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Toluca v Necaxa : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 13th Jul, 02:00 BST, Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

Necaxa, led by manager Sergey Frantsev, visit Patrick Glockner and his Toluca side at the Estadio Nemesio Díez on Sunday morning in the Liga MX. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Liga MX match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As you can see, our prediction for Sunday's match is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Toluca and Necaxa to score 3 goals or more combined during the standard 90 minutes. 2 goals or less would mean the time doesn't win but, with statistics below suggesting both teams have goals in them, we think there's good reason to feel confident.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toluca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
59%
13/20
3%
-
Draw
21%
3/1-
Necaxa
20%
15/4
5%
-
Toluca 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
9%
7/1-
Toluca 2-0
8%
17/2-
Toluca 1-0
8%
17/2-
Toluca 3-1
7%
11/1-
Toluca 3-0
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Necaxa 2-1
5%
14/1
12%
-
Necaxa 1-0
4%
16/1
11%
-
Toluca 3-2
4%
18/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1-
Toluca 4-1
4%
20/1-
Toluca 4-0
3%
22/1-
Necaxa 2-0
3%
28/1-
Necaxa 3-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
4/7
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
27/20
2%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/9
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
7/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1-
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/7-
BTTS - No
39%
5/4-
BTTS - Home Win
32%
2/1
4%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
13/2
6%
-
Home/draw
80%
2/11
1%
-
Away/draw
41%
6/5
4%
-
Home/away
79%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/6-
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
4/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
5/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
4/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
3/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
2/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
7/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/12-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1-
Home DNB
73%
2/7
3%
-
Away DNB
35%
5/2
7%
-
Toluca win to nil
27%
12/5
5%
-
Necaxa win to nil
8%
9/1
9%
-
Toluca / Toluca
33%
6/4
4%
-
Toluca / Necaxa
2%
33/1-
Toluca / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Toluca
17%
15/4-
Draw / Necaxa
8%
9/1
9%
-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1-
Necaxa / Toluca
4%
18/1-
Necaxa / Necaxa
11%
13/2
6%
-
Necaxa / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Toluca have won 3 consecutive home league games
11
Toluca have not lost in 11 consecutive home league games
3
Toluca have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca3 - 0Tigres
Toluca2 - 1Monterrey
Toluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
Toluca2 - 1S. Laguna
Toluca3 - 2Pachuca
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Toluca5 - 0Queretaro
Toluca2 - 1Guadalajara
Toluca1 - 0Tigres
Toluca1 - 1Monterrey
Toluca0 - 2America
Toluca4 - 0America
Toluca2 - 2Leon
Toluca5 - 0Puebla
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca4 - 1Atlas
Toluca4 - 0Tijuana
Toluca2 - 1A. San Luis
Toluca3 - 0Mazatlan
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToluca2 - 0America
AToluca0 - 0America
HToluca3 - 0Tigres
AToluca1 - 1Tigres
HToluca2 - 1Monterrey
AToluca2 - 3Monterrey
HToluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
AToluca1 - 0A. San Luis
AToluca3 - 2Atlas
HToluca2 - 1S. Laguna
HToluca3 - 2Pachuca
AToluca3 - 0Puebla
HToluca5 - 2Necaxa
AToluca0 - 3America
HToluca5 - 0Queretaro
AToluca4 - 0Juarez
HToluca2 - 1Guadalajara
AToluca3 - 3Leon
HToluca1 - 0Tigres
AToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Necaxa 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tigres2 - 2Necaxa
Puebla0 - 1Necaxa
Juarez2 - 2Necaxa
Tijuana1 - 2Necaxa
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Atlas0 - 4Necaxa
America2 - 3Necaxa
Monterrey1 - 0Necaxa
A. San Luis0 - 3Necaxa
Pumas UNAM2 - 1Necaxa
Pachuca6 - 2Necaxa
Guadalajara3 - 2Necaxa
Cruz Azul3 - 0Necaxa
Queretaro0 - 0Necaxa
Mazatlan0 - 0Necaxa
S. Laguna3 - 2Necaxa
Leon1 - 1Necaxa
Tigres1 - 0Necaxa
Pachuca2 - 1Necaxa
Tigres5 - 2Necaxa
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANecaxa2 - 2Tigres
HNecaxa0 - 0Tigres
ANecaxa1 - 0Puebla
ANecaxa2 - 2Juarez
HNecaxa3 - 5Pachuca
ANecaxa2 - 1Tijuana
HNecaxa2 - 0Queretaro
HNecaxa2 - 1Leon
ANecaxa2 - 5Toluca
HNecaxa1 - 2Tigres
HNecaxa3 - 1Mazatlan
ANecaxa4 - 0Atlas
ANecaxa3 - 2America
HNecaxa3 - 2S. Laguna
ANecaxa0 - 1Monterrey
HNecaxa1 - 3Cruz Azul
ANecaxa3 - 0A. San Luis
HNecaxa3 - 2Guadalajara
ANecaxa1 - 2Pumas UNAM
HNecaxa0 - 0Atlas
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Toluca have not lost to Necaxa in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
Necaxa
Goals: Scored
16
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
TOL
4
D
2
NEC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca5 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
Toluca3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca2 - 0
2 - 3Necaxa
Toluca3 - 2
League games at Necaxa since 2019
Necaxa
Toluca
Goals: Scored
10
14
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
TOL
3
D
3
NEC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Necaxa
1 - 3Toluca
Draw3 - 3Draw
1 - 3Toluca
0 - 1Toluca
Necaxa3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Toluca's defensive record is very strong, Patrick Glockner's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga MX matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Necaxa makes sense in this context.

Toluca 2nd Necaxa 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Necaxa will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
Toluca have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
+23
Necaxa have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
2.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/303710/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Necaxa
2.1
1.2
Attack rating
0%
better
TOL
NEC
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
TOL
NEC
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Toluca v Necaxa Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P López GLK
-
L García GLK
-
R Dimas GLK
-
A Briseño DEF
-
F Pereira DEF
-
D Barbosa DEF
-
E López DEF
-
L. Navarrete Torres DEF
-
D. Lopez DEF
-
A Villegas DEF
-
B. Monroy Sanabria DEF
-
J Gallardo DEF
-
Luan DEF
-
B Méndez DEF
-
B García DEF
-
E Freyfeld DEF
-
M Ruíz MID
-
J Uriarte MID
-
Helinho  MID
-
V Camarena MID
-
K. Castillo MID
-
H Herrera MID
-
F Romero MID
-
W. Barros de Sousa MID
-
N Castro MID
-
Paulinho FWD
-
I López FWD
-
I Violante FWD
-
R Morales FWD
-
J Domínguez FWD
-
A Vega FWD
-
O. Virgen FWD
-
Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Espinoza GLK
-
L. Jiménez González GLK
-
E Unsain GLK
-
E Lara DEF
-
Ángel Ricardo Chávez Soto DEF
-
A Oliveros DEF
-
R Sandoval DEF
-
E González DEF
-
A Soberanes DEF
-
A Peña DEF
-
A Mayorga DEF
-
A Montes DEF
-
J Rodríguez DEF
-
A Moreno MID
-
P Pérez MID
-
D Buen MID
-
D Gómez MID
-
L. Becerra Ramos MID
-
J. Palacios Pulido MID
-
R. Jiménez Barruquín MID
-
A Bermúdez MID
-
R Pineda MID
-
A Palavecino MID
-
I Rodríguez MID
-
J Rojas MID
-
J Paradela MID
-
A Rivera MID
-
T Badaloni FWD
-
K Rosero  FWD
-
R Monreal FWD
-
D Cambindo FWD
-
A Palma FWD
-
O. Santoyo FWD
-
B Roque FWD
-
K. Armenta Cota FWD
-
A. Gutierrez FWD
-