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Guadalajara v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Jul, 02:00 BST, Estadio AKRON, Zapopan

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Liga MX, and Gabriel Alejandro Milito’s Guadalajara will have the luxury of it on Sunday morning. Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich’s Toluca are their visitors to the Estadio AKRON. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds are provided too.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Guadalajara
46%
--
Draw
25%
--
Toluca
28%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Guadalajara 1-0
11%
--
Guadalajara 2-1
9%
--
Guadalajara 2-0
8%
--
Toluca 1-0
8%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Toluca 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Guadalajara 3-1
5%
--
Toluca 2-0
4%
--
Guadalajara 3-0
4%
--
Guadalajara 3-2
3%
--
Toluca 3-1
3%
--
Toluca 3-2
2%
--
Guadalajara 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
53%
--
BTTS - No
47%
--
BTTS - Home Win
21%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
72%
--
Away/draw
54%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
64%
--
Away DNB
46%
--
Guadalajara win to nil
25%
--
Toluca win to nil
15%
--
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Win / draw / win form
4
Toluca have lost 4 consecutive away league games
5
Toluca have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Guadalajara 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Guadalajara1 - 2Cruz Azul
Guadalajara2 - 0Tigres
Guadalajara0 - 0Tijuana
Guadalajara5 - 0Puebla
Guadalajara2 - 2Pumas UNAM
Guadalajara5 - 0Leon
Guadalajara3 - 0S. Laguna
Guadalajara1 - 0America
Guadalajara2 - 1Queretaro
Guadalajara2 - 0Pachuca
Guadalajara0 - 0Cruz Azul
Guadalajara4 - 2Monterrey
Guadalajara4 - 1Atlas
Guadalajara2 - 0Mazatlan
Guadalajara3 - 1Necaxa
Guadalajara0 - 3Toluca
Guadalajara0 - 0Tigres
Guadalajara1 - 2Cruz Azul
Guadalajara1 - 2Juarez
Guadalajara4 - 3A. San Luis
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGuadalajara1 - 2Cruz Azul
AGuadalajara2 - 2Cruz Azul
HGuadalajara2 - 0Tigres
AGuadalajara1 - 3Tigres
HGuadalajara0 - 0Tijuana
AGuadalajara0 - 0Necaxa
HGuadalajara5 - 0Puebla
AGuadalajara1 - 4Tigres
HGuadalajara2 - 2Pumas UNAM
AGuadalajara3 - 2Monterrey
HGuadalajara5 - 0Leon
HGuadalajara3 - 0S. Laguna
AGuadalajara2 - 1Atlas
AGuadalajara0 - 2Toluca
AGuadalajara1 - 2Cruz Azul
HGuadalajara1 - 0America
AGuadalajara2 - 1Mazatlan
AGuadalajara3 - 2A. San Luis
HGuadalajara2 - 1Queretaro
AGuadalajara1 - 0Juarez
Toluca 5TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pachuca2 - 0Toluca
Mazatlan4 - 3Toluca
America2 - 1Toluca
Queretaro1 - 0Toluca
Pachuca1 - 1Toluca
Pumas UNAM2 - 3Toluca
Necaxa0 - 3Toluca
Puebla0 - 0Toluca
Tigres0 - 0Toluca
Monterrey0 - 1Toluca
Tigres1 - 0Toluca
Monterrey1 - 0Toluca
Juarez1 - 2Toluca
Atlas0 - 0Toluca
Tijuana0 - 0Toluca
Leon2 - 4Toluca
Guadalajara0 - 3Toluca
A. San Luis1 - 3Toluca
Cruz Azul1 - 0Toluca
Juarez0 - 2Toluca
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca0 - 2Pachuca
HToluca0 - 1Pachuca
HToluca4 - 1Leon
AToluca3 - 4Mazatlan
AToluca1 - 2America
HToluca1 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca0 - 1Queretaro
AToluca1 - 1Pachuca
HToluca1 - 1Atlas
HToluca3 - 1Juarez
AToluca3 - 2Pumas UNAM
HToluca2 - 0Guadalajara
AToluca3 - 0Necaxa
HToluca1 - 0Tijuana
HToluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
AToluca0 - 0Puebla
AToluca0 - 0Tigres
HToluca3 - 1S. Laguna
AToluca1 - 0Monterrey
HToluca2 - 1Tigres
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Guadalajara since 2019
Guadalajara
Toluca
Goals: Scored
11
10
Games: Scored
7 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
2 / 9
GUA
4
D
3
TOL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Guadalajara
0 - 3Toluca
Draw0 - 0Draw
Guadalajara1 - 0
Guadalajara3 - 2
1 - 2Toluca
Guadalajara2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Guadalajara1 - 0
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
Guadalajara
Goals: Scored
10
8
Games: Scored
7 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
2 / 9
GUA
1
D
5
TOL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca2 - 0
Toluca2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca1 - 0
1 - 3Guadalajara
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Guadalajara's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because Toluca have conceded in each of their last 11 Liga MX matches. A PG of 1.5 for G. Milito's side suggests that run should continue.

Guadalajara 1st Toluca 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Guadalajara will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Toluca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Guadalajara have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-15
Toluca have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season
Guadalajara
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
%
better
GUA
TOL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
GUA
TOL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Guadalajara v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Guadalajara Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Óscar Whalley GLK
-
E. García Mendoza GLK
-
J Rangel GLK
-
L Mejía DEF
-
D Aguirre DEF
-
M Tapias DEF
-
G Sepúlveda DEF
-
L. Sepúlveda DEF
-
L Romo DEF
-
B González DEF
-
R Ledezma DEF
-
M Ortiz DEF
-
J Castillo DEF
-
D Campillo DEF
-
S Loboa MID
-
K Castañeda MID
-
O Govea MID
-
B Gutiérrez MID
-
E Álvarez MID
-
F González MID
-
J Rodriguez FWD
-
T Braams FWD
-
Ángel Sepúlveda FWD
-
R Hernández FWD
-
H. Camberos Figueroa FWD
-
R Sánchez FWD
-
J Perez FWD
-
A. González Alba FWD
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L García GLK
-
J Gallardo DEF
-
Luan DEF
-
B Méndez DEF
-
A Briseño DEF
-
F Pereira DEF
-
D Barbosa DEF
-
E López DEF
-
S Simón DEF
-
M Isaís DEF
-
Sebastián Aceves DEF
-
M Ruíz MID
-
J Uriarte MID
-
V Camarena MID
-
F Arce MID
-
N Castro MID
-
F Romero MID
-
V Guzmán MID
-
Érick Gutiérrez MID
-
I López FWD
-
Helinho  FWD
-
P Pérez FWD
-
J Price FWD
-
O. Virgen FWD
-
A Bermúdez FWD
-
F. Rossi Donazar FWD
-
Paulinho FWD
-
A Vega FWD
-