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Tondela v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Nov, 18:00 BST, Estadio Joao Cardoso, Tondela

Tondela are in Liga NOS action on Saturday evening, as Ivo Ricardo Abreu Vieira aims to beat Luís Miguel Correia Pinto and his Vitoria Guimaraes side at the Estadio Joao Cardoso. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are tipping a relatively tight affair here and, as such, are predicting under 2.5 goals. That means we a suggesting 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Tondela and V. Guimaraes go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have reason to trust both sides to deliver just that. The statistics and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Tondela
38%
39/20
3%
2/1
3%
Draw
29%
11/59/4
3%
V. Guimaraes
33%
13/10
2%
7/5
1%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/15/1
Tondela 1-0
13%
15/213/2
V. Guimaraes 1-0
12%
6/111/2
7%
Draw 0-0
11%
7/113/2
6%
Tondela 2-1
8%
10/1
8%
9/1
5%
Tondela 2-0
7%
14/111/1
V. Guimaraes 2-1
7%
17/2
5%
15/2
V. Guimaraes 2-0
6%
10/19/1
5%
Draw 2-2
4%
14/112/1
Tondela 3-1
3%
25/118/1
Tondela 3-0
3%
33/122/1
V. Guimaraes 3-1
3%
20/116/1
13%
V. Guimaraes 3-0
2%
22/1
10%
16/1
Tondela 3-2
2%
40/125/1
V. Guimaraes 3-2
1%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
6/523/20
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
13/2013/20
3%
Home 1st Goal
48%
6/5
5%
6/5
2%
Away 1st Goal
45%
10/11
4%
10/11
No 1st Goal
7%
7/113/2
6%
BTTS - Yes
45%
19/2010/11
3%
BTTS - No
55%
4/54/5
3%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
11/2
7%
19/4
9%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/217/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
9/24/1
Home/draw
67%
4/7
3%
11/20
1%
Away/draw
62%
4/112/5
3%
Home/away
71%
4/111/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
4/112/5
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
2/19/5
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
3/114/5
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
2/92/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
8/113/2
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/141/14
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/501/100
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/121/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
7/113/2
Home DNB
58%
11/10
5%
21/20
2%
Away DNB
54%
4/6
3%
4/6
2%
Tondela win to nil
24%
4/1-
V. Guimaraes win to nil
21%
11/4-
Tondela / Tondela
17%
4/118/5
2%
Tondela / V. Guimaraes
3%
28/122/1
Tondela / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / Tondela
12%
11/211/2
Draw / V. Guimaraes
15%
9/29/2
5%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/417/5
V. Guimaraes / Tondela
3%
33/122/1
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
21%
3/1
7%
11/4
1%
V. Guimaraes / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Tondela have played 10 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league. Tondela are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Tondela have conceded 17 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Tondela have played 4 games at home, winning 0, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 2 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

V. Guimaraes lay in 11th place on 11 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 10 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 6 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. V. Guimaraes have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 5 away games, winning 1, drawing 0 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Tondela
V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto109102028 
Dec 7
Apr 18
Jan 18
l
 
3-0A
2
S. Lisbon108112025 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 15
Dec 21
May 2
3
Benfica107301724 
Feb 1
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-3A
Mar 22
4
Gil Vicente107121122 
Apr 11
Nov 29
Dec 8
Apr 18
5
Famalicao10541719 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
6
Moreirense10604218 
May 9
Dec 28
Feb 1
l
 
2-0A
7
Braga10343713 
Jan 18
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
8
Santa Clara10325-311 
Mar 1
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1A
Mar 8
9
Nacional10325-411 
Apr 25
Dec 14
Jan 4
May 16
10
Rio Ave10253-511 
Mar 8
l
 
3-0A
Apr 25
Dec 14
11
V. Guimaraes10325-811 
Nov 8
Apr 3
-
-
12
Estoril10244110 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 8
w
 
3-2A
Jan 25
13
Estrela Amadora10244-110 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 22
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
14
Alverca10316-710 
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
15
Arouca10235-169 
Jan 4
May 16
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
16
Casa Pia10226-118 
Dec 21
May 2
May 9
Dec 28
17
Tondela10136-136 
-
-
Apr 3
Nov 8
18
AVS10028-172 
Mar 22
d
 
2-2F
Nov 28
Apr 11
Win / draw / win form
Tondela 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tondela0 - 3S. Lisbon
Tondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Tondela2 - 2Estoril
Tondela0 - 1Famalicao
Tondela2 - 2Boavista
Tondela1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Tondela1 - 3S. Lisbon
Tondela2 - 2Arouca
Tondela1 - 1Belenenses
Tondela0 - 1Braga
Tondela1 - 3Benfica
Tondela2 - 3Vizela
Tondela2 - 1Moreirense
Tondela0 - 3Gil Vicente
Tondela0 - 1P. Ferreira
Tondela4 - 2Maratimo
Tondela1 - 3Porto
Tondela3 - 2Famalicao
Tondela1 - 2Estoril
Tondela0 - 3Portimonense
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ATondela2 - 2AVS
HTondela0 - 3S. Lisbon
ATondela0 - 3Rio Ave
ATondela2 - 1Santa Clara
HTondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
ATondela0 - 1Alverca
HTondela2 - 2Estoril
ATondela0 - 3Benfica
HTondela0 - 1Famalicao
ATondela0 - 3Braga
HTondela2 - 2Boavista
ATondela0 - 3Gil Vicente
ATondela1 - 1P. Ferreira
HTondela1 - 1V. Guimaraes
ATondela0 - 2Moreirense
HTondela1 - 3S. Lisbon
ATondela3 - 1Maratimo
HTondela2 - 2Arouca
ATondela0 - 4Porto
HTondela1 - 1Belenenses
V. Guimaraes 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Famalicao2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Alverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Gil Vicente0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Boavista1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Famalicao0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Sporting Farense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Benfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Santa Clara1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Braga0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Famalicao
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Alverca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
AV. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Moreirense
HV. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
AV. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2S. Lisbon
HV. Guimaraes1 - 2Sporting Farense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
HV. Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0Santa Clara
AV. Guimaraes2 - 2Moreirense
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
AV. Guimaraes2 - 1Boavista
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Tondela since 2016
Tondela
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
7
12
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
CDT
2
D
2
GUI
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tondela
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2V. Guimaraes
1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Tondela1 - 0
1 - 4V. Guimaraes
Tondela2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2015
V. Guimaraes
Tondela
Goals: Scored
12
6
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
CDT
2
GUI
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
V. Guimaraes5 - 2
1 - 2Tondela
V. Guimaraes2 - 0
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
0 - 1Tondela
V. Guimaraes2 - 1
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is to be admired, L. Correia Pinto's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Liga NOS games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Tondela makes sense in this context.

Tondela 17th V. Guimaraes 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Tondela will score no more than 1 goal
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that V. Guimaraes will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Tondela have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-17
V. Guimaraes have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
2.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Tondela
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
CDT
GUI
24%
better
view stats
Games scored3
5
Failed to score7
5
Scored first2
2
Goals scored6
9
Avg. goals scored0.6
0.9
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal16
11
Conversion rate for6
9
Avg. XG for1.4
1
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
CDT
GUI
1%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
9
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first7
8
Goals conceded19
17
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
16%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+1%

Tondela v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Tondela Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10225
B FontesP HenryqueR LopesB Medina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Fontes GLK10
-
T. Silva Manso DEF101
1
-
J. Rodríguez López MID10
2
-
P Henryque FWD102
4
-
Y. Augusto FWD9
-
B Medina DEF8
4
1
E Maviram DEF8
1
-
C Marques DEF8
1
-
S Sithole MID81
2
-
J. Rodriguez FWD8
1
-
Bebeto DEF7
3
-
I Cavaleiro FWD71
1
-
H Tavares MID6
1
1
Jordan FWD6
1
-
R Lopes FWD612
1
-
H. Sequeira MID5
-
J Hodge MID5
-
M. Sie Ouattara FWD5
-
J Afonso DEF4
1
-
R Vita DEF4
2
-
Xabi Huarte MID4
-
C. Alves Santana MID4
2
-
A Rodrigues FWD2
-
A. Castanheira Ceitil MID1
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10213
MagaN OliveiraR AbascalN Oliveira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Maga DEF10
2
-
N Oliveira FWD102
3
-
R Abascal DEF91
-
J Mendes DEF9
3
-
Beni MID9
3
-
A Ndoye FWD92
-
T Arcanjo FWD9
-
O Rivas DEF7
1
-
M. Mitrovic MID71
-
J. Castillo Reyes GLK6
1
-
O. Camara FWD6
-
F Blanco FWD6
2
1
G. da Silva Cunha FWD611
1
-
V. Félix FWD6
2
-
Samu MID511
-
Charles GLK4
-
O Lebedenko DEF4
-
M Nóbrega DEF41
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID3
1
-
G Nogueira MID2
1
-
T Strata DEF1
-