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Necaxa v Puebla : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 20th Sep, 02:00 BST, Estadio Victoria de Aguascalient, Aguascalientes

Ratko Dostanic leads his Puebla troops to the Estadio Victoria de Aguascalient in the Liga MX on Saturday morning, with Hugo Roberto Colace's Necaxa their rivals. Below there are predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds. All is accessible via the tabs below.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Necaxa or Puebla are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of 2 goals or more.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Necaxa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Necaxa 52%	1.83	-
Draw 23%	3.30	-
Puebla 25%	4.00	-
Draw 1-1 11%	6.50	-
Necaxa 2-1 10%	8.50	-
Necaxa 1-0 10%	8.50	-
Necaxa 2-0 9%	9.50	-
Puebla 2-1 6%	13.00	-
Puebla 1-0 6%	13.00	-
Necaxa 3-1 6%	15.00	-
Draw 2-2 6%	13.00	-
Draw 0-0 5%	12.00	-
Necaxa 3-0 5%	15.00	-
Puebla 2-0 4%	21.00	-
Necaxa 3-2 3%	23.00	-
Necaxa 4-1 3%	29.00	-
Puebla 3-1 2%	34.00	-
Necaxa 4-0 2%	34.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	1.80	-
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	2.00	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	1.62 1%	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	2.40	-
No 1st Goal 3%	12.00	-
BTTS - Yes 57%	1.70 1%	-
BTTS - No 43%	2.05	-
BTTS - Home Win 26%	3.75	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.33	-
BTTS - Away Win 13%	7.50	-
Home/draw 76%	1.20 1%	-
Away/draw 48%	1.80	-
Home/away 77%	1.30 1%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	1.22 1%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	4.00	-
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	2.75	-
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	1.40 1%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	5.50	-
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1.14 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	11.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1.05 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1.04 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	12.00	-
Home DNB 68%	1.36 1%	-
Away DNB 41%	3.00	-
Necaxa win to nil 26%	3.40	-
Puebla win to nil 12%	8.00	-
Necaxa / Necaxa 28%	2.88	-
Necaxa / Puebla 2%	34.00	-
Necaxa / Draw 6%	13.00	-
Draw / Necaxa 16%	5.00	-
Draw / Puebla 10%	8.50	-
Draw / Draw 15%	5.50	-
Puebla / Necaxa 4%	21.00	-
Puebla / Puebla 13%	6.50	-
Puebla / Draw 5%	15.00	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Necaxa	0 - 1	Leon
Necaxa	1 - 1	America
Necaxa	3 - 1	Queretaro
Necaxa	0 - 0	Tigres
Necaxa	3 - 5	Pachuca
Necaxa	2 - 0	Queretaro
Necaxa	2 - 1	Leon
Necaxa	1 - 2	Tigres
Necaxa	3 - 1	Mazatlan
Necaxa	3 - 2	S. Laguna
Necaxa	1 - 3	Cruz Azul
Necaxa	3 - 2	Guadalajara
Necaxa	0 - 0	Atlas
Necaxa	1 - 1	A. San Luis
Necaxa	1 - 3	Toluca
Necaxa	1 - 2	Tijuana
Necaxa	1 - 1	America
Necaxa	2 - 0	Pumas UNAM
Necaxa	3 - 0	Juarez
Necaxa	0 - 1	Monterrey

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Necaxa	0 - 3	Tijuana
A	Necaxa	0 - 3	Monterrey
H	Necaxa	0 - 1	Leon
A	Necaxa	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
H	Necaxa	1 - 1	America
H	Necaxa	3 - 1	Queretaro
A	Necaxa	1 - 3	Toluca
A	Necaxa	2 - 2	Tigres
H	Necaxa	0 - 0	Tigres
A	Necaxa	1 - 0	Puebla
A	Necaxa	2 - 2	Juarez
H	Necaxa	3 - 5	Pachuca
A	Necaxa	2 - 1	Tijuana
H	Necaxa	2 - 0	Queretaro
H	Necaxa	2 - 1	Leon
A	Necaxa	2 - 5	Toluca
H	Necaxa	1 - 2	Tigres
H	Necaxa	3 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Necaxa	4 - 0	Atlas
A	Necaxa	3 - 2	America

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pumas UNAM	0 - 0	Puebla
Tigres	7 - 0	Puebla
Mazatlan	2 - 1	Puebla
Guadalajara	1 - 0	Puebla
Leon	1 - 0	Puebla
Juarez	2 - 0	Puebla
Queretaro	2 - 0	Puebla
Pachuca	2 - 1	Puebla
Atlas	3 - 2	Puebla
S. Laguna	0 - 2	Puebla
Cruz Azul	1 - 1	Puebla
Monterrey	1 - 1	Puebla
Tijuana	2 - 1	Puebla
A. San Luis	2 - 0	Puebla
Toluca	5 - 0	Puebla
Tigres	1 - 0	Puebla
Pumas UNAM	1 - 0	Puebla
Mazatlan	1 - 1	Puebla
America	0 - 1	Puebla
Necaxa	4 - 1	Puebla

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Puebla	2 - 4	Monterrey
A	Puebla	0 - 0	Pumas UNAM
H	Puebla	0 - 2	A. San Luis
A	Puebla	0 - 7	Tigres
H	Puebla	1 - 0	S. Laguna
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Mazatlan
H	Puebla	2 - 3	Atlas
H	Puebla	0 - 1	Necaxa
A	Puebla	0 - 1	Guadalajara
A	Puebla	0 - 1	Leon
H	Puebla	0 - 0	Tigres
A	Puebla	0 - 2	Juarez
H	Puebla	0 - 3	Toluca
H	Puebla	1 - 3	Pumas UNAM
A	Puebla	0 - 2	Queretaro
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Pachuca
H	Puebla	2 - 0	Tijuana
A	Puebla	2 - 3	Atlas
H	Puebla	1 - 2	America
A	Puebla	2 - 0	S. Laguna

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Necaxa have beaten Puebla in 3 consecutive league meetings

Necaxa

Puebla

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 7

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

2 / 7

NEC

PUE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Necaxa
Necaxa	4 - 1
	1 - 2	Puebla
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Puebla
	0 - 1	Puebla
Necaxa	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Puebla

Necaxa

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

NEC

PUE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Puebla
	0 - 1	Necaxa
	1 - 2	Necaxa
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Necaxa
Puebla	1 - 0
Puebla	3 - 0
	1 - 4	Necaxa

Goal Statistics

	Necaxa 15th	Puebla 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 10% There is a 83% probability that Necaxa will score 1 or more goals	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Puebla will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-4 Necaxa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-35 Puebla have scored 35% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	0.6 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

14%

better

NEC

PUE

view stats

Games scored	3		3
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	2		1
Goals scored	5		4
Avg. goals scored	0.7		0.6
Avg. shots per game	5		6
Avg. shots per goal	8		10
Conversion rate for	13		10
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.9
KickOff rating		+14%

NEC

PUE

better

view stats

Games conceded	3		2
Clean sheets	0		1
Conceded first	1		2
Goals conceded	5		5
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	4		3
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		4
Conversion rate against	17%		28%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1
KickOff rating		+5%

Necaxa v Puebla Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	2	1	3
E Unsain	P Pérez	R Monreal	R Monreal

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Unsain GLK	7			1 -
A Peña DEF	7			-
P Pérez MID	7	2		-
D Buen MID	7	1		2 -
R Monreal FWD	7		1	2 1
D Cambindo FWD	7	1		2 1
K Rosero FWD	7			2 -
T Badaloni FWD	7			1 -
T Jacob DEF	6			-
A Palavecino MID	6	1	1	1 -
I Rodríguez MID	6			2 -
R Sánchez FWD	6			2 -
C Calderón DEF	5			1 -
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF	5			1 -
J Rojas FWD	5	1		1 -
R Pineda MID	4			-
J Rodríguez DEF	3			-
A Rivera MID	3			1 -
E González DEF	2			-
D Gómez MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	6	1	4
P Pérez	D Buen	R Monreal	A Palavecino

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Pérez MID	2	3		1
D Buen MID	1	6		1
D Cambindo FWD	1	6
A Palavecino MID	1	6	1	4
J Rojas FWD	1	3
A Peña DEF		1
R Monreal FWD			1	1
K Rosero FWD		1		1
R Sánchez FWD		1
C Calderón DEF		2		1
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF		2		1
R Pineda MID		1
A Rivera MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
358	19	33
A Palavecino	I Rodríguez	A Palavecino

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Palavecino MID	358	18	33
A Peña DEF	313	6	20
D Buen MID	274	7	18
K Rosero FWD	227	13	32
I Rodríguez MID	215	19	31
E Unsain GLK	208		3
C Calderón DEF	179	6	16
T Jacob DEF	158	7	16
R Monreal FWD	115	5	26
J Rojas FWD	105	3	12
P Pérez MID	90	11	30
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF	85	4	17
R Sánchez FWD	56	8	12
D Cambindo FWD	55	4	26
J Rodríguez DEF	55	1	3
E González DEF	52	1	2
R Pineda MID	34	1	4
T Badaloni FWD	25	1	13
A Rivera MID	20	3	4
D Gómez MID	5	1	1

Puebla Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	2	2	4
J. Fedorco	R Sánchez	E Gómez	J. Fedorco

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J. Fedorco DEF	7			4 -
A Orozco MID	7			1 -
E Solana FWD	7	1		1 -
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD	7			-
R Sánchez FWD	7	2	1	-
J Martinez DEF	6		1	-
N Huincales DEF	6			3 -
M Pérez MID	6			-
F Moyano MID	6			1 -
E Gómez FWD	6	1	2	-
J González GLK	5			-
L Mejía DEF	5			2 -
E Orona DEF	5			-
A. Gamarra MID	5			1 1
J Rivas DEF	4			1 -
R Castillo MID	4			1 -
J Rodríguez GLK	3			-
F. Monarrez Ochoa FWD	3			-
E Guerra FWD	3	1	1	-
W Portales DEF	2			-
I Moreno MID	2			-
C Baltazar MID	1	1		-
Ángel Robles FWD	1			-
B Garnica FWD	1			-
L Cavallini FWD	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	7	2	2
R Sánchez	O. de Jesús González Ojeda	E Gómez	A Orozco

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Sánchez FWD	2	3	1	1
E Solana FWD	1	2
E Gómez FWD	1	3	2	2
E Guerra FWD	1	2	1	1
C Baltazar MID	1	1
A Orozco MID		3		2
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD		7		2
J Martinez DEF			1	1
M Pérez MID		2		1
A. Gamarra MID		1
R Castillo MID		3
Ángel Robles FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
297	15	40
J. Fedorco	A Orozco	N Huincales

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J. Fedorco DEF	297	12	35
N Huincales DEF	295	14	40
J Martinez DEF	233	11	23
L Mejía DEF	213	12	26
M Pérez MID	203	10	25
A Orozco MID	201	15	31
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD	168	8	27
F Moyano MID	145	4	6
A. Gamarra MID	143	7	15
J Rivas DEF	143	7	9
J González GLK	106		1
E Gómez FWD	88	1	21
E Orona DEF	79	3	8
R Castillo MID	74	3	7
E Guerra FWD	72	6	22
E Solana FWD	70	5	39
J Rodríguez GLK	62
R Sánchez FWD	60	1	16
W Portales DEF	44	2	2
F. Monarrez Ochoa FWD	37	3	5
I Moreno MID	25	3	4
C Baltazar MID	14
B Garnica FWD	9		1
L Cavallini FWD	5		2
Ángel Robles FWD	4		2