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Toluca v Monterrey : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Nemesio Diez,

Martín Gastón Demichelis guides his Monterrey team to the Estadio Nemesio Diez in the Liga MX on Sunday morning, with Patrick Glockner's Toluca their challengers. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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Toluca's next match is v America at 02:00 on Monday 26th May
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Toluca and Monterrey was on Sunday 11th May 2025
Mexican Liga MX
May 11th 2025
Toluca 2
1 Monterrey
 
E. Vega Rojas 30'48' R. De La Rosa González
J. Dias Fernandes 68'
 
TOL
MON
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
5
6
Corners
5
6
Possession
35%
65%
Fouls
14
9
Yellow/red cards
3/2
3/0
 
TolucaMonterrey
 
L. García Palomera
J. Gallardo Vasconcelos
D. Barbosa Zaragoza
A. Pereira Castelnoble
L. Garcia Teixeira
J. Angulo Uriarte (J. Domínguez Chonteco 56')
H. Nunes de Castro
M. Ruiz Suárez
H. Herrera López (F. Romero 56')
E. Vega Rojasfootball icon (I. Violante Romero 90')
J. Dias Fernandesfootball icon (B. Méndez Cittadini 73')
E. Andrada
G. Arteaga Zamora
V. Guzmán Olmedo
(L. Reyes Moreno 77') J. Medina Ramírez
(J. Corona Ruíz 45') R. Chávez Soto
(Ó. Torres Muñoz 77') J. Rodriguez
N. Deossa Suárez
(L. Ocampos 77') I. Fimbres Ochoa
S. Canales Madrazo
(R. De La Rosa González 37') F. Ambríz
G. Berterame

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Patrick Glockner readies his troops ahead of kick-off, we're predicting a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the fixture. Statistics imply both clubs are strong in attack, with goals in plentiful supply of late. With a real favourite to win the game, we really like the look of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toluca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
55%
1/2
21%
-
Draw
21%
10/3
27%
-
Monterrey
24%
19/4
44%
-
Toluca 2-1
10%
13/2
12%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
15/2
31%
-
Toluca 2-0
7%
8/1
5%
-
Toluca 1-0
7%
15/2
6%
-
Toluca 3-1
7%
11/1
20%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
15%
-
Monterrey 2-1
6%
18/1
46%
-
Toluca 3-0
5%
11/1
29%
-
Monterrey 1-0
5%
18/1
46%
-
Toluca 3-2
4%
18/1
17%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
55%
-
Toluca 4-1
3%
20/1
28%
-
Monterrey 2-0
3%
33/1
62%
-
Monterrey 3-2
3%
40/1
21%
-
Toluca 4-0
3%
20/1
38%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
4/7
13%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
27/20
18%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/11
13%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
21/10
19%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1
55%
-
BTTS - Yes
63%
8/13
5%
-
BTTS - No
37%
6/5
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
31%
15/8
23%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
15%
-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
8/1
20%
-
Home/draw
76%
1/7
7%
-
Away/draw
45%
6/4
37%
-
Home/away
79%
1/5
8%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/6
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
4/1
33%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
11/8
21%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
8/15
13%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
3/1
27%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
2/9
7%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
7/1
38%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/12
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
55%
-
Home DNB
70%
1/5
14%
-
Away DNB
39%
10/3
57%
-
Toluca win to nil
24%
2/1
14%
-
Monterrey win to nil
9%
10/1
38%
-
Toluca / Toluca
36%
13/10
23%
-
Toluca / Monterrey
2%
33/1-
Toluca / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw / Toluca
19%
7/2
10%
-
Draw / Monterrey
7%
11/1
41%
-
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2
36%
-
Monterrey / Toluca
5%
16/1
19%
-
Monterrey / Monterrey
9%
8/1
38%
-
Monterrey / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
Toluca2 - 1S. Laguna
Toluca3 - 2Pachuca
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Toluca5 - 0Queretaro
Toluca2 - 1Guadalajara
Toluca1 - 0Tigres
Toluca1 - 1Monterrey
Toluca0 - 2America
Toluca4 - 0America
Toluca2 - 2Leon
Toluca5 - 0Puebla
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca4 - 1Atlas
Toluca4 - 0Tijuana
Toluca2 - 1A. San Luis
Toluca3 - 0Mazatlan
Toluca3 - 2Juarez
Toluca0 - 0Guadalajara
Toluca0 - 1Cruz Azul
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca2 - 3Monterrey
HToluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
AToluca1 - 0A. San Luis
AToluca3 - 2Atlas
HToluca2 - 1S. Laguna
HToluca3 - 2Pachuca
AToluca3 - 0Puebla
HToluca5 - 2Necaxa
AToluca0 - 3America
HToluca5 - 0Queretaro
AToluca4 - 0Juarez
HToluca2 - 1Guadalajara
AToluca3 - 3Leon
HToluca1 - 0Tigres
AToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
AToluca1 - 2Mazatlan
HToluca1 - 1Monterrey
AToluca4 - 2Tijuana
HToluca0 - 2America
AToluca0 - 2America
Monterrey 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leon0 - 2Monterrey
Tigres2 - 1Monterrey
Pumas UNAM1 - 3Monterrey
Cruz Azul1 - 1Monterrey
Mazatlan1 - 0Monterrey
Queretaro2 - 4Monterrey
Juarez2 - 1Monterrey
Atlas3 - 3Monterrey
Toluca1 - 1Monterrey
America2 - 1Monterrey
A. San Luis2 - 1Monterrey
Pumas UNAM3 - 5Monterrey
America2 - 1Monterrey
A. San Luis1 - 0Monterrey
Guadalajara1 - 1Monterrey
S. Laguna0 - 2Monterrey
Tijuana2 - 2Monterrey
Puebla1 - 2Monterrey
Necaxa0 - 1Monterrey
Pachuca0 - 1Monterrey
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMonterrey3 - 2Toluca
HMonterrey2 - 0Pumas UNAM
HMonterrey1 - 2Pachuca
AMonterrey2 - 0Leon
HMonterrey1 - 0America
AMonterrey1 - 2Tigres
HMonterrey3 - 1Guadalajara
HMonterrey1 - 2Tijuana
AMonterrey3 - 1Pumas UNAM
AMonterrey1 - 1Cruz Azul
HMonterrey4 - 2S. Laguna
AMonterrey0 - 1Mazatlan
HMonterrey3 - 1A. San Luis
AMonterrey4 - 2Queretaro
AMonterrey1 - 2Juarez
HMonterrey1 - 0Necaxa
AMonterrey3 - 3Atlas
HMonterrey2 - 3Pachuca
AMonterrey1 - 1Toluca
HMonterrey1 - 1Puebla
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toluca since 2019
Toluca
Monterrey
Goals: Scored
13
7
Games: Scored
7 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
0 / 7
TOL
3
D
3
MON
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Monterrey
Toluca2 - 0
Toluca5 - 1
League games at Monterrey since 2018
Monterrey
Toluca
Goals: Scored
15
7
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
TOL
1
D
1
MON
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monterrey
Monterrey3 - 2
1 - 2Toluca
Draw0 - 0Draw
Monterrey2 - 1
Monterrey2 - 0
Monterrey3 - 1
Monterrey2 - 0
Monterrey2 - 1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Toluca in their meeting with Monterrey, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 36 consecutive Liga MX matches.

Toluca 2nd Monterrey 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Monterrey will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Toluca have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
+22
Monterrey have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/302778/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Monterrey
2.1
1.3
Attack rating
2%
better
TOL
MON
view stats
Games scored32
38
Failed to score5
5
Scored first25
27
Goals scored81
78
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.8
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
16
Avg. XG for1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
10%
better
TOL
MON
view stats
Games conceded26
32
Clean sheets11
11
Conceded first11
14
Goals conceded45
55
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against1
1.2
KickOff rating
+10%

Toluca v Monterrey Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
39271311
M RuízPaulinhoA VegaM Ruíz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L García GLK9
-
D Barbosa DEF191
3
-
Luan DEF353
4
-
F Pereira DEF301
8
1
J Gallardo DEF3877
7
-
H Herrera MID162
2
-
M Ruíz MID40310
11
-
Helinho  MID243
2
1
J Uriarte MID3988
1
-
A Vega MID411513
6
-
Paulinho FWD38277
9
-
Subs
R Dimas GLK
-
A Briseño DEF71
1
B Méndez DEF26
1
1
B García DEF2611
3
-
E López DEF12
2
-
F Romero MID18
3
-
J Domínguez FWD3513
4
-
I Violante FWD3064
5
-
I López FWD2311
-
R Morales FWD2031
-
Monterrey Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
38201210
J RodríguezG BerterameS CanalesS Medina
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Andrada GLK28
6
-
R Chávez DEF1821
5
-
V Guzmán DEF29
2
-
S Medina DEF413
10
-
G Arteaga DEF4021
5
-
J Rodríguez MID391
6
-
F Ambríz MID301
2
-
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID3442
4
-
N Deossa FWD2151
3
-
G Berterame FWD38201
4
2
S Canales FWD391712
4
-
Subs
L Cárdenas GLK16
-
H Moreno DEF24
3
-
L Reyes DEF7
2
-
Óliver Torres MID3662
3
1
Tecatito MID35210
2
-
J Cortizo MID2621
5
-
L Ocampos MID2825
2
1
A Leone MID3
-
A Alvarado FWD131
-
R Rosa FWD3423
1
-
Mexican Liga MX match betting previews, predictions and odds
Toluca v America
Mon 26th May, 02:00