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Tijuana v León : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 20th Sep, 03:05 BST, Estadio Caliente, Tijuana

Tijuana and their boss Washington Sebastián Abreu Gallo will be hoping for victory against Alexandre Moya Torralbo and his León side on Saturday morning, as the pair clash at the Estadio Caliente in the Liga MX. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are included as well.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Tijuana or Leon are in the kind of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Tijuana are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Tijuana
49%
1.92-
Draw
24%
3.40-
Leon
28%
3.30-
Draw 1-1
11%
7.00-
Tijuana 2-1
10%
8.50-
Tijuana 1-0
9%
8.50-
Tijuana 2-0
8%
10.00-
Leon 2-1
7%
12.00-
Leon 1-0
7%
12.00-
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00-
Tijuana 3-1
5%
15.00-
Draw 0-0
5%
12.00-
Tijuana 3-0
4%
19.00-
Leon 2-0
4%
19.00-
Tijuana 3-2
3%
23.00-
Leon 3-1
3%
26.00-
Leon 3-2
2%
29.00-
Tijuana 4-1
2%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
1.75
1%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
2.05-
Home 1st Goal
52%
1.73
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.25-
No 1st Goal
3%
12.00-
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.67
1%
-
BTTS - No
42%
2.10-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3.75-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
6.00-
Home/draw
72%
1.30
1%
-
Away/draw
51%
1.67
1%
-
Home/away
76%
1.29
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.22
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2.75-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1.40
1%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.14
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
11.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.05
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.04
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12.00-
Home DNB
65%
1.44
1%
-
Away DNB
44%
2.63-
Tijuana win to nil
24%
3.75-
Leon win to nil
13%
7.00-
Tijuana / Tijuana
26%
3.20-
Tijuana / Leon
3%
29.00-
Tijuana / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / Tijuana
15%
5.50-
Draw / Leon
10%
8.00-
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00-
Leon / Tijuana
4%
21.00-
Leon / Leon
15%
5.50-
Leon / Draw
6%
15.00-
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Win / draw / win form
5
Tijuana have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Tijuana 7TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tijuana3 - 0Necaxa
Tijuana3 - 3Guadalajara
Tijuana1 - 1Juarez
Tijuana1 - 0Queretaro
Tijuana2 - 1A. San Luis
Tijuana1 - 2Necaxa
Tijuana3 - 4Atlas
Tijuana4 - 2Pumas UNAM
Tijuana1 - 2Juarez
Tijuana2 - 3Cruz Azul
Tijuana2 - 1Queretaro
Tijuana2 - 4Toluca
Tijuana3 - 0Cruz Azul
Tijuana3 - 0Atlas
Tijuana2 - 2America
Tijuana2 - 1Puebla
Tijuana0 - 3Tigres
Tijuana2 - 2America
Tijuana2 - 1Pachuca
Tijuana1 - 0Mazatlan
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HTijuana3 - 0Necaxa
HTijuana3 - 3Guadalajara
ATijuana2 - 0Pachuca
ATijuana2 - 2Mazatlan
HTijuana1 - 1Juarez
ATijuana1 - 3America
HTijuana1 - 0Queretaro
ATijuana4 - 0S. Laguna
ATijuana2 - 0Mazatlan
HTijuana2 - 1A. San Luis
HTijuana1 - 2Necaxa
ATijuana2 - 1Monterrey
ATijuana1 - 4Pachuca
HTijuana3 - 4Atlas
ATijuana1 - 2Leon
HTijuana4 - 2Pumas UNAM
ATijuana0 - 2Puebla
HTijuana1 - 2Juarez
ATijuana1 - 2Guadalajara
HTijuana2 - 3Cruz Azul
Leon 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Necaxa0 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul4 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul2 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul2 - 1Leon
Queretaro1 - 1Leon
Necaxa2 - 1Leon
S. Laguna2 - 1Leon
America1 - 1Leon
A. San Luis1 - 2Leon
Pachuca1 - 2Leon
Mazatlan1 - 2Leon
Atlas1 - 2Leon
Monterrey2 - 1Leon
Toluca2 - 2Leon
Juarez2 - 3Leon
Tigres2 - 2Leon
Guadalajara2 - 0Leon
Tijuana2 - 1Leon
Puebla2 - 2Leon
Pumas UNAM4 - 1Leon
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeon3 - 0Queretaro
HLeon1 - 1Pachuca
ALeon1 - 0Necaxa
HLeon1 - 3Monterrey
ALeon1 - 4Cruz Azul
HLeon1 - 0Guadalajara
HLeon0 - 1A. San Luis
ALeon1 - 2Cruz Azul
HLeon2 - 3Cruz Azul
HLeon0 - 2Monterrey
ALeon1 - 2Cruz Azul
HLeon1 - 0Puebla
ALeon1 - 1Queretaro
HLeon1 - 2Pumas UNAM
ALeon1 - 2Necaxa
ALeon1 - 2S. Laguna
HLeon2 - 1Tijuana
HLeon1 - 0Tigres
ALeon1 - 1America
ALeon2 - 1A. San Luis
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Tijuana have not lost to Leon in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Tijuana since 2018
Tijuana
Leon
Goals: Scored
9
9
Games: Scored
7 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
1 / 8
TIJ
2
D
4
LEO
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tijuana
Tijuana2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Tijuana2 - 0
1 - 2Leon
1 - 3Leon
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Leon since 2019
Leon
Tijuana
Goals: Scored
11
7
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
TIJ
1
D
1
LEO
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
Leon2 - 1
Leon1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Leon2 - 1
Leon2 - 1
Leon2 - 1
0 - 1Tijuana
Goal Statistics

Tijuana have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 16 consecutive Liga MX games. Their PG of 1.7 against León on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Tijuana 7th Leon 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Tijuana will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Leon will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Tijuana’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+9
Leon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Tijuana
PG (predicted goals)
Leon
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
39%
better
TIJ
LEO
view stats
Games scored3
2
Failed to score0
1
Scored first2
1
Goals scored3
2
Avg. goals scored0.4
0.3
Avg. shots per game4
3
Avg. shots per goal9
11
Conversion rate for12
10
Avg. XG for0.9
0.8
KickOff rating
+39%
Defence rating
15%
better
TIJ
LEO
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded4
5
Avg. goals conceded0.6
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded4
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.7
KickOff rating
+15%

Tijuana v Leon Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Tijuana Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7424
A RodríguezF BoyaR ZárateR Zárate
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rodríguez GLK7
1
-
A Gómez DEF7
1
-
J Porozo DEF7
3
-
K Castañeda MID721
1
-
G. Mora Zambrano MID73
-
I Olmeda MID7
2
-
A Preciado FWD71
-
R Zárate FWD712
4
-
J Grijalva DEF61
1
-
F Boya MID64
3
-
D Blanco FWD6
1
R Fernández DEF5
1
-
Vitinho FWD5
-
S Nicholson  FWD5
-
U Bilbao DEF4
-
A Montoya DEF4
-
P Ortíz DEF21
1
-
J Corona MID2
-
J Reyes DEF1
1
-
K Escamilla MID1
-
L. Vargas FWD1
-
Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7414
S ChávezI DíazS ChávezR Echeverría
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Chávez DEF71
1
-
R Echeverría DEF7
4
-
S Barreiro DEF7
1
-
F Beltran MID71
1
-
O García GLK6
1
-
I Moreno DEF6
-
S Santos MID6
2
-
?. Estrada Meza MID6
-
N Fonseca MID6
3
-
J Rodríguez MID51
-
D Arcila MID41
-
J Cortizo FWD4
2
-
A Alvarado FWD4
-
I Díaz FWD441
-
R Mori FWD4
-
E Ayon FWD4
2
-
V. Gauthier Pereira Brasil DEF3
1
1
D Ramírez DEF3
-
M Rodriguez FWD3
-
Óscar Jiménez GLK1
-
P Bellón DEF1
-
G. García Bernal FWD1
-
C Cisneros FWD1
-