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Benfica v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 9th Nov, 20:30 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Sunday night sees Jose Mourinho’s Benfica and João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira’s Casa Pia go up against one another in a Liga NOS clash at the Estádio da Luz. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've sifted through our extensive database and dug out the stats that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Benfica to win

We are predicting Benfica will claim victory after 90 mins on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. It should be great moment for the home supporters when the game draws to a close at Estádio da Luz.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
74%
1/9
1%
2/11
Draw
16%
13/2
7%
13/2
Casa Pia
10%
12/1
8%
14/1
Benfica 2-0
13%
5/1
8%
19/4
Benfica 1-0
11%
15/26/1
Benfica 3-0
10%
11/2
8%
11/2
Benfica 2-1
9%
10/1
9%
15/2
Draw 1-1
8%
14/1
13%
11/1
Benfica 3-1
7%
10/19/1
Benfica 4-0
6%
17/2
5%
15/2
Draw 0-0
4%
18/114/1
Benfica 4-1
4%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
3%
33/122/1
Casa Pia 1-0
3%
28/122/1
Benfica 5-0
3%
16/112/1
Casa Pia 2-1
3%
33/128/1
Benfica 3-2
3%
33/1
15%
22/1
Benfica 5-1
2%
25/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
19/40
1%
10/21
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
8/5
4%
6/4
Home 1st Goal
62%
2/91/5
Away 1st Goal
35%
10/34/1
No 1st Goal
3%
18/114/1
BTTS - Yes
47%
5/45/4
BTTS - No
53%
4/74/7
BTTS - Home Win
30%
2/1
4%
19/10
BTTS - Draw
12%
9/1
5%
8/1
BTTS - Away Win
5%
22/1
9%
20/1
Home/draw
90%
1/25
1%
1/50
Away/draw
26%
9/2
10%
19/5
Home/away
84%
1/101/11
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/71/7
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
9/24/1
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
11/10
5%
23/20
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
4/6
3%
8/13
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
11/413/5
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/41/4
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
6/111/2
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/101/10
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/661/100
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
20/1
10%
14/1
Home DNB
86%
1/201/40
Away DNB
21%
10/110/1
Benfica win to nil
44%
8/11
2%
-
Casa Pia win to nil
5%
20/1-
Benfica / Benfica
51%
4/7
3%
3/5
Benfica / Casa Pia
2%
50/150/1
Benfica / Draw
4%
22/1
9%
20/1
Draw / Benfica
21%
11/4
7%
29/10
Draw / Casa Pia
3%
28/1
10%
20/1
Draw / Draw
9%
9/1
9%
8/1
Casa Pia / Benfica
4%
20/118/1
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
3%
28/1
10%
18/1
Casa Pia / Draw
3%
28/1
10%
20/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 10 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Liga NOS league table. Benfica are unbeaten in 9 games against teams below them in the league and kept 5 clean sheets out of 9 games. Benfica are unbeaten at home after 5 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 2 and lost no matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Benfica have outscored their opponents by 21 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

Benfica have played 5 games at home winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Casa Pia are in 16th position in the Liga NOS on 8 points having played 10 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Casa Pia have conceded 22 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto109102028 
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 1
l
 
4-0A
2
S. Lisbon108112025 
Dec 5
Apr 18
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
3
Benfica107301724 
-
-
Apr 3
Nov 9
4
Gil Vicente107121122 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
Dec 14
Apr 25
5
Famalicao10541719 
Dec 21
May 2
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
6
Moreirense10604218 
Apr 25
Dec 14
Mar 1
l
 
2-1F
7
Braga10343713 
May 9
Dec 28
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
8
Santa Clara10325-311 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
Apr 18
Dec 6
9
Nacional10325-411 
Apr 11
Nov 29
l
 
0-2A
Feb 8
10
Rio Ave10253-511 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
May 16
Jan 4
11
V. Guimaraes10325-811 
Mar 22
w
 
0-3F
Dec 28
May 9
12
Estoril10244110 
Jan 4
May 16
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
13
Estrela Amadora10244-110 
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
l
 
3-5F
Mar 22
14
Alverca10316-710 
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
Nov 29
Apr 11
15
Arouca10235-169 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 15
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
16
Casa Pia10226-118 
Nov 9
Apr 3
-
-
17
Tondela10136-136 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 1
May 2
Dec 21
18
AVS10028-172 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
25
Benfica have not lost in 25 consecutive league games
3
Benfica have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
25
Goals: Scored
60
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Benfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
Benfica1 - 1Rio Ave
Benfica1 - 1Santa Clara
Benfica3 - 0Tondela
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica6 - 0AVS
Benfica2 - 2Arouca
Benfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Boavista
Benfica3 - 2Moreirense
Benfica4 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 2Braga
Benfica3 - 0Estoril
Benfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Benfica4 - 1Porto
Benfica5 - 0Rio Ave
Benfica5 - 1Gil Vicente
Benfica4 - 1Santa Clara
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica5 - 0Arouca
ABenfica0 - 0Porto
HBenfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
HBenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
ABenfica3 - 0AVS
HBenfica1 - 1Santa Clara
ABenfica2 - 1Alverca
HBenfica3 - 0Tondela
ABenfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABenfica1 - 1Braga
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Estoril
HBenfica6 - 0AVS
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica2 - 2Arouca
ABenfica4 - 1Porto
HBenfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
ABenfica3 - 0Gil Vicente
ABenfica3 - 2Rio Ave
Casa Pia 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga4 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
AVS0 - 2Casa Pia
Famalicao2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
AVS1 - 1Casa Pia
Sporting Farense0 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense3 - 2Casa Pia
Santa Clara2 - 1Casa Pia
Boavista2 - 3Casa Pia
Braga1 - 2Casa Pia
Estoril0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto2 - 0Casa Pia
Rio Ave2 - 2Casa Pia
S. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
Gil Vicente1 - 1Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia0 - 4Braga
HCasa Pia2 - 2Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 2Moreirense
HCasa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
ACasa Pia2 - 0Arouca
HCasa Pia0 - 2Nacional
ACasa Pia0 - 4Porto
ACasa Pia2 - 0AVS
HCasa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia1 - 2Famalicao
HCasa Pia2 - 1Braga
ACasa Pia0 - 0Arouca
HCasa Pia1 - 3Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 1AVS
HCasa Pia0 - 1Porto
ACasa Pia0 - 0Sporting Farense
HCasa Pia2 - 1Rio Ave
ACasa Pia1 - 3Nacional
HCasa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Benfica since 2023
Benfica
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
7
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
BEF
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Benfica3 - 0
League games at Casa Pia since 2022
Casa Pia
Benfica
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
1 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
2 / 3
BEF
2
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Casa Pia
Casa Pia3 - 1
0 - 1Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
Goal Statistics
Benfica 3rd Casa Pia 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
22%
There is a 69% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Casa Pia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
Benfica have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
+3
Casa Pia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
3.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
2.4
0.7
Attack rating
40%
better
BEF
view stats
Games scored9
6
Failed to score1
4
Scored first8
4
Goals scored21
11
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game12
7
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for18
15
Avg. XG for2.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
66%
better
BEF
view stats
Games conceded4
8
Clean sheets6
2
Conceded first1
6
Goals conceded4
22
Avg. goals conceded0.4
2.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded18
5
Conversion rate against5%
22%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.6
KickOff rating
+66%

Benfica v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10835
N OtamendiV PavlidisD LukébakioN Otamendi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dahl DEF101
1
-
N Otamendi DEF101
5
-
F Aursnes MID1011
-
L Barreiro MID102
-
R Ríos MID10
4
-
V Pavlidis FWD1082
1
-
E Barrenechea MID9
4
-
A Schjelderup FWD911
-
A Trubin GLK8
-
T Araújo DEF81
-
F Ivanovic FWD83
1
-
A Dedic DEF711
3
1
A Silva DEF7
1
-
H Sudakov MID72
1
-
G Prestianni FWD711
2
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID51
-
D Lukébakio FWD53
1
-
H Araújo FWD4
-
S Soares GLK2
1
-
J. Fins Veloso MID2
-
R Obrador DEF1
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10334
G LarrazabalJ LivolantJ LivolantD Sousa 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Geraldes DEF10
1
-
G Larrazabal DEF101
2
-
Cassiano FWD102
2
-
J Livolant FWD1033
1
-
S Pérez MID9
2
-
R. Nhaga MID9
3
-
P Sequeira GLK8
1
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF8
2
-
J Fonte DEF81
1
-
I Mohamed MID81
3
-
M Sousa MID71
2
-
T Morais FWD7
1
-
D Sousa  DEF61
4
-
J Goulart DEF6
2
-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD6
1
-
O Osundina FWD61
-
M Svensson FWD6
1
-
K Rocha DEF41
-
D Tchamba  DEF41
1
-
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK3
1
-
R Brito MID3
1
-
Y Oukili MID3
-
K Nsona  FWD31
-
A Conté DEF21
-
K. Prieto Machado MID2
-
X Severina FWD2
-