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Toluca v Tijuana : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 22nd Oct, 02:00 BST, Estadio Nemesio Diez,

Toluca and Tijuana take on one another at the Estadio Nemesio Diez on Thursday morning, with both Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich and Washington Sebastián Abreu Gallo hoping for success in the Liga MX. Analysing both sides' last 20 Liga MX matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Toluca 59%	-	-
Draw 21%	-	-
Tijuana 20%	-	-
Toluca 2-1 10%	-	-
Draw 1-1 10%	-	-
Toluca 2-0 9%	-	-
Toluca 1-0 9%	-	-
Toluca 3-1 7%	-	-
Toluca 3-0 6%	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	-	-
Tijuana 2-1 5%	-	-
Tijuana 1-0 5%	-	-
Draw 0-0 4%	-	-
Toluca 3-2 4%	-	-
Toluca 4-1 3%	-	-
Toluca 4-0 3%	-	-
Tijuana 2-0 3%	-	-
Tijuana 3-2 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 55%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 42%	-	-
No 1st Goal 3%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 58%	-	-
BTTS - No 42%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 30%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 11%	-	-
Home/draw 80%	-	-
Away/draw 41%	-	-
Home/away 79%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 38%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 62%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 21%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 79%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	-	-
Home DNB 74%	-	-
Away DNB 35%	-	-
Toluca win to nil 29%	-	-
Tijuana win to nil 9%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca	2 - 3	S. Laguna
Toluca	5 - 2	Atlas
Toluca	4 - 0	Juarez
Toluca	3 - 1	Necaxa
Toluca	1 - 2	Pumas UNAM
Toluca	0 - 1	Pachuca
Toluca	4 - 1	Leon
Toluca	1 - 1	A. San Luis
Toluca	1 - 1	Atlas
Toluca	3 - 1	Juarez
Toluca	2 - 0	Guadalajara
Toluca	1 - 0	Tijuana
Toluca	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
Toluca	3 - 1	S. Laguna
Toluca	2 - 1	Tigres
Toluca	3 - 2	Monterrey
Toluca	0 - 0	Juarez
Toluca	2 - 0	America
Toluca	2 - 2	Pachuca
Toluca	4 - 0	Queretaro

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Toluca	3 - 3	Cruz Azul
H	Toluca	2 - 3	S. Laguna
A	Toluca	1 - 0	Puebla
H	Toluca	5 - 2	Atlas
H	Toluca	4 - 0	Juarez
A	Toluca	2 - 1	Queretaro
A	Toluca	0 - 0	Atlante
H	Toluca	3 - 1	Necaxa
H	Toluca	1 - 2	Pumas UNAM
A	Toluca	2 - 0	Guadalajara
A	Toluca	0 - 2	Pachuca
H	Toluca	0 - 1	Pachuca
H	Toluca	4 - 1	Leon
A	Toluca	3 - 4	Mazatlan
A	Toluca	1 - 2	America
H	Toluca	1 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Toluca	0 - 1	Queretaro
A	Toluca	1 - 1	Pachuca
H	Toluca	1 - 1	Atlas
H	Toluca	3 - 1	Juarez

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pachuca	2 - 2	Tijuana
Guadalajara	5 - 2	Tijuana
A. San Luis	0 - 0	Tijuana
Guadalajara	0 - 0	Tijuana
Cruz Azul	1 - 1	Tijuana
Juarez	1 - 2	Tijuana
Necaxa	3 - 0	Tijuana
Leon	0 - 3	Tijuana
Atlas	2 - 1	Tijuana
Toluca	1 - 0	Tijuana
Monterrey	2 - 2	Tijuana
Queretaro	1 - 2	Tijuana
Tigres	5 - 0	Tijuana
Pumas UNAM	4 - 1	Tijuana
Tigres	2 - 0	Tijuana
Puebla	4 - 3	Tijuana
S. Laguna	1 - 0	Tijuana
A. San Luis	1 - 1	Tijuana
Pachuca	0 - 2	Tijuana
Mazatlan	2 - 2	Tijuana

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Tijuana	2 - 3	Atlas
A	Tijuana	2 - 2	Pachuca
H	Tijuana	0 - 1	Queretaro
H	Tijuana	2 - 0	Pumas UNAM
A	Tijuana	2 - 5	Guadalajara
H	Tijuana	2 - 1	Cruz Azul
A	Tijuana	0 - 0	A. San Luis
H	Tijuana	1 - 0	Leon
H	Tijuana	3 - 1	Tigres
A	Tijuana	0 - 0	Guadalajara
H	Tijuana	3 - 1	Pachuca
A	Tijuana	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
A	Tijuana	2 - 1	Juarez
H	Tijuana	1 - 0	Tigres
A	Tijuana	0 - 3	Necaxa
A	Tijuana	3 - 0	Leon
H	Tijuana	1 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Tijuana	1 - 2	Atlas
H	Tijuana	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
H	Tijuana	1 - 1	Mazatlan

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Toluca have beaten Tijuana in 4 consecutive home league meetings

Toluca have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Tijuana

Toluca

Tijuana

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

2 / 8

Clean sheets

6 / 8

0 / 8

TOL

TIJ

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca	1 - 0
Toluca	4 - 0
Toluca	2 - 0
Toluca	3 - 1
	1 - 2	Tijuana
Toluca	2 - 0
Toluca	2 - 0
Toluca	3 - 0

Tijuana

Toluca

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

TOL

TIJ

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tijuana
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 4	Toluca
Tijuana	2 - 1
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	0 - 2	Toluca
Tijuana	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Tijuana	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Toluca 2nd	Tijuana 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.0 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 13% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 15% There is a 60% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Tijuana will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-1 Toluca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Tijuana’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.2 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season

26%

better

TOL

TIJ

view stats

Games scored	9		7
Failed to score	1		2
Scored first	8		5
Goals scored	23		14
Avg. goals scored	2.3		1.6
Avg. shots per game	13		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	17		17
Avg. XG for	2		1.8
KickOff rating		+26%

16%

better

TOL

TIJ

view stats

Games conceded	6		6
Clean sheets	4		3
Conceded first	1		3
Goals conceded	12		13
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		8
Conversion rate against	13%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+16%

Toluca v Tijuana Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
9	4	3	3
F Pereira	A Vega	Helinho	Helinho

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Pereira DEF	9			-
J Uriarte FWD	9	1	1	-
Helinho FWD	9	3	3	3 -
J Price FWD	9	1		-
B Méndez DEF	8		1	1 -
E López DEF	8	1	1	1
V Guzmán MID	8			-
N Castro MID	8		2	2 -
F Romero MID	8			2 -
A Vega FWD	8	4	2	1 -
J Gallardo DEF	7	1	1	1 -
Luan DEF	7			-
D Barbosa DEF	7			1 1
F Viñas FWD	7	4		-
L García GLK	6			-
B García DEF	5			-
F Arce MID	5			1 -
H González GLK	4			-
Érick Gutiérrez MID	4			-
P Pérez MID	4			-
Paulinho FWD	4	2		-
S Simón DEF	3			-
A Briseño DEF	2			-
O. Virgen FWD	2	1	1	-
Ronaldo Beltrán Dimas GLK	1			-
I López FWD	1	1	1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	12	3	5
A Vega	Helinho	Helinho	Helinho

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Vega FWD	4	8	2	2
F Viñas FWD	4	6
Helinho FWD	3	12	3	5
Paulinho FWD	2	6		2
J Uriarte FWD	1	5	1	2
J Price FWD	1	5		2
E López DEF	1	1	1	1
J Gallardo DEF	1	2	1	2
O. Virgen FWD	1	3	1	1
I López FWD	1	1	1	1
B Méndez DEF			1
N Castro MID		5	2	5
F Romero MID				1
Luan DEF		1
D Barbosa DEF		3		1
B García DEF		1
F Arce MID				1
Érick Gutiérrez MID		1
S Simón DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
571	24	67
F Pereira	D Barbosa	F Pereira

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Pereira DEF	571	19	67
B Méndez DEF	392	7	21
F Romero MID	383	17	26
E López DEF	376	15	21
N Castro MID	319	8	20
A Vega FWD	297	11	46
Helinho FWD	275	6	29
J Gallardo DEF	272	11	21
V Guzmán MID	225	3	13
Luan DEF	219	3	8
D Barbosa DEF	206	24	39
J Uriarte FWD	204	11	22
J Price FWD	181	2	24
L García GLK	175		2
B García DEF	150	8	12
Érick Gutiérrez MID	126	10	12
S Simón DEF	119	6	10
F Arce MID	118	3	9
F Viñas FWD	109	5	41
H González GLK	109		1
P Pérez MID	79	5	11
Paulinho FWD	61	4	11
Ronaldo Beltrán Dimas GLK	31		1
I López FWD	18		1
O. Virgen FWD	10		1
A Briseño DEF	9	1	2

Tijuana Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
9	5	2	3
A Rodríguez	G. Mora Zambrano	J Grijalva	I Olmeda

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Rodríguez GLK	9			-
A Gómez DEF	9	1		-
J Grijalva DEF	9		2	-
I Olmeda MID	9			3 -
J Sandoval FWD	9		1	2 -
R Zárate FWD	9	1		2 -
A Preciado FWD	9		2	2 -
J Porozo DEF	8			1 -
M Ghezouani FWD	8	3		-
D Firenze FWD	8			1 -
P Ortíz DEF	7			1 -
G. Mora Zambrano MID	7	5	1	-
Ángel Zapata MID	7			-
R Fernández DEF	6			-
I Rivero MID	6	2		1 -
F González FWD	5		1	-
F Boya MID	4			-
U Bilbao DEF	3			-
A. Perez MID	3			-
A Montoya DEF	2			-
E Manoel FWD	1	2		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	9	2	6
G. Mora Zambrano	G. Mora Zambrano	J Grijalva	A Preciado

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G. Mora Zambrano MID	5	9	1	3
M Ghezouani FWD	3	6
I Rivero MID	2	4
E Manoel FWD	2	2
A Gómez DEF	1	3		1
R Zárate FWD	1	2		2
J Grijalva DEF		1	2	1
I Olmeda MID		1
J Sandoval FWD		4	1	2
A Preciado FWD			2	6
D Firenze FWD		2		1
P Ortíz DEF				1
R Fernández DEF				2
F González FWD		1	1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
525	26	63
A Gómez	A Gómez	A Preciado

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Gómez DEF	525	26	41
I Olmeda MID	488	15	34
A Rodríguez GLK	357		3
J Porozo DEF	338	7	37
R Fernández DEF	223	8	21
J Grijalva DEF	186	11	28
G. Mora Zambrano MID	183	5	26
R Zárate FWD	169	23	42
A Preciado FWD	151	17	63
J Sandoval FWD	141	8	29
P Ortíz DEF	113	4	12
Ángel Zapata MID	107	9	14
M Ghezouani FWD	69	5	35
F González FWD	62	2	12
U Bilbao DEF	59		5
D Firenze FWD	56	3	21
I Rivero MID	45	6	11
A. Perez MID	31	3	5
F Boya MID	30	3	8
A Montoya DEF	17
E Manoel FWD	6		3