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Toluca v Atlético San Luis : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 13th Apr, 02:00 BST, Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

The Liga MX is the focus for both Toluca and Atlético San Luis on Monday morning, as bosses Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich and Guillermo Abascal Perez go head to head at the Estadio Nemesio Diez. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Liga MX matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Best Tip: Toluca to win

A Liga MX home win for Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich's Toluca team win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Statistics suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should be too strong for the opposition. The odds from the bookies are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Toluca win is the way to go, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toluca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.27.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
62%
27/100-
Draw
20%
17/4-
A. San Luis
17%
7/1-
Toluca 2-0
10%
13/2-
Toluca 2-1
10%
8/1-
Toluca 1-0
10%
8/1-
Draw 1-1
10%
10/1-
Toluca 3-0
7%
8/1-
Toluca 3-1
7%
10/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1-
A. San Luis 2-1
5%
22/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
18/1-
A. San Luis 1-0
5%
22/1-
Toluca 4-0
4%
12/1-
Toluca 4-1
4%
16/1-
Toluca 3-2
3%
22/1-
A. San Luis 2-0
2%
40/1-
Toluca 4-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
19/40-
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
8/5-
Home 1st Goal
57%
1/3-
Away 1st Goal
41%
9/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
18/1-
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/5-
BTTS - No
45%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
30%
7/4-
BTTS - Draw
16%
11/2-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
12/1-
Home/draw
83%
1/12-
Away/draw
38%
12/5-
Home/away
80%
1/6-
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
9/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
6/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
8/13-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
11/4-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/4-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
6/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/10-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/50-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
18/1-
Home DNB
77%
1/10-
Away DNB
31%
6/1-
Toluca win to nil
33%
5/4-
A. San Luis win to nil
8%
16/1-
Toluca / Toluca
45%
5/6-
Toluca / A. San Luis
2%
40/1-
Toluca / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / Toluca
20%
3/1-
Draw / A. San Luis
4%
18/1-
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2-
A. San Luis / Toluca
5%
16/1-
A. San Luis / A. San Luis
5%
14/1-
A. San Luis / Draw
4%
20/1-
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Win / draw / win form
16
Toluca have not lost in 16 consecutive home league games
Toluca 3RD
20 league games
Home
16
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca1 - 1Atlas
Toluca3 - 1Juarez
Toluca2 - 0Guadalajara
Toluca1 - 0Tijuana
Toluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
Toluca3 - 1S. Laguna
Toluca2 - 1Tigres
Toluca3 - 2Monterrey
Toluca0 - 0Juarez
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca2 - 2Pachuca
Toluca4 - 0Queretaro
Toluca3 - 1Mazatlan
Toluca6 - 2Monterrey
Toluca3 - 1Puebla
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca3 - 4Tigres
Toluca3 - 1Necaxa
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca3 - 0Tigres
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca1 - 1Pachuca
HToluca1 - 1Atlas
HToluca3 - 1Juarez
AToluca3 - 2Pumas UNAM
HToluca2 - 0Guadalajara
AToluca3 - 0Necaxa
HToluca1 - 0Tijuana
HToluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
AToluca0 - 0Puebla
AToluca0 - 0Tigres
HToluca3 - 1S. Laguna
AToluca1 - 0Monterrey
HToluca2 - 1Tigres
AToluca0 - 1Tigres
HToluca3 - 2Monterrey
AToluca0 - 1Monterrey
HToluca0 - 0Juarez
AToluca2 - 1Juarez
HToluca2 - 0America
AToluca0 - 0Atlas
A. San Luis 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
D
1
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cruz Azul3 - 0A. San Luis
Atlas3 - 2A. San Luis
Necaxa4 - 1A. San Luis
Tijuana1 - 1A. San Luis
America0 - 2A. San Luis
Tigres3 - 1A. San Luis
Pumas UNAM0 - 1A. San Luis
Mazatlan2 - 1A. San Luis
Pachuca2 - 1A. San Luis
S. Laguna1 - 4A. San Luis
Queretaro3 - 2A. San Luis
Puebla0 - 2A. San Luis
Guadalajara4 - 3A. San Luis
Leon0 - 1A. San Luis
Tijuana2 - 1A. San Luis
S. Laguna2 - 3A. San Luis
Cruz Azul3 - 0A. San Luis
Atlas3 - 1A. San Luis
Monterrey3 - 1A. San Luis
Queretaro1 - 0A. San Luis
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA. San Luis1 - 2Leon
HA. San Luis1 - 1Pachuca
AA. San Luis0 - 3Cruz Azul
HA. San Luis4 - 1Mazatlan
HA. San Luis0 - 1Puebla
AA. San Luis2 - 3Atlas
HA. San Luis3 - 0Queretaro
AA. San Luis1 - 4Necaxa
HA. San Luis2 - 3Guadalajara
AA. San Luis1 - 1Tijuana
AA. San Luis2 - 0America
HA. San Luis1 - 2Tigres
AA. San Luis1 - 3Tigres
HA. San Luis1 - 2Juarez
HA. San Luis3 - 4Necaxa
AA. San Luis1 - 0Pumas UNAM
HA. San Luis2 - 0Atlas
AA. San Luis1 - 2Mazatlan
AA. San Luis1 - 2Pachuca
HA. San Luis0 - 1America
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Toluca have beaten A. San Luis in 6 consecutive league meetings
6
Toluca have not lost to A. San Luis in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Toluca since 2019
Toluca
A. San Luis
Goals: Scored
14
7
Games: Scored
6 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
0 / 6
TOL
5
SAN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca2 - 1
Toluca3 - 1
Toluca2 - 0
1 - 2A. San Luis
Toluca3 - 2
Toluca3 - 1
League games at A. San Luis since 2021
A. San Luis
Toluca
Goals: Scored
3
10
Games: Scored
3 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
3 / 6
TOL
4
D
1
SAN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A. San Luis
1 - 3Toluca
0 - 1Toluca
1 - 5Toluca
A. San Luis1 - 0
0 - 1Toluca
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics
Toluca 3rd A. San Luis 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 61% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of A. San Luis scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Toluca have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+3
A. San Luis’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
A. San Luis
2.1
1
Attack rating
1%
better
TOL
SAN
view stats
Games scored27
25
Failed to score8
4
Scored first19
17
Goals scored69
43
Avg. goals scored2
1.5
Avg. shots per game13
8
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for15
18
Avg. XG for1.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
28%
better
TOL
SAN
view stats
Games conceded22
23
Clean sheets13
6
Conceded first11
12
Goals conceded31
50
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against11%
16%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+28%

Toluca v A. San Luis Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30211012
F PereiraPaulinhoA VegaJ Gallardo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Pereira DEF333
9
-
J Uriarte MID3274
2
-
F Romero MID3112
4
-
N Castro MID3138
1
-
Paulinho FWD31214
5
-
J Gallardo DEF3053
12
-
D Barbosa DEF2911
8
-
M Ruíz MID2934
9
-
E López DEF25
2
-
S Simón DEF233
3
-
B Méndez DEF231
3
1
H González GLK21
2
-
Helinho  FWD2096
4
-
A Vega FWD17410
3
-
A Briseño DEF1621
-
L García GLK15
1
-
F Arce MID12
1
1
P Pérez FWD111
-
O. Virgen FWD1111
1
-
S Córdova MID92
1
-
J Price MID812
-
M Isaís DEF7
1
-
Luan DEF7
1
-
F. Rossi Donazar FWD5
-
A Bermúdez FWD3
1
-
V Camarena MID2
-
A. San Luis Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
292246
J Pedro J Pedro S Salles-LamongeJ Pedro 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Salles-Lamonge MID2954
5
-
J Pedro  FWD2922
5
1
R Acosta DEF2812
6
-
M. Garcia Alvarez MID2813
3
-
B Galdames FWD2832
2
-
A Sánchez GLK27
3
-
E Águila DEF242
1
2
Óscar Uriel Macías Mora MID2011
5
-
Juanpe DEF19
2
-
S Pérez MID1823
2
-
R Bambu DEF161
1
1
A Cruz DEF13
-
B Cruz DEF12
-
R Meraz MID10
1
-
F Barajas FWD101
-
L Esteves DEF9
4
-
L Flores FWD91
1
-
J Marchand MID8
1
1
S Robles FWD82
-
J Belisario DEF7
-
J Domínguez DEF7
2
-
J Maldonado FWD712
-
A Duarte FWD7
1
-
G Lajud GLK2
1
-
D Rodriguez MID2
-