León's team badge Toluca's team badge

León v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Oct, 02:00 BST, Estadio León, León de los Aldamas

Patrick Glockner pays counterpart Alexandre Moya Torralbo a visit on Sunday morning in the Liga MX, as their Toluca and León teams face each other at the Estadio León. Below you'll find predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds from leading bookmakers. All is accessible using the tabs below.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leon
26%
OFF-
Draw
24%
OFF-
Toluca
50%
OFF-
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Toluca 1-0
10%
--
Toluca 2-1
10%
--
Toluca 2-0
8%
--
Leon 1-0
7%
--
Leon 2-1
7%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Toluca 3-1
5%
--
Toluca 3-0
5%
--
Leon 2-0
4%
--
Toluca 3-2
3%
--
Leon 3-1
3%
--
Toluca 4-1
2%
--
Leon 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Home 1st Goal
44%
--
Away 1st Goal
53%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
56%
--
BTTS - No
44%
--
BTTS - Home Win
13%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
24%
--
Home/draw
50%
--
Away/draw
74%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
43%
--
Away DNB
67%
--
Leon win to nil
13%
--
Toluca win to nil
26%
--
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Leon 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leon2 - 2Mazatlan
Leon3 - 0Queretaro
Leon1 - 1Pachuca
Leon1 - 3Monterrey
Leon1 - 0Guadalajara
Leon0 - 1A. San Luis
Leon2 - 3Cruz Azul
Leon0 - 2Monterrey
Leon1 - 0Puebla
Leon1 - 2Pumas UNAM
Leon2 - 1Tijuana
Leon1 - 0Tigres
Leon3 - 3Toluca
Leon2 - 1Guadalajara
Leon1 - 0Juarez
Leon0 - 0Mazatlan
Leon4 - 0Queretaro
Leon0 - 0Atlas
Leon1 - 1America
Leon1 - 0A. San Luis
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeon2 - 2Mazatlan
ALeon0 - 5Tijuana
ALeon0 - 0Tigres
HLeon3 - 0Queretaro
HLeon1 - 1Pachuca
ALeon1 - 0Necaxa
HLeon1 - 3Monterrey
ALeon1 - 4Cruz Azul
HLeon1 - 0Guadalajara
HLeon0 - 1A. San Luis
ALeon1 - 2Cruz Azul
HLeon2 - 3Cruz Azul
HLeon0 - 2Monterrey
ALeon1 - 2Cruz Azul
HLeon1 - 0Puebla
ALeon1 - 1Queretaro
HLeon1 - 2Pumas UNAM
ALeon1 - 2Necaxa
ALeon1 - 2S. Laguna
HLeon2 - 1Tijuana
Toluca 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Guadalajara0 - 3Toluca
A. San Luis1 - 3Toluca
Cruz Azul1 - 0Toluca
Juarez0 - 2Toluca
S. Laguna2 - 4Toluca
America0 - 0Toluca
Tigres1 - 1Toluca
Monterrey3 - 2Toluca
A. San Luis0 - 1Toluca
Atlas2 - 3Toluca
Puebla0 - 3Toluca
America3 - 0Toluca
Juarez0 - 4Toluca
Leon3 - 3Toluca
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Toluca
Mazatlan2 - 1Toluca
Tijuana2 - 4Toluca
America2 - 0Toluca
Tigres2 - 1Toluca
Necaxa1 - 3Toluca
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca3 - 0Guadalajara
HToluca3 - 1Puebla
AToluca3 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca0 - 1Cruz Azul
HToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
AToluca2 - 0Juarez
HToluca3 - 4Tigres
AToluca4 - 2S. Laguna
HToluca3 - 1Necaxa
HToluca2 - 0America
AToluca0 - 0America
HToluca3 - 0Tigres
AToluca1 - 1Tigres
HToluca2 - 1Monterrey
AToluca2 - 3Monterrey
HToluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
AToluca1 - 0A. San Luis
AToluca3 - 2Atlas
HToluca2 - 1S. Laguna
HToluca3 - 2Pachuca
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Leon since 2019
Leon
Toluca
Goals: Scored
19
11
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
LEO
4
D
3
TOL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
Draw3 - 3Draw
Leon1 - 0
0 - 1Toluca
Draw4 - 4Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Leon2 - 1
Leon4 - 0
Leon3 - 0
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
Leon
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
LEO
1
D
4
TOL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Draw2 - 2Draw
Toluca4 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Leon
Goal Statistics

Toluca's defensive record is very strong, Patrick Glockner's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Liga MX matches. An average PG rating of 1.1 for León makes sense in this context.

Leon 10th Toluca 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Leon will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Leon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+30
Toluca have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Leon
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.2
1.7
Attack rating
LEO
TOL
38%
better
view stats
Games scored6
7
Failed to score2
1
Scored first3
4
Goals scored8
19
Avg. goals scored0.8
2.1
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal10
5
Conversion rate for11
19
Avg. XG for1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+38%
Defence rating
30%
better
LEO
TOL
view stats
Games conceded4
7
Clean sheets4
1
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded9
11
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
6
Conversion rate against8%
16%
Avg. XG against1.6
1
KickOff rating
+30%

Leon v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10515
S ChávezI DíazS ChávezR Echeverría
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Chávez DEF101
1
-
S Barreiro DEF10
4
-
F Beltran MID101
1
-
O García GLK9
1
-
I Moreno DEF9
-
R Echeverría DEF9
5
-
S Santos MID9
3
-
N Fonseca MID9
4
-
D Arcila MID71
-
?. Estrada Meza MID7
-
J Rodríguez MID721
-
J Cortizo FWD7
2
-
I Díaz FWD751
-
R Mori FWD7
-
A Alvarado FWD6
-
M Rodriguez FWD5
-
D Ramírez DEF4
-
P Bellón DEF4
1
-
E Ayon FWD4
2
-
V. Gauthier Pereira Brasil DEF3
1
1
Óscar Jiménez GLK1
-
G. García Bernal FWD1
-
C Cisneros FWD1
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9364
F PereiraJ GallardoA VegaJ Gallardo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Pereira DEF91
2
-
N Castro MID95
1
-
J Domínguez FWD911
2
-
D Barbosa DEF8
1
-
F Romero MID8
2
-
H Herrera MID8
-
J Gallardo DEF73
4
-
B Méndez DEF7
1
1
M Ruíz MID721
2
-
J Uriarte MID721
-
Paulinho FWD731
-
R Morales FWD732
-
A Vega FWD726
1
-
O. Virgen FWD611
1
-
H González GLK5
1
-
L García GLK5
1
-
E López DEF5
1
-
Helinho  FWD432
1
-
A Briseño DEF3
-
S Simón MID3
-
F Arce MID3
-
M Isaís DEF2
-
Luan DEF1
-
V Camarena MID1
-
A Bermúdez FWD1
1
-