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Burnley v Birmingham City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 25th Nov, 19:45 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

Burnley and their manager Fabio Celestini will be hoping for victory against Chris Davies and his Birmingham City side on Wednesday evening, as the pair clash at the Turf Moor in the Championship. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Championship matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Burnley 29%	-	-
Draw 27%	-	-
Birmingham 44%	-	-
Draw 1-1 13%	-	-
Birmingham 1-0 12%	-	-
Burnley 1-0 10%	-	-
Draw 0-0 9%	-	-
Birmingham 2-1 9%	-	-
Birmingham 2-0 8%	-	-
Burnley 2-1 7%	-	-
Burnley 2-0 5%	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	-	-
Birmingham 3-1 4%	-	-
Birmingham 3-0 4%	-	-
Burnley 3-1 2%	-	-
Birmingham 3-2 2%	-	-
Burnley 3-0 2%	-	-
Burnley 3-2 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 44%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 50%	-	-
No 1st Goal 6%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 48%	-	-
BTTS - No 52%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 12%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 18%	-	-
Home/draw 56%	-	-
Away/draw 71%	-	-
Home/away 73%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	-	-
Home DNB 48%	-	-
Away DNB 63%	-	-
Burnley win to nil 17%	-	-
Birmingham win to nil 26%	-	-

Win / draw / win Championship table

Burnley have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 22nd position in the league. Burnley are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 1 of those game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 6 and won 1. Burnley have conceded 30 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 1 match and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Burnley have played 7 games at home, winning 0, drawing 5 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Birmingham lay in 1st place on 29 points in the Championship league table having played 15 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 28 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Birmingham have conceded 14 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Birmingham have played 7 away games, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Burnley Birmingham
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	14	29	Nov 25	May 1	-	-
2	M'Boro	15	8	5	2	11	29	d 1-1A	Apr 20	d 2-2A	Feb 19
3	Stoke	15	9	2	4	6	29	Dec 19	Apr 3	Feb 6	Nov 21
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	8	28	l 1-2F	Jan 16	d 2-2A	Apr 10
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	8	28	Mar 2	l 3-1F	Feb 26	w 0-1F
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	4	26	Feb 13	l 3-1A	w 2-1F	Jan 30
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	14	24	Apr 24	Dec 9	d 1-1A	Apr 20
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	6	24	Jan 26	d 1-1F	w 3-0F	Jan 16
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	14	23	d 2-2A	Mar 6	Dec 19	Apr 3
10	Sheff Utd	15	6	4	5	2	22	Jan 1	Dec 12	Mar 6	d 0-00-0
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	2	22	d 0-00-0	Jan 23	Jan 1	Dec 12
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	8	21	Apr 17	l 4-1A	Apr 7	l 2-1A
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	-1	21	Nov 22	Feb 7	Mar 20	Dec 26
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	0	18	Jan 30	l 5-4F	Dec 29	l 1-0A
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	-2	18	Apr 6	d 1-1F	Apr 17	w 1-2F
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	-4	18	Mar 13	Nov 28	w 3-0F	Jan 26
17	Bristol C	15	5	3	7	-8	18	l 1-2F	Apr 10	d 2-2A	Mar 2
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17	Mar 20	Dec 26	Nov 28	Mar 13
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	-10	17	d 2-2F	Feb 16	Mar 17	Dec 5
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	-10	15	Feb 27	w 0-4F	Dec 8	Apr 24
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	-11	15	Dec 29	l 4-1F	Jan 23	w 1-3F
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	-9	10	-	-	May 1	Nov 25
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10	d 1-1F	Feb 20	Feb 12	w 1-2A
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	-17	8	Dec 6	Mar 16	w 4-0F	Feb 16

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley	0 - 0	Portsmouth
Burnley	1 - 2	Wolves
Burnley	2 - 2	Charlton
Burnley	1 - 1	Derby
Burnley	1 - 2	Bristol C
Burnley	1 - 1	M'Boro
Burnley	2 - 2	West Ham
Burnley	1 - 1	Wolves
Burnley	2 - 2	A Villa
Burnley	0 - 1	Man City
Burnley	0 - 2	Brighton
Burnley	0 - 0	Bournemouth
Burnley	3 - 4	Brentford
Burnley	0 - 2	West Ham
Burnley	2 - 2	Spurs
Burnley	2 - 2	Man Utd
Burnley	1 - 3	Newcastle
Burnley	0 - 0	Everton
Burnley	2 - 3	Fulham
Burnley	0 - 1	C Palace

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Burnley	4 - 5	Cardiff
A	Burnley	1 - 1	QPR
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Portsmouth
A	Burnley	1 - 4	Lincoln
H	Burnley	1 - 2	Wolves
H	Burnley	2 - 2	Charlton
A	Burnley	4 - 0	Watford
H	Burnley	1 - 1	Derby
A	Burnley	1 - 3	Swansea
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Wrexham
H	Burnley	1 - 2	Bristol C
H	Burnley	1 - 1	M'Boro
A	Burnley	1 - 4	Norwich
A	Burnley	1 - 3	West Brom
H	Burnley	2 - 2	West Ham
H	Burnley	1 - 1	Wolves
A	Burnley	0 - 1	Arsenal
H	Burnley	2 - 2	A Villa
A	Burnley	1 - 3	Leeds
H	Burnley	0 - 1	Man City

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lincoln	1 - 3	Birmingham
Cardiff	1 - 0	Birmingham
West Brom	0 - 1	Birmingham
Derby	1 - 2	Birmingham
Norwich	2 - 1	Birmingham
Wrexham	1 - 2	Birmingham
Sheff Utd	0 - 0	Birmingham
Portsmouth	1 - 1	Birmingham
Hull	1 - 1	Birmingham
Ipswich	2 - 1	Birmingham
Derby	1 - 0	Birmingham
Charlton	1 - 0	Birmingham
Millwall	3 - 0	Birmingham
Norwich	1 - 2	Birmingham
Oxford Utd	0 - 2	Birmingham
Sheff Wed	0 - 2	Birmingham
Swansea	1 - 1	Birmingham
Watford	3 - 0	Birmingham
Sheff Utd	3 - 0	Birmingham
QPR	2 - 1	Birmingham

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Birmingham	2 - 1	Swansea
H	Birmingham	3 - 0	Millwall
A	Birmingham	3 - 1	Lincoln
A	Birmingham	0 - 1	Cardiff
H	Birmingham	3 - 0	QPR
H	Birmingham	4 - 0	Preston
A	Birmingham	1 - 0	West Brom
H	Birmingham	2 - 2	M'Boro
A	Birmingham	2 - 1	Derby
A	Birmingham	1 - 2	Norwich
H	Birmingham	2 - 2	Wolves
H	Birmingham	1 - 1	Southampton
A	Birmingham	2 - 1	Wrexham
H	Birmingham	2 - 2	Bristol C
A	Birmingham	0 - 0	Sheff Utd
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	Portsmouth
H	Birmingham	2 - 1	Bristol C
H	Birmingham	2 - 1	Preston
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	Hull
H	Birmingham	2 - 0	Wrexham

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Burnley

Birmingham

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 10

7 / 10

Clean sheets

3 / 10

2 / 10

BRN

BIR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Burnley	3 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Burnley	3 - 0
	1 - 2	Birmingham
	1 - 3	Birmingham
Burnley	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Birmingham
	0 - 1	Birmingham
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Birmingham

Burnley

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 10

10 / 10

Clean sheets

0 / 10

1 / 10

BRN

BIR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Birmingham
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Burnley
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Birmingham	2 - 1
Birmingham	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Burnley
	2 - 3	Burnley
Birmingham	3 - 2

Goal Statistics

Birmingham City's defensive record is very strong, C. Davies's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Championship games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Burnley makes sense in this context.

	Burnley 22nd	Birmingham 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Birmingham will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-18 Burnley have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted	-15 Birmingham have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.7 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season

better

BRN

BIR

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

BRN

BIR

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Burnley v Birmingham Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
13	4	5	6
J Laurent	L Ramazani	L Pires	J Laurent

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Laurent MID	14	1	1	5 1
K Walker DEF	13			3 -
L Pires DEF	12		5	2 -
M. Alleyne DEF	12		1	1 -
L Ramazani FWD	12	4	1	1 -
O Sonne DEF	11			2 -
R Hatate MID	11	1	2	2 -
M Edwards FWD	11	2		1 -
Igor DEF	10		2	2 -
U Raghouber MID	10	1		2 -
A Ramsey MID	10	1		1 -
A Hountondji FWD	10	2		-
Z Amdouni FWD	10	3	1	-
H Ekdal DEF	9			1 -
J Larsen FWD	9	2	3	-
A Broja FWD	9			1 -
G Coudert GLK	8			1 -
C Roberts DEF	8			-
M Weiß GLK	7			-
J Vardy FWD	7	1	1	-
A Ahmedhodzic DEF	6			1 -
D. Satpaev FWD	6			-
H Mejbri MID	5			1 -
J Cullen MID	3			-
J Banel FWD	3		1	-
B Humphreys DEF	2			-
M Trésor MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	9	5	5
L Ramazani	L Ramazani	L Pires	L Ramazani

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Ramazani FWD	4	9	1	5
Z Amdouni FWD	3	8	1
M Edwards FWD	2	5		3
A Hountondji FWD	2	6
J Larsen FWD	2	5	3	5
J Laurent MID	1	4	1
R Hatate MID	1	1	2
U Raghouber MID	1	2
A Ramsey MID	1	6
J Vardy FWD	1	3	1
K Walker DEF		1
L Pires DEF		1	5	3
M. Alleyne DEF		1	1
O Sonne DEF		1
Igor DEF		1	2	1
A Broja FWD		2		1
D. Satpaev FWD		4		2
J Banel FWD			1
M Trésor MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
690	30	56
K Walker	L Pires	L Pires

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Walker DEF	690	24	50
M. Alleyne DEF	636	12	34
Igor DEF	555	11	29
J Laurent MID	482	21	52
H Ekdal DEF	346	12	34
A Ahmedhodzic DEF	327	8	23
R Hatate MID	312	17	28
L Pires DEF	305	30	56
C Roberts DEF	302	7	18
L Ramazani FWD	272	15	45
M Weiß GLK	254	2	6
G Coudert GLK	232	1	4
O Sonne DEF	230	7	18
U Raghouber MID	225	8	32
J Larsen FWD	212	3	14
A Ramsey MID	204	11	24
M Edwards FWD	179	6	21
H Mejbri MID	111	4	12
Z Amdouni FWD	98	5	22
D. Satpaev FWD	96	4	15
B Humphreys DEF	80	2	7
A Hountondji FWD	77	5	12
A Broja FWD	46	3	17
J Vardy FWD	37	2	5
J Cullen MID	35	1	6
M Trésor MID	14	1	1
J Banel FWD	12		3

Birmingham Championship squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	6	3	4
P Neumann	A. Priske	P Roberts	A Cochrane

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
P Neumann DEF	15	2		3 -
A Cochrane DEF	15	2	2	4 -
C Klarer DEF	15		1	4 -
T Iwata MID	15		2	-
J Stansfield FWD	15	4	1	2 -
B Osayi-Samuel DEF	14			4 -
C Vicente FWD	14	2		3 -
J Beadle GLK	13			-
J Solís MID	13		2	3 -
L Vázquez FWD	12		1	2 -
D Gray FWD	12	3		-
P Roberts FWD	12		3	1 -
E Laird DEF	11			2 -
A. Priske FWD	11	6	1	1 -
L Millar FWD	11	4	3	2 -
S Paik MID	9	1		-
M Ducksch FWD	9			-
M Bird MID	8	1	3	-
R Allsop GLK	3		1	-
T Gardner-Hickman MID	3			-
K Lund DEF	2			-
D Fry DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	20	3	9
A. Priske	J Stansfield	P Roberts	A Cochrane

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A. Priske FWD	6	13	1	1
J Stansfield FWD	4	20	1	2
L Millar FWD	4	10	3	6
D Gray FWD	3	5		1
P Neumann DEF	2	4		1
A Cochrane DEF	2	3	2	9
C Vicente FWD	2	5		2
S Paik MID	1	1		1
M Bird MID	1	6	3	2
C Klarer DEF		1	1	2
T Iwata MID		1	2	3
B Osayi-Samuel DEF				1
J Solís MID		3	2	1
L Vázquez FWD		1	1
P Roberts FWD		2	3	2
E Laird DEF		1		2
M Ducksch FWD		2
R Allsop GLK			1
T Gardner-Hickman MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
782	26	140
C Klarer	B Osayi-Samuel	C Klarer

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Klarer DEF	782	23	140
T Iwata MID	718	16	39
A Cochrane DEF	573	18	49
P Neumann DEF	569	25	98
J Solís MID	501	17	60
B Osayi-Samuel DEF	478	26	65
J Beadle GLK	426	2	15
L Millar FWD	288	15	48
J Stansfield FWD	284	22	46
C Vicente FWD	254	17	44
P Roberts FWD	241	13	31
S Paik MID	163	8	14
A. Priske FWD	131		47
E Laird DEF	121	7	25
M Bird MID	118	4	12
D Gray FWD	113	4	18
R Allsop GLK	92		1
L Vázquez FWD	52	2	17
M Ducksch FWD	36	1	4
T Gardner-Hickman MID	26		3
K Lund DEF	19	1	1
D Fry DEF	1		1