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Puebla v Monterrey : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 22nd Oct, 02:00 BST, Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla

We’ve Liga MX action to enjoy on Thursday morning, as Gerardo Espinoza Ahumada and his Puebla side host Matías Jesús Almeyda’s Monterrey at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Liga MX matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Puebla 43%	-	-
Draw 24%	-	-
Monterrey 32%	-	-
Draw 1-1 11%	-	-
Puebla 2-1 9%	-	-
Puebla 1-0 9%	-	-
Monterrey 2-1 8%	-	-
Monterrey 1-0 7%	-	-
Puebla 2-0 7%	-	-
Draw 2-2 6%	-	-
Draw 0-0 5%	-	-
Monterrey 2-0 5%	-	-
Puebla 3-1 5%	-	-
Puebla 3-0 4%	-	-
Monterrey 3-1 3%	-	-
Puebla 3-2 3%	-	-
Monterrey 3-2 3%	-	-
Monterrey 3-0 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	-	-
No 1st Goal 3%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 59%	-	-
BTTS - No 41%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 22%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 17%	-	-
Home/draw 68%	-	-
Away/draw 57%	-	-
Home/away 76%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	-	-
Home DNB 60%	-	-
Away DNB 50%	-	-
Puebla win to nil 21%	-	-
Monterrey win to nil 15%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Puebla	1 - 1	Atlante
Puebla	0 - 1	Toluca
Puebla	3 - 2	S. Laguna
Puebla	1 - 1	Guadalajara
Puebla	1 - 2	Queretaro
Puebla	0 - 1	Leon
Puebla	1 - 1	Juarez
Puebla	0 - 0	Necaxa
Puebla	3 - 1	Tigres
Puebla	0 - 4	America
Puebla	2 - 3	Pumas UNAM
Puebla	0 - 0	Toluca
Puebla	2 - 1	Mazatlan
Puebla	0 - 3	Cruz Azul
Puebla	4 - 3	Tijuana
Puebla	0 - 2	Guadalajara
Puebla	2 - 2	Pachuca
Puebla	2 - 4	Monterrey
Puebla	0 - 2	A. San Luis
Puebla	1 - 0	S. Laguna

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Puebla	0 - 1	Tigres
H	Puebla	1 - 1	Atlante
H	Puebla	0 - 1	Toluca
A	Puebla	1 - 0	Necaxa
A	Puebla	0 - 2	America
H	Puebla	3 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Puebla	3 - 2	Pachuca
H	Puebla	1 - 1	Guadalajara
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Cruz Azul
A	Puebla	1 - 0	Juarez
H	Puebla	1 - 2	Queretaro
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Monterrey
A	Puebla	0 - 5	Guadalajara
H	Puebla	0 - 1	Leon
H	Puebla	1 - 1	Juarez
A	Puebla	1 - 2	S. Laguna
H	Puebla	0 - 0	Necaxa
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Pachuca
H	Puebla	3 - 1	Tigres
A	Puebla	1 - 0	A. San Luis

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atlante	4 - 2	Monterrey
Leon	2 - 0	Monterrey
Atlas	0 - 2	Monterrey
Necaxa	2 - 1	Monterrey
S. Laguna	3 - 0	Monterrey
Atlas	0 - 0	Monterrey
Juarez	2 - 2	Monterrey
Tigres	1 - 0	Monterrey
Pumas UNAM	2 - 0	Monterrey
America	1 - 0	Monterrey
Mazatlan	1 - 5	Monterrey
Necaxa	0 - 2	Monterrey
Toluca	3 - 2	Monterrey
America	2 - 1	Monterrey
Guadalajara	4 - 2	Monterrey
Cruz Azul	2 - 0	Monterrey
Tijuana	2 - 2	Monterrey
Toluca	6 - 2	Monterrey
Queretaro	0 - 1	Monterrey
Puebla	2 - 4	Monterrey

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Monterrey	2 - 4	Atlante
H	Monterrey	1 - 0	Cruz Azul
H	Monterrey	0 - 0	Tigres
H	Monterrey	1 - 3	A. San Luis
A	Monterrey	0 - 2	Leon
H	Monterrey	6 - 1	Juarez
A	Monterrey	2 - 0	Atlas
A	Monterrey	1 - 2	Necaxa
H	Monterrey	3 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Monterrey	0 - 3	S. Laguna
H	Monterrey	2 - 1	Puebla
H	Monterrey	1 - 3	Pachuca
A	Monterrey	0 - 0	Atlas
H	Monterrey	1 - 2	A. San Luis
H	Monterrey	2 - 3	Guadalajara
A	Monterrey	2 - 2	Juarez
A	Monterrey	0 - 1	Tigres
H	Monterrey	4 - 0	Queretaro
H	Monterrey	0 - 2	Cruz Azul
A	Monterrey	0 - 2	Pumas UNAM

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Puebla

Monterrey

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

1 / 7

PUE

MON

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Puebla
	2 - 4	Monterrey
	1 - 2	Monterrey
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Monterrey
Puebla	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Puebla	2 - 1

Monterrey

Puebla

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 9

6 / 9

Clean sheets

3 / 9

1 / 9

MON

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monterrey
Monterrey	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Monterrey	2 - 0
Monterrey	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Monterrey	3 - 1
Monterrey	3 - 2
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Puebla 8th	Monterrey 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 79% probability that Puebla will score 1 or more goals	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Monterrey will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-18 Puebla have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted	-6 Monterrey’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.7 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season

PUE

MON

12%

better

view stats

Games scored	7		7
Failed to score	3		2
Scored first	5		4
Goals scored	11		16
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.8
Avg. shots per game	10		15
Avg. shots per goal	9		9
Conversion rate for	11		12
Avg. XG for	1		1.6
KickOff rating		+12%

PUE

MON

better

view stats

Games conceded	8		6
Clean sheets	2		3
Conceded first	5		4
Goals conceded	12		14
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	13		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	11		6
Conversion rate against	10%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.2
KickOff rating		+1%

Puebla v Monterrey Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Puebla Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	3	2	2
R Gutiérrez	E Torres	A Herrera	F. Monarrez Ochoa

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Gutiérrez GLK	10			-
F Almada DEF	10	1		-
F. Monarrez Ochoa DEF	10	1		2 -
J Vargas DEF	10		1	1 -
S. Sanabria Ortega MID	10			1 -
A Orozco MID	10		1	1 -
I Moreno DEF	9			1
C Baltazar MID	9	1	1	1 -
O Villa DEF	8			1 -
B Garnica FWD	8		1	-
M Borges MID	7	2		-
L Hernández FWD	7		1	-
K Velasco FWD	7	1		-
J Martinez DEF	6			-
O Villegas MID	6			-
E Torres FWD	6	3	1	1 -
A Jiménez MID	5			1 -
I Puch FWD	5	1	1	2 -
A Herrera MID	3		2	-
L. Azevedo da Silva MID	3			-
H Jurado FWD	3			-
?. Leyva DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	2	2
E Torres	M Borges	A Herrera	K Velasco

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Torres FWD	3	4	1	1
M Borges MID	2	6
F Almada DEF	1	3
F. Monarrez Ochoa DEF	1	3		1
C Baltazar MID	1	3	1	1
K Velasco FWD	1	6		2
I Puch FWD	1	4	1
J Vargas DEF		1	1
A Orozco MID			1
I Moreno DEF				1
B Garnica FWD		1	1
L Hernández FWD		2	1	1
O Villegas MID		1
A Jiménez MID		1
A Herrera MID		1	2
L. Azevedo da Silva MID		1
H Jurado FWD		1
?. Leyva DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
398	30	64
A Orozco	S. Sanabria Ortega	S. Sanabria Ortega

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Orozco MID	398	27	46
J Vargas DEF	370	13	32
F Almada DEF	368	7	39
F. Monarrez Ochoa DEF	310	14	42
R Gutiérrez GLK	287		6
S. Sanabria Ortega MID	261	30	64
I Moreno DEF	222	11	23
K Velasco FWD	212	9	32
M Borges MID	187	4	20
B Garnica FWD	172	21	35
C Baltazar MID	168	9	45
J Martinez DEF	95	9	16
A Jiménez MID	78	2	8
E Torres FWD	72	5	15
O Villa DEF	68	2	12
I Puch FWD	47	5	20
O Villegas MID	29	2	5
A Herrera MID	29	2	4
L Hernández FWD	27		8
?. Leyva DEF	26	4	5
H Jurado FWD	13	1	3
L. Azevedo da Silva MID	7		2

Monterrey Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	5	3	3
Óliver Torres	L Ocampos	D Rossi	C Salcedo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Óliver Torres MID	9		2	2 -
L Orellano FWD	9	1		-
R Chávez DEF	8		1	2 -
H Cuypers FWD	8	3	1	-
D Rossi FWD	8	2	3	1 -
Tecatito FWD	8	1	2	1 -
A Aceves DEF	7			2 -
G Arteaga DEF	7			1
O Pineda MID	7	1	1	-
J Rodríguez MID	7	1		-
F Ambríz MID	7		1	-
L Ocampos FWD	7	5	2	-
L Cárdenas GLK	6			1 -
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID	6			-
L Reyes DEF	5			-
C Salcedo DEF	5			2 1
V Guzmán DEF	5			-
U Djurdjevic FWD	5			1 -
R Rosa FWD	5	1		-
S Medina DEF	4			1 1
E Andrada GLK	3			-
Érick Aguirre DEF	2			-
C. Garza Cantu MID	2	1		1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	11	3	7
L Ocampos	L Orellano	D Rossi	Óliver Torres

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Ocampos FWD	5	10	2	3
H Cuypers FWD	3	9	1	1
D Rossi FWD	2	8	3	1
L Orellano FWD	1	11		1
Tecatito FWD	1	3	2	3
O Pineda MID	1	3	1
J Rodríguez MID	1	1
R Rosa FWD	1	1
C. Garza Cantu MID	1	1
Óliver Torres MID		3	2	7
R Chávez DEF		1	1
G Arteaga DEF		2
F Ambríz MID		2	1	2
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID		1
L Reyes DEF		2
C Salcedo DEF		1
V Guzmán DEF		1		1
U Djurdjevic FWD		1
Érick Aguirre DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
421	22	58
Óliver Torres	Óliver Torres	L Ocampos

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Óliver Torres MID	421	22	38
R Chávez DEF	323	9	34
J Rodríguez MID	309	15	25
C Salcedo DEF	297	5	16
O Pineda MID	292	10	34
V Guzmán DEF	287	10	24
G Arteaga DEF	279	10	22
L Orellano FWD	256	7	38
A Aceves DEF	233	6	12
L Ocampos FWD	216	14	58
L Cárdenas GLK	207		2
Tecatito FWD	206	3	29
F Ambríz MID	200	6	15
D Rossi FWD	166	5	16
H Cuypers FWD	128	7	32
S Medina DEF	128	2	8
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID	104	2	6
E Andrada GLK	95	1	1
L Reyes DEF	93	4	12
Érick Aguirre DEF	81	2	5
C. Garza Cantu MID	60	2	4
R Rosa FWD	33	1
U Djurdjevic FWD	17		2