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Mazatlán v Atlas : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 20th Sep, 03:00 BST, Estadio de Mazatlán (Mazatlán), Mazatlán

Carlos Leonardo Barra Díaz and Diego Javier De La Torre Muciño meet in the Liga MX on Saturday morning, as Mazatlán face Atlas at the Estadio de Mazatlán (Mazatlán). Below you'll find predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers. Access it all via the tabs below.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Mazatlan or Atlas are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 78% chance of 2 goals or more.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mazatlan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Mazatlan 39%	6/4	-
Draw 25%	21/10	-
Atlas 36%	17/10	-
Draw 1-1 12%	5/1	-
Mazatlan 2-1 9%	9/1	-
Mazatlan 1-0 8%	9/1	-
Atlas 2-1 8%	9/1	-
Atlas 1-0 8%	9/1	-
Mazatlan 2-0 6%	12/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1	-
Draw 0-0 6%	10/1	-
Atlas 2-0 6%	14/1	-
Mazatlan 3-1 4%	18/1	-
Atlas 3-1 4%	20/1	-
Mazatlan 3-0 3%	25/1	-
Mazatlan 3-2 3%	25/1	-
Atlas 3-2 3%	25/1	-
Atlas 3-0 3%	25/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	4/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	1/1	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	10/11	-
Away 1st Goal 48%	20/21	-
No 1st Goal 3%	10/1	-
BTTS - Yes 58%	8/13 1%	-
BTTS - No 42%	6/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 20%	15/4	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	3/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 19%	4/1	-
Home/draw 64%	4/9 1%	-
Away/draw 61%	1/2 1%	-
Home/away 75%	4/11 1%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	2/9 1%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	3/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	2/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	4/11 1%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	9/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1/7 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	10/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/20 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1	-
Home DNB 56%	5/6	-
Away DNB 54%	5/6	-
Mazatlan win to nil 19%	4/1	-
Atlas win to nil 17%	4/1	-
Mazatlan / Mazatlan 21%	3/1	-
Mazatlan / Atlas 3%	25/1	-
Mazatlan / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Mazatlan 14%	5/1	-
Draw / Atlas 13%	11/2	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Atlas / Mazatlan 3%	25/1	-
Atlas / Atlas 19%	10/3	-
Atlas / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mazatlan	2 - 2	Tigres
Mazatlan	2 - 2	Tijuana
Mazatlan	2 - 1	Puebla
Mazatlan	0 - 2	Tijuana
Mazatlan	1 - 1	Guadalajara
Mazatlan	3 - 2	Atlas
Mazatlan	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
Mazatlan	1 - 0	Monterrey
Mazatlan	1 - 1	S. Laguna
Mazatlan	1 - 2	Leon
Mazatlan	2 - 1	Toluca
Mazatlan	1 - 1	Juarez
Mazatlan	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Mazatlan	0 - 5	America
Mazatlan	2 - 0	Tigres
Mazatlan	2 - 2	Queretaro
Mazatlan	0 - 0	Necaxa
Mazatlan	1 - 1	Puebla
Mazatlan	3 - 0	Pachuca
Mazatlan	2 - 2	A. San Luis

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Mazatlan	0 - 1	Juarez
H	Mazatlan	2 - 2	Tigres
A	Mazatlan	2 - 3	Monterrey
H	Mazatlan	2 - 2	Tijuana
A	Mazatlan	0 - 1	Pachuca
H	Mazatlan	2 - 1	Puebla
A	Mazatlan	0 - 0	Cruz Azul
A	Mazatlan	0 - 5	America
H	Mazatlan	0 - 2	Tijuana
H	Mazatlan	1 - 1	Guadalajara
A	Mazatlan	1 - 2	A. San Luis
H	Mazatlan	3 - 2	Atlas
A	Mazatlan	0 - 1	Queretaro
A	Mazatlan	1 - 1	Pachuca
H	Mazatlan	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
H	Mazatlan	1 - 0	Monterrey
A	Mazatlan	1 - 3	Necaxa
H	Mazatlan	1 - 1	S. Laguna
A	Mazatlan	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM
H	Mazatlan	1 - 2	Leon

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pumas UNAM	1 - 0	Atlas
Queretaro	3 - 3	Atlas
Monterrey	3 - 1	Atlas
Puebla	2 - 3	Atlas
Queretaro	1 - 2	Atlas
Mazatlan	3 - 2	Atlas
Tijuana	3 - 4	Atlas
S. Laguna	2 - 0	Atlas
Tigres	2 - 1	Atlas
Pachuca	0 - 0	Atlas
Pumas UNAM	0 - 0	Atlas
Cruz Azul	1 - 1	Atlas
Tijuana	3 - 0	Atlas
Guadalajara	1 - 2	Atlas
Necaxa	0 - 0	Atlas
Monterrey	4 - 0	Atlas
Leon	0 - 0	Atlas
Guadalajara	2 - 3	Atlas
Toluca	4 - 1	Atlas
America	3 - 0	Atlas

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Atlas	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM
H	Atlas	2 - 4	America
A	Atlas	3 - 3	Queretaro
H	Atlas	0 - 3	Pachuca
A	Atlas	1 - 3	Monterrey
H	Atlas	3 - 3	Cruz Azul
A	Atlas	3 - 2	Puebla
H	Atlas	1 - 1	Guadalajara
A	Atlas	2 - 1	Queretaro
H	Atlas	2 - 3	Toluca
H	Atlas	1 - 1	Juarez
A	Atlas	2 - 3	Mazatlan
H	Atlas	1 - 3	America
A	Atlas	4 - 3	Tijuana
H	Atlas	3 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Atlas	0 - 2	S. Laguna
H	Atlas	0 - 4	Necaxa
H	Atlas	3 - 2	Puebla
A	Atlas	1 - 2	Tigres
A	Atlas	0 - 0	Pachuca

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Mazatlan have beaten Atlas in 4 consecutive home league meetings

Mazatlan have not lost to Atlas in 5 consecutive home league meetings

Mazatlan

Atlas

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

1 / 5

Clean sheets

4 / 5

1 / 5

MAZ

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mazatlan
Mazatlan	3 - 2
Mazatlan	2 - 0
Mazatlan	1 - 0
Mazatlan	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Atlas

Mazatlan

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

MAZ

ATL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atlas
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 3	Mazatlan
Atlas	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Mazatlan
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Mazatlán's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday morning, not least because Atlas have conceded in each of their last 19 Liga MX games. A PG of 1.5 for C. Barra Díaz's side suggests that run should continue.

	Mazatlan 12th	Atlas 14th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Mazatlan will score 1 or more goals	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Atlas will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Mazatlan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+9 Atlas’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

MAZ

ATL

63%

better

view stats

Games scored	1		3
Failed to score	2		0
Scored first	1		3
Goals scored	2		7
Avg. goals scored	0.3		1
Avg. shots per game	2		3
Avg. shots per goal	6		3
Conversion rate for	18		37
Avg. XG for	0.7		1.5
KickOff rating		+63%

38%

better

MAZ

ATL

view stats

Games conceded	2		3
Clean sheets	1		0
Conceded first	1		0
Goals conceded	2		8
Avg. goals conceded	0.3		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	5		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	17		7
Conversion rate against	6%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.3		2.6
KickOff rating		+38%

Mazatlan v Atlas Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Mazatlan Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	2	1	3
R Gutiérrez	N Benedetti	N Benedetti	N Benedetti

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Gutiérrez GLK	7			1 -
F Almada DEF	7	1		1 -
J Sierra MID	7	1		-
N Benedetti FWD	7	2	1	3 -
B Colula DEF	6			1 1
L Merolla DEF	6		1	1 -
S González MID	6			2 -
J Casiano FWD	6			-
J Esquivel DEF	5	1		-
J García DEF	5			-
M Laínez MID	5			1 -
F Gomes FWD	5	1		1 -
Dudu FWD	5		1	-
Ángel Saavedra MID	4		1	2 -
A Duarte FWD	4			1 -
O Villegas FWD	4	1		1 -
J Vázquez DEF	3			1 -
S Caetano DEF	3			1 -
Y Bárcenas MID	3			-
A Herrera MID	3	1		1 -
R Meraz MID	3			-
?. Leyva DEF	2			-
S Rodriguez DEF	1			-
A Torres MID	1			-
J Intriago MID	1			-
Iván Mauricio González Cataño FWD	1			1 -
G López FWD	1			-
A. Ben Rhouma Torres FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	1	2
N Benedetti	N Benedetti	N Benedetti	A Duarte

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Benedetti FWD	2	4	1	1
F Almada DEF	1	1
J Sierra MID	1	3
J Esquivel DEF	1	1
F Gomes FWD	1	3
O Villegas FWD	1	1
A Herrera MID	1	1
B Colula DEF		1		1
L Merolla DEF			1	1
Dudu FWD			1	1
Ángel Saavedra MID			1
A Duarte FWD		1		2
Y Bárcenas MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
268	13	36
F Almada	N Benedetti	N Benedetti

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Almada DEF	268	10	20
R Gutiérrez GLK	211	1	3
J Sierra MID	208	12	27
N Benedetti FWD	198	13	36
B Colula DEF	154	11	23
L Merolla DEF	142	8	21
J Casiano FWD	132	1	12
J Esquivel DEF	127	7	15
Y Bárcenas MID	80	6	15
A Herrera MID	75	8	12
S González MID	75	4	12
S Caetano DEF	72	3	12
F Gomes FWD	58		14
J Vázquez DEF	57	6	9
J García DEF	51	5	7
Dudu FWD	46	5	12
A Duarte FWD	45	3	20
M Laínez MID	33	5	11
O Villegas FWD	23	2	3
Ángel Saavedra MID	23	8	11
?. Leyva DEF	23	1	2
R Meraz MID	18	1	2
Iván Mauricio González Cataño FWD	13	1	2
A Torres MID	7
J Intriago MID	4
S Rodriguez DEF	1	1	1
A. Ben Rhouma Torres FWD	1

Atlas Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	2	4	5
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba	U Djurdjevic	D Alcaraz	U Djurdjevic

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID	7			1 -
G Ferrareis FWD	7			-
U Djurdjevic FWD	7	2		5 -
D Alcaraz FWD	7	2	4	-
J Lozano DEF	6	1	1	3 1
G Aguirre DEF	6	1		1 -
C Orrantía DEF	6			-
A Rocha MID	6		1	2 1
M Cóccaro FWD	6			1 -
G Prete FWD	6	2		-
C Vargas GLK	5		1	-
S. Hernández Flores MID	5			-
A González FWD	5			-
D Dória DEF	4	1		-
A Mora DEF	4	2		-
E Lara FWD	4	1	1	-
J. San Martín DEF	3			-
R Pier DEF	3		1	-
J. Serrato Zambrano MID	2			-
A Sánchez GLK	1			1 -
C Becerra GLK	1			-
P. Ramírez Barboza DEF	1			-
J Rodríguez DEF	1			-
M García MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	6	4	4
U Djurdjevic	U Djurdjevic	D Alcaraz	D Alcaraz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
U Djurdjevic FWD	2	6		2
D Alcaraz FWD	2	6	4	4
G Prete FWD	2	2
A Mora DEF	2	2
J Lozano DEF	1	1	1	2
G Aguirre DEF	1	1
D Dória DEF	1	1
E Lara FWD	1	2	1	1
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID		2
G Ferrareis FWD				1
A Rocha MID			1	1
C Vargas GLK			1	1
A González FWD		1
R Pier DEF			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
226	11	30
A Rocha	G Ferrareis	D Alcaraz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Rocha MID	226	7	21
C Vargas GLK	192		1
G Aguirre DEF	153	5	21
R Pier DEF	144		3
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID	143	9	22
G Ferrareis FWD	132	11	28
D Alcaraz FWD	126	10	30
U Djurdjevic FWD	103		20
J Lozano DEF	98	6	24
A Mora DEF	94	6	15
A González FWD	72	5	10
D Dória DEF	69	5	15
G Prete FWD	59	3	11
E Lara FWD	55	7	20
S. Hernández Flores MID	47	5	10
C Orrantía DEF	44	3	5
J. San Martín DEF	44	2	4
C Becerra GLK	29		1
M Cóccaro FWD	27	1	9
P. Ramírez Barboza DEF	24	3	3
A Sánchez GLK	22		1
J Rodríguez DEF	7	1	2
J. Serrato Zambrano MID	3	2	5
M García MID	2