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Middlesbrough v Bristol City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 12:30 BST, Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

Rob Edwards's Middlesbrough side will have home backing in the Championship on Saturday lunch time, as Gerhard Struber's Bristol City visit the Riverside Stadium. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 75% chance of M'Boro and Bristol C no more than 3 goals combined during this Championship match according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think M'Boro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
M'Boro
55%
1.551.60
Draw
24%
3.904.20
Bristol C
20%
5.505.25
M'Boro 1-0
13%
8.007.50
Draw 1-1
12%
7.507.00
7%
M'Boro 2-0
11%
8.007.50
6%
M'Boro 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Draw 0-0
8%
13.0011.00
8%
Bristol C 1-0
7%
17.0013.00
M'Boro 3-0
6%
12.0010.00
M'Boro 3-1
5%
12.0010.00
Bristol C 2-1
5%
17.0013.00
Draw 2-2
4%
15.0012.00
Bristol C 2-0
3%
29.0021.00
M'Boro 4-0
2%
21.0017.00
M'Boro 3-2
2%
23.0017.00
M'Boro 4-1
2%
21.0017.00
Bristol C 3-1
2%
41.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
1.731.65
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
2.102.15
2%
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.501.48
Away 1st Goal
40%
2.752.90
1%
No 1st Goal
5%
13.0011.00
8%
BTTS - Yes
48%
1.731.75
3%
BTTS - No
52%
2.002.00
2%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3.203.10
3%
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.005.00
4%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
10.008.00
Home/draw
80%
1.141.15
Away/draw
45%
2.382.30
Home/away
76%
1.251.22
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.221.20
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
4.334.20
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
2.752.60
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.441.44
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
5.004.60
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.171.17
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10.008.50
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.061.06
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.041.02
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
13.0012.00
Home DNB
73%
1.201.22
Away DNB
37%
4.333.80
M'Boro win to nil
33%
2.75-
Bristol C win to nil
11%
11.00-
M'Boro / M'Boro
35%
2.382.30
M'Boro / Bristol C
3%
34.0029.00
M'Boro / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / M'Boro
18%
4.504.60
Draw / Bristol C
7%
11.0011.00
10%
Draw / Draw
13%
6.506.00
Bristol C / M'Boro
4%
21.0017.00
Bristol C / Bristol C
10%
9.507.50
Bristol C / Draw
5%
17.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Championship table

M'Boro have played 36 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 34 games against teams below in the table, having won 20, drawn 9 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 8 fixtures. M'Boro have outscored their opponents by 58 goals to 48 goals.

Home League Performance

M'Boro have played 17 games at home winning 10, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 26 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Bristol C are in 10th position in the Championship on 50 points having played 36 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 20 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 4 and won 4. Bristol C have conceded 27 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
M'Boro
Bristol C
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3622863674 
l
 
2-4A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
2
M'Boro3620972369 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Mar 14
3
Millwall361989965 
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
4
Ipswich35181072664 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
5
Hull3618612560 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-4F
w
 
4-2A
w
 
2-3A
6
Wrexham3515128957 
d
 
1-1A
May 2
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
7
Derby3615912754 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-5A
d
 
1-1F
8
Southampton351411101153 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1A
Apr 21
9
Watford35131210451 
Apr 25
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
10
Bristol C3614814250 
Mar 14
l
 
2-0A
-
-
11
Sheff Utd3615417249 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
Apr 6
w
 
1-4F
12
Birmingham36131013-149 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
13
Swansea3614715-149 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 6
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
14
Preston36121311-149 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
15
Stoke3613815347 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
May 2
l
 
5-1A
16
QPR3613815-1247 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-4F
l
 
1-2F
Apr 11
17
Norwich3513616345 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
Apr 18
w
 
0-1F
18
Charlton36111114-1044 
Mar 11
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 3
19
Portsmouth35101015-1040 
Apr 11
l
 
1-0A
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
20
Blackburn3610917-1339 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 21
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
21
West Brom369918-1836 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
2-3F
Mar 21
w
 
1-2F
22
Leicester36101115-935 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
Mar 10
23
Oxford Utd3681117-1435 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-3A
d
 
0-00-0
24
Sheff Wed361827-51-7 
Apr 21
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
M'Boro 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
M'Boro1 - 1Leicester
M'Boro0 - 0Oxford Utd
M'Boro1 - 0Norwich
M'Boro4 - 0Preston
M'Boro4 - 0Southampton
M'Boro0 - 1Hull
M'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
M'Boro3 - 1QPR
M'Boro2 - 1Derby
M'Boro2 - 4Coventry
M'Boro2 - 1Birmingham
M'Boro1 - 1Wrexham
M'Boro2 - 1Ipswich
M'Boro0 - 0Stoke
M'Boro2 - 1West Brom
M'Boro1 - 0Sheff Utd
M'Boro1 - 0Swansea
M'Boro0 - 0Norwich
M'Boro2 - 1Plymouth
M'Boro0 - 1Leeds
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AM'Boro4 - 0QPR
AM'Boro3 - 1Birmingham
HM'Boro1 - 1Leicester
HM'Boro0 - 0Oxford Utd
AM'Boro1 - 3Coventry
AM'Boro2 - 1Sheff Utd
HM'Boro1 - 0Norwich
HM'Boro4 - 0Preston
AM'Boro2 - 1Stoke
AM'Boro3 - 2West Brom
HM'Boro4 - 0Southampton
AM'Boro0 - 1Derby
HM'Boro0 - 1Hull
HM'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
AM'Boro0 - 2Bristol C
HM'Boro3 - 1QPR
AM'Boro2 - 1Charlton
AM'Boro4 - 1Hull
HM'Boro2 - 1Derby
HM'Boro2 - 4Coventry
Bristol C 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Blackburn1 - 2Bristol C
Swansea1 - 0Bristol C
Hull2 - 3Bristol C
Ipswich2 - 0Bristol C
Oxford Utd0 - 0Bristol C
Millwall2 - 1Bristol C
West Brom1 - 2Bristol C
Coventry1 - 0Bristol C
Portsmouth0 - 1Bristol C
Wrexham2 - 0Bristol C
Watford1 - 1Bristol C
Stoke5 - 1Bristol C
Norwich0 - 1Bristol C
Preston0 - 0Bristol C
Sheff Wed0 - 3Bristol C
Derby1 - 1Bristol C
Sheff Utd1 - 4Bristol C
Sheff Utd3 - 0Bristol C
Leeds4 - 0Bristol C
Luton3 - 1Bristol C
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBristol C0 - 2Coventry
HBristol C1 - 2Watford
ABristol C2 - 1Blackburn
ABristol C0 - 1Swansea
HBristol C2 - 2Wrexham
ABristol C3 - 2Hull
HBristol C0 - 5Derby
HBristol C2 - 0Sheff Wed
ABristol C0 - 2Ipswich
ABristol C0 - 0Oxford Utd
HBristol C0 - 2Preston
HBristol C5 - 0Portsmouth
ABristol C1 - 2Millwall
ABristol C2 - 1West Brom
HBristol C2 - 0M'Boro
ABristol C0 - 1Coventry
HBristol C2 - 2Leicester
HBristol C0 - 1Millwall
ABristol C1 - 0Portsmouth
ABristol C0 - 2Wrexham
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Bristol C have beaten M'Boro in 5 consecutive league meetings
8
Bristol C have not lost to M'Boro in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at M'Boro since 1993
M'Boro
Bristol C
Goals: Scored
14
22
Games: Scored
10 / 15
13 / 15
Clean sheets
2 / 15
5 / 15
MID
3
D
3
BCY
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
0 - 2Bristol C
1 - 2Bristol C
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro2 - 1
1 - 3Bristol C
1 - 3Bristol C
0 - 1Bristol C
M'Boro2 - 1
0 - 1Bristol C
1 - 3Bristol C
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Bristol C
Draw0 - 0Draw
M'Boro3 - 0
0 - 1Bristol C
League games at Bristol C since 1993
Bristol C
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
20
19
Games: Scored
10 / 16
12 / 16
Clean sheets
4 / 16
6 / 16
MID
5
D
3
BCY
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bristol C
Bristol C2 - 0
Bristol C2 - 1
Bristol C3 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
Bristol C2 - 1
0 - 1M'Boro
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2M'Boro
Bristol C2 - 1
Bristol C1 - 0
Bristol C2 - 0
0 - 1M'Boro
0 - 4M'Boro
Bristol C2 - 1
0 - 1M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Middlesbrough's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday lunch time, not least because Bristol City have conceded in each of their last 7 Championship outings. A PG of 1.6 for R. Edwards's side suggests that run should continue.

M'Boro 2nd Bristol C 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 81% probability that M'Boro will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Bristol C scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
M'Boro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-9
Bristol C’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
M'Boro
PG (predicted goals)
Bristol C
1.6
0.9
Attack rating
16%
better
MID
BCY
view stats
Games scored27
24
Failed to score8
12
Scored first17
13
Goals scored54
48
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
10%
better
MID
BCY
view stats
Games conceded25
25
Clean sheets10
11
Conceded first15
20
Goals conceded35
46
Avg. goals conceded1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
15%
Avg. XG against1
1.4
KickOff rating
+10%

M'Boro v Bristol C Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
361168
S BrynnM WhittakerH HackneyL Ayling
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Brynn GLK361
1
-
H Hackney MID3656
4
-
T Conway FWD3684
4
-
M Whittaker FWD35116
3
-
M Targett DEF3343
4
-
L Ayling DEF3315
8
-
C Brittain DEF314
5
-
A Browne MID3041
1
-
A Morris MID303
3
-
D Burgzorg FWD2522
1
-
K Sène FWD232
2
-
A Jones DEF2211
3
1
D Strelec FWD225
1
-
D Fry DEF212
-
S Nypan MID20
2
-
S Silvera FWD1921
3
-
R McGree MID1853
1
-
A Gilbert MID1611
5
-
S Hansen FWD131
1
-
A Bangura DEF81
-
G Edmundson DEF6
1
-
A. Raslan Kanté MID4
-
M. Hamilton FWD4
-
D Lenihan DEF2
1
-
Bristol C Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
351066
A RandellS TwineS TwineN Borges
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Randell MID3622
4
1
S Twine MID35106
3
-
E Riis FWD3593
1
-
S Armstrong FWD354
5
-
R Vítek GLK31
2
-
G Tanner DEF31
1
-
R McCrorie DEF3036
4
-
R Dickie DEF301
3
-
N Borges DEF294
6
-
M Sykes MID2931
1
-
A Mehmeti MID2886
6
-
Z Vyner DEF27
4
-
R Atkinson DEF2531
1
-
J Knight MID242
3
-
Y Hirakawa FWD2412
2
-
C Pring DEF16
5
-
H Roberts DEF12
1
-
F Mayulu FWD10
-
M Bird MID92
1
-
M O'Leary GLK5
-
J Williams MID2
-
H Cornick FWD1
-