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Guaraní v Nacional Asunción : Division 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Rogelio Lorenzo Livieres, Asunción

The Division 1 is the focus for both Guaraní and Nacional Asunción on Saturday night, as managers Francisco Javier Arce Rolón and Pedro Alcídes Sarabia Achucarro face one another at the Estadio Rogelio Lorenzo Livieres. Team form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all laid out below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. We're tipping under 2.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

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Guaraní's next match is v C. Porteno at 21:00 on Saturday 10th May
Nacional Asunción's next match is v Atletico Tembetary at 23:30 on Friday 9th May
The last Paraguayan Division 1 meeting between Guarani and Nacional was on Saturday 26th April 2025
Paraguayan Division 1
April 26th 2025
Guarani 2
1 Nacional
 
A. Cantero Fernandez 40'67' R. Prieto
F. Fernández Acosta 75'
 
GUA
NAC
Shots On
2
5
Shots Off
3
13
Corners
1
8
Possession
34%
66%
Fouls
10
15
Yellow/red cards
2/0
4/0
 
GuaraniNacional
 
M. Rodríguez Prantl
A. Benítez Cabrera (J. Patiño Martínez 68')
J. Pérez Centurión (V. Céspedes 90')
G. Vargas Areco
A. Cantero Fernandezfootball icon
M. López Quintana
A. Manzur (A. Maiz Gill 60')
L. Martinez Soto
A. Maidana Mendieta (D. Fernández Servín 60')
R. Torales Peralta (W. Mendieta Pintos 61')
F. Fernández Acostafootball icon
S. Rojas López
(J. González Arza 80') J. Cáceres Ovelar
G. Benítez Ibarra
(A. Cañete Torres 46') C. Núñez Aquino
(F. Jara Ledesma 90') R. Ramírez
(C. Colmán 60') C. Arrua
J. Alfaro
J. Alfaro
(O. Gaona Lugo 80') G. Caballero
T. Caballero Fleytas
football iconR. Prieto

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Francisco Javier Arce Rolón and Pedro Alcídes Sarabia Achucarro to park the bus here, but we certainly don't expect to see a deluge of goals as Guarani and Nacional go head-to-head. The statistics belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.50 available on under 2.5 goals and neither side looking like strong favourites to win, that's the bet we recommend.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Guarani are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Guarani
36%
9/5
27%
-
Draw
30%
19/10
9%
-
Nacional
34%
31/20
15%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
-
Guarani 1-0
13%
6/1
17%
-
Nacional 1-0
12%
11/2
13%
-
Draw 0-0
12%
11/2
7%
-
Guarani 2-1
7%
11/1
20%
-
Nacional 2-1
7%
10/1
8%
-
Guarani 2-0
7%
12/1
37%
-
Nacional 2-0
7%
10/1
27%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
10%
-
Guarani 3-1
3%
28/1
38%
-
Guarani 3-0
3%
28/1
38%
-
Nacional 3-1
3%
25/1
24%
-
Nacional 3-0
2%
25/1
24%
-
Guarani 3-2
1%
40/1-
Nacional 3-2
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
6/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
1/2-
Home 1st Goal
46%
5/4
25%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
10/11
24%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
11/2
7%
-
BTTS - Yes
43%
11/10
5%
-
BTTS - No
57%
4/6
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
6/1
17%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
11/2
19%
-
Home/draw
66%
1/2
13%
-
Away/draw
64%
2/5
11%
-
Home/away
70%
2/5
5%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
37%
6/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
25/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/100-
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/10-
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
6/1-
Home DNB
57%
10/11
18%
-
Away DNB
55%
4/5
18%
-
Guarani win to nil
23%
10/3
27%
-
Nacional win to nil
22%
11/4
17%
-
Guarani / Guarani
18%
15/4
27%
-
Guarani / Nacional
2%
33/1-
Guarani / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Guarani
14%
5/1
20%
-
Draw / Nacional
14%
5/1
14%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Nacional / Guarani
2%
33/1
17%
-
Nacional / Nacional
19%
10/3
21%
-
Nacional / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Guarani 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Guarani0 - 12 de Mayo
Guarani2 - 1Olimpia
Guarani1 - 3Sportivo Trinidense
Guarani0 - 0Atletico Tembetary
Guarani1 - 3Deportivo Recoleta
Guarani0 - 1Libertad
Guarani2 - 1General C.
Guarani2 - 1Tacuary
Guarani1 - 1Sol America
Guarani2 - 2Sportivo Luqueño
Guarani1 - 1S. Ameliano
Guarani0 - 0Sportivo Trinidense
Guarani0 - 0Olimpia
Guarani0 - 0Nacional
Guarani1 - 0C. Porteno
Guarani1 - 1General C.
Guarani0 - 02 de Mayo
Guarani0 - 0Libertad
Guarani3 - 22 de Mayo
Guarani0 - 1Sportivo Luqueño
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGuarani3 - 1Libertad
HGuarani0 - 12 de Mayo
AGuarani0 - 0General C.
HGuarani2 - 1Olimpia
HGuarani1 - 3Sportivo Trinidense
AGuarani1 - 0Sportivo Luqueño
HGuarani0 - 0Atletico Tembetary
AGuarani0 - 2S. Ameliano
AGuarani1 - 0C. Porteno
HGuarani1 - 3Deportivo Recoleta
AGuarani2 - 1Nacional
HGuarani0 - 1Libertad
AGuarani2 - 02 de Mayo
HGuarani2 - 1General C.
AGuarani1 - 0Olimpia
AGuarani0 - 0Nacional
HGuarani2 - 1Tacuary
AGuarani2 - 1C. Porteno
HGuarani1 - 1Sol America
AGuarani0 - 0General C.
Nacional 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Libertad1 - 0Nacional
Olimpia0 - 1Nacional
Sportivo Luqueño2 - 1Nacional
S. Ameliano2 - 1Nacional
Deportivo Recoleta1 - 0Nacional
C. Porteno3 - 1Nacional
2 de Mayo0 - 0Nacional
Olimpia1 - 1Nacional
Tacuary1 - 0Nacional
Sol America3 - 2Nacional
Sportivo Luqueño2 - 2Nacional
S. Ameliano1 - 0Nacional
Sportivo Trinidense0 - 2Nacional
Guarani0 - 0Nacional
C. Porteno2 - 1Nacional
General C.0 - 0Nacional
2 de Mayo1 - 0Nacional
Libertad1 - 2Nacional
Tacuary2 - 5Nacional
Libertad5 - 0Nacional
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNacional1 - 1Deportivo Recoleta
HNacional1 - 3C. Porteno
ANacional0 - 1Libertad
HNacional1 - 02 de Mayo
HNacional1 - 0General C.
ANacional1 - 0Olimpia
HNacional1 - 1Sportivo Trinidense
ANacional1 - 2Sportivo Luqueño
HNacional1 - 0Atletico Tembetary
ANacional1 - 2S. Ameliano
HNacional1 - 2Guarani
ANacional0 - 1Deportivo Recoleta
ANacional1 - 3C. Porteno
HNacional0 - 3Libertad
ANacional0 - 02 de Mayo
HNacional0 - 0Guarani
ANacional1 - 1Olimpia
ANacional0 - 1Tacuary
HNacional2 - 2C. Porteno
ANacional2 - 3Sol America
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Guarani have not lost to Nacional in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Guarani since 2018
Guarani
Nacional
Goals: Scored
15
21
Games: Scored
10 / 13
11 / 13
Clean sheets
2 / 13
3 / 13
GUA
2
D
8
NAC
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Guarani
Draw0 - 0Draw
Guarani3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Nacional
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Guarani1 - 0
0 - 5Nacional
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Nacional
League games at Nacional since 2018
Nacional
Guarani
Goals: Scored
15
16
Games: Scored
8 / 15
8 / 15
Clean sheets
7 / 15
7 / 15
GUA
7
D
4
NAC
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
1 - 2Guarani
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 4Guarani
Nacional4 - 0
0 - 2Guarani
Nacional2 - 0
0 - 1Guarani
Draw1 - 1Draw
Nacional2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Guarani
0 - 2Guarani
0 - 2Guarani
Draw0 - 0Draw
Nacional3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Nacional Asunción of late. It has been 18 Division 1 matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday night against Guaraní.

Guarani 2nd Nacional 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Guarani will score no more than 1 goal
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-28
Guarani have scored 28% fewer goals at home than predicted
-11
Nacional have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Division 1 - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291868/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Guarani
PG (predicted goals)
Nacional
1.1
1.1
Attack rating
10%
better
GUA
NAC
view stats
Games scored10
11
Failed to score5
4
Scored first7
7
Goals scored16
11
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.7
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal8
13
Conversion rate for13
8
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
17%
better
GUA
NAC
view stats
Games conceded9
10
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first6
7
Goals conceded14
19
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
7
Conversion rate against10%
14%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+17%

Guarani v Nacional Division 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Guarani Division 1 squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16824
M QuintanaF FernándezA ManzurM Quintana
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Prantl GLK7
-
J Centurión DEF1311
1
-
M Quintana DEF16
4
-
G Vargas DEF15
2
-
A. Maidana Mendieta DEF8
2
-
A Manzur MID1412
1
-
L Martinez MID151
2
1
A Cabrera MID131
1
-
R Peralta MID1221
1
-
A Fernandez MID1611
3
-
F Fernández FWD1781
4
-
Subs
M. Giménez Insfran GLK
-
J Patiño DEF5
-
F Torales DEF6
2
-
A Gill MID14
4
-
W Mendieta MID1322
-
B Piñatares MID7
-
N Barrientos FWD12
-
V Céspedes FWD9
3
-
A Palacios FWD3
-
D Fernández FWD73
2
-
O. Alfonso Dure FWD2
-
A Pereira FWD10
-
Nacional Division 1 squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17425
S RojasG CaballeroR PrietoR Antúnez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Rojas GLK17
3
-
J. Alfaro DEF1311
4
-
C Núñez DEF15
4
-
G Benitez DEF14
-
D Cáceres DEF6
1
-
G Caballero MID174
1
-
R Antúnez MID10
5
-
J Alfaro MID141
3
-
R Prieto MID1112
4
-
C Arrua FWD111
3
-
T Fleytas FWD101
3
2
Subs
G Ortiz GLK
-
A. Cañete Torres DEF5
1
-
H Schlender DEF711
3
-
J. Monteagudo DEF151
3
-
C Ortiz MID10
2
-
V Herrera MID7
-
O Lugo MID15
3
-
F. Avalos Giménez MID
-
J Arza MID1
-
F Ledesma MID12
1
-
D Duarte FWD9
-
C Colmán FWD1312
2
-