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Juárez v Tijuana : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Apr, 04:06 BST, Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juárez

Saturday morning sees Pedro Miguel Faria Caixinha’s Juárez and Washington Sebastián Abreu Gallo’s Tijuana go up against one another in a Liga MX battle at the Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez. For each and every Liga MX match preview, KickOff explores the statistics for multiple markets. Key stats, including head-to-head results, are then published alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Liga MX fixture, with Juarez and Tijuana going head-to-head, offers great potential in the highly popular under 2.5 goals market, with 3 goals or more being scored looking highly likely. Attackers on both sides will look to come out on the front foot and, having analysed the relevant statistics and odds, we're confident that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the one to go for.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Juarez are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.86.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Juarez 50%	43/50	-
Draw 21%	13/5	-
Tijuana 28%	13/5	-
Juarez 2-1 9%	15/2	-
Draw 1-1 9%	6/1	-
Draw 2-2 7%	12/1	-
Tijuana 2-1 7%	12/1	-
Juarez 3-1 6%	14/1	-
Juarez 2-0 6%	9/1	-
Juarez 1-0 6%	8/1	-
Juarez 3-2 5%	20/1	-
Tijuana 1-0 4%	12/1	-
Juarez 3-0 4%	16/1	-
Tijuana 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Tijuana 3-1 3%	25/1	-
Tijuana 2-0 3%	20/1	-
Juarez 4-1 3%	28/1	-
Draw 0-0 3%	12/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 68%	4/6	-
Under 2.5 Goals 32%	23/20	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	4/6	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	5/4	-
No 1st Goal 1%	12/1	-
BTTS - Yes 67%	8/13	-
BTTS - No 33%	6/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 31%	13/5	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 18%	11/2	-
Home/draw 72%	2/7	-
Away/draw 50%	10/11	-
Home/away 79%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 87%	1/5	-
Under 1.5 Goals 13%	10/3	-
Over 3.5 Goals 47%	13/8	-
Under 3.5 Goals 53%	4/9	-
Over 4.5 Goals 28%	4/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 72%	1/6	-
Over 5.5 Goals 14%	9/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 86%	1/16	-
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	12/1	-
Home DNB 65%	4/9	-
Away DNB 43%	13/8	-
Juarez win to nil 20%	11/4	-
Tijuana win to nil 10%	6/1	-
Juarez / Juarez 28%	2/1	-
Juarez / Tijuana 3%	28/1	-
Juarez / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Juarez 17%	4/1	-
Draw / Tijuana 10%	15/2	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	-
Tijuana / Juarez 4%	20/1	-
Tijuana / Tijuana 14%	5/1	-
Tijuana / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juarez	2 - 1	Tigres
Juarez	2 - 2	Monterrey
Juarez	3 - 1	Atlas
Juarez	1 - 2	Necaxa
Juarez	3 - 4	Cruz Azul
Juarez	0 - 1	Guadalajara
Juarez	1 - 2	Toluca
Juarez	2 - 1	Pachuca
Juarez	1 - 2	Queretaro
Juarez	4 - 4	Puebla
Juarez	2 - 2	Pachuca
Juarez	2 - 0	Leon
Juarez	3 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Juarez	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Juarez	2 - 1	S. Laguna
Juarez	0 - 2	Toluca
Juarez	1 - 1	America
Juarez	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Juarez	0 - 2	Queretaro
Juarez	2 - 2	Necaxa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Juarez	2 - 1	Tigres
H	Juarez	2 - 2	Monterrey
A	Juarez	1 - 3	Toluca
A	Juarez	2 - 1	America
H	Juarez	3 - 1	Atlas
H	Juarez	1 - 2	Necaxa
A	Juarez	0 - 2	Pachuca
H	Juarez	3 - 4	Cruz Azul
A	Juarez	2 - 2	S. Laguna
H	Juarez	0 - 1	Guadalajara
A	Juarez	2 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Juarez	0 - 0	Toluca
H	Juarez	1 - 2	Toluca
H	Juarez	2 - 1	Pachuca
A	Juarez	1 - 3	Tijuana
H	Juarez	1 - 2	Queretaro
A	Juarez	2 - 1	A. San Luis
H	Juarez	4 - 4	Puebla
A	Juarez	2 - 4	Monterrey
H	Juarez	2 - 2	Pachuca

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Necaxa	3 - 0	Tijuana
Leon	0 - 3	Tijuana
Atlas	2 - 1	Tijuana
Toluca	1 - 0	Tijuana
Monterrey	2 - 2	Tijuana
Queretaro	1 - 2	Tijuana
Tigres	5 - 0	Tijuana
Pumas UNAM	4 - 1	Tijuana
Tigres	2 - 0	Tijuana
Puebla	4 - 3	Tijuana
S. Laguna	1 - 0	Tijuana
A. San Luis	1 - 1	Tijuana
Pachuca	0 - 2	Tijuana
Mazatlan	2 - 2	Tijuana
America	3 - 1	Tijuana
S. Laguna	0 - 4	Tijuana
Mazatlan	0 - 2	Tijuana
Monterrey	1 - 2	Tijuana
Pachuca	4 - 1	Tijuana
Leon	2 - 1	Tijuana

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Tijuana	0 - 3	Necaxa
A	Tijuana	3 - 0	Leon
H	Tijuana	1 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Tijuana	1 - 2	Atlas
H	Tijuana	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
H	Tijuana	1 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Tijuana	0 - 1	Toluca
H	Tijuana	0 - 0	Puebla
A	Tijuana	2 - 2	Monterrey
H	Tijuana	1 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Tijuana	2 - 1	Queretaro
H	Tijuana	0 - 0	America
A	Tijuana	0 - 5	Tigres
H	Tijuana	3 - 0	Tigres
H	Tijuana	3 - 1	Juarez
H	Tijuana	2 - 0	Atlas
A	Tijuana	1 - 4	Pumas UNAM
A	Tijuana	0 - 2	Tigres
H	Tijuana	0 - 0	Toluca
A	Tijuana	3 - 4	Puebla

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Juarez

Tijuana

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

2 / 6

JUA

TIJ

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Juarez
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Tijuana
Juarez	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Juarez	3 - 0

Tijuana

Juarez

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

JUA

TIJ

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tijuana
Tijuana	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Juarez
Tijuana	5 - 1
	0 - 2	Juarez
Tijuana	1 - 0
Tijuana	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Tijuana's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday morning, not least because Juárez have conceded in each of their last 11 Liga MX games. A PG of 1.5 for W. Abreu Gallo's side suggests that run should continue.

	Juarez 10th	Tijuana 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.0 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 13% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 15% There is a 60% probability that Juarez will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Tijuana will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+5 Juarez’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+19 Tijuana have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

better

JUA

TIJ

view stats

Games scored	27		24
Failed to score	5		8
Scored first	15		18
Goals scored	49		47
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.5
Avg. shots per game	10		10
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	15		15
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.3
KickOff rating		+3%

JUA

TIJ

27%

better

view stats

Games conceded	29		21
Clean sheets	3		11
Conceded first	16		11
Goals conceded	54		43
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	17%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.4
KickOff rating		+27%

Juarez v Tijuana Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Juarez Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	13	8	11
S Roca	Óscar Estupiñán	J Francis	H Martínez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Roca GLK	32			1 -
D García MID	32	3	2	5 -
J Francis FWD	32	4	8	6 -
R Pizarro MID	31	4	2	4 -
A Mayorga DEF	28		3	8 1
G Castilho MID	28	6	2	7 -
Óscar Estupiñán FWD	28	13	3	6 -
H Martínez MID	27		1	11 -
R Fulgencio MID	25	1	2	2 -
J Murillo DEF	24	2	1	7 -
M Mosquera DEF	24			4 -
J Manríquez DEF	21			2 -
R. Oliveira António FWD	21	1	1	2 1
Madson FWD	20	3	1	2 -
F Nevárez DEF	14	1		3 -
J Torres FWD	12	3	2	3 1
J Aquino DEF	8			-
E. López Castro DEF	8			1 -
L Dupuy FWD	8		1	-
D. Ochoa DEF	7		1	1 -
Monchu MID	7	1		1 -
E Ayon FWD	6			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	22	8	13
Óscar Estupiñán	Óscar Estupiñán	J Francis	J Francis

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Óscar Estupiñán FWD	13	22	3
G Castilho MID	6	14	2	3
J Francis FWD	4	17	8	13
R Pizarro MID	4	8	2	3
D García MID	3	9	2	4
Madson FWD	3	12	1	1
J Torres FWD	3	5	2	2
J Murillo DEF	2	5	1	3
R Fulgencio MID	1	1	2	7
R. Oliveira António FWD	1	6	1	2
F Nevárez DEF	1	1		2
Monchu MID	1	3		4
A Mayorga DEF		3	3	10
H Martínez MID		6	1	2
M Mosquera DEF		2
J Manríquez DEF		1		1
E. López Castro DEF				2
L Dupuy FWD		6	1	2
D. Ochoa DEF			1	1
E Ayon FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1289	64	143
A Mayorga	D García	J Francis

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Mayorga DEF	1289	54	130
D García MID	1167	64	128
M Mosquera DEF	1117	24	105
J Murillo DEF	948	22	82
S Roca GLK	934	2	14
H Martínez MID	808	48	78
J Francis FWD	777	28	143
J Manríquez DEF	721	14	54
R Pizarro MID	665	28	119
G Castilho MID	626	43	85
Madson FWD	365	22	100
F Nevárez DEF	355	31	62
Óscar Estupiñán FWD	323	8	100
R Fulgencio MID	304	7	22
R. Oliveira António FWD	265	16	45
J Aquino DEF	230	10	23
D. Ochoa DEF	202	9	17
E. López Castro DEF	198	16	25
Monchu MID	197	13	20
J Torres FWD	151	6	29
L Dupuy FWD	20	2	19
E Ayon FWD	16		9

Tijuana Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	11	7	11
A Rodríguez	K Castañeda	K Castañeda	J Porozo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Rodríguez GLK	32			3 -
K Castañeda MID	32	11	7	4 -
A Gómez DEF	31	2		5 -
R Zárate MID	31	2	7	8 -
I Olmeda MID	31		1	9 -
J Porozo DEF	30	2		10 1
J Grijalva DEF	30		6	4 -
A Preciado FWD	30	3	2	4 -
R Fernández DEF	29	1	2	8 -
D Blanco FWD	28	1	1	2 1
U Bilbao DEF	24	2		5 -
M Ghezouani FWD	24	4		4 1
F Boya MID	19	6		4 -
G. Mora Zambrano MID	16	5	1	1 -
P Ortíz DEF	12		1	3 -
I Rivero MID	12			3 -
J Martínez FWD	8			-
K Escamilla MID	7			1 -
D Firenze FWD	7	2	1	-
Ángel Zapata MID	3			-
D Tobar DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	32	7	12
K Castañeda	K Castañeda	K Castañeda	K Castañeda

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Castañeda MID	11	32	7	12
F Boya MID	6	10		4
G. Mora Zambrano MID	5	10	1	4
M Ghezouani FWD	4	8
A Preciado FWD	3	11	2	4
A Gómez DEF	2	4
R Zárate MID	2	8	7	12
J Porozo DEF	2	3
U Bilbao DEF	2	5
D Firenze FWD	2	2	1	1
R Fernández DEF	1	2	2	3
D Blanco FWD	1	5	1	1
I Olmeda MID		4	1
J Grijalva DEF		4	6	4
P Ortíz DEF		1	1	1
I Rivero MID		8
J Martínez FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1566	78	152
I Olmeda	R Fernández	R Fernández

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
I Olmeda MID	1566	71	112
A Rodríguez GLK	1230	3	15
J Porozo DEF	1203	46	130
U Bilbao DEF	1167	42	112
K Castañeda MID	1058	29	100
R Fernández DEF	1008	78	152
A Gómez DEF	984	49	115
J Grijalva DEF	741	53	85
R Zárate MID	486	37	92
A Preciado FWD	369	40	148
G. Mora Zambrano MID	356	10	51
F Boya MID	338	25	108
M Ghezouani FWD	294	16	119
P Ortíz DEF	285	16	33
I Rivero MID	247	16	42
D Blanco FWD	161	24	68
K Escamilla MID	58	1	3
D Firenze FWD	43	3	9
J Martínez FWD	39		10
Ángel Zapata MID	19	2	2
D Tobar DEF	2	1	2