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León v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 25th Oct, 00:00 BST, Estadio León, León de los Aldamas

Javier Marcelo Gandolfi and Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich meet in the Liga MX on Sunday morning, as León face Toluca at the Estadio León. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Switching the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds from leading bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leon
42%
--
Draw
26%
--
Toluca
33%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Leon 1-0
10%
--
Leon 2-1
9%
--
Toluca 1-0
8%
--
Toluca 2-1
8%
--
Leon 2-0
7%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Toluca 2-0
5%
--
Leon 3-1
4%
--
Leon 3-0
3%
--
Toluca 3-1
3%
--
Leon 3-2
3%
--
Toluca 3-2
2%
--
Toluca 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
55%
--
BTTS - No
45%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
16%
--
Home/draw
67%
--
Away/draw
58%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
60%
--
Away DNB
51%
--
Leon win to nil
22%
--
Toluca win to nil
17%
--
Win / draw / win form
Leon 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Leon since 2019
Leon
Toluca
Goals: Scored
21
15
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
LEO
4
D
3
TOL
2
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
Leon
Goals: Scored
13
8
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
LEO
1
D
4
TOL
2
Goal Statistics

León have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Liga MX matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Toluca on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Leon 5th Toluca 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Leon will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Toluca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Leon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-21
Toluca have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season
Leon
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
LEO
TOL
16%
better
view stats
Games scored10
10
Failed to score1
1
Scored first8
8
Goals scored15
25
Avg. goals scored1.4
2.3
Avg. shots per game11
13
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
17
Avg. XG for1.5
1.9
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
LEO
TOL
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
7
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first3
2
Goals conceded12
15
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
8
Conversion rate against10%
13%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+2%

Leon v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10423
J. GuevaraD ArcilaF BeltranJ. Guevara
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Moreno DEF11
1
-
F Beltran MID112
1
-
J Cortizo FWD112
1
J. Guevara DEF10
3
-
D Cambindo FWD1032
1
D Arcila FWD104
2
-
J Romaña DEF91
1
R Echeverría MID9
2
1
I Rodríguez MID9
-
A Alvarado FWD931
1
-
O García GLK8
-
S Chávez DEF8
-
I Díaz FWD81
-
S Vegas DEF7
3
-
E Guerra FWD71
-
B Colula DEF6
2
-
J Domínguez FWD61
1
-
P Bellón DEF5
-
L. Valadez Padilla MID51
-
S González FWD1
1
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10543
F PereiraF ViñasHelinho Helinho 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Pereira DEF10
1
-
J Uriarte FWD1011
-
Helinho  FWD1034
3
-
J Price FWD101
-
B Méndez DEF91
1
-
N Castro MID92
2
-
F Romero MID9
3
-
A Vega FWD942
2
-
J Gallardo DEF811
1
-
E López DEF811
1
V Guzmán MID8
-
F Viñas FWD85
-
L García GLK7
-
Luan DEF7
-
D Barbosa DEF7
1
1
B García DEF61
1
-
Érick Gutiérrez MID5
-
P Pérez MID5
-
F Arce MID5
1
-
Paulinho FWD53
-
H González GLK4
-
S Simón DEF4
-
A Briseño DEF2
-
O. Virgen FWD211
-
Ronaldo Beltrán Dimas GLK1
-
I López FWD111
-