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Estrela Amadora v CD Nacional : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 9th Nov, 15:30 BST, Estádio José Gomes, Amadora

João Nuno Rodrigues Carromeu and Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido clash in the Liga NOS on Sunday afternoon, as Estrela Amadora face CD Nacional at the Estádio José Gomes. We have custom-designed statistics for the biggest betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but we don't predict a goal-fest here. The stats suggest Estrela Amadora and Nacional both are poor in attack and defence, and the odds point towards a tie with fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, in the absence of obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estrela Amadora
30%
2.702.75
Draw
29%
3.203.25
Nacional
41%
2.502.60
Draw 1-1
13%
6.006.00
Nacional 1-0
13%
7.507.00
Estrela Amadora 1-0
11%
8.007.50
Draw 0-0
11%
8.507.50
Nacional 2-1
8%
10.009.00
Nacional 2-0
8%
12.0010.00
Estrela Amadora 2-1
7%
11.009.50
Estrela Amadora 2-0
5%
13.0011.00
Draw 2-2
4%
15.0013.00
Nacional 3-1
3%
21.0017.00
Nacional 3-0
3%
26.0019.00
Estrela Amadora 3-1
2%
23.0019.00
Estrela Amadora 3-0
2%
29.0021.00
Nacional 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
Estrela Amadora 3-2
1%
34.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
2.152.10
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
1.671.65
Home 1st Goal
44%
2.052.10
Away 1st Goal
49%
1.952.00
No 1st Goal
7%
8.507.50
BTTS - Yes
45%
1.911.91
BTTS - No
55%
1.911.83
BTTS - Home Win
12%
6.005.50
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.504.40
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5.505.25
Home/draw
59%
1.501.50
Away/draw
70%
1.401.44
Home/away
71%
1.361.33
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
1.361.36
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
3.002.88
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
4.003.75
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1.221.25
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
9.007.50
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1.071.07
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
19.0015.00
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.021.01
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1.071.07
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
9.007.50
Home DNB
50%
1.911.91
Away DNB
61%
1.801.80
Estrela Amadora win to nil
19%
4.33-
Nacional win to nil
26%
4.00-
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
18%
4.504.33
Estrela Amadora / Nacional
3%
29.0023.00
Estrela Amadora / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Estrela Amadora
13%
6.006.00
Draw / Nacional
14%
6.005.75
Draw / Draw
18%
4.754.40
Nacional / Estrela Amadora
3%
29.0023.00
Nacional / Nacional
19%
4.334.00
Nacional / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estrela Amadora have played 10 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league. Estrela Amadora are winless in the 6 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 5 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won zero. Estrela Amadora have conceded 8 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Estrela Amadora have played 5 games at home, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Nacional lay in 9th place on 11 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 10 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 5 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Nacional have conceded 4 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Nacional have played 5 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estrela Amadora
Nacional
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto109102028 
Apr 25
Dec 14
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon108112025 
Apr 11
Nov 30
l
 
1-4F
Feb 1
3
Benfica107301724 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
Nov 29
Apr 11
4
Gil Vicente107121122 
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
5
Famalicao10541719 
May 9
Dec 28
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
6
Moreirense10604218 
Dec 21
May 2
w
 
3-2A
Mar 8
7
Braga10343713 
Jan 4
May 16
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
8
Santa Clara10325-311 
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 28
May 9
9
Nacional10325-411 
Nov 9
Apr 3
-
-
10
Rio Ave10253-511 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
11
V. Guimaraes10325-811 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 15
May 16
Jan 4
12
Estoril10244110 
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
13
Estrela Amadora10244-110 
-
-
Apr 3
Nov 9
14
Alverca10316-710 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 1
Apr 18
Dec 7
15
Arouca10235-169 
Dec 7
Apr 18
l
 
1-2F
Feb 22
16
Casa Pia10226-118 
Mar 22
w
 
3-5A
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
17
Tondela10136-136 
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 14
Apr 25
18
AVS10028-172 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
May 2
Dec 21
Win / draw / win form
Estrela Amadora 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora3 - 0AVS
Estrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
Estrela Amadora0 - 1AVS
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
Estrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Gil Vicente
Estrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
Estrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Braga
Estrela Amadora2 - 4Estoril
Estrela Amadora1 - 0Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora2 - 1Arouca
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Nacional
Estrela Amadora2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora2 - 1Moreirense
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Boavista
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstrela Amadora5 - 3Casa Pia
HEstrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstrela Amadora3 - 0AVS
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Tondela
HEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
HEstrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Estoril
AEstrela Amadora0 - 4Estoril
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1AVS
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Rio Ave
HEstrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Arouca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 0Nacional
HEstrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Gil Vicente
Nacional 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril1 - 1Nacional
Braga0 - 1Nacional
Porto1 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia0 - 2Nacional
Rio Ave1 - 1Nacional
Porto3 - 0Nacional
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Boavista0 - 1Nacional
Santa Clara1 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Braga1 - 0Nacional
Sporting Farense0 - 2Nacional
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
Rio Ave2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
Gil Vicente2 - 1Nacional
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia1 - 0Nacional
Famalicao0 - 0Nacional
Estoril1 - 0Nacional
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNacional0 - 1Famalicao
ANacional1 - 1Estoril
HNacional3 - 2Moreirense
ANacional1 - 0Braga
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 1Porto
ANacional2 - 0Casa Pia
HNacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1Rio Ave
HNacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
ANacional0 - 3Porto
HNacional3 - 3Rio Ave
HNacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional1 - 1Moreirense
HNacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
ANacional1 - 0Boavista
HNacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
ANacional0 - 1Santa Clara
HNacional3 - 1Casa Pia
ANacional0 - 3Benfica
Goal Statistics
Estrela Amadora 13th Nacional 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Estrela Amadora will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Estrela Amadora’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-30
Nacional have scored 30% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Estrela Amadora
PG (predicted goals)
Nacional
1
1.2
Attack rating
NAC
11%
better
view stats
Games scored5
7
Failed to score5
3
Scored first2
5
Goals scored12
10
Avg. goals scored1.2
1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
12
Avg. XG for1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
4%
better
NAC
view stats
Games conceded7
8
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first6
5
Goals conceded13
14
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
14%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+4%

Estrela Amadora v Nacional Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10423
R RibeiroS CabralS CabralP. Valente Moreira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Ribeiro GLK10
1
-
S Cabral DEF1042
2
-
A Chernev DEF10
2
-
L Patrick DEF10
2
-
P. Valente Moreira MID92
2
1
I Stoica FWD92
1
-
R Pinho FWD91
1
-
Kikas FWD931
-
A Marcus FWD92
-
B Schappo DEF8
2
-
J. Monteiro Meireles FWD81
-
J Encada DEF7
1
-
R. Oliveira Botelho MID7
2
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF6
-
A Godoy FWD61
1
-
J Cabral FWD5
2
-
R Sousa DEF4
-
O Ngom MID41
2
1
J. Gastão FWD41
2
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID3
1
-
L Antonetti FWD2
-
I Dramé DEF1
-
Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10634
J. Mendes GomesChuchuJ. Mendes GomesLiziero 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Mendes Gomes DEF103
1
-
L Santos DEF102
3
-
Liziero  MID102
4
-
F Soares MID10
2
-
Witi FWD10
-
Chuchu FWD106
3
-
P Bóia FWD101
2
-
J Aurélio DEF9
1
-
Z Vitor DEF91
3
1
M Dias MID9
1
1
C. Abidi MID8
1
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD7
1
1
L França GLK6
1
-
Ulisses DEF5
3
1
J Silva MID5
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD5
-
L João FWD5
-
K Azarias GLK4
-
A Sousa MID3
-
A Duarte DEF2
-
L Vallier DEF2
-
M. Nourani FWD2
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF1
-