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Toluca v Cruz Azul : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

The Liga MX is the focus for both Toluca and Cruz Azul on Sunday morning, as bosses Patrick Glockner and Vicente Martín Sánchez Bragunde go head to head at the Estadio Nemesio Díez. For each and every Liga MX fixture, KickOff explores the statistics for all of the biggest markets. Key stats, including head-to-head results, are then given alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Cruz Azul's next match is v Leon at 23:00 on Tuesday 6th May
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Toluca and Cruz Azul was on Sunday 20th April 2025
Mexican Liga MX
April 20th 2025
Toluca 2
2 Cruz Azul
 
J. Domínguez Chonteco 30'2' G. Fernández Leites
J. Gallardo Vasconcelos 43'45' C. Rotondi
 
TOL
CAZ
Shots On
5
5
Shots Off
5
5
Corners
3
6
Possession
59%
41%
Fouls
12
18
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
TolucaCruz Azul
 
P. López Sabata
E. López (D. Barbosa Zaragoza 55')
J. Gallardo Vasconcelosfootball icon
B. Méndez Cittadini
A. Pereira Castelnoble
J. Angulo Uriarte (R. Morales 83')
H. Herrera López (F. Romero 55')
M. Ruiz Suárez
E. Vega Rojas
J. Domínguez Chontecofootball icon (H. Nunes de Castro 77')
J. Dias Fernandes
K. Mier Robles
J. Sánchez Ramos
W. Ditta Pérez
J. Orozco Chiquete
(C. Rodríguez Gómez 62') A. Gutiérrez Torres
(M. Bogusz 78') A. Montaño
L. Faravelli
E. Lira Méndez
(A. Morales Rosas 62') L. Romero
(G. Giakoumakis 77') football iconG. Fernández Leites
football iconC. Rotondi

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toluca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
51%
6/5
27%
-
Draw
23%
12/5
3%
-
Cruz Azul
25%
9/4
35%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
8%
-
Toluca 2-1
10%
17/2
12%
-
Toluca 1-0
9%
11/1
71%
-
Toluca 2-0
8%
12/1
63%
-
Cruz Azul 2-1
6%
11/1
29%
-
Cruz Azul 1-0
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
9/1
33%
-
Toluca 3-1
6%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1
50%
-
Toluca 3-0
5%
20/1
62%
-
Cruz Azul 2-0
4%
18/1
27%
-
Toluca 3-2
3%
20/1
19%
-
Cruz Azul 3-1
3%
22/1
44%
-
Toluca 4-1
3%
28/1-
Cruz Azul 3-2
2%
25/1
37%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/7
19%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
27/20
27%
-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/6
11%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/5
27%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
50%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
1/2
17%
-
BTTS - No
43%
6/4
28%
-
BTTS - Home Win
26%
13/5
4%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
3/1
16%
-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
4/1
47%
-
Home/draw
75%
1/3
14%
-
Away/draw
49%
4/6
19%
-
Home/away
77%
3/10
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/6
9%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4/1
43%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
5/4
34%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/7
21%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
3/1
38%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
2/9
10%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
7/1
47%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/12
5%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
50%
-
Home DNB
68%
4/7
22%
-
Away DNB
42%
5/4
36%
-
Toluca win to nil
26%
7/2
64%
-
Cruz Azul win to nil
12%
6/1
22%
-
Toluca / Toluca
24%
5/2
27%
-
Toluca / Cruz Azul
3%
25/1
37%
-
Toluca / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw / Toluca
15%
9/2
22%
-
Draw / Cruz Azul
11%
13/2
21%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
-
Cruz Azul / Toluca
4%
20/1
9%
-
Cruz Azul / Cruz Azul
17%
4/1
38%
-
Cruz Azul / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
6
Toluca have won 6 consecutive league games
7
Toluca have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca2 - 1S. Laguna
Toluca3 - 2Pachuca
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Toluca5 - 0Queretaro
Toluca2 - 1Guadalajara
Toluca1 - 0Tigres
Toluca1 - 1Monterrey
Toluca0 - 2America
Toluca4 - 0America
Toluca2 - 2Leon
Toluca5 - 0Puebla
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca4 - 1Atlas
Toluca4 - 0Tijuana
Toluca2 - 1A. San Luis
Toluca3 - 0Mazatlan
Toluca3 - 2Juarez
Toluca0 - 0Guadalajara
Toluca0 - 1Cruz Azul
Toluca4 - 1Atlas
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca1 - 0A. San Luis
AToluca3 - 2Atlas
HToluca2 - 1S. Laguna
HToluca3 - 2Pachuca
AToluca3 - 0Puebla
HToluca5 - 2Necaxa
AToluca0 - 3America
HToluca5 - 0Queretaro
AToluca4 - 0Juarez
HToluca2 - 1Guadalajara
AToluca3 - 3Leon
HToluca1 - 0Tigres
AToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
AToluca1 - 2Mazatlan
HToluca1 - 1Monterrey
AToluca4 - 2Tijuana
HToluca0 - 2America
AToluca0 - 2America
HToluca4 - 0America
AToluca1 - 2Tigres
Cruz Azul 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
America0 - 0Cruz Azul
Guadalajara0 - 1Cruz Azul
Mazatlan1 - 1Cruz Azul
S. Laguna0 - 1Cruz Azul
Tigres2 - 1Cruz Azul
Tijuana2 - 3Cruz Azul
Necaxa1 - 3Cruz Azul
Juarez1 - 0Cruz Azul
America0 - 0Cruz Azul
Tijuana3 - 0Cruz Azul
Atlas2 - 2Cruz Azul
Pumas UNAM0 - 2Cruz Azul
Puebla1 - 2Cruz Azul
Pachuca2 - 4Cruz Azul
A. San Luis3 - 1Cruz Azul
Leon1 - 2Cruz Azul
Queretaro0 - 2Cruz Azul
Monterrey0 - 4Cruz Azul
America1 - 0Cruz Azul
Monterrey0 - 1Cruz Azul
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCruz Azul2 - 1Leon
ACruz Azul0 - 0America
HCruz Azul3 - 2Pumas UNAM
ACruz Azul1 - 0Guadalajara
HCruz Azul3 - 0A. San Luis
HCruz Azul1 - 1Monterrey
ACruz Azul1 - 1Mazatlan
HCruz Azul1 - 0Queretaro
ACruz Azul1 - 0S. Laguna
ACruz Azul1 - 2Tigres
HCruz Azul2 - 1Pachuca
ACruz Azul3 - 2Tijuana
ACruz Azul3 - 1Necaxa
HCruz Azul1 - 1Puebla
ACruz Azul0 - 1Juarez
HCruz Azul1 - 1Atlas
HCruz Azul3 - 4America
ACruz Azul0 - 0America
HCruz Azul3 - 0Tijuana
ACruz Azul0 - 3Tijuana
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toluca since 2019
Toluca
Cruz Azul
Goals: Scored
12
11
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
TOL
3
D
2
CAZ
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
0 - 1Cruz Azul
Toluca3 - 1
1 - 4Cruz Azul
Toluca2 - 1
Toluca2 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Cruz Azul since 2018
Cruz Azul
Toluca
Goals: Scored
15
10
Games: Scored
7 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
1 / 8
TOL
2
D
2
CAZ
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cruz Azul
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Toluca
2 - 3Toluca
Cruz Azul4 - 0
Cruz Azul3 - 1
Cruz Azul3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Cruz Azul1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Toluca have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Liga MX outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Cruz Azul on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Toluca 2nd Cruz Azul 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Cruz Azul will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Toluca have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
-1
Cruz Azul’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.6
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289306/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Cruz Azul
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
6%
better
TOL
CAZ
view stats
Games scored30
33
Failed to score5
4
Scored first24
21
Goals scored77
69
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.9
Avg. shots per game12
12
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
15
Avg. XG for1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
TOL
CAZ
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
21
Clean sheets11
16
Conceded first10
14
Goals conceded40
33
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
13%
Avg. XG against1
0.8
KickOff rating
+8%

Toluca v Cruz Azul Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33251110
M RuízPaulinhoA VegaM Ruíz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P López GLK9
2
-
B Méndez DEF20
1
1
F Pereira DEF241
6
1
E López DEF11
1
-
J Gallardo DEF3267
6
-
H Herrera MID112
1
-
M Ruíz MID3437
10
-
J Domínguez MID293
2
-
J Uriarte MID3387
1
-
A Vega MID351211
6
-
Paulinho FWD33257
6
-
Subs
R Dimas GLK
-
B García DEF2511
3
-
D Barbosa DEF131
2
-
Luan DEF302
3
-
F Romero MID12
3
-
Helinho  MID203
2
-
F Amaya MID152
1
-
I Violante FWD2764
5
-
I López FWD211
-
R Morales FWD1631
-
Cruz Azul Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
351479
K MierÁngel SepúlvedaC RodríguezW Ditta
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Mier GLK35
1
-
W Ditta DEF341
9
-
E Lira DEF321
5
-
J Chiquete DEF11
5
-
J Sánchez MID2812
3
1
A Gutiérrez MID3235
-
L Faravelli MID3171
6
-
C Rotondi MID32106
3
-
G Fernández FWD1833
1
-
A Montaño FWD252
1
-
L Romero FWD1111
1
-
Subs
A Gudiño GLK
-
C Vargas DEF5
-
M Bogusz MID813
1
-
I Rivero MID32122
5
1
A Moreno MID5
1
-
C Rodríguez MID347
7
-
A. Morales Rosas MID2022
1
-
L Gutiérrez FWD1
-
Ángel Sepúlveda FWD33141
5
-
G Giakoumakis FWD2897
9
-