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Pachuca v Necaxa : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto

Benjamin Mora's Pachuca side enjoy home advantage in the Liga MX on Monday morning, as Juan Máximo Reynoso Guzmán's Necaxa travel to the Estadio Hidalgo. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Liga MX matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga MX Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Pachuca's next match is v Monterrey at 02:00 on Monday 19th October
Necaxa's next match is v Atlas at 02:00 on Saturday 17th October

The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Pachuca and Necaxa was on Monday 12th October 2026

Mexican Liga MX

October 12th 2026

Pachuca 3	3 Necaxa

E. dos Santos Bauermann 45'	15' M. Espíndola
J. Rondón Giménez 84'	41' J. Carranza
J. Rondón Giménez 87'	79' J. Valencia Longa

	PAC NEC
Shots On	6 7
Shots Off	11 6
Corners	5 3
Possession	61% 39%
Fouls	15 16
Yellow/red cards	4/0 4/0

Pachuca	Necaxa

S. Barreto E. dos Santos Bauermann S. Santos (A. Bautista Gutiérrez 63') F. Venegas Moreno (M. Isaís 80') R. Pizarro Thomas C. Rivera Cuéllar O. Idrissi (G. Álvarez Montiel 63') C. Moreno S. Rodriguez (A. Alcaraz Torales 46') J. Rondón Giménez	L. Jiménez González (J. Ruiz 74') E. Martínez González A. Oliveros Cano D. Leyva (J. Valencia Longa 52') J. Carranza (K. Ante Rosero 62') O. de Jesús González Ojeda D. Ochoa C. Vargas Tenorio P. Pedraza Reyna (L. Faravelli 62') M. Espíndola (R. Martínez Ruiz 74') Miguel Rodriguez

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Pachuca should have reason to feel optimistic ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Necaxa. The bookies can't split them and neither can we – there's no clear winner in this clash. So our tip looks to the both teams to score market, where there's far more clarity. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and we think that's the tip to go with here.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Pachuca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.61.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Pachuca 48%	4/6 3%	-
Draw 23%	11/4 4%	-
Necaxa 29%	4/1 5%	-
Draw 1-1 10%	6/1 7%	-
Pachuca 2-1 9%	15/2	-
Pachuca 1-0 7%	8/1 6%	-
Necaxa 2-1 7%	16/1 13%	-
Pachuca 2-0 7%	8/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1 13%	-
Pachuca 3-1 6%	12/1	-
Necaxa 1-0 6%	16/1 13%	-
Pachuca 3-0 4%	12/1	-
Draw 0-0 4%	12/1 13%	-
Pachuca 3-2 4%	20/1	-
Necaxa 2-0 4%	28/1 12%	-
Necaxa 3-1 3%	33/1	-
Necaxa 3-2 3%	40/1 21%	-
Pachuca 4-1 3%	22/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 62%	13/20 1%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 38%	6/5 2%	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	8/15	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	6/4	-
No 1st Goal 2%	12/1 13%	-
BTTS - Yes 63%	4/6 2%	-
BTTS - No 37%	11/10 2%	-
BTTS - Home Win 27%	9/4	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2 10%	-
BTTS - Away Win 17%	15/2 6%	-
Home/draw 71%	1/6 1%	-
Away/draw 52%	11/10 5%	-
Home/away 77%	1/4	-
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	2/11 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	7/2 4%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 40%	6/4 5%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 60%	1/2 4%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	7/2 10%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	2/11 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	9/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1/16	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/33	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	14/1	-
Home DNB 64%	1/4 3%	-
Away DNB 45%	11/4 7%	-
Pachuca win to nil 21%	9/4 8%	-
Necaxa win to nil 12%	9/1	-
Pachuca / Pachuca 32%	8/5	-
Pachuca / Necaxa 2%	33/1	-
Pachuca / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	-
Draw / Pachuca 17%	15/4	-
Draw / Necaxa 8%	9/1	-
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	-
Necaxa / Pachuca 4%	18/1 10%	-
Necaxa / Necaxa 11%	13/2 6%	-
Necaxa / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Necaxa have lost 3 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pachuca	2 - 2	Tijuana
Pachuca	1 - 1	Guadalajara
Pachuca	2 - 3	Puebla
Pachuca	1 - 2	Queretaro
Pachuca	1 - 0	Pumas UNAM
Pachuca	2 - 0	Toluca
Pachuca	0 - 2	Pumas UNAM
Pachuca	4 - 2	S. Laguna
Pachuca	1 - 1	Toluca
Pachuca	2 - 1	Puebla
Pachuca	2 - 1	Necaxa
Pachuca	3 - 1	Atlas
Pachuca	2 - 0	Juarez
Pachuca	0 - 0	America
Pachuca	2 - 1	Leon
Pachuca	3 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Pachuca	0 - 1	Guadalajara
Pachuca	1 - 2	Tigres
Pachuca	2 - 1	A. San Luis
Pachuca	0 - 2	Queretaro

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Pachuca	0 - 1	S. Laguna
H	Pachuca	2 - 2	Tijuana
A	Pachuca	3 - 0	Atlante
A	Pachuca	2 - 0	Juarez
H	Pachuca	1 - 1	Guadalajara
A	Pachuca	1 - 1	A. San Luis
H	Pachuca	2 - 3	Puebla
A	Pachuca	0 - 1	Leon
H	Pachuca	1 - 2	Queretaro
A	Pachuca	3 - 0	Pumas UNAM
A	Pachuca	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM
H	Pachuca	1 - 0	Pumas UNAM
H	Pachuca	2 - 0	Toluca
A	Pachuca	1 - 0	Toluca
H	Pachuca	0 - 2	Pumas UNAM
A	Pachuca	1 - 3	Tijuana
A	Pachuca	3 - 1	Monterrey
H	Pachuca	4 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Pachuca	2 - 1	Cruz Azul
H	Pachuca	1 - 1	Toluca

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A. San Luis	3 - 1	Necaxa
Tigres	1 - 1	Necaxa
Pumas UNAM	1 - 1	Necaxa
Toluca	3 - 1	Necaxa
Cruz Azul	4 - 1	Necaxa
Queretaro	3 - 1	Necaxa
Puebla	0 - 0	Necaxa
Pachuca	2 - 1	Necaxa
Leon	2 - 1	Necaxa
Juarez	1 - 2	Necaxa
America	2 - 0	Necaxa
S. Laguna	1 - 3	Necaxa
Mazatlan	1 - 1	Necaxa
A. San Luis	3 - 4	Necaxa
Tigres	5 - 3	Necaxa
Atlas	3 - 2	Necaxa
Guadalajara	3 - 1	Necaxa
Tijuana	3 - 0	Necaxa
Monterrey	3 - 0	Necaxa
Pumas UNAM	1 - 1	Necaxa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Necaxa	2 - 4	America
A	Necaxa	1 - 3	A. San Luis
H	Necaxa	0 - 1	Puebla
A	Necaxa	1 - 1	Tigres
H	Necaxa	1 - 3	Cruz Azul
A	Necaxa	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
H	Necaxa	1 - 2	Leon
A	Necaxa	1 - 3	Toluca
H	Necaxa	2 - 1	Monterrey
H	Necaxa	2 - 1	Atlante
A	Necaxa	1 - 4	Cruz Azul
H	Necaxa	0 - 0	Guadalajara
H	Necaxa	1 - 1	Tigres
A	Necaxa	1 - 3	Queretaro
H	Necaxa	2 - 1	Mazatlan
H	Necaxa	3 - 0	Tijuana
A	Necaxa	0 - 0	Puebla
H	Necaxa	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM
A	Necaxa	1 - 2	Pachuca
A	Necaxa	1 - 2	Leon

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Pachuca have beaten Necaxa in 5 consecutive league meetings

Pachuca

Necaxa

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

PAC

NEC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pachuca
Pachuca	2 - 1
Pachuca	6 - 2
Pachuca	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Pachuca	2 - 1
Pachuca	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Necaxa
Pachuca	6 - 2

Necaxa

Pachuca

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

PAC

NEC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Necaxa
	0 - 1	Pachuca
	3 - 5	Pachuca
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Necaxa	2 - 0
	1 - 3	Pachuca
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	Pachuca
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

Pachuca's fans will be hoping for goals on Monday morning, not least because Necaxa have conceded in each of their last 11 Liga MX games. A PG of 1.8 for B. Mora's side suggests that run should continue.

	Pachuca 11th	Necaxa 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 84% probability that Pachuca will score 1 or more goals	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 75% probability that Necaxa will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-2 Pachuca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-5 Necaxa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.6 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	2.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season

PAC

NEC

better

view stats

Games scored	8		9
Failed to score	2		1
Scored first	4		5
Goals scored	15		12
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.2
Avg. shots per game	12		11
Avg. shots per goal	8		9
Conversion rate for	13		11
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.7
KickOff rating		+4%

36%

better

PAC

NEC

view stats

Games conceded	7		10
Clean sheets	3		0
Conceded first	6		5
Goals conceded	11		20
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		2
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		13
Avg. shots/goal conceded	11		6
Conversion rate against	9%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.6
KickOff rating		+36%

Pachuca v Necaxa Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Pachuca Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	12	3	5
C Moreno	S Rondón	R Pizarro	F Venegas

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Moreno GLK	11	1		1 -
F Venegas DEF	10			5 -
E Bauermann DEF	10	1		2 1
S Barreto DEF	11		1	4 -
S Santos DEF	3			-
S. Rodriguez MID	7			1 -
C Rivera MID	10			2 1
R Pizarro MID	10		3	-
O Idrissi MID	11	1	3	3 -
S Rondón FWD	11	12		-
Subs
J Téllez GLK				-
J Berlanga DEF	2			-
P Peniche DEF				-
M Isaís DEF	9			-
A Gutiérrez MID	10	1		1 -
A Alcaraz MID	10			1 -
T. Hernández MID				-
J Vallejo FWD	11		3	1 -
G. Álvarez Montiel FWD	5			-
C. Alcántara FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	16	3	6
S Rondón	S Rondón	R Pizarro	O Idrissi

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Rondón FWD	12	16		3
C Moreno GLK	1	1		1
E Bauermann DEF	1	4
O Idrissi MID	1	5	3	6
Subs
A Gutiérrez MID	1	2		1
F Venegas DEF		2		2
S Barreto DEF		1	1	1
S. Rodriguez MID		1
C Rivera MID		2
R Pizarro MID		3	3	4
Subs
M Isaís DEF				1
A Alcaraz MID		3		1
J Vallejo FWD		6	3	5

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
511	30	58
C Rivera	C Rivera	S Barreto

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
C Rivera MID	511	30	54
S Barreto DEF	441	19	58
E Bauermann DEF	408	17	55
F Venegas DEF	392	15	20
O Idrissi MID	319	17	52
C Moreno GLK	310		6
R Pizarro MID	223	11	33
S. Rodriguez MID	191	12	26
Subs
A Gutiérrez MID	183	12	25
S Rondón FWD	139	1	29
Subs
J Vallejo FWD	118	5	32
M Isaís DEF	87	3	11
J Berlanga DEF	58	2	4
S Santos DEF	57	5	6
Subs
A Alcaraz MID	50	3	28
G. Álvarez Montiel FWD	30	1	5

Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	7	2	3
L. Jiménez González	J Carranza	J Carranza	P Reyna

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L. Jiménez González GLK	10			1 1
E González DEF	1			-
A Oliveros DEF	9			1 1
D. Ochoa DEF	2			1 -
C Vargas DEF	8			-
P Reyna MID	8		1	3 -
M Rodriguez MID	11	1	1	3 -
D Leyva MID	11			2 -
M Espíndola MID	9	2	1	1 -
O. de Jesús González Ojeda MID	6	2		1 -
J Carranza FWD	10	7	2	1
Subs
J Orantes GLK				-
R Ruiz DEF	10			3 -
K Naves DEF	7			1 -
F. Méndez Lara DEF	4		1	-
L Faravelli MID	10			1 -
J. Ruiz MID	10		1	2 -
J Torres MID	10			1 -
M Zaleta MID	9		1	1 -
K Rosero FWD	5			-
J. Valencia Longa FWD	7	2	1	2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	14	2	4
J Carranza	J Carranza	J Carranza	J. Ruiz

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Carranza FWD	7	14	2	2
M Espíndola MID	2	3	1	2
O. de Jesús González Ojeda MID	2	4		2
Subs
J. Valencia Longa FWD	2	4	1	2
M Rodriguez MID	1	4	1	2
C Vargas DEF				1
P Reyna MID			1
D Leyva MID		4		2
Subs
K Naves DEF		1
F. Méndez Lara DEF		2	1	1
L Faravelli MID		4		2
J. Ruiz MID		3	1	4
J Torres MID		7
M Zaleta MID		3	1	2
K Rosero FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
447	27	64
D Leyva	C Vargas	J Carranza

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
D Leyva MID	447	15	39
Subs
K Naves DEF	365	14	31
R Ruiz DEF	348	12	29
A Oliveros DEF	309	6	36
L. Jiménez González GLK	307		6
Subs
L Faravelli MID	269	13	23
P Reyna MID	209	8	12
J Carranza FWD	207	8	64
M Espíndola MID	193	8	17
M Rodriguez MID	184	14	50
Subs
J. Ruiz MID	172	15	63
M Zaleta MID	168	5	16
C Vargas DEF	161	27	35
Subs
F. Méndez Lara DEF	146	3	15
J Torres MID	128	1	4
O. de Jesús González Ojeda MID	105	8	10
D. Ochoa DEF	88		5
Subs
K Rosero FWD	51	5	14
J. Valencia Longa FWD	50	1	14
E González DEF	22