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Toluca v Cruz Azul : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

Toluca are in Liga MX action on Sunday morning, as Renato Manuel Alves Paiva looks to get one over on Martin Anselmi and his Cruz Azul side at the Estadio Nemesio Díez. Team form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all laid out below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. Here we've gone for , but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

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The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Toluca and Cruz Azul was on Sunday 28th April 2024

Mexican Liga MX

April 28th 2024

Toluca 0	1 Cruz Azul

	18' W. Ditta Pérez

	TOL CAZ
Shots On	3 5
Shots Off	11 5
Corners	6 4
Possession	59% 41%
Fouls	4 3
Yellow/red cards	2/0

Toluca	Cruz Azul

T. Volpi J. Escobar Chena B. García Carpizo C. Orrantía Treviño (R. Morales 79') A. Pereira Castelnoble J. Angulo Uriarte (E. López Rodríguez 61') M. Ruiz Suárez (V. Arteaga Camarena 61') T. Belmonte M. Araújo Vilches J. Meneses Villarroel (J. Domínguez Chonteco 85') E. Vega Rojas	K. Mier Robles C. Salcedo Hernández W. Ditta Pérez (E. Lira Méndez 46') G. Piovi C. Cándido Aquino C. Rotondi C. Rodríguez Gómez R. Huescas J. Rivero Segade (A. Gutiérrez Torres 63') L. Faravelli (Á. Sepúlveda Sánchez 88') C. Antuna Romero

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% chance of Toluca and Cruz Azul serving up at least a couple of goals in this Liga MX match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toluca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral	Betfred	888Sport
Toluca 52%	17/10 35%	-	-	-
Draw 24%	12/5 3%	-	-	-
Cruz Azul 24%	6/4 31%	-	-	-
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2	-	-	-
Toluca 1-0 10%	10/1 29%	-	-	-
Toluca 2-1 10%	9/1 18%	-	-	-
Toluca 2-0 9%	14/1 50%	-	-	-
Cruz Azul 1-0 7%	10/1 8%	-	-	-
Cruz Azul 2-1 6%	9/1 17%	-	-	-
Draw 0-0 6%	12/1 18%	-	-	-
Toluca 3-1 6%	20/1 40%	-	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	11/1 8%	-	-	-
Toluca 3-0 5%	28/1 71%	-	-	-
Cruz Azul 2-0 4%	14/1 21%	-	-	-
Toluca 3-2 3%	25/1 13%	-	-	-
Toluca 4-1 2%	40/1 21%	-	-	-
Cruz Azul 3-1 2%	18/1 34%	-	-	-
Toluca 4-0 2%	50/1 50%	-	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 54%	4/6 7%	-	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 46%	23/20 8%	-	-	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	21/20 27%	-	-	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	4/5 28%	-	-	-
No 1st Goal 3%	12/1 18%	-	-	-
BTTS - Yes 55%	4/7 8%	-	-	-
BTTS - No 45%	5/4 10%	-	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 25%	15/4 19%	-	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	3/1 11%	-	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 12%	7/2 31%	-	-	-
Home/draw 76%	1/2 16%	-	-	-
Away/draw 48%	4/9 20%	-	-	-
Home/away 76%	3/10 1%	-	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	1/5 4%	-	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	10/3 15%	-	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	13/8 13%	-	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	4/9 6%	-	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	4/1 17%	-	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1/6 4%	-	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	9/1 23%	-	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/16 2%	-	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/33 2%	-	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	14/1 36%	-	-	-
Home DNB 69%	10/11 33%	-	-	-
Away DNB 41%	4/5 31%	-	-	-
Toluca win to nil 27%	9/2 47%	-	-	-
Cruz Azul win to nil 12%	4/1 23%	-	-	-
Toluca / Toluca 19%	10/3 33%	-	-	-
Toluca / Cruz Azul 4%	22/1 21%	-	-	-
Toluca / Draw 6%	12/1	-	-	-
Draw / Toluca 13%	11/2 30%	-	-	-
Draw / Cruz Azul 14%	5/1 25%	-	-	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1 9%	-	-	-
Cruz Azul / Toluca 4%	22/1	-	-	-
Cruz Azul / Cruz Azul 21%	3/1 33%	-	-	-
Cruz Azul / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	-	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

HOME FORM
Toluca	4 - 1	Atlas
Toluca	3 - 0	Pumas UNAM
Toluca	2 - 1	Tigres
Toluca	2 - 0	Tijuana
Toluca	1 - 0	S. Laguna
Toluca	4 - 1	Leon
Toluca	4 - 1	Mazatlan
Toluca	0 - 1	Puebla
Toluca	3 - 1	A. San Luis
Toluca	3 - 1	Queretaro
Toluca	1 - 1	Guadalajara
Toluca	1 - 1	America
Toluca	5 - 0	Pachuca
Toluca	1 - 0	Monterrey
Toluca	2 - 4	Juarez
Toluca	0 - 0	Necaxa
Toluca	3 - 1	Tigres
Toluca	3 - 0	Necaxa
Toluca	1 - 1	Juarez
Toluca	3 - 2	Tigres

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Toluca	5 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Toluca	1 - 5	America
H	Toluca	4 - 1	Atlas
A	Toluca	3 - 2	Pachuca
H	Toluca	3 - 0	Pumas UNAM
A	Toluca	1 - 1	Juarez
H	Toluca	2 - 1	Tigres
H	Toluca	2 - 0	Tijuana
H	Toluca	1 - 0	S. Laguna
A	Toluca	0 - 0	Monterrey
A	Toluca	3 - 3	Necaxa
H	Toluca	4 - 1	Leon
A	Toluca	2 - 3	Guadalajara
A	Toluca	1 - 1	Puebla
H	Toluca	4 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Toluca	2 - 2	Queretaro
A	Toluca	0 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Toluca	1 - 3	S. Laguna
H	Toluca	0 - 1	Puebla
H	Toluca	3 - 1	A. San Luis

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Puebla	0 - 1	Cruz Azul
Pumas UNAM	0 - 0	Cruz Azul
S. Laguna	3 - 0	Cruz Azul
America	1 - 0	Cruz Azul
Leon	2 - 3	Cruz Azul
Queretaro	1 - 3	Cruz Azul
Juarez	0 - 0	Cruz Azul
Guadalajara	1 - 0	Cruz Azul
Tigres	2 - 1	Cruz Azul
Necaxa	1 - 3	Cruz Azul
A. San Luis	1 - 2	Cruz Azul
Mazatlan	2 - 2	Cruz Azul
Monterrey	1 - 2	Cruz Azul
Pachuca	1 - 0	Cruz Azul
Tijuana	2 - 1	Cruz Azul
Atlas	2 - 0	Cruz Azul
Guadalajara	2 - 1	Cruz Azul
Leon	0 - 0	Cruz Azul
Pachuca	0 - 2	Cruz Azul
Queretaro	2 - 2	Cruz Azul

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Cruz Azul	2 - 2	Atlas
A	Cruz Azul	1 - 0	Puebla
H	Cruz Azul	2 - 1	Monterrey
A	Cruz Azul	0 - 0	Pumas UNAM
H	Cruz Azul	1 - 2	Necaxa
A	Cruz Azul	0 - 3	S. Laguna
H	Cruz Azul	3 - 0	Guadalajara
A	Cruz Azul	0 - 1	America
A	Cruz Azul	3 - 2	Leon
H	Cruz Azul	1 - 0	Tigres
H	Cruz Azul	3 - 0	A. San Luis
A	Cruz Azul	3 - 1	Queretaro
H	Cruz Azul	1 - 0	Tijuana
H	Cruz Azul	2 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Cruz Azul	0 - 0	Juarez
H	Cruz Azul	0 - 1	Pachuca
H	Cruz Azul	1 - 2	Puebla
A	Cruz Azul	0 - 1	Guadalajara
H	Cruz Azul	2 - 0	Juarez
H	Cruz Azul	1 - 0	Leon

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Toluca have beaten Cruz Azul in 3 consecutive league meetings

Toluca

Cruz Azul

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

0 / 6

TOL

CAZ

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca	3 - 1
	1 - 4	Cruz Azul
Toluca	2 - 1
Toluca	2 - 0
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Toluca

Cruz Azul

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

11 / 13

Clean sheets

2 / 13

TOL

CAZ

FIXTURE HISTORY
	0 - 2	Toluca
Toluca	3 - 1
	2 - 3	Toluca
	1 - 4	Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul	4 - 0
Cruz Azul	3 - 1
Toluca	2 - 1
Cruz Azul	3 - 2
Toluca	2 - 0
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Cruz Azul	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Toluca have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Liga MX outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Cruz Azul on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Toluca 12th	Cruz Azul 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 27% 3 15% 4+ 10% There is a 82% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Cruz Azul will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+22 Toluca have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted	-11 Cruz Azul have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.3 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.2 conceded

Statistics Liga MX - 2023/2023 Season

16%

better

TOL

CAZ

view stats

Games scored	27		25
Failed to score	7		9
Scored first	16		17
Goals scored	61		44
Avg. goals scored	1.8		1.3
Avg. shots per game	11		12
Avg. shots per goal	6		9
Conversion rate	17%		11%
KickOff rating		+16%

better

TOL

CAZ

view stats

Games conceded	25		24
Clean sheets	9		10
Conceded first	15		15
Goals conceded	42		43
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate	12%		14%
KickOff rating		+1%

Toluca v Cruz Azul Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2023

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	9	8	8
T Volpi	T Volpi	J Meneses	M Ruíz

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Volpi GLK	32	9		3 -
C Orrantía DEF	22		4	1 -
J Escobar DEF	10			2 -
F Pereira DEF	15	3	1	4 -
B García DEF	31	2	5	4 -
T Belmonte MID	25	2	2	4 1
M Ruíz MID	30	2	4	8 -
M Vilches MID	29	3	3	5 1
J Uriarte MID	29	4	2	3 -
J Meneses MID	30	4	8	1 1
A Vega FWD	11	5	2	3 -
Subs
L García GLK				-
A Mora DEF	6			1 -
E López DEF	2			-
M Isaís DEF	14			1 -
V Camarena MID	4			-
I López FWD	31	5	1	5 -
J Gamboa FWD	3			-
R Morales FWD	24	4	2	4 -
I Violante FWD	9			1 -
J Domínguez FWD	27	8	4	1 1

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	19	8	7
T Volpi	J Domínguez	J Meneses	J Meneses

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Volpi GLK	9	9
A Vega FWD	5	10	2	1
J Uriarte MID	4	12	2	3
J Meneses MID	4	8	8	7
F Pereira DEF	3	5	1	1
M Vilches MID	3	16	3	6
B García DEF	2	11	5	4
T Belmonte MID	2	4	2	2
M Ruíz MID	2	14	4	6
C Orrantía DEF		2	4	4
J Escobar DEF		1		1
Subs
J Domínguez FWD	8	19	4	3
I López FWD	5	12	1	6
R Morales FWD	4	15	2	5
M Isaís DEF		2
I Violante FWD		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1434	78	162
B García	M Ruíz	M Ruíz

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
B García DEF	1434	42	86
M Ruíz MID	1384	78	162
T Volpi GLK	1049	1	12
J Meneses MID	931	35	113
F Pereira DEF	918	26	76
M Vilches MID	854	33	124
J Uriarte MID	802	17	51
T Belmonte MID	770	44	90
J Escobar DEF	476	6	36
C Orrantía DEF	456	23	34
A Vega FWD	309	14	39
Subs
J Domínguez FWD	718	28	94
I López FWD	435	14	59
M Isaís DEF	356	10	41
R Morales FWD	224	11	50
A Mora DEF	132	1	3
E López DEF	69	5	6
I Violante FWD	58	2	7
J Gamboa FWD	42	4	4
V Camarena MID	8	1	2

Cruz Azul Liga MX squad statistics 2023

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	13	6	9
U Antuna	U Antuna	U Antuna	W Ditta

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Mier GLK	15			-
C Salcedo DEF	26			6 -
W Ditta DEF	26	1		7 2
G Piovi DEF	15			2 -
C Cándido DEF	14			1 -
R Huescas MID	31	2	5	4 -
I Rivero MID	29	2	4	9 -
C Rotondi MID	30	5	2	6 -
C Rodríguez MID	28	1	2	6 1
L Faravelli MID	15	1		4 -
U Antuna FWD	29	13	6	4 -
Subs
A Gudiño GLK	14			3 -
J García DEF				-
R Rubio DEF	1			-
A. Morales Rosas MID	6			-
M Zaleta MID	4			2 -
L. Estrada Derbez Benavente MID				-
E Lira MID	28			3 -
A Gutiérrez MID	24		1	1 -
B. Gamboa Galarza FWD	4			1 -
Ángel Sepúlveda FWD	26	8	4	3 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	28	6	10
U Antuna	U Antuna	U Antuna	I Rivero

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
U Antuna FWD	13	28	6	5
C Rotondi MID	5	14	2	6
I Rivero MID	2	18	4	10
R Huescas MID	2	3	5	5
W Ditta DEF	1	3
C Rodríguez MID	1	11	2	7
L Faravelli MID	1	5		1
C Salcedo DEF		1		1
G Piovi DEF		6		1
C Cándido DEF				1
Subs
Ángel Sepúlveda FWD	8	21	4	3
A Gudiño GLK		1
E Lira MID				1
A Gutiérrez MID		2	1	1
B. Gamboa Galarza FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1634	64	127
C Rodríguez	C Rotondi	C Rotondi

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
C Rodríguez MID	1634	38	89
W Ditta DEF	1585	37	93
I Rivero MID	1193	49	126
C Salcedo DEF	1145	14	76
G Piovi DEF	1053	35	64
R Huescas MID	810	41	103
U Antuna FWD	806	13	85
C Rotondi MID	671	64	127
L Faravelli MID	584	29	47
K Mier GLK	520	1	5
C Cándido DEF	241	4	8
Subs
E Lira MID	1413	45	96
A Gutiérrez MID	389	11	37
Ángel Sepúlveda FWD	334	9	92
A Gudiño GLK	325		5
A. Morales Rosas MID	21	2	4
B. Gamboa Galarza FWD	20	1	1
M Zaleta MID	14	2	4
R Rubio DEF	8		2

Mexican Liga MX match betting previews, predictions and odds

Toluca v Cruz Azul : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Toluca v Cruz Azul Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

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