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Atlas v Guadalajara : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th Oct, 02:00 BST, Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara

the Estadio Jalisco is the stage on Sunday morning, as Hernán Jorge Crespo's Atlas welcome Gabriel Alejandro Milito's Guadalajara in the Liga MX. We have custom-designed stats for every major market, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Atlas or Guadalajara are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives Atlas and Guadalajara an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atlas
25%
15/8-
Draw
25%
5/2-
Guadalajara
50%
6/5-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1-
Guadalajara 1-0
11%
17/2-
Guadalajara 2-1
9%
17/2-
Guadalajara 2-0
9%
11/1-
Atlas 1-0
7%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
12/1-
Atlas 2-1
6%
10/1-
Guadalajara 3-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1-
Guadalajara 3-0
5%
20/1-
Atlas 2-0
4%
14/1-
Guadalajara 3-2
3%
22/1-
Atlas 3-1
2%
20/1-
Guadalajara 4-1
2%
40/1-
Guadalajara 4-0
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
8/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
43/40-
Home 1st Goal
43%
21/20-
Away 1st Goal
52%
5/6-
No 1st Goal
5%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
52%
8/13-
BTTS - No
48%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
22%
10/3-
Home/draw
50%
8/13-
Away/draw
75%
2/5-
Home/away
75%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
2/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
12/1-
Home DNB
43%
11/10-
Away DNB
67%
4/6-
Atlas win to nil
13%
9/2-
Guadalajara win to nil
28%
10/3-
Atlas / Atlas
18%
15/4-
Atlas / Guadalajara
4%
22/1-
Atlas / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Atlas
12%
6/1-
Draw / Guadalajara
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Guadalajara / Atlas
3%
25/1-
Guadalajara / Guadalajara
22%
11/4-
Guadalajara / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win form
Atlas 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Guadalajara 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Atlas since 2018
Atlas
Guadalajara
Goals: Scored
9
13
Games: Scored
7 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
3 / 10
ATL
1
D
4
GUA
5
League games at Guadalajara since 2019
Guadalajara
Atlas
Goals: Scored
21
13
Games: Scored
10 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
1 / 11
ATL
4
D
1
GUA
6
Goal Statistics

Guadalajara's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because Atlas have conceded in each of their last 5 Liga MX outings. A PG of 1.6 for G. Milito's side suggests that run should continue.

Atlas 6th Guadalajara 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Atlas will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Guadalajara will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Atlas have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-2
Guadalajara’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season
Atlas
PG (predicted goals)
Guadalajara
1.1
1.6
Attack rating
7%
better
ATL
GUA
view stats
Games scored9
8
Failed to score1
2
Scored first6
7
Goals scored16
17
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
ATL
GUA
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
6
Clean sheets2
4
Conceded first4
3
Goals conceded17
10
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
10
Conversion rate against15%
11%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+31%

Atlas v Guadalajara Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Atlas Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9425
C VargasL EstevesK ZenónM Capasso 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Esteves MID1041
2
-
C Vargas GLK9
-
M Capasso  DEF91
4
1
P. Ramírez Barboza MID9
-
A González MID911
-
S. Hernández Flores FWD9
1
-
M Valenzuela  DEF8
1
1
E Zaldívar MID821
1
-
Duk FWD821
1
J Rodríguez DEF7
-
F Monzón FWD73
-
J Sánchez DEF6
1
-
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID6
2
-
R Mmaee FWD61
-
G Aguirre DEF5
-
J Purata DEF4
1
1
A Rocha MID41
2
-
J Lozano DEF3
-
E Montiel MID3
-
A Frías DEF2
-
K Zenón FWD22
-
A Sánchez GLK1
-
A Mora DEF1
-
Guadalajara Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10521
L RomoR SánchezR SánchezL Romo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Romo MID101
1
-
F González MID101
1
-
R Sánchez FWD1052
1
-
J Rangel GLK9
-
R Ledezma DEF91
-
D Campillo DEF911
1
-
O Govea MID91
1
B Gutiérrez MID91
-
E Álvarez MID92
1
-
Ángel Sepúlveda FWD92
1
R Hernández FWD941
1
-
D Aguirre DEF7
1
-
K Castañeda MID7
-
J Rodriguez FWD7
1
-
H. Camberos Figueroa FWD71
1
-
L Mejía DEF6
-
B González DEF52
-
M Ortiz DEF4
1
-
J Castillo DEF2
-
J Perez MID2
1
-
Óscar Whalley GLK1
-