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Pachuca v Necaxa : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto

Esteban Andrés Solari Poggio welcomes Martín Varini Di Zioli to the Estadio Hidalgo on Wednesday morning, as their Pachuca and Necaxa teams meet in the Liga MX. For every Liga MX preview, KickOff explores the statistics for all of the biggest markets. Meaningful stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

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Pachuca's next match is v A. San Luis at 23:00 on Saturday 14th March
Necaxa's next match is v Puebla at 01:00 on Saturday 14th March
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Pachuca and Necaxa was on Wednesday 4th March 2026
Mexican Liga MX
March 4th 2026
Pachuca 2
1 Necaxa
 
A. Domínguez Figueroa 14'53' J. Ruiz
O. Idrissi 33'
 
PAC
NEC
Shots On
9
4
Shots Off
5
5
Corners
8
8
Possession
44%
56%
Fouls
18
14
Yellow/red cards
2/0
5/0
 
PachucaNecaxa
 
S. Barreto
E. dos Santos Bauermann
B. García Carpizo
C. Sánchez Nava
O. Idrissifootball icon (A. Bautista Gutiérrez 74')
C. Rivera Cuéllar
C. Moreno
S. Rodriguez (V. Guzmán Guzmán 89')
A. Domínguez Figueroafootball icon
J. Rondón Giménez
R. Nunes do Nascimento (L. Quiñónes 65')
A. Oliveros Cano
A. Peña López
(B. Roque 88') D. Leyva
L. Faravelli
(J. Ruiz 46') K. Ante Rosero
T. Badaloni
L. Unsain
(C. Calderón Del Real 88') F. Rossano Erchuk
(E. Lara Contreras 46') R. Martínez Ruiz
R. Monreal Morales
(K. Gutiérrez 46') I. Tello Robles

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Pachuca and Necaxa will score at least a couple of goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Esteban Andrés Solari Poggio or Martín Varini Di Zioli has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.29 equating to approximately a 80% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Pachuca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Pachuca
52%
69/1004/6
Draw
23%
14/55/2
Necaxa
26%
15/410/3
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Pachuca 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Pachuca 1-0
9%
13/211/2
Pachuca 2-0
8%
7/113/2
Necaxa 2-1
6%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/112/1
Pachuca 3-1
6%
12/111/1
Necaxa 1-0
6%
12/110/1
Pachuca 3-0
5%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
5%
10/117/2
Pachuca 3-2
4%
25/116/1
Necaxa 2-0
4%
25/118/1
Pachuca 4-1
3%
25/118/1
Necaxa 3-1
3%
40/125/1
Necaxa 3-2
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
17/204/5
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
19/205/6
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/711/20
Away 1st Goal
44%
8/57/4
No 1st Goal
3%
10/117/2
BTTS - Yes
60%
4/54/5
BTTS - No
40%
19/2010/11
BTTS - Home Win
27%
13/55/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/418/5
BTTS - Away Win
14%
8/17/1
Home/draw
74%
2/112/11
Away/draw
48%
21/2021/20
Home/away
77%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
11/412/5
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
9/419/10
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
1/31/3
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
5/117/4
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/81/9
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
12/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/251/66
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/201/33
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/115/2
Home DNB
68%
2/72/7
Away DNB
42%
5/223/10
Pachuca win to nil
25%
2/1-
Necaxa win to nil
11%
8/1-
Pachuca / Pachuca
30%
13/88/5
Pachuca / Necaxa
3%
33/128/1
Pachuca / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Pachuca
18%
7/27/2
Draw / Necaxa
8%
9/18/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/117/4
Necaxa / Pachuca
4%
20/118/1
Necaxa / Necaxa
11%
7/16/1
Necaxa / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Pachuca 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pachuca3 - 1Atlas
Pachuca2 - 0Juarez
Pachuca0 - 0America
Pachuca2 - 1Leon
Pachuca3 - 1Pumas UNAM
Pachuca0 - 1Guadalajara
Pachuca1 - 2Tigres
Pachuca2 - 1A. San Luis
Pachuca0 - 2Queretaro
Pachuca0 - 1Cruz Azul
Pachuca0 - 2Tijuana
Pachuca1 - 0Mazatlan
Pachuca3 - 0Monterrey
Pachuca0 - 0America
Pachuca0 - 0Tigres
Pachuca1 - 0America
Pachuca4 - 1Tijuana
Pachuca1 - 1Mazatlan
Pachuca2 - 1Puebla
Pachuca2 - 1Pumas UNAM
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APachuca0 - 1Mazatlan
APachuca2 - 1Tigres
HPachuca3 - 1Atlas
HPachuca2 - 0Juarez
APachuca0 - 0Queretaro
HPachuca0 - 0America
HPachuca2 - 1Leon
APachuca0 - 2Guadalajara
APachuca1 - 2Juarez
HPachuca3 - 1Pumas UNAM
APachuca0 - 1S. Laguna
HPachuca0 - 1Guadalajara
APachuca2 - 2Toluca
HPachuca1 - 2Tigres
APachuca2 - 2Juarez
APachuca1 - 0Necaxa
HPachuca2 - 1A. San Luis
APachuca2 - 2Puebla
HPachuca0 - 2Queretaro
HPachuca0 - 1Cruz Azul
Necaxa 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leon2 - 1Necaxa
Juarez1 - 2Necaxa
America2 - 0Necaxa
S. Laguna1 - 3Necaxa
Mazatlan1 - 1Necaxa
A. San Luis3 - 4Necaxa
Tigres5 - 3Necaxa
Atlas3 - 2Necaxa
Guadalajara3 - 1Necaxa
Tijuana3 - 0Necaxa
Monterrey3 - 0Necaxa
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Necaxa
Toluca3 - 1Necaxa
Tigres2 - 2Necaxa
Puebla0 - 1Necaxa
Juarez2 - 2Necaxa
Tijuana1 - 2Necaxa
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Atlas0 - 4Necaxa
America2 - 3Necaxa
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANecaxa1 - 2Leon
HNecaxa0 - 3Toluca
ANecaxa2 - 1Juarez
HNecaxa4 - 1A. San Luis
ANecaxa0 - 2America
HNecaxa0 - 1Atlas
HNecaxa0 - 2Monterrey
ANecaxa3 - 1S. Laguna
ANecaxa1 - 1Mazatlan
HNecaxa4 - 1S. Laguna
ANecaxa4 - 3A. San Luis
HNecaxa1 - 1Cruz Azul
ANecaxa3 - 5Tigres
HNecaxa0 - 1Pachuca
ANecaxa2 - 3Atlas
ANecaxa1 - 3Guadalajara
HNecaxa1 - 0Puebla
HNecaxa1 - 1Juarez
ANecaxa0 - 3Tijuana
ANecaxa0 - 3Monterrey
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Pachuca have beaten Necaxa in 4 consecutive league meetings
7
Pachuca have not lost to Necaxa in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Pachuca since 2018
Pachuca
Necaxa
Goals: Scored
18
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
PAC
5
D
1
NEC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pachuca
Pachuca6 - 2
Pachuca2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Pachuca2 - 1
Pachuca1 - 0
0 - 1Necaxa
Pachuca6 - 2
League games at Necaxa since 2019
Necaxa
Pachuca
Goals: Scored
12
16
Games: Scored
7 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
1 / 8
PAC
4
D
3
NEC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Necaxa
0 - 1Pachuca
3 - 5Pachuca
Draw1 - 1Draw
Necaxa2 - 0
1 - 3Pachuca
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Pachuca
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Pachuca's fans will be hoping for goals on Wednesday morning, not least because Necaxa have conceded in each of their last 16 Liga MX outings. A PG of 1.8 for E. Solari Poggio's side suggests that run should continue.

Pachuca's defensive record is very strong, E. Solari Poggio's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Liga MX games. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Necaxa makes sense in this context.

Pachuca 9th Necaxa 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Pachuca will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Necaxa will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Pachuca have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
+29
Necaxa have scored 29% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
2.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Pachuca
PG (predicted goals)
Necaxa
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
PAC
NEC
2%
better
view stats
Games scored17
17
Failed to score10
8
Scored first10
8
Goals scored34
34
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.4
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for12
12
Avg. XG for1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
31%
better
PAC
NEC
view stats
Games conceded20
24
Clean sheets7
1
Conceded first15
17
Goals conceded30
45
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
17%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+31%

Pachuca v Necaxa Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Pachuca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28569
C MorenoKenedyV GuzmánE Bauermann
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Moreno GLK28
7
1
C. Sánchez Nava DEF19
5
1
E Bauermann DEF27
8
1
S Barreto DEF2711
6
1
B García DEF2613
1
S. Rodriguez MID7
4
-
C Rivera MID1011
2
-
A Figueroa MID1922
2
-
Kenedy MID235
1
-
O Idrissi MID2452
4
1
S Rondón FWD104
-
Subs
J Téllez GLK1
-
J Berlanga DEF9
4
-
R Aburto DEF3
-
C. Alfaro DEF
-
P Reyna MID19
7
-
V Guzmán MID
-
A Gutiérrez MID2722
5
1
L Quiñones FWD282
5
1
E Valencia FWD1351
-
Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27545
E UnsainT BadaloniF. Rossano ErchukR Monreal
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Unsain GLK27
3
-
R Ruiz DEF7
1
-
A Peña DEF231
2
-
A Oliveros DEF172
2
-
R Monreal MID2531
4
1
D Leyva MID102
-
L Faravelli MID101
2
-
F. Rossano Erchuk MID254
3
-
I. Tello Robles FWD71
-
T Badaloni FWD2752
1
-
K Rosero  FWD2623
4
-
Subs
L. Jiménez González GLK
1
E González DEF5
-
C Calderón DEF2211
5
-
F. Méndez Lara DEF1
-
E Lara DEF13
4
-
J. Ruiz MID52
-
A Moreno MID
-
K Gutiérrez MID9
2
1
R Pineda MID10
1
-
B Roque FWD2
-