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Lech Poznan v MKS Pogon Szczecin : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

INEA stadion, Pozna?

Jens Gustafsson will be hoping for a crucial away win in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday afternoon, as he takes his MKS Pogon Szczecin side to the INEA stadion to visit Lech Poznan and Mariusz Rumak. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the biggest betting markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across them all.

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Lech Poznan's next match is v Cracovia at 16:30 on Sunday 28th April
MKS Pogon Szczecin's next match is v Jagiellonia at 19:30 on Friday 26th April
The last Polish Ekstraklasa meeting between Lech Poznan and MKS Pogon was on Sunday 7th April 2024
Polish Ekstraklasa
April 7th 2024
Lech Poznan 1
0 MKS Pogon
 
M. Ishak 77'
 
LPO
POG
Shots On
4
6
Shots Off
3
9
Corners
5
9
Possession
49%
51%
Fouls
5
6
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
Lech PoznanMKS Pogon
 
B. Mrozek
B. Douglas
A. Czerwiński (J. Vieira Pereira 75')
M. Blažič
B. Salamon
R. Murawski
A. De Pinho Sousa (N. Kvekveskiri 63')
J. Karlström
K. Velde (F. Szymczak 75')
M. Ishakfootball icon
A. Ba Loua (M. Dziuba 89')
V. Cojocaru
(B. Zech 85') L. Wahlqvist
M. Malec
L. Koutris
L. Borges da Silva
(J. Costa Gamboa 70') A. Gorgon
(L. Zahovič 85') R. Kurzawa
F. Ulvestad
(A. Przyborek 79') V. Bichakhchyan
K. Grosicki
E. Koulouris
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Lech Poznan or MKS Pogon are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lech Poznan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Lech Poznan
38%
6/5
12%
23/20
7%
5/4
5%
59/50
10%
Draw
25%
5/2
3%
23/10
3%
23/10
3%
12/5
3%
MKS Pogon
38%
21/10
15%
15/8
11%
9/5
2%
43/20
17%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/211/211/2
4%
MKS Pogon 2-1
8%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
9/1
5%
19/2
11%
Lech Poznan 2-1
8%
8/1
10%
7/1
6%
15/2
6%
15/2
6%
MKS Pogon 1-0
8%
10/1
16%
8/1
6%
9/119/2
5%
Lech Poznan 1-0
8%
8/17/18/115/2
6%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/111/111/1
4%
MKS Pogon 2-0
6%
16/1
31%
12/1
8%
14/115/1
23%
Lech Poznan 2-0
6%
10/1
15%
9/1
9%
11/1
8%
10/1
8%
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
9%
17/2
5%
11/121/2
MKS Pogon 3-1
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
13%
20/120/1
17%
Lech Poznan 3-1
4%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
16/114/1
12%
Lech Poznan 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
16/1
11%
22/120/1
9%
MKS Pogon 3-2
3%
28/120/1
11%
25/1
13%
25/1
4%
Lech Poznan 3-0
3%
20/1
9%
16/120/1
9%
18/1
10%
MKS Pogon 3-0
3%
33/1
17%
20/1
11%
28/130/1
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
3/4
5%
-4/54/5
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
21/20
5%
-10/1119/20
1%
Home 1st Goal
48%
4/6
9%
-5/6
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
5/4
7%
-11/10
2%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
9%
-10/1-
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/6
2%
13/20
1%
8/138/13
1%
BTTS - No
42%
11/10
2%
11/106/56/5
1%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
3/1
16%
3/1
5%
16/5
3%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
2%
16/5
5%
33/10
4%
BTTS - Away Win
19%
9/2
10%
4/1
4%
4/1-
Home/draw
62%
4/11
6%
4/11
6%
2/5
3%
7/20
8%
Away/draw
62%
4/6
11%
8/13
5%
3/5
5%
4/6
8%
Home/away
75%
2/7
1%
2/73/103/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/9
2%
-1/46/25
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/1
7%
-11/414/5
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
7/4
15%
-2/12/1
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
2/5
5%
-4/114/11
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
9/2
15%
-9/219/4
1%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/7
3%
-1/81/9
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1
15%
--11/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
--1/50
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
-1/251/50
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1
18%
-9/121/2
Home DNB
55%
4/7
13%
8/13
7%
4/6
3%
3/5
12%
Away DNB
55%
5/4
18%
23/20
8%
11/10
5%
13/10
17%
Lech Poznan win to nil
18%
3/1
11%
-16/5
7%
-
MKS Pogon win to nil
18%
5/1
20%
-9/2
10%
-
Lech Poznan / Lech Poznan
23%
13/5
10%
5/2
5%
13/5
4%
5/2
10%
Lech Poznan / MKS Pogon
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
10%
28/128/1
12%
Lech Poznan / Draw
6%
12/111/112/112/1
Draw / Lech Poznan
14%
9/2
8%
17/4
9%
5/119/4
8%
Draw / MKS Pogon
12%
6/1
8%
11/213/2
7%
13/2
11%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
5%
9/222/5
4%
MKS Pogon / Lech Poznan
4%
22/1
12%
18/125/122/1
8%
MKS Pogon / MKS Pogon
17%
4/1
11%
18/5
10%
18/5
2%
17/4
20%
MKS Pogon / Draw
6%
12/111/112/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

Lech Poznan have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Ekstraklasa league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 7 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 49 goals to 38 goals.

Home League Performance

Lech Poznan have played 13 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 26 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

MKS Pogon are in 5th position in the Ekstraklasa on 44 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 8 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 21 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 1 and won 3. MKS Pogon have conceded 4 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Lech Poznan
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
MKS Pogon
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
3-3F
w
 
1-2F
 Jagiellonia2916762755 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
 S.Wroclaw2914961251 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
-
-
 Lech Poznan H291496951 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Gornik Z.291469748 
May 25
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-0A
 MKS Pogon Away29145102047 
-
-
May 12
d
 
0-00-0
 L. Warsaw29121161047 
l
 
3-4F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-1A
l
 
4-0A
 Rakow29121071846 
d
 
1-1A
May 11
l
 
1-3A
May 18
 W Lodz2912611142 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Stal Mielec2910811-438 
l
 
2-3A
May 18
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
 P.Gliwice297148-235 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
 Zaglebie 299812-1235 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
 RKS299812-1335 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
 W Poznan2981011-434 
d
 
3-3A
w
 
0-1F
Apr 28
d
 
1-1F
 Cracovia296149-232 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-5F
w
 
4-1F
l
 
2-1A
 Puszcza2971111-1132 
May 6
w
 
0-2F
May 25
w
 
0-1F
 Korona2961211-430 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
 LKS Lodz295618-3321 
w
 
4-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
May 3
 Ruch Chorzow2921413-1920 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Lech Poznan 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
MKS Pogon 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lech Poznan since 2015
Lech Poznan
MKS Pogon
Goals: Scored
18
12
Games: Scored
8 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
2 / 10
LPO
5
D
3
POG
2
All league games since 2015
Lech Poznan
MKS Pogon
Goals: Scored
31
25
Games: Scored
15 / 21
12 / 21
Clean sheets
9 / 21
6 / 21
LPO
9
D
7
POG
5
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Lech Poznan of late. It has been 5 Ekstraklasa games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against MKS Pogon Szczecin.

Lech Poznan 3rd MKS Pogon 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Lech Poznan will score 1 or more goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that MKS Pogon will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Lech Poznan have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
-5
MKS Pogon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Statistics Ekstraklasa - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/259118/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lech Poznan
PG (predicted goals)
MKS Pogon
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
3%
better
LPO
POG
view stats
Games scored22
20
Failed to score7
9
Scored first14
11
Goals scored43
54
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.9
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate17%
16%
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
12%
better
LPO
POG
view stats
Games conceded18
21
Clean sheets11
8
Conceded first11
17
Goals conceded34
34
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate12%
14%
KickOff rating
+12%

Lech Poznan v MKS Pogon Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26958
K VeldeK VeldeK VeldeR Murawski
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Mrozek GLK25
1
-
A Czerwinski DEF2111
2
-
B Salamon  DEF101
3
-
M Blazic DEF211
2
-
B Douglas  DEF11
2
-
R Murawski MID2411
7
1
J Karlström MID2422
6
-
K Velde MID2795
6
-
A Sousa MID141
2
-
A Loua MID2143
1
-
M Ishak FWD1883
4
-
Subs
F Bednarek GLK3
1
-
E Andersson DEF171
4
-
A Milic DEF221
2
-
J Pereira DEF2615
1
-
M. Dziuba MID2
-
N Kvekveskiri MID1611
-
F Szymczak FWD2531
3
-
MKS Pogon Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2812106
K GrosickiE KoulourisK GrosickiR Kurzawa
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Cojocaru GLK21
1
-
L Wahlqvist DEF274
5
-
L Borges DEF18
-
M Malec DEF261
2
-
L Koutris DEF281
3
-
R Kurzawa MID2611
6
-
V Bichakhchyan MID2754
6
-
F Ulvestad MID2063
3
-
A Gorgon MID2783
6
-
K Grosicki MID281110
3
-
E Koulouris FWD28122
2
-
Subs
B Klebaniuk GLK5
-
D Loncar DEF101
-
B Zech DEF20
1
-
K Smoliński MID51
3
-
A Przyborek MID1612
3
-
M Wedrychowski MID122
-
J Gamboa  MID251
4
-
L Zahovic FWD1712
2
-
P. Paryzek FWD31
1
-