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Tigres UANL v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Oct, 04:00 BST, Estadio Universitario, Mexico City

Toluca pay Liga MX counterparts Tigres UANL a visit on Saturday morning, as Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich guides his team into an away clash with Víctor Manuel Vucetich Rojas & co. at the Estadio Universitario. We have predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head stats across the biggest markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Liga MX clash.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 75% chance of Tigres and Toluca a maximum of 3 goals combined during this Liga MX clash according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Toluca coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Tigres
35%
33/20-
Draw
27%
5/2-
Toluca
38%
27/20-
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1-
Toluca 1-0
10%
17/2-
Tigres 1-0
10%
10/1-
Toluca 2-1
8%
17/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
12/1-
Tigres 2-1
8%
9/1-
Toluca 2-0
7%
12/1-
Tigres 2-0
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1-
Toluca 3-1
4%
18/1-
Tigres 3-1
3%
20/1-
Toluca 3-0
3%
22/1-
Tigres 3-0
3%
28/1-
Toluca 3-2
2%
22/1-
Tigres 3-2
2%
25/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
3/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
21/20-
Home 1st Goal
47%
1/1-
Away 1st Goal
48%
5/6-
No 1st Goal
5%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
51%
8/13-
BTTS - No
49%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
7/2-
Home/draw
62%
8/15-
Away/draw
65%
4/9-
Home/away
73%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
2/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
12/1-
Home DNB
54%
1/1-
Away DNB
57%
8/11-
Tigres win to nil
20%
9/2-
Toluca win to nil
21%
7/2-
Tigres / Tigres
18%
7/2-
Tigres / Toluca
4%
22/1-
Tigres / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Tigres
13%
11/2-
Draw / Toluca
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Toluca / Tigres
3%
25/1-
Toluca / Toluca
21%
3/1-
Toluca / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win form
Tigres 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Toluca 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Tigres since 2018
Tigres
Toluca
Goals: Scored
20
10
Games: Scored
10 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
2 / 12
TIG
7
D
3
TOL
2
League games at Toluca since 2019
Toluca
Tigres
Goals: Scored
23
13
Games: Scored
9 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
1 / 10
TIG
2
TOL
8
Goal Statistics
Tigres 15th Toluca 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Tigres will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Toluca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Tigres’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-29
Toluca have scored 29% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season
Tigres
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
TIG
TOL
51%
better
view stats
Games scored6
9
Failed to score3
1
Scored first2
8
Goals scored9
23
Avg. goals scored0.9
2.3
Avg. shots per game11
13
Avg. shots per goal12
6
Conversion rate for8
17
Avg. XG for1.5
1.9
KickOff rating
+51%
Defence rating
TIG
TOL
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
6
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first5
1
Goals conceded13
12
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1
KickOff rating
+16%

Tigres v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Tigres Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10444
N GuzmánJ BrunettaJ BrunettaF Gorriarán
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Guzmán GLK10
2
-
Joaquim DEF102
1
-
J Brunetta MID1044
-
J Garza DEF9
-
F Gorriarán MID91
3
1
D Lainez FWD9
1
1
D. Sánchez Guevara FWD91
-
A Franco DEF8
1
-
R Rômulo MID8
-
R Aguirre FWD831
1
V Loroña DEF7
2
-
C Araújo MID7
1
-
M Laínez FWD6
1
-
O Herrera FWD61
-
R Guerrero DEF5
1
-
J Vigón MID5
1
-
R Monreal FWD5
1
-
F Delgado DEF3
1
-
F Maldonado DEF3
-
H. Koifman MID2
-
G Martínez FWD2
1
-
E Gómez FWD2
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9433
F PereiraA VegaHelinho Helinho 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Pereira DEF9
-
J Uriarte FWD911
-
Helinho  FWD933
3
-
J Price FWD91
-
B Méndez DEF81
1
-
E López DEF811
1
V Guzmán MID8
-
N Castro MID82
2
-
F Romero MID8
2
-
A Vega FWD842
1
-
J Gallardo DEF711
1
-
Luan DEF7
-
D Barbosa DEF7
1
1
F Viñas FWD74
-
L García GLK6
-
B García DEF5
-
F Arce MID5
1
-
H González GLK4
-
Érick Gutiérrez MID4
-
P Pérez FWD4
-
Paulinho FWD42
-
S Simón DEF3
-
A Briseño DEF2
-
O. Virgen FWD211
-
Ronaldo Beltrán Dimas GLK1
-
I López FWD111
-