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Legia Warsaw v KGHM Zaglebie Lubin : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 17th Apr, 19:30 BST, Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa i, Warszawa

Marek Papszun welcomes Leszek Ojrzynski to the Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa i on Friday evening, as their Legia Warsaw and KGHM Zaglebie Lubin sides meet in the Ekstraklasa. We have custom-designed stats for every major market, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that L. Warsaw and Zaglebie will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 75%. Bookmakers have it priced at 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think L. Warsaw are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.57.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
L. Warsaw 47%	-	4/7
Draw 25%	-	13/5
Zaglebie 28%	-	19/5
Draw 1-1 12%	-	6/1
L. Warsaw 1-0 11%	-	5/1
L. Warsaw 2-1 9%	-	13/2
L. Warsaw 2-0 8%	-	6/1
Zaglebie 1-0 8%	-	10/1
Draw 0-0 7%	-	8/1
Zaglebie 2-1 7%	-	12/1
Draw 2-2 5%	-	12/1
L. Warsaw 3-1 5%	-	10/1
Zaglebie 2-0 4%	-	18/1
L. Warsaw 3-0 4%	-	9/1
L. Warsaw 3-2 3%	-	20/1
Zaglebie 3-1 3%	-	28/1
Zaglebie 3-2 2%	-	28/1
L. Warsaw 4-1 2%	-	18/1
Over 2.5 Goals 50%	-	17/20
Under 2.5 Goals 50%	-	4/5
Home 1st Goal 52%	-	1/2
Away 1st Goal 44%	-	2/1
No 1st Goal 4%	-	8/1
BTTS - Yes 53%	-	19/20
BTTS - No 47%	-	3/4
BTTS - Home Win 21%	-	13/5
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	4/1
BTTS - Away Win 13%	-	8/1
Home/draw 72%	-	2/13
Away/draw 53%	-	5/4
Home/away 75%	-	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	-	2/7
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	-	11/5
Over 3.5 Goals 28%	-	21/10
Under 3.5 Goals 72%	-	3/10
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	-	9/2
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	-	1/11
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	-	10/1
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	-	1/66
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	-	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	-	15/2
Home DNB 65%	-	2/9
Away DNB 45%	-	11/4
L. Warsaw win to nil 26%	-	-
Zaglebie win to nil 14%	-	-
L. Warsaw / L. Warsaw 32%	-	7/5
L. Warsaw / Zaglebie 3%	-	28/1
L. Warsaw / Draw 6%	-	12/1
Draw / L. Warsaw 17%	-	17/5
Draw / Zaglebie 8%	-	9/1
Draw / Draw 15%	-	17/4
Zaglebie / L. Warsaw 4%	-	18/1
Zaglebie / Zaglebie 10%	-	7/1
Zaglebie / Draw 6%	-	12/1

Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

L. Warsaw have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 10 and won 5. L. Warsaw have conceded 27 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

L. Warsaw have played 14 games at home, winning 5, drawing 6 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Zaglebie lay in 2nd place on 44 points in the Ekstraklasa league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 8 and losing 7 games. They have scored 40 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Zaglebie have conceded 31 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Zaglebie have played 14 away games, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	L. Warsaw Zaglebie
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lech Poznan	28	12	10	6	9	46	d 0-00-0	Apr 26	l 0-1A	w 1-2F
2	Zaglebie	28	12	8	8	9	44	Apr 17	l 3-1A	-	-
3	Jagiellonia	28	11	10	7	9	43	d 0-00-0	d 2-2A	d 0-00-0	May 23
4	Gornik Z.	28	12	7	9	7	43	d 1-1F	l 3-1A	w 2-0F	May 9
5	Plock	28	11	9	8	3	42	w 2-1F	l 1-0A	w 2-0F	l 2-1F
6	Rakow	28	11	7	10	2	40	d 1-1A	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F
7	Katowice	28	12	4	12	1	40	w 3-1F	d 1-1F	l 0-2A	d 2-2F
8	Motor Lublin	28	9	12	7	-3	39	May 23	d 1-1A	d 2-2F	l 1-0A
9	L.Gdansk	28	12	6	10	4	37	d 2-2A	May 16	w 6-2F	w 0-2F
10	Korona	28	10	7	11	2	37	l 1-2A	w 0-2F	d 1-1A	w 1-2A
11	Cracovia	28	9	10	9	0	37	w 1-0F	l 2-1A	May 3	d 0-00-0
12	P.Gliwice	27	10	5	12	-2	35	l 0-1A	l 2-0A	d 2-2A	w 1-3A
13	RKS	28	8	10	10	1	34	w 4-1F	d 1-1A	w 1-0F	l 3-1A
14	L. Warsaw	28	7	13	8	1	34	-	-	w 3-1F	Apr 17
15	MKS Pogon	27	10	4	13	-6	34	w 1-0F	w 0-2F	May 16	l 5-1A
16	Arka Gdynia	28	9	7	12	-17	34	d 0-00-0	d 2-2A	w 4-0F	l 3-1A
17	W Lodz	28	9	6	13	-2	33	May 1	d 1-1A	w 2-1A	l 1-0A
18	Termalica	28	6	7	15	-18	25	l 1-2A	May 9	Apr 24	d 1-1F

	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

L. Warsaw have not lost in 9 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
L. Warsaw	1 - 1	Gornik Z.
L. Warsaw	1 - 1	Rakow
L. Warsaw	1 - 0	Cracovia
L. Warsaw	2 - 1	Plock
L. Warsaw	1 - 2	Korona
L. Warsaw	0 - 1	P.Gliwice
L. Warsaw	2 - 2	L.Gdansk
L. Warsaw	1 - 2	Termalica
L. Warsaw	0 - 0	Lech Poznan
L. Warsaw	1 - 0	MKS Pogon
L. Warsaw	0 - 0	Jagiellonia
L. Warsaw	4 - 1	RKS
L. Warsaw	3 - 1	Katowice
L. Warsaw	0 - 0	Arka Gdynia
L. Warsaw	2 - 2	Stal Mielec
L. Warsaw	0 - 1	Lech Poznan
L. Warsaw	2 - 1	L.Gdansk
L. Warsaw	0 - 1	Jagiellonia
L. Warsaw	0 - 0	MKS Pogon
L. Warsaw	3 - 1	S.Wroclaw

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	L. Warsaw	1 - 1	Gornik Z.
A	L. Warsaw	2 - 0	MKS Pogon
H	L. Warsaw	1 - 1	Rakow
A	L. Warsaw	1 - 1	RKS
H	L. Warsaw	1 - 0	Cracovia
A	L. Warsaw	2 - 2	Jagiellonia
H	L. Warsaw	2 - 1	Plock
A	L. Warsaw	1 - 1	Katowice
A	L. Warsaw	2 - 2	Arka Gdynia
H	L. Warsaw	1 - 2	Korona
H	L. Warsaw	0 - 1	P.Gliwice
A	L. Warsaw	0 - 2	P.Gliwice
A	L. Warsaw	1 - 1	Motor Lublin
H	L. Warsaw	2 - 2	L.Gdansk
H	L. Warsaw	1 - 2	Termalica
A	L. Warsaw	1 - 1	W Lodz
H	L. Warsaw	0 - 0	Lech Poznan
A	L. Warsaw	1 - 3	Zaglebie
A	L. Warsaw	1 - 3	Gornik Z.
H	L. Warsaw	1 - 0	MKS Pogon

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arka Gdynia	3 - 1	Zaglebie
Motor Lublin	1 - 0	Zaglebie
P.Gliwice	1 - 3	Zaglebie
L.Gdansk	0 - 2	Zaglebie
Korona	1 - 2	Zaglebie
Rakow	0 - 1	Zaglebie
MKS Pogon	5 - 1	Zaglebie
Cracovia	0 - 0	Zaglebie
Termalica	1 - 1	Zaglebie
RKS	3 - 1	Zaglebie
Lech Poznan	1 - 2	Zaglebie
Plock	2 - 1	Zaglebie
Katowice	2 - 2	Zaglebie
W Lodz	1 - 0	Zaglebie
Motor Lublin	1 - 0	Zaglebie
S.Wroclaw	3 - 1	Zaglebie
Jagiellonia	1 - 3	Zaglebie
RKS	0 - 1	Zaglebie
Katowice	1 - 0	Zaglebie
Lech Poznan	3 - 1	Zaglebie

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Zaglebie	1 - 0	RKS
A	Zaglebie	1 - 3	Arka Gdynia
A	Zaglebie	0 - 1	Motor Lublin
H	Zaglebie	0 - 1	Lech Poznan
A	Zaglebie	3 - 1	P.Gliwice
H	Zaglebie	2 - 0	Plock
A	Zaglebie	2 - 0	L.Gdansk
H	Zaglebie	0 - 0	Rakow
A	Zaglebie	2 - 1	Korona
H	Zaglebie	0 - 2	Katowice
A	Zaglebie	1 - 0	Rakow
H	Zaglebie	2 - 1	W Lodz
H	Zaglebie	0 - 0	Jagiellonia
A	Zaglebie	1 - 5	MKS Pogon
H	Zaglebie	2 - 0	Gornik Z.
A	Zaglebie	0 - 0	Cracovia
A	Zaglebie	1 - 1	Termalica
H	Zaglebie	3 - 1	L. Warsaw
A	Zaglebie	1 - 3	RKS
H	Zaglebie	4 - 0	Arka Gdynia

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

L. Warsaw have beaten Zaglebie in 6 consecutive home league meetings

L. Warsaw have not lost to Zaglebie in 7 consecutive home league meetings

L. Warsaw

Zaglebie

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

11 / 12

8 / 12

Clean sheets

4 / 12

1 / 12

LEG

ZAG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT L. Warsaw
L. Warsaw	2 - 0
L. Warsaw	2 - 1
L. Warsaw	2 - 0
L. Warsaw	4 - 0
L. Warsaw	2 - 1
L. Warsaw	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 3	Zaglebie
	0 - 1	Zaglebie
L. Warsaw	2 - 1
	2 - 3	Zaglebie
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Zaglebie

L. Warsaw

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 12

11 / 12

Clean sheets

1 / 12

4 / 12

LEG

ZAG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Zaglebie
Zaglebie	3 - 1
	0 - 3	L. Warsaw
	0 - 3	L. Warsaw
	1 - 2	L. Warsaw
	1 - 3	L. Warsaw
	0 - 4	L. Warsaw
Zaglebie	2 - 1
	0 - 1	L. Warsaw
	2 - 3	L. Warsaw
	1 - 3	L. Warsaw
Zaglebie	2 - 0
	1 - 2	L. Warsaw

Goal Statistics

Legia Warsaw have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 10 consecutive Ekstraklasa outings. Their PG of 1.5 against KGHM Zaglebie Lubin on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Legia Warsaw's defensive record is to be admired, M. Papszun's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ekstraklasa outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for KGHM Zaglebie Lubin makes sense in this context.

	L. Warsaw 14th	Zaglebie 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 21% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that L. Warsaw will score 1 or more goals	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Zaglebie will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-32 L. Warsaw have scored 32% fewer goals at home than predicted	-1 Zaglebie ’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2025/2026 season

LEG

ZAG

11%

better

view stats

Games scored	22		21
Failed to score	6		7
Scored first	10		13
Goals scored	33		42
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.5
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		6
Conversion rate for	12		17
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+11%

LEG

ZAG

10%

better

view stats

Games conceded	21		19
Clean sheets	7		9
Conceded first	15		12
Goals conceded	32		33
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	17%		12%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+10%

L. Warsaw v Zaglebie Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

L. Warsaw Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	6	2	5
M Rajovic	M Rajovic	E Krasniqi	D Szymanski

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Rajovic FWD	27	6	1	1 -
E Krasniqi MID	22	2	2	3 -
P Wszolek MID	22	2	1	3 -
B Kapustka MID	22	2	2	4 -
K Tobiasz GLK	21			-
V Bichakhchyan MID	21	2	1	1 -
K Piatkowski DEF	20			3 1
D Szymanski MID	20	1		5 -
K Urbański MID	19		1	2 -
J Elitim MID	19	1	2	2 -
R Augustyniak DEF	18	2		5 -
A Reca MID	17		1	2 -
W. Urbański MID	17	1		4 -
R Pankov DEF	16	1		4 -
P Stojanovic MID	14	1	1	5 -
K Chodyna MID	12	1		1 -
R Vinagre MID	12		1	-
P Kun MID	12		1	2 -
A Colak FWD	12	2		1 -
A Jedrzejczyk DEF	9	1	1	1 -
J. Żewłakow MID	8			1 -
O Hindrich GLK	7			-
C Gonçalves MID	7		1	1 -
R Adamski FWD	7	1	1	-
J Nsame FWD	6	2		-
H. Miguel Sousa Arreiol MID	4			-
J. Leszczyński DEF	2			-
S. Kováčik MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	27	2	5
M Rajovic	M Rajovic	E Krasniqi	J Elitim

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Rajovic FWD	6	27	1	4
E Krasniqi MID	2	7	2	4
P Wszolek MID	2	4	1	4
B Kapustka MID	2	9	2	3
V Bichakhchyan MID	2	18	1
R Augustyniak DEF	2	2		1
A Colak FWD	2	3
J Nsame FWD	2	4
D Szymanski MID	1	3		3
J Elitim MID	1	2	2	5
W. Urbański MID	1	4
R Pankov DEF	1	3		2
P Stojanovic MID	1	3	1	1
K Chodyna MID	1	3		1
A Jedrzejczyk DEF	1	4	1	2
R Adamski FWD	1	5	1	3
K Piatkowski DEF		5		1
K Urbański MID		2	1	2
A Reca MID		2	1	4
R Vinagre MID		1	1	1
P Kun MID		1	1	3
J. Żewłakow MID		2		2
C Gonçalves MID		1	1
H. Miguel Sousa Arreiol MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
981	42	114
K Piatkowski	K Piatkowski	M Rajovic

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Piatkowski DEF	981	42	108
D Szymanski MID	897	33	62
J Elitim MID	819	27	70
B Kapustka MID	745	41	100
R Pankov DEF	735	21	92
P Wszolek MID	710	23	81
R Augustyniak DEF	648	18	72
K Tobiasz GLK	637	1	7
E Krasniqi MID	465	34	92
R Vinagre MID	392	12	48
M Rajovic FWD	384	12	114
A Reca MID	384	24	52
P Stojanovic MID	347	10	37
V Bichakhchyan MID	321	12	70
P Kun MID	320	22	51
K Urbański MID	309	13	46
A Jedrzejczyk DEF	222	1	28
W. Urbański MID	209	12	43
K Chodyna MID	197	11	22
O Hindrich GLK	164		3
C Gonçalves MID	147	4	16
H. Miguel Sousa Arreiol MID	147	7	20
R Adamski FWD	113	10	40
J Nsame FWD	64	2	23
J. Żewłakow MID	55	3	7
A Colak FWD	50		13
J. Leszczyński DEF	38		2
S. Kováčik MID	8		2

Zaglebie Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	6	6	6
F Kocaba	M Kosidis	A Radwanski	M Nalepa

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Kosidis FWD	28	6	1	3 -
A Radwanski MID	26	4	6	4 -
M Nalepa DEF	25	2	1	5 1
J Sypek MID	25	3	2	5 -
F Kocaba MID	25	2	1	4 -
M. Reguła MID	25	4	3	4 -
R Yakuba DEF	22			2 -
L. Lučić MID	20		1	3 1
D Dabrowski MID	19		3	2 -
J Ćorluka MID	19	1	1	1 -
J Burić GLK	18			2 -
D Michalski DEF	17	1		3 -
A Lawniczak DEF	17	1	1	1 -
J Kolan MID	15		1	2 -
I. Orlikowski MID	15			2 -
D Hladun GLK	11			-
J. Díaz Gómez MID	11	1	2	-
T Makowski MID	10		1	-
M. Dziewiatowski MID	10	1		2 -
L Szabó FWD	10	2		-
M Grzybek MID	8	3		2 -
S Kowalczyk MID	7			1 -
A Wozniak MID	3			-
J. Ligocki FWD	2			-
C. Popielec MID	1			-
M. Mlinarić FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	17	6	6
M Kosidis	M. Reguła	A Radwanski	A Radwanski

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Kosidis FWD	6	9	1
A Radwanski MID	4	9	6	6
M. Reguła MID	4	17	3	4
J Sypek MID	3	5	2	2
M Grzybek MID	3	3
M Nalepa DEF	2	11	1	1
F Kocaba MID	2	2	1	1
L Szabó FWD	2	3
J Ćorluka MID	1	2	1	1
D Michalski DEF	1	2		1
A Lawniczak DEF	1	3	1	1
J. Díaz Gómez MID	1	3	2	2
M. Dziewiatowski MID	1	4
R Yakuba DEF		2		1
L. Lučić MID		2	1	6
D Dabrowski MID		2	3	4
J Kolan MID		4	1	2
I. Orlikowski MID		2
T Makowski MID			1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
759	42	130
M Nalepa	M. Reguła	M. Reguła

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Nalepa DEF	759	27	129
D Dabrowski MID	668	33	51
R Yakuba DEF	663	28	97
F Kocaba MID	607	40	121
A Lawniczak DEF	583	16	80
L. Lučić MID	556	30	68
J Burić GLK	458	1	5
A Radwanski MID	417	23	66
J Ćorluka MID	374	38	81
D Michalski DEF	350	8	60
J Kolan MID	327	20	68
M. Reguła MID	289	42	130
D Hladun GLK	242		4
I. Orlikowski MID	228	24	63
M Kosidis FWD	199	5	74
T Makowski MID	186	14	29
J Sypek MID	171	17	55
J. Díaz Gómez MID	108	11	33
M Grzybek MID	104	6	21
L Szabó FWD	97	5	49
S Kowalczyk MID	93	10	19
M. Dziewiatowski MID	91	11	22
J. Ligocki FWD	10	1	1
A Wozniak MID	3		2
M. Mlinarić FWD	2		1
C. Popielec MID		1	1