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Nacional Asunción v Sportivo Ameliano : Division 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 22:00 BST, Estadio Luís Alfonso Giagni, Asunción

Aldo Antonio Bobadilla pays counterpart Pedro Alcídes Sarabia Achucarro a visit on Sunday night in the Division 1, as their Sportivo Ameliano and Nacional Asunción sides go head to head at the Estadio Luís Alfonso Giagni. Analysing both teams' last 20 Division 1 matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're tipping a game with little to choose between the sides here and, as such, are predicting under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as Nacional and S. Ameliano go head-to-head. Clear game plans will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver exactly that. The statistics and the odds below point in this direction too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nacional are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
37%
11/10-
Draw
30%
2/1-
S. Ameliano
33%
14/5
1%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Nacional 1-0
13%
9/2-
S. Ameliano 1-0
12%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
12%
11/2-
Nacional 2-1
7%
9/1-
Nacional 2-0
7%
15/2-
S. Ameliano 2-1
7%
14/1-
S. Ameliano 2-0
6%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1-
Nacional 3-1
3%
20/1-
Nacional 3-0
3%
18/1-
S. Ameliano 3-1
2%
40/1-
S. Ameliano 3-0
2%
40/1-
Nacional 3-2
1%
40/1-
S. Ameliano 3-2
1%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
8/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
65%
19/40-
Home 1st Goal
47%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
45%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
9%
11/2-
BTTS - Yes
42%
6/5-
BTTS - No
58%
8/13-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
17/2-
Home/draw
67%
1/4-
Away/draw
63%
7/10-
Home/away
70%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
1/2-
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
6/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
25/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/100-
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/9-
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
11/2-
Home DNB
58%
4/9-
Away DNB
54%
13/8-
Nacional win to nil
24%
2/1-
S. Ameliano win to nil
21%
9/2-
Nacional / Nacional
24%
5/2-
Nacional / S. Ameliano
2%
40/1-
Nacional / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Nacional
17%
4/1-
Draw / S. Ameliano
11%
13/2-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
S. Ameliano / Nacional
3%
28/1-
S. Ameliano / S. Ameliano
13%
11/2-
S. Ameliano / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Nacional 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional1 - 1Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional1 - 3C. Porteno
Nacional1 - 02 de Mayo
Nacional1 - 0General C.
Nacional1 - 1Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional1 - 0Atletico Tembetary
Nacional1 - 2Guarani
Nacional0 - 3Libertad
Nacional0 - 0Guarani
Nacional2 - 2C. Porteno
Nacional1 - 0General C.
Nacional0 - 02 de Mayo
Nacional2 - 1Libertad
Nacional2 - 0Olimpia
Nacional1 - 0Tacuary
Nacional3 - 1Sol America
Nacional1 - 0Sportivo Luqueño
Nacional0 - 0S. Ameliano
Nacional0 - 0Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional0 - 2C. Porteno
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional1 - 2Guarani
HNacional1 - 1Deportivo Recoleta
HNacional1 - 3C. Porteno
ANacional0 - 1Libertad
HNacional1 - 02 de Mayo
HNacional1 - 0General C.
ANacional1 - 0Olimpia
HNacional1 - 1Sportivo Trinidense
ANacional1 - 2Sportivo Luqueño
HNacional1 - 0Atletico Tembetary
ANacional1 - 2S. Ameliano
HNacional1 - 2Guarani
ANacional0 - 1Deportivo Recoleta
ANacional1 - 3C. Porteno
HNacional0 - 3Libertad
ANacional0 - 02 de Mayo
HNacional0 - 0Guarani
ANacional1 - 1Olimpia
ANacional0 - 1Tacuary
HNacional2 - 2C. Porteno
S. Ameliano 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
2 de Mayo1 - 4S. Ameliano
Olimpia0 - 0S. Ameliano
Atletico Tembetary1 - 0S. Ameliano
C. Porteno2 - 0S. Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta1 - 1S. Ameliano
Libertad2 - 0S. Ameliano
General C.1 - 0S. Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense1 - 2S. Ameliano
Sol America1 - 0S. Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueño0 - 2S. Ameliano
Libertad1 - 2S. Ameliano
Guarani1 - 1S. Ameliano
Tacuary0 - 2S. Ameliano
General C.0 - 4S. Ameliano
2 de Mayo1 - 1S. Ameliano
Olimpia1 - 0S. Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense3 - 0S. Ameliano
Nacional0 - 0S. Ameliano
C. Porteno1 - 0S. Ameliano
Sol America2 - 1S. Ameliano
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Ameliano0 - 0Libertad
AS. Ameliano4 - 12 de Mayo
HS. Ameliano0 - 1General C.
AS. Ameliano0 - 0Olimpia
HS. Ameliano0 - 1Sportivo Trinidense
HS. Ameliano2 - 2Sportivo Luqueño
AS. Ameliano0 - 1Atletico Tembetary
AS. Ameliano0 - 2C. Porteno
HS. Ameliano2 - 0Guarani
AS. Ameliano1 - 1Deportivo Recoleta
HS. Ameliano2 - 1Nacional
AS. Ameliano0 - 2Libertad
HS. Ameliano1 - 12 de Mayo
AS. Ameliano0 - 1General C.
HS. Ameliano2 - 2Olimpia
AS. Ameliano2 - 1Sportivo Trinidense
AS. Ameliano0 - 1Sol America
HS. Ameliano0 - 1General C.
AS. Ameliano2 - 0Sportivo Luqueño
HS. Ameliano0 - 22 de Mayo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
S. Ameliano have not lost to Nacional in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Nacional since 2022
Nacional
S. Ameliano
Goals: Scored
6
5
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
NAC
3
D
2
AME
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Nacional2 - 1
Nacional1 - 0
0 - 2S. Ameliano
Nacional2 - 1
League games at S. Ameliano since 2022
S. Ameliano
Nacional
Goals: Scored
9
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
NAC
1
D
2
AME
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Ameliano
S. Ameliano2 - 1
S. Ameliano1 - 0
S. Ameliano1 - 0
S. Ameliano2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Nacional
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Nacional Asunción of late. It has been 19 Division 1 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday night against Sportivo Ameliano.

Nacional 11th S. Ameliano 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that S. Ameliano will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Nacional have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
+2
S. Ameliano’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Division 1 - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291872/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
S. Ameliano
1.1
1
Attack rating
4%
better
NAC
AME
view stats
Games scored12
8
Failed to score4
8
Scored first7
5
Goals scored12
16
Avg. goals scored0.8
1
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal13
8
Conversion rate for8
13
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
4%
better
NAC
AME
view stats
Games conceded11
13
Clean sheets5
3
Conceded first8
9
Goals conceded21
17
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+4%

Nacional v S. Ameliano Division 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Division 1 squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16424
S RojasG CaballeroC ColmánC Núñez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Rojas GLK16
2
-
G Caballero FWD164
-
C Núñez DEF14
4
-
J. Monteagudo DEF141
3
-
O Lugo MID14
3
-
G Benitez DEF13
-
J Alfaro MID131
3
-
J. Alfaro MID1211
4
-
C Colmán FWD1212
1
-
F Ledesma MID11
1
-
C Ortiz MID10
2
-
C Arrua MID101
3
-
R Antúnez MID9
4
-
T Fleytas FWD91
2
1
D Duarte FWD9
-
L Meza MID8
1
-
H Schlender DEF711
3
-
V Herrera MID7
-
D Cáceres DEF5
1
-
A. Cañete Torres DEF5
1
-
F Muñoz FWD51
-
A Benítez FWD4
1
1
S Vargas DEF3
-
L Trezza MID3
-
J Gaona DEF2
-
C Espinola DEF2
-
A. Martinez Roman FWD2
-
F Morel FWD2
-
S. Ameliano Division 1 squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16323
M MartínezG BogadoL OrtizL Ortiz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Martínez GLK16
1
-
L Ortiz MID1622
3
-
G Bogado MID163
2
-
F Vera MID1412
1
-
J González DEF13
3
-
A Samudio FWD131
1
-
M Martinich DEF12
3
-
L. Falabella DEF12
2
-
H Valdez FWD122
2
-
D Valdez MID11
3
-
E Sarquis MID1111
1
-
C Ocampos FWD113
2
-
V Salazar DEF102
3
-
C. Ferreira Ñamandu DEF9
1
-
A Dure FWD911
-
J Benítez MID7
2
-
E Zaracho MID7
-
F Báez DEF6
1
-
P Aranda DEF6
1
-
E Moreira MID51
1
-
D Lara MID51
-
M Benitez DEF4
1
-
S Fretes MID41
-
A Páez FWD4
-
A Giménez MID3
-
J. Gonzalez Gimenez FWD3
1
-
K Luna FWD3
-
B Sampedro FWD3
1
-
A. Servian MID2
1
-
M. Leon Rojas FWD2
-
W Cabrera DEF1
-