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Tigres UANL v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Universitario de Nuevo L, San Nicolás de los Garza

Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich is aiming for a precious away win in the Liga MX on Sunday morning, as he takes his Toluca side to the Estadio Universitario de Nuevo L to visit Tigres UANL and Manuel Fernández. We have predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across all the main betting markets, so there's nowhere better to prepare Liga MX clash.

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Tigres UANL's next match is v Leon at 01:00 on Sunday 1st February
Toluca's next match is v Puebla at 01:00 on Saturday 31st January
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Tigres and Toluca was on Sunday 18th January 2026
Mexican Liga MX
January 18th 2026
Tigres 0
0 Toluca
 
TIG
TOL
Shots On
2
4
Shots Off
3
3
Corners
3
3
Possession
49%
51%
Fouls
16
26
Yellow/red cards
3/1
4/0
 
TigresToluca
 
N. Guzmán
J. Sánchez Purata
Á. Correa Martínez (J. Vigón Cham 89')
F. Gorriarán Fontes
J. Brunetta
J. Garza García
R. Zanre Zwarg
N. Ibáñez (M. Flores 57')
J. Pereira Silva
D. Lainez Leyva (C. Antuna Romero 83')
O. Rodríguez del Portal
H. González Durán
D. Barbosa Zaragoza
A. Pereira Castelnoble
F. Romero
(N. Castro 76') J. Angulo Uriarte
M. Ruiz Suárez
(F. Córdova Reyes 76') S. Simón
J. Gallardo Vasconcelos
E. López
(H. Nunes de Castro 59') P. Uriel Perez Hernandez
J. Dias Fernandes

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals simply means that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by Tigres and Toluca combined during 90 mins. Latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this conclusion, and we think there's a 75% chance of it being a winning tip. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Tigres are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Tigres
46%
23/2021/20
Draw
26%
21/1011/5
Toluca
28%
13/521/10
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/1
Tigres 1-0
11%
17/213/2
Tigres 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Toluca 1-0
9%
12/117/2
Tigres 2-0
8%
10/19/1
Draw 0-0
8%
10/19/1
Toluca 2-1
7%
12/19/1
Draw 2-2
5%
10/110/1
Toluca 2-0
5%
18/112/1
Tigres 3-1
4%
16/112/1
Tigres 3-0
4%
20/114/1
Toluca 3-1
2%
25/118/1
Tigres 3-2
2%
22/116/1
Toluca 3-2
2%
33/120/1
Toluca 3-0
2%
40/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
4/53/4
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
1/110/11
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/113/4
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/55/4
No 1st Goal
5%
10/19/1
BTTS - Yes
51%
8/1313/20
BTTS - No
49%
6/511/10
BTTS - Home Win
20%
3/129/10
BTTS - Draw
18%
11/416/5
BTTS - Away Win
13%
11/29/2
Home/draw
72%
2/71/3
Away/draw
55%
4/64/6
Home/away
74%
4/113/10
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
2/92/9
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3/15/2
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
7/49/5
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
2/57/20
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
9/24/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/71/9
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/201/40
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/201/33
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/18/1
Home DNB
64%
1/28/15
Away DNB
47%
6/413/10
Tigres win to nil
26%
3/1-
Toluca win to nil
16%
11/2-
Tigres / Tigres
24%
12/59/4
Tigres / Toluca
3%
28/122/1
Tigres / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Tigres
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Toluca
11%
13/26/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Toluca / Tigres
4%
22/118/1
Toluca / Toluca
15%
9/24/1
Toluca / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Win / draw / win form
Tigres 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Toluca 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Tigres have not lost to Toluca in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Tigres since 2018
Tigres
Toluca
Goals: Scored
20
10
Games: Scored
10 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
1 / 11
TIG
7
D
2
TOL
2
League games at Toluca since 2019
Toluca
Tigres
Goals: Scored
23
13
Games: Scored
9 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
1 / 10
TIG
2
TOL
8
Goal Statistics
Tigres 1st Toluca 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Tigres will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Toluca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Tigres’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Toluca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Tigres
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
4%
better
TIG
TOL
view stats
Games scored21
19
Failed to score4
6
Scored first15
12
Goals scored46
54
Avg. goals scored1.8
2.2
Avg. shots per game12
13
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for15
17
Avg. XG for1.8
1.8
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
9%
better
TIG
TOL
view stats
Games conceded15
17
Clean sheets10
8
Conceded first8
10
Goals conceded25
25
Avg. goals conceded1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
12%
Avg. XG against1.1
1
KickOff rating
+9%

Tigres v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Tigres Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261157
N GuzmánJ BrunettaD LainezJ Purata
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Guzmán GLK26
3
-
J Garza DEF202
1
-
Joaquim DEF24
5
-
J Purata DEF19
5
2
O Rodríguez DEF4
-
F Gorriarán MID241
7
-
R Rômulo MID243
6
-
D Lainez MID2545
5
-
J Brunetta MID26114
7
-
Ángel Correa MID25104
5
-
N Ibáñez FWD1741
1
-
Subs
F Rodríguez GLK
-
F Delgado DEF
-
V Loroña DEF1
1
-
R Guerrero DEF2
-
M Flores MID83
-
J Vigón MID141
-
A Gignac  FWD1723
1
-
I López FWD11
-
U Antuna FWD14
-
D. Sánchez Guevara FWD712
1
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231589
F PereiraPaulinhoN CastroJ Gallardo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H González GLK17
2
-
D Barbosa DEF211
6
-
E López DEF19
1
-
F Pereira DEF252
7
-
J Gallardo DEF2241
9
-
M Ruíz MID2332
5
-
F Romero MID242
3
-
S Simón MID173
2
-
J Uriarte MID2454
1
-
P Pérez MID3
-
Paulinho FWD22152
3
-
Subs
L García GLK10
1
-
A Briseño DEF1311
-
M Isaís DEF5
1
-
B Méndez DEF171
1
1
S Córdova MID2
1
-
N Castro MID2638
1
-
F Arce MID8
1
-
J Price MID2
-
Helinho  FWD1585
4
-
O. Virgen FWD1011
1
-