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Atlas v Guadalajara : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara

the Estadio Jalisco masses welcome Guadalajara's fans on Sunday morning, as Hernán Jorge Crespo's Atlas face Gabriel Alejandro Milito's side in the Liga MX. Statistics power the predictions below for seventeen markets, and flipping between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga MX Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Atlas's next match is v Necaxa at 02:00 on Saturday 17th October
Guadalajara's next match is v Tigres at 00:07 on Sunday 18th October

The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Atlas and Guadalajara was on Sunday 11th October 2026

Mexican Liga MX

October 11th 2026

Atlas 1	1 Guadalajara

K. Zenon 52'	86' Á. Sepúlveda Sánchez

	ATL GUA
Shots On	3 5
Shots Off	1 6
Corners	7 7
Possession	43% 57%
Fouls	15 19
Yellow/red cards	3/0 4/1

Atlas	Guadalajara

J. Sánchez Ramos C. Vargas Gil M. Valenzuela L. Leite Esteves P. Ramírez Barboza (E. Zaldivar Valverde 65') R. Mmaee Nwambeben Kabir (S. Hernández Flores 87') F. Monzón A. Frías E. Montiel (A. Rocha González 82') J. Sánchez Purata K. Zenon	J. Rangel Aguilar (C. Palomares 46') D. Campillo del Campo L. Rey Mejía B. Gutierrez Á. Sepúlveda Sánchez D. Aguirre (H. Camberos Figueroa 66') R. Marín Sánchez (S. Sandoval Loboa 66') R. Ledezma F. González Pineda (E. Álvarez 90') R. Alvarado Hernández

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Atlas or Guadalajara are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% chance of 2 goals or more.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 52% chance of Guadalajara coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Atlas 24%	5/2 22%	-
Draw 25%	13/5 3%	-
Guadalajara 52%	1/1 9%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2 7%	-
Guadalajara 1-0 12%	15/2 11%	-
Guadalajara 2-1 10%	8/1 5%	-
Guadalajara 2-0 9%	9/1 17%	-
Atlas 1-0 7%	11/1 9%	-
Draw 0-0 7%	11/1 8%	-
Atlas 2-1 6%	11/1 9%	-
Guadalajara 3-1 5%	14/1 12%	-
Guadalajara 3-0 5%	18/1 10%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1	-
Atlas 2-0 4%	18/1 27%	-
Guadalajara 3-2 3%	22/1	-
Guadalajara 4-1 2%	33/1 17%	-
Guadalajara 4-0 2%	40/1	-
Atlas 3-1 2%	25/1 24%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	4/5 4%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	1/1 4%	-
Home 1st Goal 42%	5/4 10%	-
Away 1st Goal 53%	8/11 5%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	11/1 8%	-
BTTS - Yes 51%	4/6 3%	-
BTTS - No 49%	11/10 5%	-
BTTS - Home Win 11%	11/2 30%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 22%	3/1 8%	-
Home/draw 48%	8/11 7%	-
Away/draw 76%	2/7 8%	-
Home/away 75%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	2/9	-
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	3/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	7/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	2/5	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	9/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/7	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	10/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/20	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	12/1	-
Home DNB 41%	6/4 19%	-
Away DNB 69%	1/2 10%	-
Atlas win to nil 13%	11/2 18%	-
Guadalajara win to nil 29%	11/4 13%	-
Atlas / Atlas 15%	9/2 16%	-
Atlas / Guadalajara 4%	22/1	-
Atlas / Draw 6%	14/1 15%	-
Draw / Atlas 11%	13/2 7%	-
Draw / Guadalajara 15%	9/2 8%	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2 8%	-
Guadalajara / Atlas 3%	28/1 12%	-
Guadalajara / Guadalajara 25%	9/4 13%	-
Guadalajara / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atlas	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Atlas	1 - 1	Atlante
Atlas	1 - 3	Queretaro
Atlas	2 - 1	Tigres
Atlas	0 - 2	Monterrey
Atlas	2 - 3	Cruz Azul
Atlas	0 - 0	Tigres
Atlas	0 - 0	Monterrey
Atlas	0 - 0	Queretaro
Atlas	1 - 2	Guadalajara
Atlas	2 - 1	Tijuana
Atlas	3 - 2	A. San Luis
Atlas	2 - 2	Pumas UNAM
Atlas	1 - 0	Mazatlan
Atlas	1 - 0	Puebla
Atlas	0 - 0	Toluca
Atlas	2 - 0	Leon
Atlas	3 - 1	Juarez
Atlas	3 - 2	Necaxa
Atlas	2 - 2	S. Laguna

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Atlas	3 - 2	Tijuana
H	Atlas	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
A	Atlas	2 - 5	Toluca
H	Atlas	1 - 1	Atlante
H	Atlas	1 - 3	Queretaro
A	Atlas	2 - 0	Cruz Azul
H	Atlas	2 - 1	Tigres
H	Atlas	0 - 2	Monterrey
A	Atlas	1 - 0	S. Laguna
A	Atlas	3 - 2	Leon
A	Atlas	0 - 1	Cruz Azul
H	Atlas	2 - 3	Cruz Azul
A	Atlas	1 - 0	America
H	Atlas	0 - 0	Tigres
A	Atlas	1 - 0	S. Laguna
H	Atlas	0 - 0	Monterrey
A	Atlas	0 - 2	Leon
H	Atlas	0 - 0	Queretaro
A	Atlas	1 - 1	Toluca
H	Atlas	1 - 2	Guadalajara

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
America	2 - 2	Guadalajara
A. San Luis	0 - 3	Guadalajara
Pachuca	1 - 1	Guadalajara
S. Laguna	0 - 1	Guadalajara
Puebla	1 - 1	Guadalajara
Cruz Azul	2 - 2	Guadalajara
Tigres	3 - 1	Guadalajara
Necaxa	0 - 0	Guadalajara
Tigres	4 - 1	Guadalajara
Monterrey	2 - 3	Guadalajara
Atlas	1 - 2	Guadalajara
Toluca	2 - 0	Guadalajara
Cruz Azul	2 - 1	Guadalajara
Mazatlan	1 - 2	Guadalajara
A. San Luis	2 - 3	Guadalajara
Juarez	0 - 1	Guadalajara
Cruz Azul	3 - 2	Guadalajara
Pachuca	0 - 1	Guadalajara
Queretaro	1 - 0	Guadalajara
Pumas UNAM	1 - 2	Guadalajara

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Guadalajara	0 - 2	Queretaro
A	Guadalajara	2 - 2	America
H	Guadalajara	3 - 0	Pumas UNAM
A	Guadalajara	3 - 0	A. San Luis
A	Guadalajara	1 - 1	Pachuca
H	Guadalajara	5 - 2	Tijuana
A	Guadalajara	1 - 0	S. Laguna
A	Guadalajara	1 - 1	Puebla
H	Guadalajara	1 - 0	Juarez
H	Guadalajara	0 - 2	Toluca
H	Guadalajara	1 - 2	Cruz Azul
A	Guadalajara	2 - 2	Cruz Azul
H	Guadalajara	2 - 0	Tigres
A	Guadalajara	1 - 3	Tigres
H	Guadalajara	0 - 0	Tijuana
A	Guadalajara	0 - 0	Necaxa
H	Guadalajara	5 - 0	Puebla
A	Guadalajara	1 - 4	Tigres
H	Guadalajara	2 - 2	Pumas UNAM
A	Guadalajara	3 - 2	Monterrey

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Atlas

Guadalajara

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 10

9 / 10

Clean sheets

1 / 10

3 / 10

ATL

GUA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atlas
	1 - 2	Guadalajara
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Guadalajara
Atlas	1 - 0
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Guadalajara
	1 - 2	Guadalajara
	0 - 1	Guadalajara

Guadalajara

Atlas

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 11

8 / 11

Clean sheets

3 / 11

1 / 11

ATL

GUA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Guadalajara
Guadalajara	4 - 1
	1 - 2	Atlas
	2 - 3	Atlas
Guadalajara	4 - 1
Guadalajara	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Atlas
	0 - 1	Atlas
Guadalajara	3 - 2
Guadalajara	1 - 0
Guadalajara	3 - 0

Goal Statistics

Guadalajara's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because Atlas have conceded in each of their last 5 Liga MX outings. A PG of 1.6 for G. Milito's side suggests that run should continue.

	Atlas 2nd	Guadalajara 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 36% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 73% probability that Atlas will score no more than 1 goal	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Guadalajara will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-14 Atlas have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted	-2 Guadalajara’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season

better

ATL

GUA

view stats

Games scored	9		8
Failed to score	1		2
Scored first	6		7
Goals scored	16		17
Avg. goals scored	1.6		1.7
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	16		15
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.5
KickOff rating		+7%

ATL

GUA

31%

better

view stats

Games conceded	8		6
Clean sheets	2		4
Conceded first	4		3
Goals conceded	17		10
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		10
Conversion rate against	15%		11%
Avg. XG against	1.7		1.2
KickOff rating		+31%

Atlas v Guadalajara Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Atlas Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	4	2	5
C Vargas	L Esteves	K Zenón	M Capasso

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Vargas GLK	10			-
A Frías DEF	3			-
M Valenzuela DEF	9			1 1
J Purata DEF	5			2 1
J Sánchez MID	7			1 -
E Montiel MID	4			-
P. Ramírez Barboza MID	10		1	-
R Mmaee MID	7	1		-
K Zenón FWD	3	1	2	-
L Esteves FWD	11	4	1	2 -
F Monzón FWD	8	3		1 -
Subs
A Sánchez GLK	1			-
G Aguirre DEF	5			-
J Rodríguez DEF	7			-
M Capasso DEF	9	1		4 1
S. Hernández Flores MID	10			1 -
A Rocha MID	5	1		2 -
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID	6			2 -
E Zaldívar MID	9	2	1	1 -
A González FWD	9	1	1	-
José Martín FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	7	2	4
L Esteves	L Esteves	K Zenón	L Esteves

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Esteves FWD	4	7	1	4
F Monzón FWD	3	7
Subs
E Zaldívar MID	2	3	1
R Mmaee MID	1	4		2
K Zenón FWD	1	1	2	1
Subs
M Capasso DEF	1	4		2
A Rocha MID	1	2
A González FWD	1	3	1	3
C Vargas GLK		1
M Valenzuela DEF		2		1
J Purata DEF		2
J Sánchez MID		1
E Montiel MID				1
P. Ramírez Barboza MID		1	1	1
Subs
S. Hernández Flores MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
411	27	47
M Capasso	M Valenzuela	M Valenzuela

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
M Capasso DEF	411	15	36
L Esteves FWD	331	9	31
C Vargas GLK	311	1	3
J Purata DEF	299	7	26
M Valenzuela DEF	283	27	47
P. Ramírez Barboza MID	246	4	13
Subs
E Zaldívar MID	222	9	27
A González FWD	212	15	45
J Sánchez MID	209	12	26
Subs
G Aguirre DEF	193	6	19
F Monzón FWD	184	6	33
Subs
A Rocha MID	180	5	18
E Montiel MID	180	4	10
Subs
S. Hernández Flores MID	154	16	36
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID	141	7	10
A Frías DEF	120	2	12
Subs
J Rodríguez DEF	120	5	13
R Mmaee MID	112	5	24
K Zenón FWD	98	3	11
Subs
A Sánchez GLK	30
José Martín FWD	25	2	7

Guadalajara Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	5	2	2
J Rangel	R Sánchez	B Gutiérrez	D Aguirre

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Rangel GLK	10			-
D Aguirre DEF	8			2 -
D Campillo DEF	10	1	1	1 -
L Mejía DEF	7			-
R Ledezma MID	10	1		1 -
B Gutiérrez MID	10		2	-
F González MID	11		1	1 -
R Hernández FWD	10	4	1	1 -
R Sánchez FWD	11	5	2	1 -
Ángel Sepúlveda FWD	10	1	2	1
Subs
Óscar Whalley GLK	1			-
J Castillo DEF	2			-
C. Palomares DEF	1			-
C. Inda Becerra MID				-
H. Camberos Figueroa MID	8		1	1 -
K Castañeda MID	8			1 1
S Loboa MID	8	3		1 -
J Rodriguez MID	7			1 -
J Hernandez MID				-
E Álvarez FWD	10		2	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	13	2	3
R Sánchez	R Sánchez	B Gutiérrez	R Sánchez

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Sánchez FWD	5	13	2	3
R Hernández FWD	4	9	1	1
Subs
S Loboa MID	3	7
D Campillo DEF	1	1	1	1
R Ledezma MID	1	2
Ángel Sepúlveda FWD	1	3	2	1
D Aguirre DEF		1
L Mejía DEF		2
B Gutiérrez MID		2	2	2
F González MID			1	2
Subs
H. Camberos Figueroa MID		1	1	1
K Castañeda MID		2
J Rodriguez MID		4		1
E Álvarez FWD		4	2	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
605	18	60
F González	F González	R Hernández

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
F González MID	605	18	35
D Campillo DEF	551	8	31
R Hernández FWD	513	16	60
D Aguirre DEF	452	15	27
R Ledezma MID	311	8	16
B Gutiérrez MID	304	14	29
J Rangel GLK	277		5
Subs
E Álvarez FWD	252	5	8
L Mejía DEF	212	7	17
Subs
J Rodriguez MID	209	2	25
S Loboa MID	201	5	24
H. Camberos Figueroa MID	182	9	37
K Castañeda MID	159	3	10
R Sánchez FWD	156	4	30
Subs
J Castillo DEF	134	3	8
Ángel Sepúlveda FWD	86	2	23
Subs
C. Palomares DEF	24	1	5
Óscar Whalley GLK	20