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Toluca v Necaxa : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 3rd Aug, 02:00 BST, Estadio Nemesio Diez,

Necaxa pay Liga MX rivals Toluca a visit on Monday morning, as Martín Varini Di Zioli leads his men into an away clash with Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich & co. at the Estadio Nemesio Diez. All of the important stats for the encounter, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds across 17 markets are covered in this in-depth preview. It's all designed to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
61%
--
Draw
20%
--
Necaxa
20%
--
Toluca 2-1
10%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
Toluca 2-0
8%
--
Toluca 1-0
7%
--
Toluca 3-1
7%
--
Toluca 3-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Necaxa 2-1
5%
--
Toluca 3-2
4%
--
Toluca 4-1
4%
--
Necaxa 1-0
4%
--
Toluca 4-0
3%
--
Draw 0-0
3%
--
Toluca 4-2
2%
--
Necaxa 2-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
--
Home 1st Goal
55%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
62%
--
BTTS - No
38%
--
BTTS - Home Win
34%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
--
Home/draw
80%
--
Away/draw
39%
--
Home/away
80%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
--
Home DNB
74%
--
Away DNB
34%
--
Toluca win to nil
27%
--
Necaxa win to nil
8%
--
Win / draw / win form
5
Necaxa have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Toluca 3RD
league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Necaxa 7TH
league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Goals: Scored
Conceded
Games: Scored
/ 0
Conceded
/ 0
Clean sheets
/ 0
Failed to score
/ 0
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Toluca have beaten Necaxa in 4 consecutive league meetings
11
Toluca have not lost to Necaxa in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
Necaxa
Goals: Scored
19
9
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
TOL
5
D
2
NEC
1
League games at Necaxa since 2019
Necaxa
Toluca
Goals: Scored
10
17
Games: Scored
6 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
2 / 8
TOL
4
D
3
NEC
1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is decent for Toluca in their clash with Necaxa, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 16 consecutive Liga MX games.

Toluca 3rd Necaxa 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Necaxa will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Necaxa
2.2
1.2
Attack rating
10%
better
TOL
NEC
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score0
0
Scored first1
0
Goals scored2
2
Avg. goals scored2
2
Avg. shots per game13
10
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
20
Avg. XG for2
2.2
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
56%
better
TOL
NEC
view stats
Games conceded0
1
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first0
1
Goals conceded0
1
Avg. goals conceded0
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
9
Conversion rate against0%
11%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.8
KickOff rating
+56%

Toluca v Necaxa Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
L GarcíaJ GallardoHelinho J Gallardo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L García GLK1
-
J Gallardo DEF11
1
-
B Méndez DEF1
-
F Pereira DEF1
-
E López DEF1
-
S Simón DEF1
-
Érick Gutiérrez MID1
-
V Guzmán MID1
-
J Uriarte MID1
-
F Arce MID1
-
N Castro MID1
-
F Romero MID1
1
-
Helinho  FWD11
-
J Price FWD1
-
A Vega FWD11
-
Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
L. Jiménez GonzálezM PedrozaJ CarranzaR Ruiz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L. Jiménez González GLK1
-
F. Méndez Lara DEF1
-
C Vargas DEF1
-
A Oliveros DEF1
-
A Peña DEF1
-
R Ruiz DEF1
1
-
J Torres MID1
-
J. Ruiz MID1
-
R Pineda MID1
-
D Leyva MID1
-
L Faravelli MID1
-
M Pedroza FWD11
-
M Rodriguez FWD1
-
R Monreal FWD1
-
J Carranza FWD111
-