Puebla's team badge Toluca's team badge

Puebla v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla

Puebla and their boss Ratko Dostanic will be looking to get one over on Patrick Glockner and his Toluca side on Saturday morning, as the pair clash at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc in the Liga MX. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you explore. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall performance can be explored, while there's also head-to-head history a little further down the page.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga MX Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Puebla's next match is v Juarez at 23:00 on Saturday 29th March
Toluca's next match is v Pachuca at 23:00 on Saturday 29th March
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Puebla and Toluca was on Saturday 15th March 2025
Mexican Liga MX
March 15th 2025
Puebla 0
3 Toluca
 
15' J. Gallardo Vasconcelos
57' J. Dias Fernandes
62' E. Vega Rojas
 
PUE
TOL
Shots On
6
7
Shots Off
4
2
Corners
3
6
Possession
34%
66%
Fouls
14
12
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
PueblaToluca
 
J. González Vela-Alvizu
J. Fedorco
E. Gularte Méndez
G. Ferrareis (B. Garnica Cortéz 46')
J. Pachuca Martinez (E. Gómez Dutra 46')
E. Orona Zavala
F. Moyano
F. Waller Martiarena
F. Arce Juárez
R. Marín Sánchez
L. Quiñónes
P. López Sabata
A. Briseño Vázquez
E. López
(I. Violante Romero 68') football iconJ. Gallardo Vasconcelos
A. Pereira Castelnoble
(V. Arteaga Camarena 77') M. Ruiz Suárez
(J. Angulo Uriarte 67') H. Herrera López
(H. Nunes de Castro 78') football iconE. Vega Rojas
J. Domínguez Chonteco
(F. Romero 59') E. López Rodríguez
football iconJ. Dias Fernandes

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Having studied all relevant statistics, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we have come to the conclusion that this fixture will deliver both elation and sadness to each set of supporters. We predict both Puebla and Toluca to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate victor of the match seems less clear. The odds point towards a both teams to score bet, and that looks a wise bet to us.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Toluca coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Puebla
27%
4/1
5%
-
Draw
23%
16/5
3%
-
Toluca
50%
4/7
2%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
7/1
6%
-
Toluca 2-1
10%
15/2-
Toluca 1-0
8%
7/1
11%
-
Toluca 2-0
7%
7/1
6%
-
Puebla 2-1
7%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
16/1
13%
-
Toluca 3-1
6%
11/1-
Puebla 1-0
6%
14/1
12%
-
Toluca 3-0
5%
11/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
12/1
13%
-
Toluca 3-2
4%
22/1
10%
-
Puebla 2-0
4%
28/1-
Puebla 3-1
3%
40/1
21%
-
Toluca 4-1
3%
22/1
10%
-
Puebla 3-2
3%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
7/10
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
11/10
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
45%
21/10
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
53%
2/5-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/5
8%
-
BTTS - No
39%
19/20
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
8/1
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
27%
9/4
5%
-
Home/draw
50%
13/10-
Away/draw
73%
1/6
1%
-
Home/away
77%
2/9
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
2/9
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
3/1
11%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
7/4
10%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
2/5
7%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
4/1
15%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/6
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
10/1
22%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/20
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1-
Home DNB
43%
11/4-
Away DNB
66%
1/4-
Puebla win to nil
12%
9/1-
Toluca win to nil
23%
7/4
8%
-
Puebla / Puebla
9%
8/1
6%
-
Puebla / Toluca
4%
20/1
11%
-
Puebla / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Puebla
8%
10/1-
Draw / Toluca
19%
10/3
4%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Toluca / Puebla
2%
33/1-
Toluca / Toluca
35%
7/5
4%
-
Toluca / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Puebla 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
4
D
2
Lost
14
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Puebla1 - 3Pumas UNAM
Puebla2 - 0Tijuana
Puebla1 - 2America
Puebla0 - 1Mazatlan
Puebla1 - 2A. San Luis
Puebla1 - 0Guadalajara
Puebla1 - 2Cruz Azul
Puebla2 - 3Juarez
Puebla2 - 3Pachuca
Puebla2 - 1Queretaro
Puebla1 - 2Monterrey
Puebla1 - 2Atlas
Puebla2 - 2Leon
Puebla1 - 0S. Laguna
Puebla1 - 2America
Puebla0 - 1Cruz Azul
Puebla2 - 3Tigres
Puebla2 - 2Atlas
Puebla0 - 2Queretaro
Puebla1 - 4Pachuca
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
D
2
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPuebla1 - 3Pumas UNAM
APuebla0 - 2Queretaro
APuebla1 - 2Pachuca
HPuebla2 - 0Tijuana
APuebla2 - 3Atlas
HPuebla1 - 2America
APuebla2 - 0S. Laguna
HPuebla0 - 1Mazatlan
APuebla1 - 1Cruz Azul
HPuebla1 - 2A. San Luis
APuebla1 - 1Monterrey
APuebla1 - 2Tijuana
APuebla0 - 2A. San Luis
HPuebla1 - 0Guadalajara
APuebla0 - 5Toluca
HPuebla1 - 2Cruz Azul
APuebla0 - 1Tigres
HPuebla2 - 3Juarez
HPuebla2 - 3Pachuca
APuebla0 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
America3 - 0Toluca
Juarez0 - 4Toluca
Leon3 - 3Toluca
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Toluca
Mazatlan2 - 1Toluca
Tijuana2 - 4Toluca
America2 - 0Toluca
Tigres2 - 1Toluca
Necaxa1 - 3Toluca
Queretaro0 - 1Toluca
S. Laguna2 - 0Toluca
Pachuca2 - 2Toluca
Monterrey1 - 2Toluca
Cruz Azul1 - 1Toluca
Guadalajara0 - 0Toluca
Guadalajara1 - 0Toluca
A. San Luis1 - 5Toluca
America5 - 1Toluca
Pachuca2 - 3Toluca
Juarez1 - 1Toluca
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToluca5 - 2Necaxa
AToluca0 - 3America
HToluca5 - 0Queretaro
AToluca4 - 0Juarez
HToluca2 - 1Guadalajara
AToluca3 - 3Leon
HToluca1 - 0Tigres
AToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
AToluca1 - 2Mazatlan
HToluca1 - 1Monterrey
AToluca4 - 2Tijuana
HToluca0 - 2America
AToluca0 - 2America
HToluca4 - 0America
AToluca1 - 2Tigres
HToluca2 - 2Leon
AToluca3 - 1Necaxa
HToluca5 - 0Puebla
AToluca1 - 0Queretaro
HToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Puebla since 2018
Puebla
Toluca
Goals: Scored
11
5
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
PUE
4
D
1
TOL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Puebla
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Toluca
Puebla1 - 0
Puebla4 - 1
Puebla2 - 0
Puebla2 - 1
League games at Toluca since 2019
Toluca
Puebla
Goals: Scored
15
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
PUE
1
D
3
TOL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca5 - 0
0 - 1Puebla
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca2 - 1
Draw4 - 4Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Toluca have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 9 consecutive Liga MX matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Puebla on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Puebla 15th Toluca 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 73% probability that Puebla will score 1 or more goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Puebla have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
+20
Toluca have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289261/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Puebla
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.3
1.8
Attack rating
PUE
TOL
31%
better
view stats
Games scored22
25
Failed to score6
5
Scored first13
19
Goals scored29
65
Avg. goals scored1
2.2
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for12
19
Avg. XG for1
1.6
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
PUE
TOL
22%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
21
Clean sheets5
9
Conceded first15
10
Goals conceded48
35
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded12
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+22%

Puebla v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Puebla Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26538
E OronaE GómezR CastilloF Waller
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J González GLK1
-
J Martinez DEF22
2
-
J. Fedorco DEF6
2
-
E Orona DEF291
3
-
G Ferrareis MID2521
7
-
F Moyano MID10
1
-
E Gularte MID251
4
1
F Arce MID5
2
-
F Waller MID2222
7
1
L Quiñones FWD1841
5
1
R Sánchez FWD84
-
Subs
P González241
4
-
E Gómez2151
1
-
R Castillo2413
6
-
A Herrera22
2
-
M Jiménez24
3
-
B Garnica6
-
D. Torres Muratalla1
-
E. Navarro
-
C Mares81
1
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
292199
M RuízPaulinhoA VegaM Ruíz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P López GLK7
-
E López DEF8
-
A Briseño DEF51
-
F Pereira DEF201
6
1
J Gallardo DEF2853
5
-
H Herrera MID92
1
-
M Ruíz MID3026
9
-
J Domínguez MID252
2
-
Paulinho MID29217
5
-
A Vega MID31119
6
-
I López FWD201
-
Subs
D Barbosa91
2
-
B Méndez18
1
F Romero10
3
-
J Uriarte2966
-
Helinho 163
2
-
I Violante2464
4
-
Luan272
3
-
L García3
-
R Morales1431
-
V Camarena19
3
1