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Tijuana v Puebla : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Oct, 04:00 BST, Estadio Caliente, Tijuana

Washington Sebastián Abreu Gallo's Tijuana side will have home backing in the Liga MX on Saturday morning, as Gerardo Espinoza Ahumada's Puebla travel to the Estadio Caliente. All the odds are delivered directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Liga MX match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Tijuana 49%	-	-
Draw 26%	-	-
Puebla 24%	-	-
Tijuana 1-0 13%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	-	-
Tijuana 2-0 10%	-	-
Tijuana 2-1 9%	-	-
Draw 0-0 9%	-	-
Puebla 1-0 8%	-	-
Puebla 2-1 6%	-	-
Tijuana 3-0 5%	-	-
Tijuana 3-1 5%	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	-	-
Puebla 2-0 4%	-	-
Tijuana 3-2 2%	-	-
Puebla 3-1 2%	-	-
Tijuana 4-0 2%	-	-
Tijuana 4-1 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 42%	-	-
No 1st Goal 5%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 47%	-	-
BTTS - No 53%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 20%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 10%	-	-
Home/draw 76%	-	-
Away/draw 51%	-	-
Home/away 74%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	-	-
Home DNB 68%	-	-
Away DNB 43%	-	-
Tijuana win to nil 30%	-	-
Puebla win to nil 14%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tijuana	2 - 3	Atlas
Tijuana	0 - 1	Queretaro
Tijuana	2 - 0	Pumas UNAM
Tijuana	2 - 1	Cruz Azul
Tijuana	1 - 0	Leon
Tijuana	3 - 1	Tigres
Tijuana	3 - 1	Pachuca
Tijuana	1 - 0	Tigres
Tijuana	1 - 2	S. Laguna
Tijuana	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Tijuana	1 - 1	Mazatlan
Tijuana	0 - 0	Puebla
Tijuana	1 - 1	A. San Luis
Tijuana	0 - 0	America
Tijuana	3 - 0	Tigres
Tijuana	3 - 1	Juarez
Tijuana	2 - 0	Atlas
Tijuana	0 - 0	Toluca
Tijuana	2 - 2	Monterrey
Tijuana	2 - 0	Cruz Azul

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Tijuana	2 - 3	Atlas
A	Tijuana	2 - 2	Pachuca
H	Tijuana	0 - 1	Queretaro
H	Tijuana	2 - 0	Pumas UNAM
A	Tijuana	2 - 5	Guadalajara
H	Tijuana	2 - 1	Cruz Azul
A	Tijuana	0 - 0	A. San Luis
H	Tijuana	1 - 0	Leon
H	Tijuana	3 - 1	Tigres
A	Tijuana	0 - 0	Guadalajara
H	Tijuana	3 - 1	Pachuca
A	Tijuana	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
A	Tijuana	2 - 1	Juarez
H	Tijuana	1 - 0	Tigres
A	Tijuana	0 - 3	Necaxa
A	Tijuana	3 - 0	Leon
H	Tijuana	1 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Tijuana	1 - 2	Atlas
H	Tijuana	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
H	Tijuana	1 - 1	Mazatlan

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tigres	1 - 0	Puebla
Necaxa	0 - 1	Puebla
America	2 - 0	Puebla
Pachuca	2 - 3	Puebla
Cruz Azul	2 - 1	Puebla
Juarez	0 - 1	Puebla
Monterrey	2 - 1	Puebla
Guadalajara	5 - 0	Puebla
S. Laguna	2 - 1	Puebla
Pachuca	2 - 1	Puebla
A. San Luis	0 - 1	Puebla
Tijuana	0 - 0	Puebla
Cruz Azul	1 - 0	Puebla
Atlas	1 - 0	Puebla
Leon	1 - 2	Puebla
Juarez	4 - 4	Puebla
America	2 - 1	Puebla
Queretaro	3 - 1	Puebla
Necaxa	1 - 0	Puebla
Toluca	3 - 1	Puebla

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Puebla	0 - 1	Tigres
H	Puebla	1 - 1	Atlante
H	Puebla	0 - 1	Toluca
A	Puebla	1 - 0	Necaxa
A	Puebla	0 - 2	America
H	Puebla	3 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Puebla	3 - 2	Pachuca
H	Puebla	1 - 1	Guadalajara
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Cruz Azul
A	Puebla	1 - 0	Juarez
H	Puebla	1 - 2	Queretaro
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Monterrey
A	Puebla	0 - 5	Guadalajara
H	Puebla	0 - 1	Leon
H	Puebla	1 - 1	Juarez
A	Puebla	1 - 2	S. Laguna
H	Puebla	0 - 0	Necaxa
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Pachuca
H	Puebla	3 - 1	Tigres
A	Puebla	1 - 0	A. San Luis

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Tijuana

Puebla

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

2 / 8

TIJ

PUE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tijuana
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Tijuana	2 - 1
Tijuana	3 - 1
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Tijuana	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Puebla
Tijuana	4 - 0

Puebla

Tijuana

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

2 / 8

TIJ

PUE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Puebla
Puebla	4 - 3
Puebla	2 - 0
Puebla	3 - 0
Puebla	5 - 2
Puebla	3 - 1
	0 - 1	Tijuana
	1 - 3	Tijuana
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Puebla of late. It has been 5 Liga MX matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday morning against Tijuana.

	Tijuana 8th	Puebla 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Tijuana will score 1 or more goals	0 39% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of Puebla scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-13 Tijuana have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted	-10 Puebla’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season

16%

better

TIJ

PUE

view stats

Games scored	7		7
Failed to score	2		3
Scored first	5		5
Goals scored	14		11
Avg. goals scored	1.6		1.1
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		9
Conversion rate for	17		11
Avg. XG for	1.8		1
KickOff rating		+16%

better

TIJ

PUE

view stats

Games conceded	6		8
Clean sheets	3		2
Conceded first	3		5
Goals conceded	13		12
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		13
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		11
Conversion rate against	13%		10%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.6
KickOff rating		+8%

Tijuana v Puebla Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Tijuana Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
9	5	2	3
A Rodríguez	G. Mora Zambrano	J Grijalva	I Olmeda

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Rodríguez GLK	9			-
A Gómez DEF	9	1		-
J Grijalva DEF	9		2	-
I Olmeda MID	9			3 -
J Sandoval FWD	9		1	2 -
R Zárate FWD	9	1		2 -
A Preciado FWD	9		2	2 -
J Porozo DEF	8			1 -
M Ghezouani FWD	8	3		-
D Firenze FWD	8			1 -
P Ortíz DEF	7			1 -
G. Mora Zambrano MID	7	5	1	-
Ángel Zapata MID	7			-
R Fernández DEF	6			-
I Rivero MID	6	2		1 -
F González FWD	5		1	-
F Boya MID	4			-
U Bilbao DEF	3			-
A. Perez MID	3			-
A Montoya DEF	2			-
E Manoel FWD	1	2		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	9	2	6
G. Mora Zambrano	G. Mora Zambrano	J Grijalva	A Preciado

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G. Mora Zambrano MID	5	9	1	3
M Ghezouani FWD	3	6
I Rivero MID	2	4
E Manoel FWD	2	2
A Gómez DEF	1	3		1
R Zárate FWD	1	2		2
J Grijalva DEF		1	2	1
I Olmeda MID		1
J Sandoval FWD		4	1	2
A Preciado FWD			2	6
D Firenze FWD		2		1
P Ortíz DEF				1
R Fernández DEF				2
F González FWD		1	1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
525	26	63
A Gómez	A Gómez	A Preciado

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Gómez DEF	525	26	41
I Olmeda MID	488	15	34
A Rodríguez GLK	357		3
J Porozo DEF	338	7	37
R Fernández DEF	223	8	21
J Grijalva DEF	186	11	28
G. Mora Zambrano MID	183	5	26
R Zárate FWD	169	23	42
A Preciado FWD	151	17	63
J Sandoval FWD	141	8	29
P Ortíz DEF	113	4	12
Ángel Zapata MID	107	9	14
M Ghezouani FWD	69	5	35
F González FWD	62	2	12
U Bilbao DEF	59		5
D Firenze FWD	56	3	21
I Rivero MID	45	6	11
A. Perez MID	31	3	5
F Boya MID	30	3	8
A Montoya DEF	17
E Manoel FWD	6		3

Puebla Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	3	2	2
R Gutiérrez	E Torres	A Herrera	F. Monarrez Ochoa

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Gutiérrez GLK	10			-
F Almada DEF	10	1		-
F. Monarrez Ochoa DEF	10	1		2 -
J Vargas DEF	10		1	1 -
S. Sanabria Ortega MID	10			1 -
A Orozco MID	10		1	1 -
I Moreno DEF	9			1
C Baltazar MID	9	1	1	1 -
O Villa DEF	8			1 -
B Garnica FWD	8		1	-
M Borges MID	7	2		-
L Hernández FWD	7		1	-
K Velasco FWD	7	1		-
J Martinez DEF	6			-
O Villegas MID	6			-
E Torres FWD	6	3	1	1 -
A Jiménez MID	5			1 -
I Puch FWD	5	1	1	2 -
A Herrera MID	3		2	-
L. Azevedo da Silva MID	3			-
H Jurado FWD	3			-
?. Leyva DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	2	2
E Torres	M Borges	A Herrera	K Velasco

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Torres FWD	3	4	1	1
M Borges MID	2	6
F Almada DEF	1	3
F. Monarrez Ochoa DEF	1	3		1
C Baltazar MID	1	3	1	1
K Velasco FWD	1	6		2
I Puch FWD	1	4	1
J Vargas DEF		1	1
A Orozco MID			1
I Moreno DEF				1
B Garnica FWD		1	1
L Hernández FWD		2	1	1
O Villegas MID		1
A Jiménez MID		1
A Herrera MID		1	2
L. Azevedo da Silva MID		1
H Jurado FWD		1
?. Leyva DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
398	30	64
A Orozco	S. Sanabria Ortega	S. Sanabria Ortega

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Orozco MID	398	27	46
J Vargas DEF	370	13	32
F Almada DEF	368	7	39
F. Monarrez Ochoa DEF	310	14	42
R Gutiérrez GLK	287		6
S. Sanabria Ortega MID	261	30	64
I Moreno DEF	222	11	23
K Velasco FWD	212	9	32
M Borges MID	187	4	20
B Garnica FWD	172	21	35
C Baltazar MID	168	9	45
J Martinez DEF	95	9	16
A Jiménez MID	78	2	8
E Torres FWD	72	5	15
O Villa DEF	68	2	12
I Puch FWD	47	5	20
O Villegas MID	29	2	5
A Herrera MID	29	2	4
L Hernández FWD	27		8
?. Leyva DEF	26	4	5
H Jurado FWD	13	1	3
L. Azevedo da Silva MID	7		2