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Puebla v León : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Oct, 02:00 BST, Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla

Javier Marcelo Gandolfi guides his León team to the Estadio Cuauhtémoc in the Liga MX on Saturday morning, with Gerardo Espinoza Ahumada's Puebla waiting for them. Statistics drive the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and changing between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Puebla and Leon have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Puebla are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Puebla
39%
2/1-
Draw
27%
12/5-
Leon
35%
6/5-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Puebla 1-0
10%
9/1-
Leon 1-0
10%
15/2-
Puebla 2-1
8%
10/1-
Leon 2-1
8%
17/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
10/1-
Puebla 2-0
7%
14/1-
Leon 2-0
6%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1-
Puebla 3-1
4%
22/1-
Leon 3-1
3%
18/1-
Puebla 3-0
3%
28/1-
Leon 3-0
2%
20/1-
Puebla 3-2
2%
28/1-
Leon 3-2
2%
25/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
17/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
19/20-
Home 1st Goal
48%
11/10-
Away 1st Goal
47%
5/6-
No 1st Goal
5%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
52%
7/10-
BTTS - No
48%
21/20-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
7/2-
Home/draw
65%
8/13-
Away/draw
61%
4/11-
Home/away
73%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
9/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Home DNB
57%
11/10-
Away DNB
54%
4/6-
Puebla win to nil
21%
9/2-
Leon win to nil
19%
3/1-
Puebla / Puebla
18%
15/4-
Puebla / Leon
4%
22/1-
Puebla / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Puebla
12%
6/1-
Draw / Leon
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Leon / Puebla
3%
28/1-
Leon / Leon
22%
11/4-
Leon / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Puebla 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Puebla1 - 1Atlante
Puebla0 - 1Toluca
Puebla3 - 2S. Laguna
Puebla1 - 1Guadalajara
Puebla1 - 2Queretaro
Puebla0 - 1Leon
Puebla1 - 1Juarez
Puebla0 - 0Necaxa
Puebla3 - 1Tigres
Puebla0 - 4America
Puebla2 - 3Pumas UNAM
Puebla0 - 0Toluca
Puebla2 - 1Mazatlan
Puebla0 - 3Cruz Azul
Puebla4 - 3Tijuana
Puebla0 - 2Guadalajara
Puebla2 - 2Pachuca
Puebla2 - 4Monterrey
Puebla0 - 2A. San Luis
Puebla1 - 0S. Laguna
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APuebla0 - 1Tigres
HPuebla1 - 1Atlante
HPuebla0 - 1Toluca
APuebla1 - 0Necaxa
APuebla0 - 2America
HPuebla3 - 2S. Laguna
APuebla3 - 2Pachuca
HPuebla1 - 1Guadalajara
APuebla1 - 2Cruz Azul
APuebla1 - 0Juarez
HPuebla1 - 2Queretaro
APuebla1 - 2Monterrey
APuebla0 - 5Guadalajara
HPuebla0 - 1Leon
HPuebla1 - 1Juarez
APuebla1 - 2S. Laguna
HPuebla0 - 0Necaxa
APuebla1 - 2Pachuca
HPuebla3 - 1Tigres
APuebla1 - 0A. San Luis
Leon 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Queretaro1 - 1Leon
Pumas UNAM3 - 1Leon
Atlante1 - 1Leon
Necaxa1 - 2Leon
Tijuana1 - 0Leon
Toluca4 - 1Leon
Puebla0 - 1Leon
A. San Luis1 - 2Leon
Guadalajara5 - 0Leon
Mazatlan4 - 2Leon
Monterrey1 - 0Leon
Queretaro2 - 0Leon
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Leon
Pachuca2 - 1Leon
America2 - 0Leon
Atlas2 - 0Leon
S. Laguna2 - 0Leon
Juarez2 - 0Leon
Tijuana5 - 0Leon
Tigres0 - 0Leon
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeon1 - 1Queretaro
HLeon2 - 0A. San Luis
ALeon1 - 3Pumas UNAM
ALeon1 - 1Atlante
HLeon2 - 0Monterrey
ALeon2 - 1Necaxa
HLeon1 - 0Pachuca
ALeon0 - 1Tijuana
HLeon2 - 3Atlas
ALeon1 - 4Toluca
HLeon2 - 3America
HLeon3 - 1Juarez
ALeon1 - 0Puebla
HLeon2 - 0Atlas
ALeon2 - 1A. San Luis
ALeon0 - 5Guadalajara
HLeon0 - 3Tijuana
ALeon2 - 4Mazatlan
HLeon2 - 1Necaxa
HLeon2 - 1S. Laguna
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Puebla since 2019
Puebla
Leon
Goals: Scored
15
17
Games: Scored
7 / 10
10 / 10
Clean sheets
0 / 10
3 / 10
PUE
4
D
2
LEO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Puebla
0 - 1Leon
Draw2 - 2Draw
Puebla5 - 4
Draw1 - 1Draw
Puebla2 - 1
0 - 1Leon
Puebla2 - 1
1 - 2Leon
Puebla2 - 1
0 - 3Leon
League games at Leon since 2018
Leon
Puebla
Goals: Scored
11
10
Games: Scored
7 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
2 / 9
PUE
4
LEO
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
1 - 2Puebla
Leon1 - 0
Leon2 - 1
Leon2 - 0
0 - 1Puebla
Leon2 - 0
1 - 2Puebla
Leon2 - 0
0 - 4Puebla
Goal Statistics
Puebla 9th Leon 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Puebla will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Leon will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
Puebla have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
-42
Leon have scored 42% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season
Puebla
PG (predicted goals)
Leon
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
PUE
LEO
13%
better
view stats
Games scored7
8
Failed to score2
1
Scored first5
6
Goals scored11
12
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for12
11
Avg. XG for1
1.5
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
PUE
LEO
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
6
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first4
3
Goals conceded11
10
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded12
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
11
Conversion rate against9%
9%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+12%

Puebla v Leon Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Puebla Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10322
R GutiérrezE TorresA HerreraF. Monarrez Ochoa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Gutiérrez GLK10
-
F. Monarrez Ochoa DEF101
2
-
J Vargas DEF101
1
-
F Almada DEF101
-
S. Sanabria Ortega MID10
1
-
A Orozco MID101
1
-
I Moreno DEF9
1
C Baltazar MID911
1
-
O Villa DEF8
1
-
B Garnica FWD81
-
M Borges MID72
-
L Hernández FWD71
-
K Velasco FWD71
-
J Martinez DEF6
-
O Villegas MID6
-
E Torres FWD631
1
-
A Jiménez MID5
1
-
I Puch FWD511
2
-
A Herrera MID32
-
L. Azevedo da Silva MID3
-
H Jurado FWD3
-
?. Leyva DEF2
-
Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9423
O GarcíaD ArcilaF BeltranR Echeverría
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O García GLK9
-
I Moreno DEF9
1
-
F Beltran MID92
1
-
J Cortizo FWD92
-
D Arcila FWD94
2
-
J. Guevara DEF8
2
-
R Echeverría MID8
2
1
D Cambindo FWD831
1
J Romaña DEF71
1
I Rodríguez MID7
-
A Alvarado FWD721
1
-
S Chávez DEF6
-
B Colula DEF6
2
-
S Vegas DEF6
2
-
I Díaz FWD6
-
L. Valadez Padilla MID51
-
E Guerra FWD5
-
P Bellón DEF4
-
J Domínguez FWD41
1
-
S González FWD1
1
-