Toluca's team badge Pumas UNAM's team badge

Toluca v Pumas UNAM : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

We’ve Liga MX action to look forward to on Sunday morning, as Renato Manuel Alves Paiva and his Toluca side host Gustavo Alberto Lema’s Pumas UNAM at the Estadio Nemesio Díez. Analysing both sides' last 20 Liga MX matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga MX Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Toluca's next match is v Queretaro at 02:00 on Saturday 19th October
Pumas UNAM's next match is v A. San Luis at 19:00 on Sunday 20th October
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Toluca and Pumas UNAM was on Sunday 6th October 2024
Mexican Liga MX
October 6th 2024
Toluca 1
1 Pumas UNAM
 
J. Dias Fernandes 24'1' C. Huerta Valera
 
TOL
PUM
Shots On
2
5
Shots Off
6
6
Corners
5
5
Possession
65%
35%
Fouls
7
9
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
TolucaPumas UNAM
 
T. Volpi
L. Garcia Teixeira
B. García Carpizo
B. Méndez Cittadini (A. Pereira Castelnoble 89')
J. Gallardo Vasconcelos (A. Duarte da Silva 78')
M. Ruiz Suárez
H. Nunes de Castro (J. Domínguez Chonteco 78')
C. Baeza Baeza
I. Violante Romero (J. Angulo Uriarte 66')
J. Dias Fernandesfootball icon
E. Vega Rojas (E. López Rodríguez 86')
J. González Vela-Alvizu
R. Ergas Moreno
P. Bennevendo Peña
N. da Silva
R. Duarte Sánchez
L. Magallán
(S. Trigos Nava 64') J. Caicedo Barrera
(A. Ávila Vega 76') P. Quispe Córdova
(I. Pussetto 76') G. Martínez Ayala
(R. Funes Mori 89') football iconC. Huerta Valera
(U. Rivas Gilio 64') Á. Rico
Best Tip: Toluca to win

Having examined the bookies' odds and collated statistics regarding the two teams ahead of this Liga MX clash, a bet on win / draw / win for Toluca to win and delight their home supporters is the way we would recommend bettors go. We predict they'll have too much for Pumas UNAM, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have done in the past. It could be a tighter than we expect, but Toluca claiming victory is the bet come Sunday morning.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
61%
10/11
7%
17/20
8%
Draw
21%
11/4
14%
5/2
3%
Pumas UNAM
18%
11/4
14%
12/5
10%
Toluca 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
6%
Toluca 2-0
10%
9/1
9%
17/2
5%
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2
15%
6/1
8%
Toluca 1-0
9%
17/2
6%
7/1
6%
Toluca 3-1
7%
14/111/1
Toluca 3-0
7%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Draw 2-2
5%
12/110/1
Pumas UNAM 2-1
5%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
Pumas UNAM 1-0
5%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1
25%
10/1
Toluca 4-1
4%
28/1
15%
18/1
10%
Toluca 3-2
4%
20/1
9%
14/1
12%
Toluca 4-0
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
12%
Pumas UNAM 2-0
2%
20/1
11%
14/1
Toluca 4-2
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
4/6
7%
3/5
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
23/20
8%
11/10
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/7
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
6/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
25%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
8/13
3%
3/5
2%
BTTS - No
44%
6/5
5%
6/5
2%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
5/2
13%
23/10
6%
BTTS - Draw
16%
7/2
4%
17/5
5%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
11/2
8%
19/4
10%
Home/draw
82%
1/4
6%
2/7
3%
Away/draw
39%
5/6
6%
17/20
7%
Home/away
79%
1/4
6%
1/4
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/5
2%
2/11
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
10/3
8%
29/10
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
13/8
5%
29/20
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/9
3%
4/9
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
4/1
9%
16/5
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/6
3%
1/6
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1
9%
13/2
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
1/20
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/50
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
25%
9/1
Home DNB
76%
4/9
4%
2/5
9%
Away DNB
32%
13/8
5%
13/8
10%
Toluca win to nil
31%
11/4-
Pumas UNAM win to nil
8%
6/1
8%
-
Toluca / Toluca
27%
2/1
12%
19/10
9%
Toluca / Pumas UNAM
3%
28/122/1
Toluca / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Toluca
16%
4/1
9%
4/1
Draw / Pumas UNAM
10%
15/2
13%
7/1
14%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
5%
Pumas UNAM / Toluca
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Pumas UNAM / Pumas UNAM
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
10%
Pumas UNAM / Draw
6%
14/111/1
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Toluca 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toluca4 - 1Atlas
Toluca4 - 0Tijuana
Toluca2 - 1A. San Luis
Toluca3 - 0Mazatlan
Toluca3 - 2Juarez
Toluca0 - 0Guadalajara
Toluca0 - 1Cruz Azul
Toluca4 - 1Atlas
Toluca3 - 0Pumas UNAM
Toluca2 - 1Tigres
Toluca2 - 0Tijuana
Toluca1 - 0S. Laguna
Toluca4 - 1Leon
Toluca4 - 1Mazatlan
Toluca0 - 1Puebla
Toluca3 - 1A. San Luis
Toluca3 - 1Queretaro
Toluca1 - 1Guadalajara
Toluca1 - 1America
Toluca5 - 0Pachuca
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToluca4 - 1Atlas
AToluca0 - 2S. Laguna
AToluca2 - 2Pachuca
HToluca4 - 0Tijuana
AToluca2 - 1Monterrey
HToluca2 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca1 - 1Cruz Azul
HToluca3 - 0Mazatlan
HToluca3 - 2Juarez
AToluca0 - 0Guadalajara
HToluca0 - 0Guadalajara
AToluca0 - 1Guadalajara
HToluca0 - 1Cruz Azul
AToluca5 - 1A. San Luis
AToluca1 - 5America
HToluca4 - 1Atlas
AToluca3 - 2Pachuca
HToluca3 - 0Pumas UNAM
AToluca1 - 1Juarez
HToluca2 - 1Tigres
Pumas UNAM 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
America0 - 1Pumas UNAM
Necaxa2 - 0Pumas UNAM
Atlas2 - 1Pumas UNAM
Juarez1 - 2Pumas UNAM
S. Laguna1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Cruz Azul2 - 2Pumas UNAM
Pachuca0 - 0Pumas UNAM
Queretaro1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Mazatlan0 - 4Pumas UNAM
Toluca3 - 0Pumas UNAM
Monterrey3 - 0Pumas UNAM
Guadalajara3 - 1Pumas UNAM
Atlas0 - 0Pumas UNAM
Tigres2 - 2Pumas UNAM
A. San Luis3 - 1Pumas UNAM
Tigres1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Guadalajara1 - 0Pumas UNAM
Leon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Necaxa1 - 0Pumas UNAM
Cruz Azul1 - 4Pumas UNAM
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APumas UNAM1 - 0America
HPumas UNAM1 - 0Tijuana
HPumas UNAM1 - 0Puebla
APumas UNAM0 - 2Necaxa
HPumas UNAM1 - 3Tigres
APumas UNAM1 - 2Atlas
HPumas UNAM2 - 0Pachuca
APumas UNAM2 - 1Juarez
APumas UNAM1 - 1S. Laguna
HPumas UNAM4 - 1Leon
APumas UNAM2 - 2Cruz Azul
HPumas UNAM0 - 2Cruz Azul
APumas UNAM0 - 0Pachuca
APumas UNAM1 - 1Queretaro
HPumas UNAM2 - 1America
HPumas UNAM1 - 0Leon
APumas UNAM4 - 0Mazatlan
HPumas UNAM0 - 0Cruz Azul
APumas UNAM0 - 3Toluca
HPumas UNAM3 - 3Tijuana
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
Pumas UNAM
Goals: Scored
11
9
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
TOL
3
D
1
PUM
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Pumas UNAM
Toluca2 - 1
Toluca1 - 0
2 - 3Pumas UNAM
0 - 1Pumas UNAM
League games at Pumas UNAM since 2019
Pumas UNAM
Toluca
Goals: Scored
14
5
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
D
2
PUM
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pumas UNAM
Draw1 - 1Draw
Pumas UNAM3 - 1
Pumas UNAM5 - 0
Pumas UNAM1 - 0
Pumas UNAM2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Pumas UNAM of late. It has been 6 Liga MX matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday morning against Toluca.

Toluca 3rd Pumas UNAM 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 61% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Pumas UNAM will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Toluca have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
-10
Pumas UNAM’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277481/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Pumas UNAM
2.1
1
Attack rating
11%
better
TOL
PUM
view stats
Games scored8
9
Failed to score2
1
Scored first8
6
Goals scored21
14
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal4
9
Conversion rate for23
11
Avg. XG for1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
10%
better
TOL
PUM
view stats
Games conceded7
6
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first1
4
Goals conceded10
10
Avg. goals conceded1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
8
Conversion rate against9%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+10%

Toluca v Pumas UNAM Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11757
T VolpiPaulinhoPaulinhoM Ruíz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Volpi GLK11
1
-
B García DEF1011
2
-
B Méndez DEF8
-
Luan DEF11
-
J Gallardo DEF1021
2
-
C Baeza MID91
3
-
M Ruíz MID1011
7
-
Helinho  MID31
-
A Vega MID112
1
-
I Violante MID731
1
-
Paulinho FWD1175
1
-
Subs
L García GLK
-
F Pereira DEF4
1
-
C Orrantía DEF4
-
V Camarena MID9
2
-
K. Castillo MID2
-
J Domínguez MID111
-
J Uriarte MID1012
-
F Amaya MID91
1
-
I López FWD8
-
A Duarte FWD41
-
Pumas UNAM Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11324
J GonzálezC HuertaC HuertaJ Caicedo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J González GLK11
-
N Silva DEF10
2
-
L Magallán DEF10
2
-
R Duarte DEF8
1
-
P Bennevendo MID11
1
-
Á. Rico MID51
1
-
J Caicedo MID111
4
-
R Moreno MID81
1
-
P Quispe MID91
1
-
C Huerta MID1032
4
-
G Martínez FWD1121
1
-
Subs
G Alcalá GLK
-
P Reyes DEF4
1
-
J Rivas DEF31
-
R Lopez MID711
1
-
U Rivas MID8
2
-
S Trigos MID5
-
M Rodríguez MID2
-
A Ávila FWD7
-
I Pussetto  FWD62
-
R Mori FWD1021
2
-