Middlesbrough's team badge Swansea City's team badge

Middlesbrough v Swansea City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

It's an away match for Luke Williams's Swansea City side on Saturday afternoon, as they head to the Riverside Stadium for a Championship clash with Michael Carrick's Middlesbrough. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Championship matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Championship Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Middlesbrough's next match is v Leeds at 15:00 on Saturday 20th April
Swansea City's next match is v Huddersfield at 15:00 on Saturday 20th April
The last English Championship meeting between M'Boro and Swansea was on Saturday 6th April 2024
English Championship
April 6th 2024
M'Boro 2
0 Swansea
 
E. Latte Lath 45'
E. Latte Lath 79'
 
MID
SWA
Shots On
4
1
Shots Off
6
4
Corners
4
6
Possession
40%
60%
Fouls
16
16
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
M'BoroSwansea
 
S. Dieng
M. Clarke
L. Thomas
L. Ayling
S. Greenwood (A. Gilbert 87')
L. O'Brien
J. Howson
F. Azaz (A. Dijksteel 82')
I. Jones (Finch 82')
D. Barlaser
E. Latte Lathfootball iconfootball icon (S. Silvera 82')
C. Rushworth
H. Darling
N. Wood-Gordon
(A. Abdulai 29') J. Tymon
J. Key
(O. Cooper 65') J. Paterson
M. Grimes
(L. Walsh 64') J. Fulton
J. Lowe
(L. Cullen 65') J. Yates
(D. Govea Merlín 78') R. Pereira Martins
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that M'Boro and Swansea will score a minimum of 2 between them during 90 mins. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 75%. Bookmakers have it at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think M'Boro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
M'Boro
47%
3/4
4%
3/4
4%
8/117/10
8%
Draw
25%
16/5
17%
3/1
3%
3/1
14%
3/1
5%
Swansea
28%
10/3
3%
16/5
8%
10/3
8%
13/4
12%
Draw 1-1
12%
7/1
14%
13/2
7%
7/1
7%
13/2
7%
M'Boro 1-0
10%
9/1
11%
15/2
13%
8/1
13%
17/2
12%
M'Boro 2-1
9%
15/213/27/17/1
M'Boro 2-0
8%
9/18/19/1
5%
17/2
Swansea 1-0
7%
16/1
13%
12/1
18%
16/1
31%
14/1
20%
Swansea 2-1
7%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
12/123/2
4%
Draw 0-0
6%
16/1
31%
12/1
18%
14/1
15%
15/1
23%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
8%
11/1
8%
11/1
8%
M'Boro 3-1
5%
12/110/111/1
8%
21/2
12%
Swansea 2-0
4%
22/118/1
12%
25/1
13%
22/1
21%
M'Boro 3-0
4%
14/1
12%
12/114/113/1
7%
M'Boro 3-2
3%
20/114/1
12%
16/1
11%
17/1
10%
Swansea 3-1
3%
28/120/128/125/1
Swansea 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
22/128/125/1
10%
M'Boro 4-1
2%
22/1
21%
16/1
11%
22/1
12%
20/1
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
4/7
8%
-8/15
8%
4/7
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
11/8
13%
-11/8
13%
11/8
12%
Home 1st Goal
51%
1/2
2%
-4/7
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
13/8
1%
-6/4-
No 1st Goal
4%
16/1
31%
-12/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/7
3%
4/7
5%
8/15
6%
11/20
5%
BTTS - No
45%
5/4
2%
13/10
7%
11/8
8%
27/20
8%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
21/10
11%
2/1
9%
2/1
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
10%
18/57/215/4
1%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/15/111/2-
Home/draw
72%
1/5
2%
2/9
2%
2/911/50
3%
Away/draw
53%
1/1
5%
1/1
3%
21/20
5%
11/10
8%
Home/away
75%
2/9
5%
1/41/4
3%
6/25
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/6
4%
-1/6
4%
1/6
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
4/1
15%
-7/2
13%
19/5
15%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
11/8
13%
-11/8
13%
6/4
14%
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/7
9%
-8/15
9%
13/25
9%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
10/3
13%
-10/3
13%
18/5
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
2/9
4%
-1/5
5%
1/5
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
7/1
20%
-13/2
17%
8/1
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/12
2%
-1/14
2%
1/16
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
--1/100
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/1
15%
--15/1
23%
Home DNB
65%
1/3
2%
1/3
2%
1/3
2%
33/100
6%
Away DNB
45%
9/4
8%
2/1
4%
9/4
8%
47/20
14%
M'Boro win to nil
25%
5/2-23/10
2%
-
Swansea win to nil
14%
8/1
13%
-8/1
13%
-
M'Boro / M'Boro
31%
7/4
8%
17/10
4%
13/8
6%
13/8
9%
M'Boro / Swansea
3%
28/122/1
12%
33/133/1
M'Boro / Draw
6%
12/111/114/1
15%
13/1
Draw / M'Boro
17%
4/17/2
6%
4/14/1
3%
Draw / Swansea
9%
17/2
12%
15/2
6%
9/19/1
11%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
9%
11/2
8%
23/4
11%
Swansea / M'Boro
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
18/1
10%
18/1
10%
Swansea / Swansea
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
8%
6/1
8%
6/1
12%
Swansea / Draw
6%
14/112/114/113/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

M'Boro have played 40 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 6 and lost 10 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. M'Boro have outscored their opponents by 56 goals to 49 goals.

Home League Performance

M'Boro have played 20 games at home winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 8 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 21 goals at home.

Swansea are in 15th position in the Championship on 47 points having played 40 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 33 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 27 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 5 and won 6. Swansea have conceded 48 goals, scored 28, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

M'Boro
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Swansea
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
 Ipswich43261163289 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Leicester42284104188 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
3-1A
Apr 20
l
 
3-2F
 Leeds4326984287 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-1F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Southampton4225983084 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
5-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-2A
 West Brom432012112472 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2F
 Norwich43218141671 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 27
l
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
 Hull42181113865 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-3F
l
 
3-0A
 Coventry421712131463 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
-
-
 M'Boro Home4318916563 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
 Preston4318916-463 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 27
 Cardiff4318520-1259 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2A
 Bristol C43161017458 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-4F
 Sunderland4316819256 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Swansea Away43141118-953 
-
-
May 4
w
 
2-3F
 Watford43121615152 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3A
 Millwall43131119-1350 
May 4
w
 
0-3F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
 Blackburn43131020-1449 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
3-3F
 Plymouth43121219-848 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
 QPR43121120-1747 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
 Stoke43121120-1947 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Birmingham4312922-1645 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
 Huddersfield4391717-2344 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 20
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
 Sheff Wed4312823-3144 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Rotherham4341128-5323 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
M'Boro 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Swansea 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
M'Boro have beaten Swansea in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
M'Boro have not lost to Swansea in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at M'Boro since 2010
M'Boro
Swansea
Goals: Scored
12
10
Games: Scored
6 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
2 / 8
MID
4
D
2
SWA
2
All league games since 2009
M'Boro
Swansea
Goals: Scored
24
22
Games: Scored
13 / 17
12 / 17
Clean sheets
5 / 17
4 / 17
MID
7
D
4
SWA
6
Goal Statistics

Middlesbrough's defensive record is to be admired, M. Carrick's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Championship outings. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Swansea City makes sense in this context.

M'Boro 9th Swansea 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that M'Boro will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Swansea will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-33
M'Boro have scored 33% fewer goals at home than predicted
+9
Swansea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Statistics Championship - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/260018/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
M'Boro
PG (predicted goals)
Swansea
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
4%
better
MID
SWA
view stats
Games scored34
34
Failed to score9
9
Scored first22
23
Goals scored61
53
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate15%
14%
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
4%
better
MID
SWA
view stats
Games conceded32
34
Clean sheets11
9
Conceded first20
19
Goals conceded56
62
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate15%
15%
KickOff rating
+4%

M'Boro v Swansea Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321258
S DiengE LathL AylingL Ayling
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dieng GLK32
2
-
L Ayling DEF175
8
-
J Howson DEF3522
8
-
M Clarke DEF213
2
-
L Thomas DEF9
-
D Barlaser MID292
2
-
L O'Brien MID211
1
-
I Jones MID3263
7
-
F Azaz MID1732
1
-
S Greenwood MID3653
7
-
E Lath FWD2712
5
-
Subs
T Glover GLK12
1
-
A Dijksteel DEF18
1
-
L Engel DEF3524
4
-
R Berg DEF311
2
-
L. McCabe MID1
-
H Hackney MID211
6
-
A Gilbert FWD91
-
S Silvera FWD3542
-
S Finch FWD1
-
Swansea Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
43859
C RushworthJ LoweJ TymonH Darling
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Rushworth GLK43
1
-
J Key DEF2621
1
-
H Darling DEF3632
9
-
N Wood DEF251
6
-
J Tymon DEF385
9
-
J Fulton MID411
6
-
M Grimes MID4335
5
-
Ronald MID152
-
J Paterson MID4165
6
-
J Lowe MID3283
6
-
J Yates FWD4071
2
-
Subs
A Fisher GLK
-
B Humphreys DEF231
2
-
B Cabango DEF321
8
-
A Abdulai MID5
-
C Patino MID3134
2
-
L Walsh  MID171
3
-
O Cooper MID3112
6
-
D. Govea Merlín FWD5
-
L Cullen FWD4274
8
-