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Guadalajara v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio AKRON, Zapopan

Guadalajara and Toluca meet at the Estadio AKRON on Thursday morning, with both Fernando Rubén Gago and Renato Manuel Alves Paiva aiming for victory in the Liga MX. Liga MX statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and odds available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga MX Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Guadalajara's next match is v America at 03:00 on Sunday 19th May

The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Guadalajara and Toluca was on Thursday 9th May 2024

Mexican Liga MX

May 9th 2024

Guadalajara 1	0 Toluca

V. Guzmán Guzmán 87'

	GUA TOL
Shots On	1 4
Shots Off	3 4
Corners	3 3
Possession	51% 49%
Fouls	8 3
Yellow/red cards	1/0 1/0

Guadalajara	Toluca

J. Rangel Aguilar A. Mozo Rodríguez G. Sepúlveda López J. Castillo J. Orozco Chiquete É. Gutiérrez Galaviz F. Beltrán Cruz J. Hernández Balcázar (R. Marín Sánchez 69') I. Brizuela Muñoz (V. Guzmán Guzmán 69') P. Uriel Perez Hernandez (C. Cowell 80') R. Alvarado Hernández	T. Volpi J. Escobar Chena A. Pereira Castelnoble (M. Ruiz Suárez 88') C. Orrantía Treviño B. García Carpizo C. Baeza Baeza J. Meneses Villarroel (E. López Rodríguez 75') J. Angulo Uriarte T. Belmonte (M. Araújo Vilches 75') J. Domínguez Chonteco E. Vega Rojas

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Both Toluca and Guadalajara fans may have some reason for celebration ahead as their teams go head-to-head, with a match prediction of both teams to score looking a far stronger pick than any bet on the WDW market. The two teams are more than capable of finding the net, as is borne out by the stats and past head-to-head data below. Even the bookies odds are not finding much to pick between the sides, a sign of the qualities (or lack of) each side possesses. Both teams to score is the way to go here.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Guadalajara are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Guadalajara 46%	11/8 6%	-
Draw 24%	12/5 3%	-
Toluca 30%	2/1 3%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2 7%	-
Guadalajara 2-1 9%	17/2	-
Guadalajara 1-0 8%	15/2 23%	-
Toluca 2-1 7%	10/1	-
Guadalajara 2-0 7%	11/1 8%	-
Toluca 1-0 6%	9/1 23%	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1 8%	-
Guadalajara 3-1 5%	18/1 12%	-
Draw 0-0 5%	10/1 27%	-
Toluca 2-0 4%	14/1 12%	-
Guadalajara 3-0 4%	22/1 10%	-
Guadalajara 3-2 3%	25/1 24%	-
Toluca 3-1 3%	22/1 10%	-
Toluca 3-2 3%	28/1 12%	-
Guadalajara 4-1 2%	40/1 21%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 58%	9/10 17%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 42%	9/10 16%	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	4/5 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	6/5	-
No 1st Goal 3%	10/1 27%	-
BTTS - Yes 60%	7/10 11%	-
BTTS - No 40%	21/20 14%	-
BTTS - Home Win 24%	7/2 13%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 17%	9/2 10%	-
Home/draw 70%	4/11 3%	-
Away/draw 54%	8/15 6%	-
Home/away 76%	3/10 1%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	2/7 9%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	5/2 22%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 36%	9/4 30%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 64%	1/3 11%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 19%	11/2 44%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 81%	1/9 6%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	12/1 30%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/25 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/20 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	10/1 27%	-
Home DNB 62%	4/6	-
Away DNB 47%	11/10	-
Guadalajara win to nil 21%	3/1 11%	-
Toluca win to nil 14%	9/2 8%	-
Guadalajara / Guadalajara 22%	11/4	-
Guadalajara / Toluca 3%	28/1 12%	-
Guadalajara / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Guadalajara 15%	9/2 8%	-
Draw / Toluca 13%	11/2 7%	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2 8%	-
Toluca / Guadalajara 3%	25/1 13%	-
Toluca / Toluca 17%	15/4 6%	-
Toluca / Draw 6%	14/1 15%	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM
Guadalajara	2 - 0	Queretaro
Guadalajara	3 - 2	Puebla
Guadalajara	0 - 0	America
Guadalajara	1 - 2	Leon
Guadalajara	3 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Guadalajara	2 - 1	Juarez
Guadalajara	3 - 2	Toluca
Guadalajara	1 - 1	S. Laguna
Guadalajara	1 - 0	Pumas UNAM
Guadalajara	1 - 0	Cruz Azul
Guadalajara	0 - 4	Tigres
Guadalajara	4 - 1	Atlas
Guadalajara	1 - 3	Mazatlan
Guadalajara	0 - 0	Pachuca
Guadalajara	1 - 2	Monterrey
Guadalajara	1 - 0	Tijuana
Guadalajara	2 - 0	Necaxa
Guadalajara	3 - 1	A. San Luis
Guadalajara	2 - 2	Tigres
Guadalajara	0 - 1	America

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Guadalajara	1 - 0	Atlas
H	Guadalajara	2 - 0	Queretaro
A	Guadalajara	1 - 0	Pachuca
H	Guadalajara	3 - 2	Puebla
A	Guadalajara	2 - 0	Monterrey
H	Guadalajara	0 - 0	America
H	Guadalajara	1 - 2	Leon
A	Guadalajara	0 - 3	Cruz Azul
H	Guadalajara	3 - 1	Pumas UNAM
A	Guadalajara	0 - 1	Necaxa
A	Guadalajara	2 - 2	Mazatlan
H	Guadalajara	2 - 1	Juarez
A	Guadalajara	2 - 0	A. San Luis
H	Guadalajara	3 - 2	Toluca
A	Guadalajara	1 - 1	Tijuana
A	Guadalajara	0 - 1	Tigres
H	Guadalajara	1 - 1	S. Laguna
A	Guadalajara	0 - 3	Pumas UNAM
H	Guadalajara	1 - 0	Pumas UNAM
A	Guadalajara	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
A. San Luis	1 - 5	Toluca
America	5 - 1	Toluca
Pachuca	2 - 3	Toluca
Juarez	1 - 1	Toluca
Monterrey	0 - 0	Toluca
Necaxa	3 - 3	Toluca
Guadalajara	3 - 2	Toluca
Puebla	1 - 1	Toluca
Queretaro	2 - 2	Toluca
Mazatlan	1 - 0	Toluca
S. Laguna	3 - 1	Toluca
Leon	1 - 0	Toluca
Tigres	2 - 2	Toluca
Tijuana	2 - 1	Toluca
Atlas	0 - 0	Toluca
Pumas UNAM	1 - 1	Toluca
Cruz Azul	0 - 2	Toluca
Tigres	4 - 1	Toluca
Pumas UNAM	3 - 1	Toluca
Puebla	1 - 2	Toluca

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Toluca	0 - 1	Cruz Azul
A	Toluca	5 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Toluca	1 - 5	America
H	Toluca	4 - 1	Atlas
A	Toluca	3 - 2	Pachuca
H	Toluca	3 - 0	Pumas UNAM
A	Toluca	1 - 1	Juarez
H	Toluca	2 - 1	Tigres
H	Toluca	2 - 0	Tijuana
H	Toluca	1 - 0	S. Laguna
A	Toluca	0 - 0	Monterrey
A	Toluca	3 - 3	Necaxa
H	Toluca	4 - 1	Leon
A	Toluca	2 - 3	Guadalajara
A	Toluca	1 - 1	Puebla
H	Toluca	4 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Toluca	2 - 2	Queretaro
A	Toluca	0 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Toluca	1 - 3	S. Laguna
H	Toluca	0 - 1	Puebla

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Guadalajara

Toluca

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

0 / 6

GUA

TOL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Guadalajara
Guadalajara	3 - 2
	1 - 2	Toluca
Guadalajara	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Guadalajara	1 - 0

Guadalajara

Toluca

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 12

9 / 12

Clean sheets

3 / 12

2 / 12

GUA

TOL

FIXTURE HISTORY
Guadalajara	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Toluca
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Guadalajara	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Toluca	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 3	Guadalajara
Guadalajara	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

Guadalajara have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Liga MX matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Toluca on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Guadalajara 5th	Toluca 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 82% probability that Guadalajara will score 1 or more goals	0 26% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 74% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-3 Guadalajara’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+5 Toluca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.6 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.8 conceded

Statistics Liga MX - 2023/2023 Season

GUA

TOL

11%

better

view stats

Games scored	28		27
Failed to score	12		9
Scored first	21		16
Goals scored	48		61
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.7
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	8		6
Conversion rate	12%		16%
KickOff rating		+11%

better

GUA

TOL

view stats

Games conceded	25		26
Clean sheets	15		10
Conceded first	15		16
Goals conceded	43		43
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		8
Conversion rate	11%		12%
KickOff rating		+9%

Guadalajara v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Guadalajara Liga MX squad statistics 2023

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
38	11	7	10
F Beltran	R Hernández	R Hernández	J Chiquete

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Rangel GLK	22			4 -
A Mozo DEF	36		2	8 -
G Sepúlveda DEF	28	1		6 -
J Chiquete DEF	33		1	10 -
J Castillo DEF	11			3 -
Érick Gutiérrez MID	33	3	1	7 -
F Beltran MID	39	5	1	3 -
I Brizuela MID	22		2	1 -
R Hernández MID	35	11	7	8 -
P Pérez MID	24	1	2	3 -
Chicharito FWD	9	1		-
Subs
Óscar Whalley GLK				-
J Sánchez DEF	7			2 -
L. Sepúlveda DEF	8			1 1
A Briseño DEF	29	3	1	6 -
V Guzmán MID	31	7	4	8 -
C Cisneros MID	2			1 -
F González MID	30		1	6 -
J Sandoval MID	25	3	1	2 1
C Cowell FWD	17	1		1 -
R Sánchez FWD	35	6	1	3 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	29	7	10
R Hernández	R Hernández	R Hernández	R Hernández

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Hernández MID	11	29	7	10
F Beltran MID	5	15	1	6
Érick Gutiérrez MID	3	9	1	2
G Sepúlveda DEF	1	2		1
P Pérez MID	1	10	2	3
Chicharito FWD	1	3		1
A Mozo DEF		1	2	3
J Chiquete DEF			1	1
I Brizuela MID		4	2	3
Subs
V Guzmán MID	7	17	4	8
R Sánchez FWD	6	20	1	4
A Briseño DEF	3	6	1	2
J Sandoval MID	3	8	1
C Cowell FWD	1	9		4
C Cisneros MID		2
F González MID		2	1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1681	115	215
J Chiquete	A Mozo	A Mozo

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
J Chiquete DEF	1681	50	131
F Beltran MID	1644	76	152
Érick Gutiérrez MID	1486	91	192
R Hernández MID	1397	44	215
A Mozo DEF	1320	115	215
G Sepúlveda DEF	1238	32	127
J Rangel GLK	551	1	14
P Pérez MID	365	35	84
J Castillo DEF	325	17	37
I Brizuela MID	301	12	56
Chicharito FWD	53	1	12
Subs
A Briseño DEF	892	14	131
V Guzmán MID	885	50	102
F González MID	808	50	93
R Sánchez FWD	423	25	125
J Sandoval MID	231	26	61
L. Sepúlveda DEF	180	11	12
C Cowell FWD	153	8	33
J Sánchez DEF	152	22	28
C Cisneros MID	23		1

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2023

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
36	9	8	11
T Volpi	T Volpi	J Meneses	C Baeza

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Volpi GLK	36	9		3 -
C Orrantía DEF	26		4	1 -
J Escobar DEF	14			2 -
F Pereira DEF	19	3	2	4 -
B García DEF	35	3	5	5 1
T Belmonte MID	29	2	2	4 1
C Baeza MID	32	1		11 -
J Domínguez MID	31	8	4	1 1
J Uriarte MID	33	5	2	3 -
J Meneses MID	34	6	8	2 1
A Vega FWD	15	6	4	4 -
Subs
L García GLK				-
J Piñuelas DEF	5			2 1
V Huerta DEF	23		1	3 -
M Isaís DEF	15			1 -
V Camarena MID	6			-
M Vilches MID	33	3	3	5 1
M Ruíz MID	33	2	4	9 -
I López FWD	35	5	1	5 -
R Morales FWD	26	4	2	4 -
I Violante FWD	10			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	21	8	8
T Volpi	J Domínguez	J Meneses	I López

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Volpi GLK	9	9
J Domínguez MID	8	21	4	4
J Meneses MID	6	12	8	7
A Vega FWD	6	13	4	3
J Uriarte MID	5	14	2	3
F Pereira DEF	3	6	2	2
B García DEF	3	14	5	5
T Belmonte MID	2	5	2	2
C Baeza MID	1	4
C Orrantía DEF		3	4	4
J Escobar DEF		1		2
Subs
I López FWD	5	14	1	8
R Morales FWD	4	16	2	5
M Vilches MID	3	16	3	7
M Ruíz MID	2	15	4	6
V Huerta DEF		2	1	1
M Isaís DEF		2
I Violante FWD		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1631	82	169
C Baeza	M Ruíz	M Ruíz

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
C Baeza MID	1631	78	138
B García DEF	1587	50	94
F Pereira DEF	1185	32	94
T Volpi GLK	1176	1	13
J Meneses MID	1023	39	131
T Belmonte MID	941	54	105
J Uriarte MID	923	20	58
J Domínguez MID	788	30	102
J Escobar DEF	695	11	54
C Orrantía DEF	560	28	40
A Vega FWD	426	19	61
Subs
V Huerta DEF	1564	26	76
M Ruíz MID	1494	82	169
M Vilches MID	942	36	141
I López FWD	463	15	60
M Isaís DEF	360	10	41
R Morales FWD	226	11	51
J Piñuelas DEF	105	3	8
I Violante FWD	61	2	8
V Camarena MID	47	1	2

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Guadalajara v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Guadalajara v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

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