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América v Pumas UNAM : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 4th May, 00:00 BST, Estadio Azteca, Mexico City

Monday morning sees André Soares Jardine’s América and Efraín Juárez Váldez’s Pumas UNAM go head to head in a Liga MX clash at the Estadio Azteca. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen major markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither America or Pumas UNAM are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think America are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.81.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
America
38%
81/1004/5
Draw
26%
11/412/5
Pumas UNAM
37%
31/1013/5
Draw 1-1
12%
6/111/2
America 1-0
9%
13/26/1
Pumas UNAM 1-0
9%
11/19/1
America 2-1
8%
15/213/2
Pumas UNAM 2-1
8%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/19/1
America 2-0
6%
8/115/2
Pumas UNAM 2-0
6%
20/114/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/111/1
America 3-1
4%
14/111/1
Pumas UNAM 3-1
4%
33/120/1
America 3-0
3%
14/112/1
Pumas UNAM 3-0
3%
40/125/1
America 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Pumas UNAM 3-2
3%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
17/204/5
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
19/2017/20
Home 1st Goal
48%
8/138/13
Away 1st Goal
48%
7/56/4
No 1st Goal
4%
10/19/1
BTTS - Yes
56%
3/43/4
BTTS - No
44%
1/11/1
BTTS - Home Win
19%
11/413/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/47/2
BTTS - Away Win
18%
13/211/2
Home/draw
63%
2/91/4
Away/draw
62%
10/1110/11
Home/away
74%
1/42/7
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/412/5
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
9/419/10
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/31/3
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
5/117/4
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/81/9
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/50
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/40
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/18/1
Home DNB
56%
4/114/11
Away DNB
55%
2/19/5
America win to nil
19%
9/4-
Pumas UNAM win to nil
19%
6/1-
America / America
28%
15/89/5
America / Pumas UNAM
3%
33/125/1
America / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / America
17%
15/419/5
Draw / Pumas UNAM
9%
8/17/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
Pumas UNAM / America
4%
20/118/1
Pumas UNAM / Pumas UNAM
12%
6/15/1
Pumas UNAM / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win form
4
Pumas UNAM have won 4 consecutive league games
8
Pumas UNAM have not lost in 8 consecutive league games
America 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Pumas UNAM 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at America since 2018
America
Pumas UNAM
Goals: Scored
20
12
Games: Scored
9 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
1 / 10
AME
4
D
4
PUM
2
League games at Pumas UNAM since 2018
Pumas UNAM
America
Goals: Scored
8
11
Games: Scored
5 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
5 / 10
AME
3
D
4
PUM
3
Goal Statistics
America 8th Pumas UNAM 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that America will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Pumas UNAM will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
America have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
+13
Pumas UNAM have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
America
PG (predicted goals)
Pumas UNAM
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
AME
PUM
19%
better
view stats
Games scored28
32
Failed to score8
3
Scored first21
24
Goals scored55
59
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.7
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
19
Avg. XG for1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
AME
PUM
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
25
Clean sheets11
10
Conceded first13
10
Goals conceded38
45
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against15%
11%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+2%

America v Pumas UNAM Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

America Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321367
C BorjaB RodríguezB RodríguezS Ramos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Rodríguez FWD36136
3
-
C Borja DEF343
4
-
I Reyes DEF332
3
-
K Álvarez DEF2911
1
-
Érick Sánchez MID283
3
1
J. Zúñiga Murillo FWD2841
2
-
S Ramos DEF27
7
-
L Malagón GLK26
2
-
R Juárez DEF262
2
1
A Zendejas FWD2696
4
-
J Santos MID242
3
-
A Gutiérrez MID2312
1
-
I Violante FWD2214
3
-
V Dávila FWD223
2
-
A Campo MID191
1
-
P. Salas FWD1922
2
-
R Dourado MID151
4
-
R Veiga MID1322
2
-
R Cota GLK10
1
-
Lima MID1011
1
M García DEF9
1
-
H Martín FWD91
-
D. Espinoza Acosta DEF71
1
-
A Montoya DEF5
3
-
T. Espinosa Dovat DEF4
1
-
R Orquin DEF2
-
Pumas UNAM Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
349510
N SilvaG MartínezA CarrasquillaA Carrasquilla
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Silva DEF341
8
1
K Navas GLK32
5
-
P Vite MID323
3
-
R Lopez MID3213
3
-
A Carrasquilla MID3225
10
-
Álvaro Angulo DEF3162
4
2
A Medina FWD2944
3
-
R Duarte DEF2821
10
-
P Bennevendo DEF271
4
-
G Martínez FWD269
6
-
?. Azuaje García DEF19
2
-
Juninho FWD1773
-
R Morales FWD1782
-
S Trigos MID16
3
-
J Rodriguez FWD1632
2
-
U Antuna FWD1424
1
-
C. Garza Cantu MID12
3
-
J Guzmán FWD1142
-
P Reyes DEF8
3
-
?. Rico Reyes MID7
-
J Rivas DEF6
1
-
A Leone DEF4
-
U Rivas MID4
1
-
P. Lara Nevarez GLK1
-