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Puebla v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 16th Sep, 02:00 BST, Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla

Toluca are on the road on Wednesday morning, as manager Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich takes his team to visit Puebla and Gerardo Espinoza Ahumada at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc in the Liga MX. You'll find stats supporting our top of over 2.5 goals below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other markets we cover too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Liga MX performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

KickOff's prediction and odds from the bookies suggest that this Liga MX tie is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their latest form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of over 2.5 goals being the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 59% chance of Toluca coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Puebla
20%
15/4-
Draw
21%
3/1
2%
-
Toluca
59%
8/13
3%
-
Toluca 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
9%
7/1
6%
-
Toluca 2-0
9%
17/2
5%
-
Toluca 1-0
8%
17/2
5%
-
Toluca 3-1
7%
11/1-
Toluca 3-0
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Puebla 2-1
5%
14/1-
Puebla 1-0
5%
16/1
11%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1
21%
-
Toluca 3-2
4%
20/1
11%
-
Toluca 4-1
4%
20/1-
Toluca 4-0
3%
22/1-
Puebla 2-0
3%
28/1-
Puebla 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
4/7
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
27/20
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
42%
6/4
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
55%
8/15-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
21%
-
BTTS - Yes
59%
8/13
3%
-
BTTS - No
41%
6/5
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
7/1
14%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
31%
21/10
8%
-
Home/draw
41%
6/5
2%
-
Away/draw
80%
2/11-
Home/away
79%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/1
9%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
11/8
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
8/15
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
10/3
15%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/5
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/14
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
21%
-
Home DNB
34%
11/4
7%
-
Away DNB
74%
1/4
3%
-
Puebla win to nil
8%
9/1-
Toluca win to nil
28%
9/4
4%
-
Puebla / Puebla
10%
7/1
7%
-
Puebla / Toluca
4%
18/1-
Puebla / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Puebla
8%
9/1-
Draw / Toluca
17%
15/4
5%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
7%
-
Toluca / Puebla
2%
33/1
17%
-
Toluca / Toluca
33%
6/4-
Toluca / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Toluca have won 3 consecutive league games
Puebla 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Puebla3 - 2S. Laguna
Puebla1 - 1Guadalajara
Puebla1 - 2Queretaro
Puebla0 - 1Leon
Puebla1 - 1Juarez
Puebla0 - 0Necaxa
Puebla3 - 1Tigres
Puebla0 - 4America
Puebla2 - 3Pumas UNAM
Puebla0 - 0Toluca
Puebla2 - 1Mazatlan
Puebla0 - 3Cruz Azul
Puebla4 - 3Tijuana
Puebla0 - 2Guadalajara
Puebla2 - 2Pachuca
Puebla2 - 4Monterrey
Puebla0 - 2A. San Luis
Puebla1 - 0S. Laguna
Puebla2 - 3Atlas
Puebla0 - 1Necaxa
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APuebla1 - 0Necaxa
APuebla0 - 2America
HPuebla3 - 2S. Laguna
APuebla3 - 2Pachuca
HPuebla1 - 1Guadalajara
APuebla1 - 2Cruz Azul
APuebla1 - 0Juarez
HPuebla1 - 2Queretaro
APuebla1 - 2Monterrey
APuebla0 - 5Guadalajara
HPuebla0 - 1Leon
HPuebla1 - 1Juarez
APuebla1 - 2S. Laguna
HPuebla0 - 0Necaxa
APuebla1 - 2Pachuca
HPuebla3 - 1Tigres
APuebla1 - 0A. San Luis
HPuebla0 - 4America
HPuebla2 - 3Pumas UNAM
APuebla0 - 0Tijuana
Toluca 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Queretaro1 - 2Toluca
Atlante0 - 0Toluca
Guadalajara0 - 2Toluca
Pachuca2 - 0Toluca
Mazatlan4 - 3Toluca
America2 - 1Toluca
Queretaro1 - 0Toluca
Pachuca1 - 1Toluca
Pumas UNAM2 - 3Toluca
Necaxa0 - 3Toluca
Puebla0 - 0Toluca
Tigres0 - 0Toluca
Monterrey0 - 1Toluca
Tigres1 - 0Toluca
Monterrey1 - 0Toluca
Juarez1 - 2Toluca
Atlas0 - 0Toluca
Tijuana0 - 0Toluca
Leon2 - 4Toluca
Guadalajara0 - 3Toluca
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToluca5 - 2Atlas
HToluca4 - 0Juarez
AToluca2 - 1Queretaro
AToluca0 - 0Atlante
HToluca3 - 1Necaxa
HToluca1 - 2Pumas UNAM
AToluca2 - 0Guadalajara
AToluca0 - 2Pachuca
HToluca0 - 1Pachuca
HToluca4 - 1Leon
AToluca3 - 4Mazatlan
AToluca1 - 2America
HToluca1 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca0 - 1Queretaro
AToluca1 - 1Pachuca
HToluca1 - 1Atlas
HToluca3 - 1Juarez
AToluca3 - 2Pumas UNAM
HToluca2 - 0Guadalajara
AToluca3 - 0Necaxa
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Puebla since 2018
Puebla
Toluca
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
6 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
2 / 8
PUE
4
D
2
TOL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Puebla
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Toluca
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Toluca
Puebla1 - 0
Puebla4 - 1
Puebla2 - 0
Puebla2 - 1
League games at Toluca since 2019
Toluca
Puebla
Goals: Scored
18
9
Games: Scored
7 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
1 / 8
PUE
1
D
3
TOL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca3 - 1
Toluca5 - 0
0 - 1Puebla
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca2 - 1
Draw4 - 4Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Toluca's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive Liga MX games. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Wednesday morning.

Puebla 7th Toluca 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
2.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Puebla will score no more than 1 goal
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Puebla have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-19
Toluca have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season
Puebla
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.1
2.1
Attack rating
PUE
TOL
2%
better
view stats
Games scored6
5
Failed to score1
1
Scored first5
5
Goals scored10
12
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
PUE
TOL
45%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
3
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first2
0
Goals conceded9
4
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded13
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
13
Conversion rate against10%
8%
Avg. XG against1.4
1
KickOff rating
+45%

Puebla v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Puebla Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7322
R GutiérrezE TorresA HerreraF. Monarrez Ochoa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Gutiérrez GLK7
-
F Almada DEF71
-
F. Monarrez Ochoa DEF71
2
-
J Vargas DEF71
1
-
A Orozco MID71
-
S. Sanabria Ortega MID7
1
-
K Velasco FWD71
-
I Moreno DEF6
1
C Baltazar MID611
1
-
E Torres FWD631
1
-
O Villa DEF5
-
A Jiménez MID5
1
-
L Hernández FWD51
-
B Garnica FWD51
-
M Borges MID41
-
J Martinez DEF3
-
O Villegas MID3
-
L. Azevedo da Silva MID3
-
?. Leyva DEF2
-
A Herrera MID22
-
I Puch FWD21
1
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5222
F RomeroHelinho Helinho F Romero
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Guzmán MID6
-
F Romero MID6
2
-
Helinho  FWD622
2
-
J Price FWD61
-
F Pereira DEF5
-
E López DEF511
-
F Arce MID5
1
-
J Uriarte FWD5
-
A Vega FWD51
1
-
H González GLK4
-
J Gallardo DEF411
1
-
B Méndez DEF4
-
N Castro MID4
1
-
F Viñas FWD42
-
L García GLK3
-
B García DEF3
-
Luan DEF3
-
D Barbosa DEF3
1
S Simón DEF3
-
Érick Gutiérrez MID3
-
A Briseño DEF2
-
P Pérez FWD2
-
Sebastián Aceves MID1
-
I López FWD111
-
O. Virgen FWD111
-