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Stoke City v Birmingham City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Nov, 15:00 BST, bet365 Stadium, Stoke

Saturday afternoon sees Mark Robins’s Stoke City and Chris Davies’s Birmingham City go up against one another in a Championship clash at the bet365 Stadium. All the odds are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Championship match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during a standard 90 mins. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Stoke are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Stoke 38%	3.00	-
Draw 27%	3.25	-
Birmingham 35%	2.30	-
Draw 1-1 13%	6.50	-
Stoke 1-0 11%	9.50	-
Birmingham 1-0 10%	8.00	-
Draw 0-0 9%	9.50	-
Stoke 2-1 8%	11.00	-
Birmingham 2-1 8%	9.50	-
Stoke 2-0 7%	15.00	-
Birmingham 2-0 6%	11.00	-
Draw 2-2 5%	15.00	-
Stoke 3-1 3%	23.00	-
Birmingham 3-1 3%	19.00	-
Stoke 3-0 3%	34.00	-
Birmingham 3-0 2%	21.00	-
Stoke 3-2 2%	34.00	-
Birmingham 3-2 2%	29.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	2.00	-
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	1.80	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	2.10	-
Away 1st Goal 47%	1.83	-
No 1st Goal 5%	9.50	-
BTTS - Yes 50%	1.80	-
BTTS - No 50%	1.91	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	6.00	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.50	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	4.75	-
Home/draw 65%	1.57	-
Away/draw 62%	1.36	-
Home/away 73%	1.33	-
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	1.33	-
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	3.40	-
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	3.50	-
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	1.30	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	7.00	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1.10	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	15.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1.03	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1.06	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	9.50	-
Home DNB 57%	2.10	-
Away DNB 54%	1.67	-
Stoke win to nil 22%	5.00	-
Birmingham win to nil 20%	4.00	-
Stoke / Stoke 17%	5.00	-
Stoke / Birmingham 3%	26.00	-
Stoke / Draw 6%	15.00	-
Draw / Stoke 12%	7.00	-
Draw / Birmingham 15%	5.50	-
Draw / Draw 17%	5.00	-
Birmingham / Stoke 3%	29.00	-
Birmingham / Birmingham 22%	3.75	-
Birmingham / Draw 6%	13.00	-

Win / draw / win Championship table

Stoke have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Stoke have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 0 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn zero and won zero. Stoke have conceded 3 goals, scored 2, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Stoke have played 7 games at home, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Birmingham lay in 1st place on 29 points in the Championship league table having played 15 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 28 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Birmingham have conceded 14 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Birmingham have played 7 away games, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Stoke Birmingham
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	14	29	Nov 21	Feb 6	-	-
2	M'Boro	15	8	5	2	11	29	l 2-3A	Feb 16	d 2-2A	Feb 19
3	Stoke	15	9	2	4	6	29	-	-	Feb 6	Nov 21
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	8	28	Apr 17	l 4-1F	d 2-2A	Apr 10
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	8	28	Dec 12	Jan 1	Feb 26	w 0-1F
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	4	26	l 1-2F	Mar 6	w 2-1F	Jan 30
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	14	24	Mar 3	l 3-1A	d 1-1A	Apr 20
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	6	24	Dec 5	Mar 16	w 3-0F	Jan 16
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	14	23	Mar 13	Nov 28	Dec 19	Apr 3
10	Sheff Utd	15	6	4	5	2	22	w 2-1A	Feb 20	Mar 6	d 0-00-0
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	2	22	Jan 30	w 1-2A	Jan 1	Dec 12
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	8	21	w 1-0F	Apr 20	Apr 7	l 2-1A
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	-1	21	Jan 26	w 1-2F	Mar 20	Dec 26
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	0	18	Apr 6	d 1-1F	Dec 29	l 1-0A
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	-2	18	Dec 26	Mar 20	Apr 17	w 1-2F
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	-4	18	Nov 25	May 1	w 3-0F	Jan 26
17	Bristol C	15	5	3	7	-8	18	d 0-00-0	Dec 29	d 2-2A	Mar 2
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17	Feb 27	w 1-2F	Nov 28	Mar 13
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	-10	17	w 4-0F	Apr 10	Mar 17	Dec 5
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	-10	15	Feb 13	w 1-2F	Dec 8	Apr 24
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	-11	15	Apr 24	Dec 9	Jan 23	w 1-3F
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	-9	10	Apr 3	Dec 19	May 1	Nov 25
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10	Jan 16	w 0-1F	Feb 12	w 1-2A
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	-17	8	w 2-0F	Jan 22	w 4-0F	Feb 16

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stoke	2 - 0	Preston
Stoke	0 - 0	Bristol C
Stoke	2 - 3	M'Boro
Stoke	2 - 1	Sheff Utd
Stoke	4 - 0	Charlton
Stoke	1 - 0	Norwich
Stoke	1 - 2	Swansea
Stoke	1 - 3	Portsmouth
Stoke	1 - 3	Millwall
Stoke	1 - 1	Blackburn
Stoke	2 - 0	Sheff Wed
Stoke	3 - 1	Watford
Stoke	3 - 3	Ipswich
Stoke	2 - 1	Oxford Utd
Stoke	2 - 2	Leicester
Stoke	0 - 2	Southampton
Stoke	1 - 2	M'Boro
Stoke	0 - 0	QPR
Stoke	1 - 2	Sheff Utd
Stoke	0 - 0	Preston

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Stoke	2 - 1	Portsmouth
A	Stoke	2 - 1	Blackburn
H	Stoke	2 - 0	Preston
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Bristol C
A	Stoke	1 - 0	Derby
H	Stoke	2 - 3	M'Boro
A	Stoke	2 - 1	Bolton
H	Stoke	2 - 1	Sheff Utd
A	Stoke	2 - 1	Watford
A	Stoke	1 - 1	Cardiff
H	Stoke	4 - 0	Charlton
H	Stoke	1 - 0	Norwich
A	Stoke	1 - 4	Wolves
A	Stoke	1 - 3	Southampton
H	Stoke	1 - 2	Swansea
A	Stoke	0 - 2	Bristol C
H	Stoke	1 - 3	Portsmouth
H	Stoke	1 - 3	Millwall
A	Stoke	0 - 2	Wrexham
H	Stoke	1 - 1	Blackburn

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lincoln	1 - 3	Birmingham
Cardiff	1 - 0	Birmingham
West Brom	0 - 1	Birmingham
Derby	1 - 2	Birmingham
Norwich	2 - 1	Birmingham
Wrexham	1 - 2	Birmingham
Sheff Utd	0 - 0	Birmingham
Portsmouth	1 - 1	Birmingham
Hull	1 - 1	Birmingham
Ipswich	2 - 1	Birmingham
Derby	1 - 0	Birmingham
Charlton	1 - 0	Birmingham
Millwall	3 - 0	Birmingham
Norwich	1 - 2	Birmingham
Oxford Utd	0 - 2	Birmingham
Sheff Wed	0 - 2	Birmingham
Swansea	1 - 1	Birmingham
Watford	3 - 0	Birmingham
Sheff Utd	3 - 0	Birmingham
QPR	2 - 1	Birmingham

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Birmingham	2 - 1	Swansea
H	Birmingham	3 - 0	Millwall
A	Birmingham	3 - 1	Lincoln
A	Birmingham	0 - 1	Cardiff
H	Birmingham	3 - 0	QPR
H	Birmingham	4 - 0	Preston
A	Birmingham	1 - 0	West Brom
H	Birmingham	2 - 2	M'Boro
A	Birmingham	2 - 1	Derby
A	Birmingham	1 - 2	Norwich
H	Birmingham	2 - 2	Wolves
H	Birmingham	1 - 1	Southampton
A	Birmingham	2 - 1	Wrexham
H	Birmingham	2 - 2	Bristol C
A	Birmingham	0 - 0	Sheff Utd
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	Portsmouth
H	Birmingham	2 - 1	Bristol C
H	Birmingham	2 - 1	Preston
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	Hull
H	Birmingham	2 - 0	Wrexham

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Stoke

Birmingham

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 11

8 / 11

Clean sheets

3 / 11

4 / 11

STK

BIR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Stoke	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Birmingham
	1 - 2	Birmingham
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Stoke	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Birmingham
Stoke	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Birmingham
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 7	Birmingham

Birmingham

Stoke

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 11

3 / 11

Clean sheets

8 / 11

3 / 11

STK

BIR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Birmingham
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 3	Stoke
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Birmingham	2 - 0
Birmingham	2 - 1
Birmingham	2 - 0
Birmingham	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Birmingham	1 - 0
Birmingham	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

Birmingham City's defensive record is to be admired, C. Davies's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Championship games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Stoke City makes sense in this context.

	Stoke 3rd	Birmingham 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 9% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Stoke will score no more than 1 goal	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Birmingham will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-2 Stoke’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-15 Birmingham have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season

better

STK

BIR

view stats

Games scored	13		12
Failed to score	1		2
Scored first	10		6
Goals scored	22		26
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.7
Avg. shots per game	8		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	17		19
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.8
KickOff rating		+6%

STK

BIR

better

view stats

Games conceded	9		9
Clean sheets	5		5
Conceded first	3		7
Goals conceded	17		13
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		9
Conversion rate against	13%		11%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.4
KickOff rating		+1%

Stoke v Birmingham Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	5	5	6
V Johansson	J McGlynn	E Galbraith	E Galbraith

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Johansson GLK	15			1 -
B Wilmot DEF	15	3		1 -
D. Soumaré MID	15			3 -
B Johnson DEF	14	1		-
E Galbraith MID	14	3	5	6 -
G Hirst FWD	14	1	1	1 -
L. Graham DEF	13	1		3 -
R Bozenik FWD	12	1	1	2 -
E Bocat DEF	11	2	2	1 -
L. Bombino DEF	11		1	1 -
J Devenny MID	11	2		1 -
J McGlynn MID	11	5	2	1 -
M Taloverov DEF	10			2 1
M Lawal DEF	10			2 -
J Tchamadeu DEF	8		1	2 -
L Cissé FWD	8	1	1	-
J. Bae MID	7			1 -
M Manhoef FWD	7			-
S Gallagher FWD	6	2	1	2 -
S Ingelsson MID	4			1 1
T Rigo MID	4		1	-
B Pearson MID	3			-
B Gibson DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	8	5	3
J McGlynn	E Galbraith	E Galbraith	B Johnson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J McGlynn MID	5	8	2
B Wilmot DEF	3	4		1
E Galbraith MID	3	8	5	2
E Bocat DEF	2	3	2	2
J Devenny MID	2	5		2
S Gallagher FWD	2	4	1	1
B Johnson DEF	1	5		3
G Hirst FWD	1	3	1
L. Graham DEF	1	1
R Bozenik FWD	1	3	1	2
L Cissé FWD	1	2	1	1
D. Soumaré MID		1
L. Bombino DEF		2	1
M Taloverov DEF		1
M Lawal DEF				1
J Tchamadeu DEF			1
J. Bae MID				1
M Manhoef FWD		3
T Rigo MID			1
B Pearson MID				1
B Gibson DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
672	30	84
B Wilmot	L. Bombino	L. Graham

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Wilmot DEF	672	17	54
E Galbraith MID	670	18	64
L. Graham DEF	628	25	84
D. Soumaré MID	514	27	64
V Johansson GLK	465		7
B Johnson DEF	391	23	68
J McGlynn MID	382	11	26
E Bocat DEF	292	14	39
M Lawal DEF	255	9	31
M Taloverov DEF	237	5	24
J Devenny MID	198	10	30
L. Bombino DEF	132	30	51
R Bozenik FWD	82	6	27
G Hirst FWD	79	4	27
J. Bae MID	78	5	19
M Manhoef FWD	72	5	14
J Tchamadeu DEF	70	5	14
L Cissé FWD	66	4	37
B Gibson DEF	48	1	4
S Gallagher FWD	40	8	27
S Ingelsson MID	34	3	7
B Pearson MID	23	2	3
T Rigo MID	22	1	5

Birmingham Championship squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	6	3	4
C Klarer	A. Priske	P Roberts	C Klarer

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Klarer DEF	15		1	4 -
P Neumann DEF	15	2		3 -
A Cochrane DEF	15	2	2	4 -
T Iwata MID	15		2	-
J Stansfield FWD	15	4	1	2 -
B Osayi-Samuel DEF	14			4 -
C Vicente FWD	14	2		3 -
J Beadle GLK	13			-
J Solís MID	13		2	3 -
D Gray FWD	12	3		-
P Roberts FWD	12		3	1 -
L Vázquez FWD	12		1	2 -
E Laird DEF	11			2 -
A. Priske FWD	11	6	1	1 -
L Millar FWD	11	4	3	2 -
S Paik MID	9	1		-
M Ducksch FWD	9			-
M Bird MID	8	1	3	-
R Allsop GLK	3		1	-
T Gardner-Hickman MID	3			-
K Lund DEF	2			-
D Fry DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	20	3	9
A. Priske	J Stansfield	P Roberts	A Cochrane

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A. Priske FWD	6	13	1	1
J Stansfield FWD	4	20	1	2
L Millar FWD	4	10	3	6
D Gray FWD	3	5		1
P Neumann DEF	2	4		1
A Cochrane DEF	2	3	2	9
C Vicente FWD	2	5		2
S Paik MID	1	1		1
M Bird MID	1	6	3	2
C Klarer DEF		1	1	2
T Iwata MID		1	2	3
B Osayi-Samuel DEF				1
J Solís MID		3	2	1
P Roberts FWD		2	3	2
L Vázquez FWD		1	1
E Laird DEF		1		2
M Ducksch FWD		2
R Allsop GLK			1
T Gardner-Hickman MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
782	26	140
C Klarer	B Osayi-Samuel	C Klarer

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Klarer DEF	782	23	140
T Iwata MID	718	16	38
A Cochrane DEF	573	18	49
P Neumann DEF	570	25	98
J Solís MID	501	17	58
B Osayi-Samuel DEF	478	26	65
J Beadle GLK	426	2	15
L Millar FWD	288	15	49
J Stansfield FWD	284	22	46
C Vicente FWD	254	17	44
P Roberts FWD	241	13	31
S Paik MID	163	8	14
A. Priske FWD	131		47
E Laird DEF	121	7	24
M Bird MID	118	4	12
D Gray FWD	113	4	18
R Allsop GLK	92		1
L Vázquez FWD	52	2	17
M Ducksch FWD	36	1	4
T Gardner-Hickman MID	26		3
K Lund DEF	19	1	1
D Fry DEF	1		1

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Stoke City v Birmingham City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stoke have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Stoke have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 0 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Birmingham lay in 1st place on 29 points in the Championship league table having played 15 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Stoke v Birmingham Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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