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Necaxa v Puebla : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Sep, 02:00 BST, Estadio Victoria de Aguascalient, Aguascalientes

Martín Varini Di Zioli and Gerardo Espinoza Ahumada clash in the Liga MX on Saturday morning, as Necaxa face Puebla at the Estadio Victoria de Aguascalient. In this preview you'll find the best odds for seventeen different markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall records can be found, while there's also head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Necaxa and Puebla will score at least 2 between them during 90 mins. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Necaxa
40%
1/1-
Draw
24%
5/2-
Puebla
35%
9/4-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1-
Necaxa 2-1
9%
8/1-
Puebla 2-1
8%
11/1-
Necaxa 1-0
8%
15/2-
Puebla 1-0
7%
10/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Necaxa 2-0
6%
10/1-
Puebla 2-0
5%
16/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1-
Necaxa 3-1
4%
16/1-
Puebla 3-1
4%
25/1-
Necaxa 3-2
3%
22/1-
Necaxa 3-0
3%
18/1-
Puebla 3-2
3%
28/1-
Puebla 3-0
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
1/1-
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
47%
6/5-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
59%
7/10-
BTTS - No
41%
21/20-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
5/1-
Home/draw
65%
1/3-
Away/draw
60%
8/11-
Home/away
76%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/1-
Home DNB
57%
8/15-
Away DNB
52%
11/8-
Necaxa win to nil
19%
11/4-
Puebla win to nil
16%
5/1-
Necaxa / Necaxa
25%
12/5-
Necaxa / Puebla
3%
28/1-
Necaxa / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Necaxa
15%
9/2-
Draw / Puebla
11%
13/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Puebla / Necaxa
4%
22/1-
Puebla / Puebla
15%
9/2-
Puebla / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Necaxa 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Necaxa1 - 3Cruz Azul
Necaxa1 - 2Leon
Necaxa2 - 1Monterrey
Necaxa2 - 1Atlante
Necaxa0 - 0Guadalajara
Necaxa1 - 1Tigres
Necaxa2 - 1Mazatlan
Necaxa3 - 0Tijuana
Necaxa0 - 1Pumas UNAM
Necaxa0 - 3Toluca
Necaxa4 - 1A. San Luis
Necaxa0 - 1Atlas
Necaxa0 - 2Monterrey
Necaxa4 - 1S. Laguna
Necaxa1 - 1Cruz Azul
Necaxa0 - 1Pachuca
Necaxa1 - 0Puebla
Necaxa1 - 1Juarez
Necaxa0 - 1Leon
Necaxa1 - 1America
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANecaxa1 - 1Tigres
HNecaxa1 - 3Cruz Azul
ANecaxa1 - 1Pumas UNAM
HNecaxa1 - 2Leon
ANecaxa1 - 3Toluca
HNecaxa2 - 1Monterrey
HNecaxa2 - 1Atlante
ANecaxa1 - 4Cruz Azul
HNecaxa0 - 0Guadalajara
HNecaxa1 - 1Tigres
ANecaxa1 - 3Queretaro
HNecaxa2 - 1Mazatlan
HNecaxa3 - 0Tijuana
ANecaxa0 - 0Puebla
HNecaxa0 - 1Pumas UNAM
ANecaxa1 - 2Pachuca
ANecaxa1 - 2Leon
HNecaxa0 - 3Toluca
ANecaxa2 - 1Juarez
HNecaxa4 - 1A. San Luis
Puebla 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
America2 - 0Puebla
Pachuca2 - 3Puebla
Cruz Azul2 - 1Puebla
Juarez0 - 1Puebla
Monterrey2 - 1Puebla
Guadalajara5 - 0Puebla
S. Laguna2 - 1Puebla
Pachuca2 - 1Puebla
A. San Luis0 - 1Puebla
Tijuana0 - 0Puebla
Cruz Azul1 - 0Puebla
Atlas1 - 0Puebla
Leon1 - 2Puebla
Juarez4 - 4Puebla
America2 - 1Puebla
Queretaro3 - 1Puebla
Necaxa1 - 0Puebla
Toluca3 - 1Puebla
Pumas UNAM0 - 0Puebla
Tigres7 - 0Puebla
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APuebla0 - 2America
HPuebla3 - 2S. Laguna
APuebla3 - 2Pachuca
HPuebla1 - 1Guadalajara
APuebla1 - 2Cruz Azul
APuebla1 - 0Juarez
HPuebla1 - 2Queretaro
APuebla1 - 2Monterrey
APuebla0 - 5Guadalajara
HPuebla0 - 1Leon
HPuebla1 - 1Juarez
APuebla1 - 2S. Laguna
HPuebla0 - 0Necaxa
APuebla1 - 2Pachuca
HPuebla3 - 1Tigres
APuebla1 - 0A. San Luis
HPuebla0 - 4America
HPuebla2 - 3Pumas UNAM
APuebla0 - 0Tijuana
HPuebla0 - 0Toluca
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Necaxa have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Puebla
League games at Necaxa since 2018
Necaxa
Puebla
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
NEC
3
D
2
PUE
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Necaxa
Necaxa1 - 0
Necaxa4 - 1
1 - 2Puebla
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Puebla
0 - 1Puebla
Necaxa2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Puebla since 2019
Puebla
Necaxa
Goals: Scored
8
10
Games: Scored
5 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
3 / 8
NEC
4
D
2
PUE
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Puebla
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Necaxa
1 - 2Necaxa
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Necaxa
Puebla1 - 0
Puebla3 - 0
1 - 4Necaxa
Goal Statistics

Necaxa have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Liga MX matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Puebla on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Necaxa 13th Puebla 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Necaxa will score 1 or more goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Puebla will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Necaxa have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
-12
Puebla have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season
Necaxa
PG (predicted goals)
Puebla
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
11%
better
NEC
PUE
view stats
Games scored7
5
Failed to score0
1
Scored first3
4
Goals scored9
9
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
14
Avg. XG for1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
NEC
PUE
34%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
5
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first4
2
Goals conceded12
9
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded11
15
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against15%
10%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+34%

Necaxa v Puebla Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7412
L. Jiménez GonzálezJ CarranzaM RodriguezD Leyva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L. Jiménez González GLK7
-
J Torres MID7
1
-
D Leyva MID7
2
-
L Faravelli MID7
1
-
M Rodriguez FWD711
2
-
C Vargas DEF6
-
A Oliveros DEF6
1
1
A Peña DEF61
-
R Ruiz DEF6
2
-
M Zaleta MID61
-
J. Ruiz MID6
1
-
J Carranza FWD641
1
M Espíndola MID51
-
K Naves DEF4
1
-
F. Méndez Lara DEF41
-
P Reyna MID41
2
-
R Pineda MID3
-
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD31
1
-
M Pedroza FWD31
-
J. Valencia Longa FWD311
1
-
K Rosero  MID1
-
Puebla Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6321
R GutiérrezE TorresA HerreraF. Monarrez Ochoa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Gutiérrez GLK6
-
F Almada DEF61
-
F. Monarrez Ochoa DEF61
1
-
J Vargas DEF61
-
S. Sanabria Ortega MID6
1
-
A Orozco MID6
-
K Velasco FWD61
-
E Torres FWD631
1
-
I Moreno DEF5
1
C Baltazar MID511
-
A Jiménez MID5
1
-
L Hernández FWD51
-
O Villa DEF4
-
E Gómez FWD41
-
B Garnica FWD41
-
M Borges MID3
-
?. Leyva DEF2
-
J Martinez DEF2
-
A Herrera MID22
-
O Villegas MID2
-
L. Azevedo da Silva MID2
-
I Puch FWD11
1
-