All our Over/Under 4.5 goals predictions are updated on a daily basis and cover games from across 14 different European competitions.
Over / Under 4.5 Goals Tips and Predictions
Monday 25th January – Fenerbahce v Kayserispor – Under 4.5 Goals
Despite being one of the stronger sides in the Turkish Süper Lig, Fenerbahce are rarely involved in contests containing more than four goals on their own patch, with this being the case in just three of their previous 19 matches. As for Kayserispor, 11 of their last 13 away games have also been of the under 4.5 goals variety, including a 2-1 defeat on this ground.
Sunday 24th January – Elche v Barcelona – Under 4.5 Goals
During the era of Lionel Messi, Barcelona have become synonymous with playing a brand of attacking football that few teams can cope with, yet the fact that 17 of their last 20 La Liga matches have contained four goals or fewer hints that things are changing. As for newly-promoted Elche, under 4.5 goals has been the order of the day in 22 home games on the spin.
Saturday 23rd January – Alaves v Real Madrid – Under 4.5 Goals
Before taking on Sevilla, Alaves had been involved in 18 consecutive top-flight fixtures containing under 4.5 goals, including a shock 2-1 success at Real Madrid earlier this season. Speaking of the Spanish giants, it is noticeable that 17 of their most recent 20 away matches at this elite domestic level have also delivered four goals or fewer, which is a little surprising.
Thursday 21st January – Liverpool v Burnley – Under 4.5 Goals
Ahead of their visit to West Ham, Burnley had featured in 18 Premier League games out of 20 containing under 4.5 goals, with the net bulging just nine times in total across the last seven of these contests. Not only that, but, prior to entertaining Manchester United, 14 of the last 16 top-flight fixtures involving Liverpool had also served up no more than four goals.
Tuesday 19th January – Hertha Berlin v Hoffenheim – Under 4.5 Goals
When Hertha Berlin play at home in the Bundesliga, under 4.5 goals usually follows, with this being the case in 16 of their previous 19 matches, with the three exceptions all being heavy defeats. Given that 18 of the last 20 Hoffenheim away games at this level have followed the same pattern, any deviation from this script would come as a surprise.
Sunday 17th January – Eintracht Frankfurt v Schalke – Under 4.5 Goals
Although Schalke have taken plenty of beatings on the road recently, only three of their previous 19 Bundesliga trips have served up over 4.5 goals, with heavy defeats at Bayern Munich accounting for two of these occasions. Not only that, but ten of the last 13 Eintracht Frankfurt home matches at this level have also been of the under 4.5 goals variety.
Saturday 16th January – Hoffenheim v Arminia Bielefeld – Under 4.5 Goals
Under 4.5 goals has been the order of the day in 16 of the last 20 Arminia Bielefeld away matches in the league, so the newly-promoted outfit have proven pretty consistent on this particular front. Given that nine of the previous 11 Hoffenheim home games in the Bundesliga have followed the same pattern, anything different would represent a surprise.
Wednesday 13th January – Aston Villa v Tottenham Hotspur – Under 4.5 Goals
Aston Villa are on a roll when it comes to their involvement in top-flight fixtures containing four goals or fewer, with each of their previous nine games subscribing to this particular scoring model. It has been a similar story as far as Tottenham are concerned, as each of their last 11 matches at this elite domestic level has also served up no more than four goals.
Monday 11th January – Celtic v Hibernian – Under 4.5 Goals
Over the course of their last 20 away games at the top table of Scottish football, Hibernian have been involved in no fewer than 19 encounters containing under 4.5 goals, including 2-0 and 3-0 defeats on this ground. As for Celtic, each of their most recent seven matches at this level has also served up no more than four goals, so expect something similar in this clash.
Over / Under 4.5 Goals Predictions – Monday 4th to Sunday 10th January
Southampton v Liverpool – Under 4.5 Goals
Aside from extraordinary encounters at Aston Villa and Crystal Palace, Liverpool had been involved in 18 top-flight away games out of 20 containing four goals or fewer prior to making the trip to Newcastle. As for Southampton, under 4.5 goals has also been the order of the day in 17 of their most recent 20 home matches at the top table of English football.
Schalke v Hoffenheim – Under 4.5 Goals
Under 4.5 goals has been the order of the day in 16 of the previous 18 Schalke matches on their own patch at the top table of German football, including in a 1-1 draw against Hoffenheim. Speaking of the visitors, it is noticeable that 17 of their most recent 19 away games at this level have also served up four goals or fewer, so expect a repeat performance.
Heerenveen v Fortuna Sittard – Under 4.5 Goals
One area in which Heerenveen have proven incredibly consistent is in their involvement in Eredivisie home games containing four goals or fewer, with this being the case 12 times in a row of late, as well as 19 times out of 20 over the longer term. What’s more, 11 of the last 12 Fortuna Sittard away matches have followed suit, with the exception coming against Ajax.
Over / Under 4.5 Goals Statistics – Monday 28th December to Sunday 3rd January
Everton v Manchester City – Under 4.5 Goals
Over the course of their last 20 top-flight home fixtures, Everton have been involved in no fewer than 18 contests containing under 4.5 goals, with the two exceptions coming against struggling sides in the shape of West Brom and Brighton. Manchester City certainly do not fall under that umbrella, and 14 of their last 15 away games have produced under 4.5 goals.
Manchester United v Aston Villa – Under 4.5 Goals
Under 4.5 goals had been the order of the day in 16 of the last 20 Manchester United home games in the Premier League prior to the visit of Wolves, and there is little reason to expect anything different against Aston Villa. That is because, before travelling to face Chelsea, the West Midlands outfit had been involved in 21 consecutive away matches of this type.
Cagliari v Napoli – Under 4.5 Goals
When Napoli come calling in Serie A, under 4.5 goals tends to follow, with this being the case in 19 of their most recent 20 away matches, including 14 times in a row of late. Given that 14 of the last 17 Cagliari home games at this level have also delivered four goals or fewer, any deviation from this script would have to be seen as a bit of a surprise.
Chelsea v Manchester City – Under 4.5 Goals
Prior to making the trip to Goodison Park to face Everton, Manchester City had been involved in 14 away games out of 15 in the Premier League containing four goals or fewer. This had also been the case in 18 of the last 20 Chelsea home matches at this level in advance of their meeting with Aston Villa, so under 4.5 goals are expected in this heavyweight clash.
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Over 4.5 Goals and Under 4.5 goals Market explained
Like all Over/Under markets, the Over/Under 4.5 goals market needs a bit of explaining.
An Over 4.5 goals bet is on five or more goals being scored in a game. And Under 4.5 Goals bet is for four or fewer goals to be scored in a game.
Unlike the other Over/Under betting markets a safer prospect (but less lucrative in terms of the odds available) is usually to pick selections for Under 4.5 goals to be scored.
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Tips for all major European competitions
Our predictions cover games across over 14 European league and competitions and are updated daily.
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Over/Under 4.5 Goals Stats
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