León's team badge Toluca's team badge

León v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

BC Place Stadium, Vancouver

León and their boss Alexandre Moya Torralbo will be hoping for victory against Patrick Glockner and his Toluca side on Sunday morning, as the pair clash at the Estadio León in the Liga MX. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. The best odds are provided too.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga MX Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

León's next match is v America at 01:00 on Thursday 20th February
Toluca's next match is v Juarez at 23:00 on Saturday 22nd February
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Leon and Toluca was on Sunday 9th February 2025
Mexican Liga MX
February 9th 2025
Leon 3
3 Toluca
 
J. Cádiz Fernández 15'50' I. Violante Romero
R. Echeverría Sáez 24'60' R. Morales
R. Echeverría Sáez 64'85' R. Morales
 
LEO
TOL
Shots On
4
6
Shots Off
6
10
Corners
1
5
Possession
36%
64%
Fouls
9
9
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
LeonToluca
 
Ó. Jiménez Fabela
J. Barreiro Solis
J. Ramírez García (I. Moreno Füguemann 71')
S. Reyes Chávez
P. Bellón Saracho
N. Fonseca (J. Guardado Hernández 87')
J. Rodríguez Rubio
?. Estrada Meza (E. Guerra 60')
R. Echeverría Sáezfootball iconfootball icon
J. Mendoza Valencia
J. Cádiz Fernándezfootball icon (E. Ayon 71')
P. López Sabata
D. Barbosa Zaragoza
(J. Domínguez Chonteco 46') J. Gallardo Vasconcelos
L. Garcia Teixeira
B. Méndez Cittadini
(R. Morales 46') J. Angulo Uriarte
(I. Violante Romero 46') H. Nunes de Castro
M. Ruiz Suárez
(H. Herrera López 71') F. Romero
(B. García Carpizo 87') E. Vega Rojas
J. Dias Fernandes

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Leon or Toluca are in the kind of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 74% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.88.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leon
39%
11/5
10%
-
Draw
26%
5/2
8%
-
Toluca
34%
6/5
2%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
7%
-
Leon 1-0
10%
12/1
8%
-
Toluca 1-0
9%
9/1
9%
-
Leon 2-1
8%
10/1-
Toluca 2-1
8%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
14/1-
Leon 2-0
7%
16/1-
Toluca 2-0
6%
11/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
11/1-
Leon 3-1
4%
22/1
10%
-
Toluca 3-1
3%
16/1-
Leon 3-0
3%
33/1
17%
-
Leon 3-2
2%
25/1
13%
-
Toluca 3-0
2%
20/1-
Toluca 3-2
2%
20/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
4/6
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
23/20
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
49%
6/5-
Away 1st Goal
47%
4/6
3%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/7
3%
-
BTTS - No
47%
5/4
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
9/2
16%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
11/4-
Home/draw
66%
4/6
3%
-
Away/draw
61%
4/11
3%
-
Home/away
74%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/5
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
10/3
4%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
13/8
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
4/9
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
4/1
11%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/6
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
14/1-
Home DNB
58%
5/4
7%
-
Away DNB
53%
4/7
6%
-
Leon win to nil
21%
11/2
8%
-
Toluca win to nil
18%
10/3-
Leon / Leon
16%
4/1
5%
-
Leon / Toluca
4%
22/1
10%
-
Leon / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Leon
12%
6/1-
Draw / Toluca
15%
9/2
8%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Toluca / Leon
3%
25/1-
Toluca / Toluca
23%
5/2
3%
-
Toluca / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win form
Leon 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Leon since 2019
Leon
Toluca
Goals: Scored
16
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
LEO
4
D
2
TOL
1
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
Leon
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
LEO
1
D
4
TOL
1
Goal Statistics

León's defensive record is very strong, Alexandre Moya Torralbo's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga MX games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Toluca makes sense in this context.

Leon 11th Toluca 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Leon will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Toluca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
Leon have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
+15
Toluca have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289209/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leon
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.4
1.3
Attack rating
%
better
LEO
TOL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
LEO
TOL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Leon v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241046
S BarreiroJ CádizJ RodríguezS Barreiro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Óscar Jiménez GLK3
-
D Ramírez DEF173
1
-
S Barreiro DEF241
6
-
P Bellón DEF221
6
-
S Chávez DEF241
3
-
R Echeverría MID62
2
-
N Fonseca MID7
1
-
?. Estrada Meza MID1511
2
-
J Rodríguez MID614
-
S Mendoza MID156
3
1
J Cádiz FWD22102
4
-
Subs
A Blanco GLK21
3
-
M Isaís DEF61
1
-
I Moreno DEF1323
2
-
S González MID3
-
E Rigoni MID51
1
-
E Guerra MID192
2
1
A Guardado MID1911
3
-
C Cisneros MID4
1
E Ayon FWD131
-
J Casiano FWD5
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251578
M RuízPaulinhoA VegaM Ruíz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P López GLK2
-
D Barbosa DEF51
2
-
B Méndez DEF15
1
Luan DEF251
3
-
J Gallardo DEF2443
4
-
F Romero MID5
2
-
M Ruíz MID2524
8
-
Helinho  MID133
2
-
J Uriarte MID2454
-
A Vega MID2667
6
-
Paulinho FWD24156
3
-
Subs
L García GLK3
-
A Briseño DEF1
-
F Pereira DEF161
5
1
B García DEF2311
2
-
H Herrera MID4
-
F Amaya MID152
1
-
J Domínguez FWD201
2
-
I Violante FWD2053
4
-
I López FWD18
-
R Morales FWD102
-