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Toluca v Monterrey : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 8th Nov, 01:00 BST, Estadio Nemesio Diez,

Toluca and their boss Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich will be hoping for victory against Matías Jesús Almeyda and his Monterrey side on Sunday morning, as the pair go head to head at the Estadio Nemesio Diez in the Liga MX. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. The best odds are also given.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
51%
--
Draw
21%
--
Monterrey
28%
--
Toluca 2-1
9%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
--
Monterrey 2-1
7%
--
Toluca 3-1
6%
--
Toluca 2-0
6%
--
Toluca 1-0
6%
--
Toluca 3-2
5%
--
Toluca 3-0
4%
--
Monterrey 1-0
4%
--
Monterrey 3-2
3%
--
Toluca 4-1
3%
--
Monterrey 3-1
3%
--
Monterrey 2-0
3%
--
Draw 0-0
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
1%
--
BTTS - Yes
68%
--
BTTS - No
32%
--
BTTS - Home Win
32%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
18%
--
Home/draw
72%
--
Away/draw
49%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
48%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
52%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
29%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
71%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
--
Home DNB
66%
--
Away DNB
42%
--
Toluca win to nil
20%
--
Monterrey win to nil
10%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Toluca 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca2 - 2Tijuana
Toluca1 - 1A. San Luis
Toluca2 - 3S. Laguna
Toluca5 - 2Atlas
Toluca4 - 0Juarez
Toluca3 - 1Necaxa
Toluca1 - 2Pumas UNAM
Toluca0 - 1Pachuca
Toluca4 - 1Leon
Toluca1 - 1A. San Luis
Toluca1 - 1Atlas
Toluca3 - 1Juarez
Toluca2 - 0Guadalajara
Toluca1 - 0Tijuana
Toluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
Toluca3 - 1S. Laguna
Toluca2 - 1Tigres
Toluca3 - 2Monterrey
Toluca0 - 0Juarez
Toluca2 - 0America
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca1 - 1Leon
HToluca2 - 2Tijuana
HToluca1 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca2 - 3Tigres
AToluca3 - 3Cruz Azul
HToluca2 - 3S. Laguna
AToluca1 - 0Puebla
HToluca5 - 2Atlas
HToluca4 - 0Juarez
AToluca2 - 1Queretaro
AToluca0 - 0Atlante
HToluca3 - 1Necaxa
HToluca1 - 2Pumas UNAM
AToluca2 - 0Guadalajara
AToluca0 - 2Pachuca
HToluca0 - 1Pachuca
HToluca4 - 1Leon
AToluca3 - 4Mazatlan
AToluca1 - 2America
HToluca1 - 1A. San Luis
Monterrey 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Puebla1 - 4Monterrey
America1 - 1Monterrey
Atlante4 - 2Monterrey
Leon2 - 0Monterrey
Atlas0 - 2Monterrey
Necaxa2 - 1Monterrey
S. Laguna3 - 0Monterrey
Atlas0 - 0Monterrey
Juarez2 - 2Monterrey
Tigres1 - 0Monterrey
Pumas UNAM2 - 0Monterrey
America1 - 0Monterrey
Mazatlan1 - 5Monterrey
Necaxa0 - 2Monterrey
Toluca3 - 2Monterrey
America2 - 1Monterrey
Guadalajara4 - 2Monterrey
Cruz Azul2 - 0Monterrey
Tijuana2 - 2Monterrey
Toluca6 - 2Monterrey
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMonterrey0 - 1Guadalajara
AMonterrey4 - 1Puebla
HMonterrey2 - 1Pachuca
AMonterrey1 - 1America
AMonterrey2 - 4Atlante
HMonterrey1 - 0Cruz Azul
HMonterrey0 - 0Tigres
HMonterrey1 - 3A. San Luis
AMonterrey0 - 2Leon
HMonterrey6 - 1Juarez
AMonterrey2 - 0Atlas
AMonterrey1 - 2Necaxa
HMonterrey3 - 2S. Laguna
AMonterrey0 - 3S. Laguna
HMonterrey2 - 1Puebla
HMonterrey1 - 3Pachuca
AMonterrey0 - 0Atlas
HMonterrey1 - 2A. San Luis
HMonterrey2 - 3Guadalajara
AMonterrey2 - 2Juarez
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Toluca have beaten Monterrey in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Toluca since 2019
Toluca
Monterrey
Goals: Scored
24
12
Games: Scored
10 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
0 / 10
TOL
6
D
3
MON
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca3 - 2
Toluca6 - 2
Toluca2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Monterrey
Toluca2 - 0
Toluca5 - 1
League games at Monterrey since 2018
Monterrey
Toluca
Goals: Scored
16
8
Games: Scored
8 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
2 / 10
TOL
2
D
1
MON
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monterrey
0 - 1Toluca
Monterrey1 - 0
Monterrey3 - 2
1 - 2Toluca
Draw0 - 0Draw
Monterrey2 - 1
Monterrey2 - 0
Monterrey3 - 1
Monterrey2 - 0
Monterrey2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Monterrey have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Liga MX matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Toluca on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Toluca 5th Monterrey 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 61% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Monterrey will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Toluca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
Monterrey’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Monterrey
2.1
1.5
Attack rating
21%
better
TOL
MON
view stats
Games scored13
10
Failed to score1
3
Scored first9
7
Goals scored29
23
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.8
Avg. shots per game14
13
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for2
1.6
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
7%
better
TOL
MON
view stats
Games conceded10
10
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded19
18
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+7%

Toluca v Monterrey Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13764
F PereiraF ViñasHelinho Helinho 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Pereira DEF13
1
-
J Uriarte FWD1311
-
Helinho  FWD1346
4
-
J Price FWD1311
-
N Castro MID123
2
-
F Romero MID12
4
-
A Vega FWD1242
2
-
J Gallardo DEF1111
1
-
F Viñas FWD117
-
B Méndez DEF101
2
-
E López DEF1011
1
L García GLK8
-
B García DEF81
1
-
D Barbosa DEF8
1
1
Érick Gutiérrez MID81
-
V Guzmán MID8
-
Paulinho FWD83
-
Luan DEF7
-
H González GLK6
-
S Simón DEF6
-
P Pérez MID6
-
F Arce MID5
1
-
A Briseño DEF2
-
O. Virgen FWD211
-
Ronaldo Beltrán Dimas GLK1
-
I López FWD111
-
Monterrey Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11643
R ChávezL OcamposÓliver TorresÓliver Torres
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Óliver Torres MID134
3
-
R Chávez DEF121
3
-
H Cuypers FWD1241
-
D Rossi FWD1253
2
-
Tecatito FWD1222
1
-
L Orellano FWD121
1
-
G Arteaga DEF11
1
1
O Pineda MID1112
1
L Ocampos FWD1164
1
-
V Guzmán DEF9
-
F Ambríz MID91
-
C Salcedo DEF81
2
1
A Aceves DEF8
2
-
J Rodríguez MID81
-
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID8
-
E Andrada GLK7
-
L Cárdenas GLK6
1
-
C. Garza Cantu MID61
2
-
R Rosa FWD62
-
L Reyes DEF5
-
S Medina DEF5
1
1
U Djurdjevic FWD5
1
-
Érick Aguirre DEF3
-