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León v Cruz Azul : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio León, León de los Aldamas

Friday morning sees Alexandre Moya Torralbo’s León and Vicente Martín Sánchez Bragunde’s Cruz Azul go up against one another in a Liga MX battle at the Estadio León. Form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all laid out below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. Here we've gone for under 3.5 goals, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?

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Cruz Azul's next match is v America at 03:00 on Friday 16th May
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Leon and Cruz Azul was on Friday 9th May 2025
Mexican Liga MX
May 9th 2025
Leon 2
3 Cruz Azul
 
S. Santos 29'14' J. Rivero Segade
I. Moreno Füguemann 46'19' A. Montaño
41' A. Montaño
 
LEO
CAZ
Shots On
4
6
Shots Off
2
5
Corners
3
Possession
45%
55%
Fouls
2
5
Yellow/red cards
2/1
3/0
 
LeonCruz Azul
 
Ó. Jiménez Fabela
I. Moreno Füguemannfootball icon (J. Ramírez García 79')
S. Reyes Chávez
A. Frías
J. Barreiro Solis
J. Guardado Hernández
R. Echeverría Sáez
N. Fonseca
S. Santosfootball icon (J. Cádiz Fernández 84')
J. Mendoza Valencia
E. Rigoni (E. Guerra 57')
K. Mier Robles
J. Sánchez Ramos
J. Orozco Chiquete
(G. Giakoumakis 77') C. Jiménez Ducloux
(A. García Moreno 89') C. Rodríguez Gómez
football iconJ. Rivero Segade
(L. Romero 64') football iconfootball iconA. Montaño
L. Faravelli
E. Lira Méndez
(A. Morales Rosas 89') Á. Sepúlveda Sánchez
C. Rotondi

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Leon and Cruz Azul have served up plenty of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Tuesday night, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leon
36%
12/5
36%
-
Draw
28%
23/10
2%
-
Cruz Azul
36%
23/20
25%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Cruz Azul 1-0
11%
6/1
30%
-
Leon 1-0
11%
8/1
5%
-
Draw 0-0
10%
15/2
23%
-
Cruz Azul 2-1
8%
17/2
14%
-
Leon 2-1
8%
11/1
20%
-
Cruz Azul 2-0
7%
17/2
37%
-
Leon 2-0
7%
16/1
31%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
25%
-
Cruz Azul 3-1
3%
18/1
10%
-
Leon 3-1
3%
28/1
53%
-
Cruz Azul 3-0
3%
20/1
28%
-
Leon 3-0
3%
40/1
78%
-
Leon 3-2
2%
40/1
58%
-
Cruz Azul 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
6/5
19%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
13/20
15%
-
Home 1st Goal
47%
7/5
33%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
8/11
18%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
15/2
23%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
19/20
17%
-
BTTS - No
52%
4/5
14%
-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
13/2
58%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
13%
-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
4/1
9%
-
Home/draw
64%
4/6
19%
-
Away/draw
64%
3/10
13%
-
Home/away
72%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
4/11
9%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
2/1
20%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
3/1
33%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
2/9
10%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
8/1
50%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/14
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/1
46%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/40
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/14
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8/1
18%
-
Home DNB
56%
11/8
38%
-
Away DNB
56%
8/15
24%
-
Leon win to nil
21%
9/2
22%
-
Cruz Azul win to nil
21%
5/2
36%
-
Leon / Leon
15%
9/2
38%
-
Leon / Cruz Azul
3%
25/1-
Leon / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw / Leon
12%
6/1
17%
-
Draw / Cruz Azul
15%
9/2
15%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
14%
-
Cruz Azul / Leon
2%
33/1
31%
-
Cruz Azul / Cruz Azul
24%
5/2
22%
-
Cruz Azul / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
Leon 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leon0 - 2Monterrey
Leon1 - 0Puebla
Leon1 - 2Pumas UNAM
Leon2 - 1Tijuana
Leon1 - 0Tigres
Leon3 - 3Toluca
Leon2 - 1Guadalajara
Leon1 - 0Juarez
Leon0 - 0Mazatlan
Leon4 - 0Queretaro
Leon0 - 0Atlas
Leon1 - 1America
Leon1 - 0A. San Luis
Leon1 - 2Cruz Azul
Leon1 - 1S. Laguna
Leon1 - 1Necaxa
Leon0 - 0Pachuca
Leon2 - 0Monterrey
Leon0 - 2Queretaro
Leon2 - 1Puebla
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeon0 - 2Monterrey
ALeon1 - 2Cruz Azul
HLeon1 - 0Puebla
ALeon1 - 1Queretaro
HLeon1 - 2Pumas UNAM
ALeon1 - 2Necaxa
ALeon1 - 2S. Laguna
HLeon2 - 1Tijuana
HLeon1 - 0Tigres
ALeon1 - 1America
ALeon2 - 1A. San Luis
HLeon3 - 3Toluca
ALeon2 - 1Pachuca
ALeon2 - 1Mazatlan
HLeon2 - 1Guadalajara
HLeon1 - 0Juarez
ALeon2 - 1Atlas
ALeon1 - 2Monterrey
HLeon0 - 0Mazatlan
ALeon2 - 2Toluca
Cruz Azul 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
America0 - 0Cruz Azul
Guadalajara0 - 1Cruz Azul
Mazatlan1 - 1Cruz Azul
S. Laguna0 - 1Cruz Azul
Tigres2 - 1Cruz Azul
Tijuana2 - 3Cruz Azul
Necaxa1 - 3Cruz Azul
Juarez1 - 0Cruz Azul
America0 - 0Cruz Azul
Tijuana3 - 0Cruz Azul
Atlas2 - 2Cruz Azul
Pumas UNAM0 - 2Cruz Azul
Puebla1 - 2Cruz Azul
Pachuca2 - 4Cruz Azul
A. San Luis3 - 1Cruz Azul
Leon1 - 2Cruz Azul
Queretaro0 - 2Cruz Azul
Monterrey0 - 4Cruz Azul
America1 - 0Cruz Azul
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACruz Azul2 - 2Toluca
HCruz Azul2 - 1Leon
ACruz Azul0 - 0America
HCruz Azul3 - 2Pumas UNAM
ACruz Azul1 - 0Guadalajara
HCruz Azul3 - 0A. San Luis
HCruz Azul1 - 1Monterrey
ACruz Azul1 - 1Mazatlan
HCruz Azul1 - 0Queretaro
ACruz Azul1 - 0S. Laguna
ACruz Azul1 - 2Tigres
HCruz Azul2 - 1Pachuca
ACruz Azul3 - 2Tijuana
ACruz Azul3 - 1Necaxa
HCruz Azul1 - 1Puebla
ACruz Azul0 - 1Juarez
HCruz Azul1 - 1Atlas
HCruz Azul3 - 4America
ACruz Azul0 - 0America
HCruz Azul3 - 0Tijuana
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Cruz Azul have beaten Leon in 4 consecutive league meetings
8
Cruz Azul have not lost to Leon in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Leon since 2019
Leon
Cruz Azul
Goals: Scored
5
7
Games: Scored
3 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
3 / 6
LEO
1
D
1
CAZ
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
1 - 2Cruz Azul
2 - 3Cruz Azul
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Cruz Azul
0 - 1Cruz Azul
Leon2 - 0
League games at Cruz Azul since 2018
Cruz Azul
Leon
Goals: Scored
12
3
Games: Scored
7 / 8
3 / 8
Clean sheets
5 / 8
1 / 8
LEO
1
CAZ
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul2 - 1
Cruz Azul1 - 0
Cruz Azul1 - 0
Cruz Azul2 - 1
0 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul2 - 0
Cruz Azul1 - 0
Cruz Azul3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for León of late. It has been 7 Liga MX matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday morning against Cruz Azul.

Leon 11th Cruz Azul 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Leon will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Cruz Azul will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Leon have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
+2
Cruz Azul’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/302692/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
PG (predicted goals)
0
0
Attack rating
%
better
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
%
Defence rating
%
better
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
%

Leon v Cruz Azul Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
361348
S BarreiroJ CádizD RamírezS Barreiro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Óscar Jiménez GLK9
2
-
S Santos DEF2211
-
S Barreiro DEF361
8
-
A Frías DEF1511
3
2
S Chávez DEF3611
4
-
N Fonseca MID18
4
1
R Echeverría MID173
7
-
I Moreno MID2433
3
-
E Rigoni FWD1511
1
-
A Guardado FWD2721
5
-
S Mendoza FWD2792
5
1
Subs
A Blanco GLK271
3
-
M Isaís DEF71
1
-
P Bellón DEF311
8
-
S González MID8
2
-
E Guerra MID242
2
1
C Cisneros MID10
1
?. Estrada Meza MID2321
2
-
D Ramírez MID274
1
-
E Ayon FWD161
-
J Cádiz FWD34134
5
-
Cruz Azul Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
391489
K MierI RiveroC RodríguezG Giakoumakis
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Mier GLK39
1
-
J Sánchez DEF3312
3
1
J Chiquete DEF16
6
-
E Lira DEF371
5
-
A Montaño MID2841
1
-
I Rivero MID36143
6
1
C Ducloux MID3
1
-
L Faravelli MID3671
7
-
C Rodríguez MID398
8
-
C Rotondi FWD37118
5
-
Ángel Sepúlveda FWD37142
5
-
Subs
A Gudiño GLK1
-
O Campos DEF5
-
C Vargas DEF5
-
A Gutiérrez MID3335
-
A Moreno MID6
1
-
A. Morales Rosas MID2423
1
-
G Giakoumakis FWD3297
9
-
L Romero FWD1621
1
-
L Gutiérrez FWD1
-
B. Gamboa Galarza FWD31
-