxa
HToluca1 - 2Pumas UNAM
AToluca2 - 0Guadalajara
AToluca0 - 2Pachuca
HToluca0 - 1Pachuca
HToluca4 - 1Leon
AToluca3 - 4Mazatlan
AToluca1 - 2America
HToluca1 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca0 - 1Queretaro
AToluca1 - 1Pachuca
HToluca1 - 1Atlas
HToluca3 - 1Juarez
AToluca3 - 2Pumas UNAM
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Cruz Azul since 2018
Cruz Azul
Toluca
Goals: Scored
16
10
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
CAZ
5
D
2
TOL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Toluca
2 - 3Toluca
Cruz Azul4 - 0
Cruz Azul3 - 1
Cruz Azul3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Cruz Azul1 - 0
League games at Toluca since 2019
Toluca
Cruz Azul
Goals: Scored
15
14
Games: Scored
8 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
1 / 9
CAZ
2
D
4
TOL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Cruz Azul
Toluca3 - 1
1 - 4Cruz Azul
Toluca2 - 1
Toluca2 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Toluca have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Liga MX games. Their PG of 1.6 against Cruz Azul on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Cruz Azul 7th Toluca 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Cruz Azul will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Cruz Azul’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-26
Toluca have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season
Cruz Azul
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.2
1.6
Attack rating
CAZ
TOL
27%
better
view stats
Games scored7
8
Failed to score2
1
Scored first3
8
Goals scored16
20
Avg. goals scored1.8
2.2
Avg. shots per game15
13
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
17
Avg. XG for1.9
1.9
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
CAZ
TOL
46%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
5
Clean sheets1
4
Conceded first6
0
Goals conceded15
9
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against15%
11%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+46%

Cruz Azul v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Cruz Azul Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9453
J ChiqueteN IbáñezJ ParadelaW Ditta
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Gudiño GLK2
-
A Mozo DEF4
-
W Ditta DEF91
3
-
G Piovi DEF6
2
-
J Chiquete DEF91
1
-
O Campos DEF10
-
A Palavecino MID91
1
-
J Paradela MID1025
2
-
C Rodríguez MID105
2
-
N Ibáñez FWD1041
2
-
G Fernández FWD1041
1
-
Subs
E Ochoa GLK
-
A Montes DEF2
1
-
R Orquin DEF
-
J. Rodarte Barragán DEF1
-
A Montaño MID62
1
-
Rogelio González MID5
-
A. Castro Sevilla MID1
-
O Ebere FWD91
1
-
J Calero FWD1
-
L Romero FWD912
1
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9433
F PereiraA VegaHelinho Helinho 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L García GLK6
-
Luan DEF7
-
B Méndez DEF81
1
-
F Pereira DEF9
-
B García DEF5
-
D Barbosa MID7
1
1
N Castro MID82
2
-
Helinho  MID933
3
-
P Pérez MID4
-
A Vega MID842
1
-
Paulinho FWD42
-
Subs
Ronaldo Beltrán Dimas GLK1
-
A Briseño DEF2
-
É. Orta DEF
-
J Uriarte MID911
-
J Price MID91
-
Érick Gutiérrez MID4
-
Sebastián Aceves MID2
-
J. Estrada MID
-
E. Téllez MID1
-
O. Virgen FWD211
-