Toluca's team badge Necaxa's team badge

Toluca v Necaxa : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

The Liga MX is the focus for both Toluca and Necaxa on Sunday morning, as managers Patrick Glockner and Hugo Roberto Colace go head to head at the Estadio Nemesio Díez. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are included as well.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga MX Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Toluca's next match is v S. Laguna at 04:05 on Thursday 17th July
Necaxa's next match is v Queretaro at 02:00 on Saturday 19th July
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Toluca and Necaxa was on Sunday 13th July 2025
Mexican Liga MX
July 13th 2025
Toluca 3
1 Necaxa
 
M. Ruiz Suárez 27'21' P. Uriel Perez Hernandez
J. Angulo Uriarte 41'
H. Nunes de Castro 90'
 
TOL
NEC
Shots On
7
4
Shots Off
9
5
Corners
7
4
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
11
13
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
TolucaNecaxa
 
L. García Palomera
D. Barbosa Zaragoza (E. López 89')
J. Gallardo Vasconcelos
L. Garcia Teixeira
A. Pereira Castelnoble
J. Angulo Uriartefootball icon (N. Castro 75')
M. Ruiz Suárezfootball icon
F. Romero
E. Vega Rojas (H. Nunes de Castro 88')
J. Domínguez Chonteco (B. Méndez Cittadini 66')
J. Dias Fernandes (R. Morales 66')
L. Unsain
A. Peña López
(J. Rojas Echavarría 60') J. Alcantar Rodríguez
(T. Badaloni 83') C. Calderón Del Real
(A. Andrade Rivera 83') J. Rodríguez Rebollar
(F. Rossano Erchuk 60') football iconP. Uriel Perez Hernandez
D. De Buen Juárez
A. Palavecino
D. Cambindo Abonia
K. Ante Rosero
(R. Sánchez Sánchez 71') R. Monreal Morales

Best Tip: Toluca to win

As the Toluca players ready themselves for this clash, the bookies have predicted a win for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we use in our predictive algorithms. The Estadio Nemesio Díez has rarely been an easy place to go for Necaxa in the past, and we we think that will be the case again on Sunday morning. A win / draw / win home win is our tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toluca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 61% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
61%
4/7
2%
8/15
6%
Draw
20%
3/13/1
3%
Necaxa
18%
9/2
10%
19/5
14%
Toluca 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
9%
7/113/2
Toluca 2-0
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
6%
Toluca 1-0
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
6%
Toluca 3-1
7%
11/19/1
Toluca 3-0
6%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
Draw 2-2
5%
12/111/1
9%
Necaxa 2-1
5%
16/112/1
8%
Necaxa 1-0
4%
18/112/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Toluca 3-2
4%
20/1
11%
14/1
Toluca 4-1
4%
20/114/1
12%
Toluca 4-0
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
Necaxa 2-0
2%
28/120/1
11%
Toluca 4-2
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
3/5
5%
8/15
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
13/10
4%
5/4
2%
Home 1st Goal
56%
2/510/21
3%
Away 1st Goal
42%
2/1
4%
15/8
10%
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/6
6%
13/20
5%
BTTS - No
42%
11/10
7%
23/20
4%
BTTS - Home Win
31%
2/1
4%
15/8
1%
BTTS - Draw
16%
15/44/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
8/1
13%
13/2
15%
Home/draw
82%
1/7
3%
2/13
4%
Away/draw
39%
13/1011/8
8%
Home/away
80%
2/91/5
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/62/13
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/110/3
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
6/4
11%
13/10
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
1/2
4%
1/2
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
10/3
8%
14/5
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/5
2%
1/5
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8/1
13%
11/2
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/14
1%
1/18
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/331/80
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
12%
10/1
8%
Home DNB
75%
2/9
2%
2/9
5%
Away DNB
33%
3/1
7%
29/10
15%
Toluca win to nil
30%
2/1
8%
-
Necaxa win to nil
8%
10/1-
Toluca / Toluca
34%
11/8
1%
13/10
6%
Toluca / Necaxa
3%
33/128/1
12%
Toluca / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
Draw / Toluca
18%
7/2
5%
10/3
6%
Draw / Necaxa
8%
10/19/1
5%
Draw / Draw
12%
6/15/1
8%
Necaxa / Toluca
4%
18/116/1
13%
Necaxa / Necaxa
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
14%
Necaxa / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Toluca 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca2 - 0America
Toluca3 - 0Tigres
Toluca2 - 1Monterrey
Toluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
Toluca2 - 1S. Laguna
Toluca3 - 2Pachuca
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Toluca5 - 0Queretaro
Toluca2 - 1Guadalajara
Toluca1 - 0Tigres
Toluca1 - 1Monterrey
Toluca0 - 2America
Toluca4 - 0America
Toluca2 - 2Leon
Toluca5 - 0Puebla
Toluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Toluca4 - 1Atlas
Toluca4 - 0Tijuana
Toluca2 - 1A. San Luis
Toluca3 - 0Mazatlan
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToluca2 - 0America
AToluca0 - 0America
HToluca3 - 0Tigres
AToluca1 - 1Tigres
HToluca2 - 1Monterrey
AToluca2 - 3Monterrey
HToluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
AToluca1 - 0A. San Luis
AToluca3 - 2Atlas
HToluca2 - 1S. Laguna
HToluca3 - 2Pachuca
AToluca3 - 0Puebla
HToluca5 - 2Necaxa
AToluca0 - 3America
HToluca5 - 0Queretaro
AToluca4 - 0Juarez
HToluca2 - 1Guadalajara
AToluca3 - 3Leon
HToluca1 - 0Tigres
AToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Necaxa 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tigres2 - 2Necaxa
Puebla0 - 1Necaxa
Juarez2 - 2Necaxa
Tijuana1 - 2Necaxa
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Atlas0 - 4Necaxa
America2 - 3Necaxa
Monterrey1 - 0Necaxa
A. San Luis0 - 3Necaxa
Pumas UNAM2 - 1Necaxa
Pachuca6 - 2Necaxa
Guadalajara3 - 2Necaxa
Cruz Azul3 - 0Necaxa
Queretaro0 - 0Necaxa
Mazatlan0 - 0Necaxa
S. Laguna3 - 2Necaxa
Leon1 - 1Necaxa
Tigres1 - 0Necaxa
Pachuca2 - 1Necaxa
Tigres5 - 2Necaxa
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANecaxa2 - 2Tigres
HNecaxa0 - 0Tigres
ANecaxa1 - 0Puebla
ANecaxa2 - 2Juarez
HNecaxa3 - 5Pachuca
ANecaxa2 - 1Tijuana
HNecaxa2 - 0Queretaro
HNecaxa2 - 1Leon
ANecaxa2 - 5Toluca
HNecaxa1 - 2Tigres
HNecaxa3 - 1Mazatlan
ANecaxa4 - 0Atlas
ANecaxa3 - 2America
HNecaxa3 - 2S. Laguna
ANecaxa0 - 1Monterrey
HNecaxa1 - 3Cruz Azul
ANecaxa3 - 0A. San Luis
HNecaxa3 - 2Guadalajara
ANecaxa1 - 2Pumas UNAM
HNecaxa0 - 0Atlas
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Toluca have not lost to Necaxa in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
Necaxa
Goals: Scored
16
8
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
TOL
4
D
2
NEC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca5 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
Toluca3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca2 - 0
2 - 3Necaxa
Toluca3 - 2
League games at Necaxa since 2019
Necaxa
Toluca
Goals: Scored
10
14
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
TOL
3
D
3
NEC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Necaxa
1 - 3Toluca
Draw3 - 3Draw
1 - 3Toluca
0 - 1Toluca
Necaxa3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Toluca's defensive record is to be admired, Patrick Glockner's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga MX matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Necaxa makes sense in this context.

Toluca 3rd Necaxa 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Necaxa will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
Toluca have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
+23
Necaxa have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
2.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/303710/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Necaxa
2.1
1.1
Attack rating
0%
better
TOL
NEC
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
TOL
NEC
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Toluca v Necaxa Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
L GarcíaM RuízM RuízM Ruíz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L García GLK1
-
D Barbosa DEF1
-
Luan DEF1
-
F Pereira DEF1
-
J Domínguez MID1
-
F Romero MID1
-
M Ruíz MID111
1
-
J Gallardo MID1
1
-
J Uriarte FWD11
-
A Vega FWD11
-
Paulinho FWD1
-
Subs
H González GLK
-
B Méndez DEF1
-
E López DEF1
-
N Castro MID11
-
H Herrera MID
-
V Camarena MID
-
Helinho  FWD11
-
O. Virgen FWD
-
R Morales FWD1
-
Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
E UnsainP PérezA PalavecinoD Buen
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Unsain GLK1
-
D Buen DEF1
1
-
A Peña DEF1
-
J Rodríguez DEF1
-
C Calderón DEF1
-
K Rosero  MID1
-
I Rodríguez MID1
1
-
A Palavecino MID11
-
P Pérez MID11
-
D Cambindo FWD1
-
R Monreal FWD1
-
Subs
L. Jiménez González GLK
-
E González DEF
-
A Montes DEF
-
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF1
-
A Rivera MID1
-
D Gómez MID
-
J. Palacios Pulido MID
-
T Badaloni FWD1
-
R Sánchez FWD1
-
J Rojas FWD1
-