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MKS Pogon Szczecin v Legia Warsaw : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 6th Apr, 16:30 BST, Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Kry, Szczecin

Thomas Thomasberg welcomes Marek Papszun to the Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Kry on Monday afternoon, as their MKS Pogon Szczecin and Legia Warsaw charges do battle in the Ekstraklasa. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and pulled out the stats that matter the most. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to make sure you get the best return.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither MKS Pogon or L. Warsaw are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think MKS Pogon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.63.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
MKS Pogon
47%
13/8-
Draw
24%
12/5-
L. Warsaw
29%
7/5-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1-
MKS Pogon 2-1
9%
9/1-
MKS Pogon 1-0
8%
9/1-
MKS Pogon 2-0
7%
14/1-
L. Warsaw 2-1
7%
17/2-
L. Warsaw 1-0
6%
9/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
MKS Pogon 3-1
5%
20/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1-
L. Warsaw 2-0
4%
12/1-
MKS Pogon 3-0
4%
28/1-
MKS Pogon 3-2
3%
25/1-
L. Warsaw 3-1
3%
18/1-
L. Warsaw 3-2
3%
22/1-
MKS Pogon 4-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
3/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
21/20-
Home 1st Goal
52%
1/1-
Away 1st Goal
46%
10/11-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/13-
BTTS - No
40%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
7/2-
Home/draw
71%
8/15-
Away/draw
53%
4/9-
Home/away
76%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
2/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1-
Home DNB
64%
10/11-
Away DNB
46%
4/5-
MKS Pogon win to nil
22%
4/1-
L. Warsaw win to nil
13%
7/2-
MKS Pogon / MKS Pogon
19%
10/3-
MKS Pogon / L. Warsaw
4%
22/1-
MKS Pogon / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / MKS Pogon
13%
11/2-
Draw / L. Warsaw
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
L. Warsaw / MKS Pogon
3%
25/1-
L. Warsaw / L. Warsaw
21%
3/1-
L. Warsaw / Draw
6%
12/1-
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Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

MKS Pogon have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Ekstraklasa league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 3 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. MKS Pogon have outscored their opponents by 36 goals to 30 goals.

Home League Performance

MKS Pogon have played 13 games at home winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 26 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

L. Warsaw are in 15th position in the Ekstraklasa on 30 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 9 and won 6. L. Warsaw have conceded 26 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
MKS Pogon
L. Warsaw
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lech Poznan261286944 
Apr 18
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
2
Zaglebie 2611871041 
w
 
5-1F
May 16
Apr 17
l
 
3-1A
3
Jagiellonia261187941 
l
 
1-2A
May 9
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
4
Gornik Z.261169439 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
Apr 11
l
 
3-1A
5
Plock261097339 
May 2
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
6
Rakow2611510238 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
7
Motor Lublin269107-337 
w
 
4-1A
l
 
2-1A
May 23
d
 
1-1A
8
Korona2610610436 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
9
Cracovia26998336 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 25
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
10
Katowice2611312036 
May 23
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
11
P.Gliwice2610511-135 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 13
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
12
L.Gdansk261169334 
l
 
3-4F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
May 16
13
MKS Pogon2610412-434 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Apr 6
14
RKS26899233 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-1A
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
15
L. Warsaw266128-130 
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
-
-
16
Arka Gdynia268612-1930 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
17
W Lodz268513-329 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
May 2
d
 
1-1A
18
Termalica265714-1822 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
May 9
Win / draw / win form
3
MKS Pogon have won 3 consecutive home league games
4
L. Warsaw have drawn 4 consecutive away league games
6
MKS Pogon have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
12
L. Warsaw have not won in 12 consecutive away league games
MKS Pogon 13TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
MKS Pogon2 - 1Korona
MKS Pogon1 - 0W Lodz
MKS Pogon1 - 0Arka Gdynia
MKS Pogon1 - 1Termalica
MKS Pogon2 - 2RKS
MKS Pogon5 - 1Zaglebie
MKS Pogon1 - 2Jagiellonia
MKS Pogon2 - 1Cracovia
MKS Pogon2 - 1P.Gliwice
MKS Pogon3 - 4L.Gdansk
MKS Pogon2 - 0Rakow
MKS Pogon0 - 3Gornik Z.
MKS Pogon4 - 1Motor Lublin
MKS Pogon3 - 3L.Gdansk
MKS Pogon3 - 0Motor Lublin
MKS Pogon1 - 0Rakow
MKS Pogon4 - 0Katowice
MKS Pogon5 - 2Cracovia
MKS Pogon0 - 3Lech Poznan
MKS Pogon3 - 0Gornik Z.
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMKS Pogon1 - 2L.Gdansk
HMKS Pogon2 - 1Korona
AMKS Pogon0 - 2Rakow
HMKS Pogon1 - 0W Lodz
AMKS Pogon1 - 0Gornik Z.
HMKS Pogon1 - 0Arka Gdynia
HMKS Pogon1 - 1Termalica
AMKS Pogon1 - 2Motor Lublin
HMKS Pogon2 - 2RKS
AMKS Pogon0 - 2Katowice
HMKS Pogon5 - 1Zaglebie
HMKS Pogon1 - 2Jagiellonia
AMKS Pogon0 - 2Plock
HMKS Pogon2 - 1Cracovia
AMKS Pogon2 - 2Lech Poznan
HMKS Pogon2 - 1P.Gliwice
AMKS Pogon0 - 1L. Warsaw
HMKS Pogon3 - 4L.Gdansk
AMKS Pogon0 - 1Korona
HMKS Pogon2 - 0Rakow
L. Warsaw 15TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
RKS1 - 1L. Warsaw
Jagiellonia2 - 2L. Warsaw
Katowice1 - 1L. Warsaw
Arka Gdynia2 - 2L. Warsaw
P.Gliwice2 - 0L. Warsaw
Motor Lublin1 - 1L. Warsaw
W Lodz1 - 1L. Warsaw
Zaglebie 3 - 1L. Warsaw
Gornik Z.3 - 1L. Warsaw
Rakow1 - 1L. Warsaw
Cracovia2 - 1L. Warsaw
Plock1 - 0L. Warsaw
Korona0 - 2L. Warsaw
Cracovia3 - 1L. Warsaw
W Lodz0 - 2L. Warsaw
Katowice1 - 3L. Warsaw
Gornik Z.1 - 2L. Warsaw
Rakow3 - 2L. Warsaw
Motor Lublin3 - 3L. Warsaw
RKS3 - 1L. Warsaw
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
3
Draw
11
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HL. Warsaw1 - 1Rakow
AL. Warsaw1 - 1RKS
HL. Warsaw1 - 0Cracovia
AL. Warsaw2 - 2Jagiellonia
HL. Warsaw2 - 1Plock
AL. Warsaw1 - 1Katowice
AL. Warsaw2 - 2Arka Gdynia
HL. Warsaw1 - 2Korona
HL. Warsaw0 - 1P.Gliwice
AL. Warsaw0 - 2P.Gliwice
AL. Warsaw1 - 1Motor Lublin
HL. Warsaw2 - 2L.Gdansk
HL. Warsaw1 - 2Termalica
AL. Warsaw1 - 1W Lodz
HL. Warsaw0 - 0Lech Poznan
AL. Warsaw1 - 3Zaglebie
AL. Warsaw1 - 3Gornik Z.
HL. Warsaw1 - 0MKS Pogon
HL. Warsaw0 - 0Jagiellonia
AL. Warsaw1 - 1Rakow
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at MKS Pogon since 2016
MKS Pogon
L. Warsaw
Goals: Scored
18
15
Games: Scored
8 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
3 / 11
POG
6
D
2
LEG
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT MKS Pogon
MKS Pogon1 - 0
3 - 4L. Warsaw
MKS Pogon2 - 1
MKS Pogon3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
MKS Pogon3 - 1
MKS Pogon2 - 1
1 - 3L. Warsaw
0 - 2L. Warsaw
MKS Pogon3 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at L. Warsaw since 2015
L. Warsaw
MKS Pogon
Goals: Scored
22
12
Games: Scored
12 / 14
8 / 14
Clean sheets
6 / 14
2 / 14
POG
3
D
4
LEG
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT L. Warsaw
L. Warsaw1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2MKS Pogon
L. Warsaw4 - 2
1 - 2MKS Pogon
1 - 2MKS Pogon
Draw1 - 1Draw
L. Warsaw3 - 1
L. Warsaw3 - 0
L. Warsaw2 - 0
L. Warsaw3 - 0
L. Warsaw1 - 0
Goal Statistics

MKS Pogon Szczecin's fans will be hoping for goals on Monday afternoon, not least because Legia Warsaw have conceded in each of their last 11 Ekstraklasa outings. A PG of 1.7 for T. Thomasberg's side suggests that run should continue.

MKS Pogon 13th L. Warsaw 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that MKS Pogon will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that L. Warsaw will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+26
MKS Pogon have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted
+2
L. Warsaw’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2025/2026 season
MKS Pogon
PG (predicted goals)
L. Warsaw
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
11%
better
POG
LEG
view stats
Games scored20
20
Failed to score6
6
Scored first11
8
Goals scored36
30
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.2
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for13
11
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
POG
LEG
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
20
Clean sheets4
6
Conceded first15
15
Goals conceded40
31
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
18%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+9%

MKS Pogon v L. Warsaw Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

MKS Pogon Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24666
V CojocaruP MukairuK GrosickiD Loncar
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Koutris DEF261
2
-
P Mukairu FWD2661
1
-
K Grosicki FWD2566
3
-
V Cojocaru GLK24
3
-
F Ulvestad MID2443
3
-
D Loncar DEF211
6
-
L Wahlqvist DEF201
5
-
D Keramitsis DEF201
3
-
J Pozo MID1921
4
-
M Juwara FWD1811
5
-
S Greenwood MID1733
4
-
M Ndiaye MID141
3
-
L Borges DEF131
1
-
J Bieganski MID13
1
-
H Ali DEF11
3
1
K Smoliński MID11
-
R. Molnár FWD103
-
K Angielski FWD81
-
A Szalai DEF7
1
-
B Mendy  DEF7
3
-
K Acosta MID4
1
1
M. Agger FWD4
-
F. Čuić FWD4
-
K Kaminski GLK3
-
Natan Lawa MID2
-
L. Warsaw Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21425
K TobiaszM RajovicB KapustkaR Augustyniak
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Rajovic FWD2541
-
B Kapustka MID2222
4
-
K Tobiasz GLK21
-
P Wszolek MID2021
2
-
V Bichakhchyan MID2021
1
-
E Krasniqi MID2022
3
-
K Piatkowski DEF18
3
1
D Szymanski MID181
4
-
J Elitim MID1712
2
-
K Urbański MID171
1
-
R Augustyniak MID161
5
-
W. Urbański MID161
3
-
A Reca  MID151
2
-
R Pankov DEF141
4
-
P Stojanovic MID1411
5
-
K Chodyna MID121
1
-
R Vinagre MID121
-
A Colak FWD122
1
-
P Kun MID101
2
-
J. Żewłakow MID8
1
-
A Jedrzejczyk  DEF711
1
-
C Gonçalves MID71
1
-
J Nsame FWD62
-
O Hindrich GLK5
-
R Adamski FWD51
-
H. Miguel Sousa Arreiol MID4
-
J. Leszczyński DEF2
-
S. Kováčik MID1
-