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Mazatlán v Necaxa : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Nov, 03:00 BST, Estadio de Mazatlán (Mazatlán), Mazatlán

Robert Dante Siboldi Badiola welcomes Fernando Rubén Gago to the Estadio de Mazatlán (Mazatlán) on Saturday morning, as their Mazatlán and Necaxa sides go head to head in the Liga MX. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for every betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are included as well.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Liga MX showdown is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As neither side is a nailed-on winner given their recent form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point strongly towards a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mazatlan
46%
41/20
6%
19/10
Draw
21%
13/5
3%
5/2
Necaxa
33%
21/20
5%
21/20
Mazatlan 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Draw 1-1
8%
6/1
7%
6/1
Draw 2-2
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
Necaxa 2-1
7%
8/1
5%
7/1
Mazatlan 3-1
6%
22/1
10%
16/1
Mazatlan 2-0
5%
18/112/1
Mazatlan 3-2
5%
25/1
13%
18/1
Mazatlan 1-0
5%
12/1
13%
9/1
Necaxa 3-2
4%
20/116/1
Necaxa 1-0
4%
9/1
17%
8/1
Necaxa 3-1
4%
14/111/1
Necaxa 2-0
3%
11/1
8%
9/1
Mazatlan 3-0
3%
33/122/1
Mazatlan 4-1
3%
40/128/1
Draw 3-3
3%
40/1
21%
25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
8/13
6%
4/7
Under 2.5 Goals
28%
5/4
6%
23/20
Home 1st Goal
51%
11/10
5%
23/20
Away 1st Goal
48%
8/11
4%
4/5
No 1st Goal
1%
14/1
21%
11/1
BTTS - Yes
71%
8/15
6%
4/7
BTTS - No
29%
11/8
10%
5/4
BTTS - Home Win
30%
4/1
5%
4/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
22%
11/4
4%
5/2
Home/draw
67%
7/10
2%
7/10
Away/draw
54%
4/11
3%
4/11
Home/away
79%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
2/11
4%
2/11
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
7/2
18%
3/1
Over 3.5 Goals
52%
6/4
11%
29/20
Under 3.5 Goals
49%
1/2
4%
4/9
Over 4.5 Goals
32%
7/2
13%
16/5
Under 4.5 Goals
68%
2/11
3%
1/6
Over 5.5 Goals
18%
9/1
25%
13/2
Under 5.5 Goals
82%
1/16
2%
1/20
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/33
1%
1/66
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
14/1
21%
10/1
Home DNB
61%
5/4
2%
5/4
Away DNB
48%
4/7
3%
4/7
Mazatlan win to nil
16%
11/2-
Necaxa win to nil
11%
10/3
13%
-
Mazatlan / Mazatlan
17%
4/1
11%
18/5
Mazatlan / Necaxa
4%
20/118/1
Mazatlan / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Mazatlan
11%
13/2
7%
6/1
Draw / Necaxa
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
8%
9/2
Necaxa / Mazatlan
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
Necaxa / Necaxa
24%
12/5
3%
11/5
Necaxa / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win form
Mazatlan 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mazatlan2 - 2America
Mazatlan2 - 2S. Laguna
Mazatlan2 - 1A. San Luis
Mazatlan1 - 1Atlas
Mazatlan1 - 4Pumas UNAM
Mazatlan2 - 2Tigres
Mazatlan2 - 2Tijuana
Mazatlan2 - 1Puebla
Mazatlan0 - 2Tijuana
Mazatlan1 - 1Guadalajara
Mazatlan3 - 2Atlas
Mazatlan1 - 1Cruz Azul
Mazatlan1 - 0Monterrey
Mazatlan1 - 1S. Laguna
Mazatlan1 - 2Leon
Mazatlan2 - 1Toluca
Mazatlan1 - 1Juarez
Mazatlan0 - 1Pumas UNAM
Mazatlan0 - 5America
Mazatlan2 - 0Tigres
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMazatlan0 - 1Queretaro
HMazatlan2 - 2America
HMazatlan2 - 2S. Laguna
AMazatlan0 - 2Guadalajara
HMazatlan2 - 1A. San Luis
AMazatlan1 - 3Toluca
AMazatlan2 - 2Leon
HMazatlan1 - 1Atlas
HMazatlan1 - 4Pumas UNAM
AMazatlan0 - 1Juarez
HMazatlan2 - 2Tigres
AMazatlan2 - 3Monterrey
HMazatlan2 - 2Tijuana
AMazatlan0 - 1Pachuca
HMazatlan2 - 1Puebla
AMazatlan0 - 0Cruz Azul
AMazatlan0 - 5America
HMazatlan0 - 2Tijuana
HMazatlan1 - 1Guadalajara
AMazatlan1 - 2A. San Luis
Necaxa 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
48
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A. San Luis3 - 4Necaxa
Tigres5 - 3Necaxa
Atlas3 - 2Necaxa
Guadalajara3 - 1Necaxa
Tijuana3 - 0Necaxa
Monterrey3 - 0Necaxa
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Necaxa
Toluca3 - 1Necaxa
Tigres2 - 2Necaxa
Puebla0 - 1Necaxa
Juarez2 - 2Necaxa
Tijuana1 - 2Necaxa
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Atlas0 - 4Necaxa
America2 - 3Necaxa
Monterrey1 - 0Necaxa
A. San Luis0 - 3Necaxa
Pumas UNAM2 - 1Necaxa
Pachuca6 - 2Necaxa
Guadalajara3 - 2Necaxa
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNecaxa4 - 1S. Laguna
ANecaxa4 - 3A. San Luis
HNecaxa1 - 1Cruz Azul
ANecaxa3 - 5Tigres
HNecaxa0 - 1Pachuca
ANecaxa2 - 3Atlas
ANecaxa1 - 3Guadalajara
HNecaxa1 - 0Puebla
HNecaxa1 - 1Juarez
ANecaxa0 - 3Tijuana
ANecaxa0 - 3Monterrey
HNecaxa0 - 1Leon
ANecaxa1 - 1Pumas UNAM
HNecaxa1 - 1America
HNecaxa3 - 1Queretaro
ANecaxa1 - 3Toluca
ANecaxa2 - 2Tigres
HNecaxa0 - 0Tigres
ANecaxa1 - 0Puebla
ANecaxa2 - 2Juarez
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Mazatlan since 2021
Mazatlan
Necaxa
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
2 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
3 / 5
MAZ
2
D
2
NEC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mazatlan
Draw0 - 0Draw
Mazatlan2 - 1
0 - 1Necaxa
Draw0 - 0Draw
Mazatlan3 - 2
League games at Necaxa since 2020
Necaxa
Mazatlan
Goals: Scored
12
4
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
D
1
NEC
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Necaxa
Necaxa3 - 1
Necaxa4 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Necaxa2 - 1
Necaxa1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Necaxa's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday morning, not least because Mazatlán have conceded in each of their last 14 Liga MX matches. A PG of 1.5 for Fernando Rubén Gago's side suggests that run should continue.

Mazatlan 16th Necaxa 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Mazatlan will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Necaxa will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Mazatlan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+44
Necaxa have scored 44% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
2.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Mazatlan
PG (predicted goals)
Necaxa
2
1.7
Attack rating
MAZ
NEC
4%
better
view stats
Games scored11
12
Failed to score5
4
Scored first5
5
Goals scored19
23
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
12
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
12
Avg. XG for1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
9%
better
MAZ
NEC
view stats
Games conceded15
15
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first10
11
Goals conceded28
31
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
19%
Avg. XG against2
1.6
KickOff rating
+9%

Mazatlan v Necaxa Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Mazatlan Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16325
R GutiérrezF AlmadaN BenedettiL Merolla
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Gutiérrez GLK16
2
-
F Almada DEF163
2
-
B Colula DEF152
3
1
N Benedetti MID1532
4
-
J Esquivel MID1411
2
-
J Sierra MID132
2
-
M Laínez FWD132
3
-
L Merolla DEF122
5
-
Y Bárcenas FWD12
1
-
F Gomes FWD122
1
-
Dudu FWD121
1
1
A Duarte FWD122
3
-
J Casiano FWD121
-
R Meraz MID111
1
-
S González MID10
3
-
M Zaleta MID91
1
-
?. Leyva DEF8
2
-
J Vázquez DEF7
2
-
O Villegas FWD711
1
-
J García MID6
-
A Torres MID4
-
Ángel Saavedra FWD41
2
-
A Herrera MID31
1
-
S Rodriguez DEF1
-
J Intriago MID1
-
Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16627
E UnsainD CambindoK Rosero I Rodríguez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Unsain GLK16
2
-
P Pérez FWD1621
-
K Rosero  FWD1622
3
-
T Badaloni FWD1631
1
-
A Palavecino MID1522
5
-
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF141
2
-
J Rojas MID141
4
-
I Rodríguez MID14
7
-
R Monreal FWD1411
2
1
C Calderón DEF1311
3
-
A Peña DEF13
-
T Jacob MID131
1
-
D Buen MID1311
3
-
D Cambindo FWD1362
4
1
R Sánchez FWD10
2
-
R Pineda FWD8
1
-
A Oliveros DEF6
-
E Lara DEF5
-
E González DEF5
-
A Rivera MID5
2
-
J Rodríguez DEF4
-
D Gómez MID2
-